Methodology. Rating U.S. Federal Family Education Loan Program Securitizations
|
|
|
- Jason Blair
- 10 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 Methodology Rating U.S. Federal Family Education Loan Program Securitizations march 2014
2 CONTACT INFORMATION Jon Riber Vice President Tel Claire Mezzanotte Group Managing Director Tel Chuck Weilamann Senior Vice President Tel Kathleen Tillwitz Managing Director Tel DBRS is a full-service credit rating agency established in Privately owned and operated without affiliation to any financial institution, DBRS is respected for its independent, third-party evaluations of corporate and government issues, spanning North America, Europe and Asia. DBRS s extensive coverage of securitizations and structured finance transactions solidifies our standing as a leading provider of comprehensive, in-depth credit analysis. All DBRS ratings and research are available in hard-copy format and electronically on Bloomberg and at DBRS.com, our lead delivery tool for organized, Web-based, up-to-the-minute information. We remain committed to continuously refining our expertise in the analysis of credit quality and are dedicated to maintaining objective and credible opinions within the global financial marketplace.
3 Rating U.S. Federal Family Education Loan Program Securitizations TABLE OF CONTENTS Executive Summary 4 Introduction and Industry Overview 4 The Federal Family Education Loan Program 5 Operational Risk Review 12 Transaction Structure 12 Forms of Credit Enhancement 14 Collateral Analysis 16 Data Request and Developing a Base Case Default Expectation 17 Cash Flow Analysis 18 Legal Structure and Opinions 25 Related DBRS Documentation Legal Criteria for U.S. Structured Finance Transactions Operational Risk Assessment for U.S. ABS Servicers Unified Interest Rate Model for U.S. Private Student Loan and U.S. Federal Family Education Loan Program Securitizations 3
4 Executive Summary DBRS evaluates both quantitative and qualitative factors when assigning and monitoring ratings for U.S. Federal Family Education Loan Program (FFELP) student loan asset-backed securities (ABS), including the following: Quality of servicing capabilities (as outlined in the Operational Risk Assessment for U.S. ABS Servicers methodology); Quality of the proposed collateral pool and historical performance of an issuer's student loan portfolio; Transaction capital structure, priority of payments and credit enhancement; and Legal structure and opinions. DBRS performs an operational risk review and assessment of the servicer. This review provides insight into the servicer s corporate performance and capabilities as well as processes that may impact pool performance. 1 For each target rating, DBRS analyzes the proposed transaction structure under various cash flow stress scenarios to determine the ability of the transaction to pay timely interest and repay ultimate principal in accordance with the terms of the transaction. DBRS reviews the transaction s legal structure and opinions to assess that all necessary steps have been taken and no subsequent actions are needed to protect the issuer s ownership interest in the assets. Introduction and Industry Overview In 2010, President Obama signed into law the Health Care and Education Reconciliation Act of 2010, which discontinued the use of FFELP, thus ending the ability of private companies to originate loans backed by the federal government. Since July 1, 2010, 100% of all new federally funded student loans have been made through the U.S. Department of Education s (ED) William D. Ford Federal Direct Loan Program (DLP). Under the DLP, the federal government, through the ED, borrows funds from the U.S. Treasury and disburses the loan amount directly to the student. The student repays the loan directly to the federal government. The federal government pays private sector servicers to handle most of the loan servicing and defaulted loan collection tasks. The federal government does not pay any subsidies to any guaranty agencies or private lenders. Going forward, it is anticipated that FFELP ABS issuance volume will be substantially lower than in previous years due to regular loan amortization and the termination of Straight-A Funding, the FFELP asset-backed commercial paper program implemented by the federal government as a result of the financial crisis. Additionally, there will be fewer refinancings of auction rate securities into new FFELP ABS as many of the failed auction rate securities have already been restructured Refer to DBRS Operational Risk Assessment for U.S. ABS Servicers.
5 The Federal Family Education Loan Program FFELP was created to facilitate higher education in the United States. Authorized by Congress under Title IV of the Higher Education Act of 1965, the program provided tuition assistance in the form of loans to students and parents, thereby encouraging the pursuit of higher education and allowing post-secondary institutions to enroll more students. FFELP loans are reinsured by the U.S. government with respect to principal and interest in the event of a loan default. As stated, student loan lenders originated their last FFELP loans in The Health Care and Education Reconciliation Act of 2010 eliminated private sector funding of new government-guaranteed student loans under FFELP and directed all new loans to be funded through DLP. ORIGINATION PROCESS AND ELIGIBILITY FFELP was designed to encourage providers of private capital to make unsecured education loans based on need with minimum regard for a borrower s credit history, income or assets. To this end, the program stipulates that lenders are guaranteed a specified loan yield in addition to principal and interest reimbursement if a loan defaults. Strict compliance with FFELP rules and eligibility requirements during the loan lifecycle (see Figure 1: FFELP Loan Lifecycle figure below) is necessary for such loan yield and default reimbursement benefits. Borrowers applied for financial support by listing family income and assets on a financial aid application. The information was submitted to the selected school, which compiled available sources and amounts of aid (grants, scholarships, work-study, etc.), including a FFELP loan amount. Aid reflected the difference between a family s expected monetary contribution and the cost of school. If accepted, the borrower chose a FFELP lender and executed a master promissory note. Concurrently, a guarantor notified the lender that the loan was eligible for default reimbursement. Determining borrower qualifications and loan amount was the responsibility of the school, which certified borrower eligibility to the lender. Graduate and undergraduate borrowers had to be enrolled in at least a half-time program of study, make satisfactory academic progress and be a U.S. citizen, permanent resident or eligible non-citizen. Parent borrowers who took out PLUS loans for dependent undergraduate students were required to pass a credit check and be a U.S. citizen or eligible non-citizen. Title IV of the Higher Education Act of 1965 set eligibility for institutions accepting FFELP loans. Schools had to be state licensed or authorized in addition to attaining national accreditation and being acceptable to the loan guarantor. Eligible institutions included two-year, four-year, graduate and professional schools, as well as proprietary institutions (also referred to as for-profit or vocational). The ED designated which lenders were qualified to offer FFELP loans. Institutions such as national or state-chartered banks, credit unions, selected non-profit agencies and for profit financial institutions were authorized to originate FFELP loans and receive interest subsidies and default reimbursement. 5
6 Figure 1 illustrates the general lifecycle of a FFELP loan and will be discussed in detail throughout this report. Figure 1: FFELP Loan Lifecycle Origination In School Grace Repayment Borrower must be enrolled at least part time 6 months 10 to 30 years Deferment Forbearance Typically 3-year max Default Timeline 270 Days Default Days Lender submits claim to guarantee agency Days Guarantee agency must pay claim within 90 days LOAN TYPE FFELP loans are typically characterized by borrower status, level of education and repayment terms. Undergraduate borrowers were subject to annual borrowing limits based on dependency and year in school. Eligible parents and graduate students taking out PLUS loans could borrow the full cost of education net of financial aid received. Stafford Loans Stafford loans were the most frequently awarded FFELP loan. The standard level payment period is ten years, although some borrowers qualified for a longer term. 2 Principal and interest payments are not required while the borrower is enrolled in school at half-time credit or greater. Stafford loans were available to graduate and undergraduate students in varying amounts with interest payments subsidized or unsubsidized, depending on borrower eligibility. For subsidized Stafford loans, the federal government pays interest to the lender during school enrollment, a six-month grace period after the borrower leaves school and deferment periods thereafter. Eligibility is needs based and reflects family income. A subsidized borrower can also borrow unsubsidized loans subject to annual and aggregate limits. Monthly repayment begins at the end of a six-month grace period after the student leaves school. For unsubsidized Stafford loans, interest is due throughout the life of the loan, although during in school and grace periods, interest may be capitalized, which increases the loan balance. All eligible borrowers qualify for unsubsidized Stafford loans regardless of financial need. Monthly principal and interest repayment begins at the end of a six-month grace period that starts after the student leaves school. Interest on Stafford loans disbursed prior to July 1, 2006, is variable, adjusts annually and is capped at 8.25%. For unsubsidized loans disbursed after June 30, 2006, the rate is fixed at 6.8%. For subsidized loans disbursed after June 30, 2006, the fixed rate is based on year of disbursement as follows: July 1, 2006, to June 30, 2008: 6.8% July 1, 2008, to June 30, 2009: 6.0% July 1, 2009, to June 30, 2010: 5.6% July 1, 2010, to June 30, 2011: 4.5% July 1, 2011, to June 30, 2013: 3.4% 6 2. For borrowers with Stafford debt exceeding $30,000, repayment may extend to 25 years under the extended repayment option. Under the Income Based Repayment option, borrowers with financial hardship may extend repayment up to 25 years.
7 Figure 2: Annual Stafford Loan Limits (effective July 1, 2008) Program Level Dependent Undergraduate 1 Independent Undergraduate 2 Freshman $ 5,500 $ 9,500 Sophomore $ 6,500 $10,500 Junior and Senior $ 7,500 $12,500 Certification Programs $11,500 $11,500 Graduate students $20, Parents who were not denied a PLUS loan. 2. Parents were denied a PLUS loan. Figure 3: Aggregate Stafford Loan Limits (effective July 1, 2008) Student Level and Program Dependent Undergraduate $ 31,000 Independent Undergraduate $ 57,500 Graduate/Professional $138,500 Medical $224,000 Note: Graduate and medical debt includes undergraduate debt. PLUS Loans PLUS loans are FFELP loans that parents of dependent undergraduate students and graduate students can use to help pay education expenses. PLUS loans offered to graduate students are referred to as GradPLUS loans. Unlike Stafford loans, PLUS loans are not subject to annual or cumulative dollar limits. The PLUS loan amount may cover the entire annual cost of education less financial aid provided by the school. PLUS loans are the only FFELP loan type for which some level of credit underwriting is performed. Applicants are subject to a credit check, and those who are 90 days or more past due on current debt or have derogatory credit events, such as defaults, bankruptcy or foreclosure, within the preceding five years are ineligible for PLUS loans. Monthly principal and interest payments begin 60 days following disbursement with a repayment period of ten years. 3 Graduate school borrowers may defer paying principal and interest while in school and during a six-month grace period after leaving school. Similarly, parent borrowers may defer payments if the student beneficiary is in school or during a six-month grace period after the student leaves school. Any deferred interest is capitalized and added to the loan balance. The PLUS interest rate is currently fixed at 7.9%. Interest on loans originated before July 1, 2006, is variable, adjusts annually and is capped at 9.00%. Consolidation Loans A fixed-rate Consolidation loan is available to borrowers that refinance Stafford and PLUS loans with a single lender under new terms and one monthly payment. Qualifying loans must be in repayment or grace and a new promissory note is executed. Consolidation can occur only once but an existing Consolidation loan can be reconsolidated with additional Stafford and PLUS loans. Interest rate on Consolidation loans is based on the weighted average of the underlying loans rounded up to the nearest one-eighth of a percent and is capped at 8.25%. Consolidated subsidized loans continue to qualify for government-paid interest during periods of deferment. 3. For borrowers with PLUS debt exceeding $30,000, repayment may be up to 25 years under the extended repayment option. Also, under an Income Based Repayment option, borrowers with financial hardship may extend repayment up to 25 years. 7
8 Monthly principal and interest begins within 60 days of disbursement and the repayment term is based on the loan balance 4 (see Figure 4: Consolidated Loan Terms). Figure 4: Consolidated Loan Terms Loan Balance Loan Term Less than $7, years $7,500 $9, years $10,000 $19, years $20,000 $39, years $40,000 $59, years $60,000 or more 30 years LOAN STATUS Loan status refers to the payment classification of a FFELP loan during the course of its lifecycle. Loan statuses include: in school, grace and repayment. During repayment, a deferment or forbearance may be granted to qualified borrowers that have difficulty making scheduled loan payments. Deferment and forbearance reduce loan cash flows and extend the repayment period. In School/Grace The in school/grace designation is applicable only to Stafford loans. In school means the borrower is presently enrolled at least half-time at an eligible institution. Grace begins when the borrower leaves school or is enrolled less than half-time. Grace lasts for six-months. For unsubsidized Stafford loans, interest payments are due during the in school and grace periods, but principal is not required until after the grace period expires. The borrower can opt to capitalize interest until repayment begins. For subsidized Stafford loans, the federal government pays interest to the lender on behalf of the borrower during the in school and grace periods. Repayment Stafford borrowers begin paying both principal and interest at the end of the grace period. PLUS and Consolidation loans enter repayment 60 days after loan disbursement. Repayment means the borrower is paying scheduled principal and interest under one of several repayment options, including: Standard: Level monthly payments over the loan term. Extended: Borrowers with more than $30,000 in FFELP debt can extend the loan term up to 25 years without consolidation. Graduated: Payments start out low and increase over time. The length of the repayment period is up to ten years. This plan appeals to borrowers who expect that their income will increase steadily over time. No single payment under this plan will be more than three times greater than any other payment. Income-Sensitive Repayment Plan: Designed to help new graduates with lower salaries, income-sensitive repayment lets borrowers select a loan payment in an amount between 4% and 25% of their monthly income as long as such payment is equal to or greater than the interest accruing on their loan. This plan requires the borrower to choose another repayment schedule after five years, with the new schedule extending up to ten additional years. Since this plan extends a borrower s repayment period, the total amount of interest paid may be greater than what would have been paid under standard repayment. Income-Based Repayment Plan: Loan payments are based on income and family size and the borrower must be experiencing a partial financial hardship. Repayment is extended to 25 years with any remaining balance forgiven after 25 years of qualifying repayment. The monthly payment amount is 15% of discretionary income. For subsidized loans, if the monthly income-based repayment amount does not cover the amount of interest that accrues on the loan, the government will pay such unpaid accrued interest for up to three consecutive years Balance includes other outstanding FFELP loans up to the amount of the loans being consolidated.
9 Deferment and Forbearance Deferment and forbearance indicate scheduled payments are being temporarily reduced or postponed pursuant to FFELP guidelines. The statuses are utilized as default-aversion tools under circumstances indicating that a borrower should eventually be able to resume making scheduled payments. With deferment and forbearance, the lender receives the totality of loan principal and interest, although over a longer term. The borrower s underlying situation dictates whether a deferment or forbearance is used. The key difference is that the federal government pays current interest on subsidized Stafford loans (including those consolidated) during deferment but not during forbearance. PLUS and unsubsidized Stafford loans (including those consolidated) accrue interest during both deferment and forbearance. For a deferment, borrowers provide documentation demonstrating eligibility based on qualifying conditions. Borrowers are not required to pay principal during deferment. Interest for unsubsidized loans is capitalized and added to the principal balance of the loan. See Figure 5: Common Deferments. Figure 5: Common Deferments Qualifications School Enrollment Economic Hardship Unemployment Military Service Peace Corps Rehabilitation/Mental Health Treatment Post Active Duty Time Limit None 3 Years 3 Years None 3 Years None 13 Months If a borrower does not meet the criteria for a deferment, he or she may qualify for forbearance. During periods of forbearance, monthly principal and interest may be postponed or reduced and the repayment term can be extended. In most cases, forbearance is granted solely at the discretion of the servicer and is offered for up to 12 months up to a maximum of three years. Forbearances are usually reserved for cases of financial hardship or illness. Unlike a deferment, in forbearance both subsidized and unsubsidized portions of the loan continue to accrue interest. At the end of the forbearance period the loan interest is capitalized. LOAN INTEREST MARGIN FFELP lenders earn a statutory interest margin payable quarterly. The margin is based on loan type, loan status and year of disbursement. For all FFELP loans, the federal government guarantees the margin irrespective of the rate paid by the borrower. If the borrower rate is less than the statutory margin, the government pays the difference referred to as special allowance payments (SAP). If the borrower rate is greater than the statutory margin, the lender returns the difference to the federal government (Floor Income). For FFELP loans disbursed before April 1, 2006, Floor Income is retained by the lender and may be used as additional credit enhancement. For loans originated prior to January 1, 2000, the FFELP margin is pegged to the 91-day T-bill rate. Loans disbursed after January 1, 2000, earn a spread based on the three-month financial commercial paper rate or one-month LIBOR. In April 2012, FFELP holders had the option to change the index from three-month commercial paper to one-month LIBOR (for loans disbursed after January 1, 2000). Today, most holders take advantage of SAP payments pegged to one-month LIBOR as funding costs are typically tied to this index. 9
10 LOAN SERVICING Adherence to ED collection guidelines is the most important aspect of servicing FFELP loans. Full compliance throughout the servicing process is necessary for lenders to receive SAP and subsidized interest payments in addition to principal reimbursement in the event of default. Servicer responsibilities include making disbursements, handling collections, filing reports with the ED and loan guarantors, processing loan status changes, responding to borrower inquiries, maintaining borrower contact and loan records, in addition to ensuring compliance with FFELP rules and regulations. FFELP loan servicers are subject to mandatory audits by guarantors and the ED. During the in school and grace periods, servicing is focused on monitoring borrower eligibility, including grade level, enrollment status and the anticipated graduation date. During repayment, servicing is more proactive with emphasis on maintaining borrower contact and performing due diligence on delinquent loans. The delinquency period begins the day after a missed loan payment date. A loan is considered in default after 270 days of non-payment (excluding periods of deferment and forbearance). Figure 6 summarizes the protocol required for delinquent monthly pay loans. Figure 6: Delinquent Loan Protocol Days Delinquent Required Collection Activity 1 15 One collection letter or written notice Four phone calls and collection letters. At least one diligent effort on or before the 90th day of delinquency and one diligent effort after the 90th day of delinquency. No gap of greater than 45 days Guarantor notification and request for Default Aversion Assistance Continuous collection efforts that urge the borrower to make required payments on the loan. On or after 241 Final demand letter sent Default claim submitted to guarantor. 1. In addition to servicer due diligence, the loan guarantor initiates collection assistance by encouraging borrower to make payments. 2. Interest is paid through claim date if loan default filed before 330th day of delinquency. LOAN DEFAULT AND REIMBURSEMENT Failure to repay a FFELP loan can have serious legal repercussions for the borrower apart from civil litigation, including wage garnishment, withholding of federal and state tax refunds and loss of social security benefits. In addition, loan defaults are reported to national credit agencies, and the borrower may lose certain professional licenses and becomes ineligible for military service or further education aid. FFELP loans are not dischargeable in bankruptcy unless the borrower files an undue hardship petition. There is no statute of limitation barring enforcement action to collect FFELP student loans. Approximately 35 loan guarantors insure FFELP loans directly. Loan guarantors are state or private non-profit agencies that act on behalf of the ED to administer default claims and recover unpaid loans. The federal government reinsures these loans against default. If a student defaults on a loan, the loan holder (i.e., the securitization trust) submits a claim to the loan guarantor responsible for that loan. The loan guarantor will pay the loan holder a reimbursement rate plus accrued interest on the loan. Funds for paying claims are generated by a 1% default fee deducted from the borrower s loan balance upon disbursement. Reimbursement rates are based on year of origination as follows: For loans that were made before October 1, 1993: 100% of principal and unpaid accrued interest. For loans that were made from October 1, 1993, to June 30, 2006: 98% of principal and unpaid accrued interest. For loans made on or after July 1, 2006: 97% of principal and unpaid accrued interest. 10
11 Guarantors may reject reimbursement claims if submitted loans are not originated or serviced in accordance with ED guidelines. Typical servicing errors include missing documentation, incorrect dates regarding payment status and failure to contact a delinquent borrower within prescribed time frames. However, lenders are permitted to correct or cure servicing errors and resubmit a claim for reimbursement. The vast majority of rejected claims are eventually cured with FFELP loan servicers. Net claim reject rates, on average, have historically been well below 0.50%. Figure 7: FFELP Guarantee Payment Process Borrower 1. Borrower defaults at 270 days. Loan guarantor attempts collection on the defaulted loan. 2. Loan holder submits claim to loan guarantor within 90 days of default. FFELP Loan Holder 3a. Loan guarantor purchases defaulted loan within 90 days of receipt of claim. Cured loan. Insurance is reinstated. Loan Guarantor 3b. Loan guarantor rejects claim due to a servicing related error. Loan becomes uninsured. 4. Reimbursement claim submitted within 30 days. 5. ED reimburses loan guarantor. Department of Education Loan cannot be cured. Becomes permanently uninsured. 11
12 Operational Risk Review SERVICING REVIEW DBRS conducts an operational risk review of the servicer participating in a FFELP ABS transaction to evaluate the quality of the servicing entity s operations, as well as its compliance with the ED collection guidelines. DBRS meets with senior management to discuss servicing operations, tour the facilities and review system demonstrations, as appropriate. DBRS assesses the information gathered through the review process, along with its surveillance data and industry statistics to determine if a servicer is acceptable. In instances where DBRS determines that the servicer is below average, issuers may incorporate certain structural enhancements into a proposed transaction, such as a warm or hot backup servicer, in order for DBRS to be able to rate the transaction. The servicer review process typically involves an analysis of the following: Company and management, Financial condition, Loan administration, Customer service, Collections, Loss mitigation, Bankruptcy, Investor reporting and Technology. For details on the servicing review process, please refer to the DBRS methodology Operational Risk Assessment for U.S. ABS Servicers. Transaction Structure STRUCTURE FFELP ABS structures are most often senior/subordinate sequential pay structures whereby there are one or more classes of senior notes, along with one or more classes of lower-rated notes. It has been common for post-recession senior/subordinate transactions to call for subordinate classes to be fully locked out of principal until the senior notes are paid in full (it has also been common for more recent structures to include just one rated class). Pre-recession transactions with subordinate notes were frequently structured to allow a shift from sequential to pro rata pay, assuming certain performance and credit enhancement levels were maintained. PAYMENT WATERFALL In most FFELP ABS transactions, student loan principal and interest collections are commingled and distributed as available funds through one cash flow payment waterfall. Payments to transaction constituents are typically allocated first to servicing, trustee and then to other administrative parties. Noteholder interest and principal for all classes then follows pursuant to the waterfall specified in the transaction s legal documents. Amounts that remain may be required to replenish the reserve account or to build the reserve account to a required minimum balance. Release of remaining available funds to the residual holder in the form of excess spread may then be allowed, provided that a specified level of overcollateralization is maintained. Since the financial crisis, it has become more common for new FFELP ABS structures to not allow excess spread to be released until all noteholders have been paid in full. 12
13 Figure 8: Typical FFELP ABS Waterfall Allocation of Available Funds from Collection Account Servicing and Trustee Fees Administration Fees Class A Interest Class B Interest Reserve Account Deposit to Maintain Reserve Account Requirement Class A Principal Class B Principal Unpaid Trustee Fees and Expenses (if any) Carryover Servicing Fees (if any) Excess Spread (released to issuer or applied to principal) NOTE TRIGGERS In senior/subordinate transactions, note triggers may be included to protect senior noteholders. Note triggers are generally tied to a transaction s overcollateralization and performance levels. Triggers may shut off interest and principal to the subordinate noteholders, with such amounts being redirected to the senior noteholders. PREFUNDING Many FFELP securitizations utilize prefunding structures that allow issuers to deposit a portion of note issuance proceeds in an account (prefunding account) for future collateral acquisitions. Cash held in the prefunding account is an asset of the securitization trust and is used to purchase loans during the prefunding period. Prefunding periods can be as short as one month and as long as a year or more. Any unused prefunding amounts at the end of the prefunding period are applied as a bond principal payment. Prefunding can expose a transaction to negative carry risk as interest earned on the prefunding account balance may be less than the amount paid on the securities. To mitigate such shortfall, amounts are deposited in a capitalized interest account. Additionally, eligibility criteria are incorporated into the transaction legal documents specifying the type of collateral that may be acquired during the prefunding period. DBRS considers eligibility criteria in its determination of the base case default and cash flow analysis. RECYCLING PERIODS The use of student loan principal collections and/or excess interest to acquire new loans instead of repaying security holders is called recycling and permitted in some FFELP securitizations. The recycling period is predetermined and may be extended at the request of the issuer. The risk is that collateral characteristics may become less favorable depending on the types of subsequently acquired loans. DBRS considers the eligibility criteria and concentration limits in its determination of the base case default and cash flow analysis. 13
14 Forms of Credit Enhancement Credit enhancement is the method used in a securitization by which investors are protected from cash flow disruptions that can impact the timely and full payment of security interest and principal. Credit enhancement improves the credit quality of a security with structural features that mitigate collateral loss and liquidity risk. The amount and type of credit enhancement reflects the credit rating of a particular security. Common forms of credit enhancement in FFELP ABS transactions include note subordination, excess spread, overcollateralization, reserve account and capitalized interest account. Subordination Subordination protects senior securities from losses by prioritizing cash flow and loss allocation in favor of senior security holders. Once other forms of credit enhancement are exhausted, the risk of interest payment shortfalls and principal loss is allocated to subordinated security holders. Senior security holders will experience losses only after the subordinate bonds have been reduced to zero. Excess Spread Excess spread is a source of credit enhancement providing periodic first loss protection for the securities, as described in the previous section, and represents income net of debt, servicing and administrative costs. Once certain reserve levels and parity ratios are achieved, excess spread may be released from the transaction, or may be required to pay principal to senior notes. An important driver of excess spread is the yield relationship between interest income and interest expense. As discussed, FFELP loans are floating-rate assets that earn a statutory guaranteed interest rate indexed one-month LIBOR, the three-month financial commercial paper rate or the 91-day T-Bill rate. Trust liabilities usually pay a floating coupon most often indexed to one-month LIBOR. If the relationship between different indices diverges and the liability index increases over the loan index, excess spread would be negatively affected. Moreover, while note interest payments are determined on a set monthly date, SAP payments are calculated quarterly based on a three-month average of the underlying SAP index. This may negatively affect excess spread in a rising interest rate environment. Overcollateralization and Parity Overcollateralization is generally defined as the sum of the loan principal balance plus any reserve and capitalized interest accounts minus the aggregate principal balance of outstanding notes. Overcollateralization creates credit enhancement in a transaction by further increasing loan payments above the amount payable to the notes. Parity is also a measure of credit enhancement and is generally defined as the total assets in the trust divided by the total liabilities. In addition to the total parity ratio, in structures where there are any subordinate classes, a senior parity ratio is also tracked, which is the total assets in the trust divided by the senior liabilities. It is common for parity to begin at a certain level and then build up to a specified target amount. Starting parity ratios for recent deals have typically been between 100% and 110%. Before the financial crisis it was common for structures to have parity ratios below 100%. In these premium proceeds transactions, there were often auction-rate security tranches, which facilitated the quick buildup of overcollateralization through excess spread, as they had a much lower cost of funds. However, due to the auction-rate market failing in 2008, excess spread deteriorated to the point that it was impossible to build credit enhancement in many transactions. 14
15 Reductions in overcollateralization or parity levels may occur if transaction expenses, such as funding costs, dramatically increase in relation to trust income necessitating the need to use student loan principal collections to pay bond interest. Under these circumstances, the pool balance declines while liabilities remain unchanged. Loan losses net of reimbursed amounts may also diminish credit enhancement to the extent not covered by excess spread. It is common for transactions to call for overcollateralization or parity to grow to a specified target. This target amount is reached by using excess spread to accelerate the pay down of the notes. Once a target amount is reached, overcollateralization or parity may be required to be maintained at certain levels, or may be allowed to decline to a certain level as the deal structure pays down. Excess spread may be released from the trust as long as enhancement levels are maintained at their specified percentages. Other transactions have been structured so that excess spread may not be released from the trust until 100% of note principal has been paid. Reserve and Capitalized Interest Accounts 5 Reserve and capitalized interest accounts are segregated cash funds that support transaction liquidity for the benefit of both senior and subordinate security holders. Funded at the inception of a transaction, cash in the accounts is invested in highly rated short-term debt obligations that mature prior to payment due dates. Reserve accounts are typically fully funded at the time the transaction is closed, are often static and are replenished on future distribution dates from available funds. Draws from the reserve account may be used to pay interest and administrative fees, reimburse the trust for defaults and fund cash flow timing differences caused by delays in receipt of interest from the ED and/or principal reimbursement from loan guarantors. 6 Capitalized interest accounts are created to enhance the certainty of security interest payments during the initial years of a transaction when many pool borrowers are in school or grace and are not obligated to pay current interest. The account also supplements liquidity impacted by borrowers that capitalize interest during periods of forbearance and deferment. Drawn funds may be used to pay interest, servicing or administrative fees. Withdrawals from capitalized interest accounts are not replenished from available funds. On specified future dates, unused capitalized interest funds are released to pay security holders. 5. DBRS assumes the one-month LIBOR rate minus 25 basis points for all cash investment accounts. Such assumption is applied for the duration of the cash account. 6. Reserve accounts can be drawn to pay security principal at the legal final maturity date. 15
16 Collateral Analysis As part of the analysis of the transaction, DBRS analyzes the characteristics of the underlying collateral pool to assess the probability of default. In addition, as warranted, DBRS assesses the collateral pool statistics against any eligibility criteria that may be set forth in the transaction legal documents. This step serves to ensure that prescribed limits of certain collateral types are reflected in the analysis. POOL CHARACTERISTICS The student loan collateral pool is primarily analyzed by loan type and school type characteristics. Loan types primarily include Stafford, PLUS (including GradPLUS), Consolidation, and Rehabilitation (Rehab). School types mainly include four-year, two-year, graduate and proprietary. DBRS typically receives pool stratifications that provide a break out of these loan types and school types, in addition to other pool characteristics as described herein. Loan Type Stafford (including subsidized and unsubsidized Stafford loans), PLUS (including GradPLUS) and Consolidation loans are the three major loan types and are key indicators of credit risk. Stafford loans are made to student borrowers seeking post-secondary education (for subsidized Stafford loans, the ED pays current interest while the borrower is in school and during periods of grace and deferment). PLUS loans are made to parents of students and graduate students. GradPLUS loans are made only to graduate students. Consolidation loans are available to borrowers that combine individual Stafford and PLUS loans into one loan balance. Based on historical data, PLUS loans have the lowest cumulative default rates and are considered the least risky because parents are likely to have more stable sources of income and, unlike Stafford loans, qualification requires a satisfactory credit check. Further, compared to Stafford borrowers with less education, graduate borrowers historically gain employment more quickly and have the potential to earn higher incomes. Unsubsidized Stafford loans default more frequently than subsidized Stafford loans, reflecting the interest supplement provided to subsidized Stafford borrowers. School Type School type is a second characteristic considered by DBRS in determining default frequency. School types include four-year, two-year, graduate and proprietary schools. Historically, defaults on student loans made to graduate and four-year college students tend to occur less frequently than loans made to students attending two-year community colleges and proprietary schools. The DBRS school type default expectations are the highest for proprietary schools followed in descending order by two-year and four-year undergraduate institutions. When analyzing a pool of Consolidation loans, DBRS provides one default assumption that encompasses all school types, as issuers do not typically provide performance data for each school type separately. Rehabilitation Loans DBRS also analyzes pools with concentrations of Rehab loans. Rehab loans are FFELP loans that have previously defaulted, but the borrower has made a specified number of on-time payments (nine on-time payments within ten consecutive months) in order to clear the default and resume payments per the original terms of the loan. Upon rehabilitation, a loan is eligible for all the benefits under the Higher Education Act for which it would have been eligible had no default occurred, such as new federal aid. The only exception is that a Rehab loan is no longer eligible for borrower benefits. A Rehab loan carries the same government guaranty level (97% to 100%) and the same margins for calculating SAP payments as it did before going into default. 16
17 Rehab loans have a higher rate of default and default quicker than non-rehab loans. This increases the liquidity risk of a transaction because a more significant concentration of loans is expected to be nonperforming and the default timing curve is more front-loaded. Additionally, Rehab loans have historically demonstrated more variability regarding credit performance and are more negatively impacted by any adverse economic events. Rehab loans experience lower claim rejection rates than non-rehab loans, as the loans have already defaulted and have been through the required default review process. When analyzing a Rehab pool, DBRS uses specific default assumptions for such pool, regardless of the loan type or school type. Data Request and Developing a Base Case Default Expectation As part of the rating process, DBRS develops a cumulative default expectation for each FFELP pool. DBRS analyzes issuer-specific performance history and pool-specific characteristics provided by an issuer. DBRS expects issuers to provide historical default information, as described herein, that covers asset performance during various economic cycles. This assists DBRS in evaluating the impact that macroeconomic factors, such as unemployment levels, may have on collateral performance. STATIC POOL ANALYSIS DBRS uses a static pool approach to develop its expected cumulative default assumption for a transaction. In this analysis, a ratio of defaults to original loan balance is tracked on a monthly basis or quarterly basis for the static pool of assets as they amortize. The average of the periodic change in defaults for each vintage determines the issuer s overall average cumulative default rate at each period from origination. The year-over-year changes are also used to determine the issuer s historical default timing curve, which serves as a useful tool in anticipating the timing for defaults on the proposed pool. The historical default timing curve is also used to project cumulative defaults for more recent vintages that are still active. The weighted average of the realized and projected cumulative defaults for all vintages is used as the base case default proxy for the proposed pool. DBRS seeks to receive static pool data segregated by sub-pools consisting of each loan type and school type. DBRS uses this to determine a default estimate for each distinct sub-pool, and then uses this information to develop a weighted-average default expectation for the entire securitized pool based upon the relative contribution of each sub-pool. If the collateral composition of the proposed pool is similar to the collateral composition of previous vintages reflected in the static pool data, static pool analysis is an effective tool for establishing default expectations because, all else being equal, two pools of assets that have similar collateral composition during similar economic environments can be expected to have similar defaults over their lives. Based on the DBRS database of FFELP performance history, generic base case cumulative default rates determined via historic static pool analysis are shown in Figure 9. If issuer data is unavailable, limited or deemed unreliable, DBRS may use these generic default assumptions as a proxy for a proposed FFELP pool. Since FFELP loans are uniformly originated based on minimal underwriting criteria, and must be serviced within prescribed guidelines, historical default frequencies amongst different issuers are generally very similar. 17
18 Figure 9: Base Case Cumulative Default Rate Assumptions School Types Loan Type Four-Year Two-Year Proprietary Stafford 12% 30% 40% PLUS 3.25% 13% 13% Loan Type All School Types Consolidation 16% Rehab 45% SEASONING ADJUSTMENT DBRS may make certain adjustments to its default projections for a securitization pool based on loan seasoning. Loans in repayment may be given credit for seasoning by applying the remaining portion of the default curve to the pool. For example, if approximately 40% of defaults for a given loan type historically occur in the first year of repayment, and assuming that a proposed loan pool has one year of in repayment seasoning, approximately 60% of the default curve would be expected for the remaining life of the pool. Although default expectations for seasoning would typically reduce the default estimate on a FFELP securitization pool (considering the front-loaded nature of the relative default curve), the potential impact of loan seasoning on default estimates also depends on the pool amortization speed. Cash Flow Analysis In the following section, DBRS describes the manner in which it evaluates proposed credit enhancement levels to support each target rating. Cash flows are then examined and stressed in order to assess whether investors are protected against losses and to determine if there is sufficient credit enhancement available to pay obligations at each target rating when due. STRESS CASE DEFAULTS To assess whether there is an appropriate level of proposed credit enhancement to support a target rating, the base case default rate is stressed by applying certain multiples to such base case default rate. To achieve a given credit rating, a transaction would have to maintain credit enhancement in an amount sufficient to withstand the stressed multiple of default over the life of the transaction, as well as other cash flow stresses as described in this section. The multiples serve to protect the rated securities from much harsher and more stressful conditions than assumed within the base case cash flow scenario. The multiples in Figure 10 are representative of those that DBRS uses to assign ratings to FFELP ABS transactions and are designed to capture uncertainties and variables that may affect future transaction performance. Ranges are expected to encompass most outcomes of an asset correlation analysis performed by DBRS. Figure 10: Range of Multiples Utilized in the Rating of FFELP ABS Transactions 1 AAA AA A BBB BB Multiple 3.00x 2.25x 2.50x 2.00x 2.00x 1.75x 1.75x 1.50x 1.50x 1.25x 1. For Consolidation loan transactions, DBRS uses multiples that are approximately 0.25 higher due to higher historical default correlations for this loan type. For Rehab loans, DBRS uses a multiple of 1.65x for its AAA (sf) stress scenario and 1.55x for its AA (sf) scenario with multiples varying based on the projected default percentage. 18
19 In the determination of the multiples used in each transaction, DBRS generally starts at the midpoint of the prescribed multiple ranges for each rating class. DBRS considers various quantitative and qualitative factors and may adjust, up or down, from the midpoint based on its assessment of the transaction s perceived risks. The combination of the relevant factors ultimately results in the multiple used to determine the amount of loss coverage necessary to achieve each target rating. These factors include, but are not limited to: The absolute level of a proposed pool s base case default rate, The results of an operational risk assessment of the servicer, Macroeconomic conditions, Concentrations and The results of an asset correlation analysis. For example, for a transaction with a relatively high default expectation (such as is the case with a high concentration of proprietary or two-year school loans), DBRS, absent other factors, would generally adjust to a multiple that is at the lower end of the prescribed multiple range for a target rating. Conversely, for a transaction with relatively low default expectations, DBRS, absent other factors, would generally adjust to a multiple that is at the higher end of the prescribed multiple range for a target rating. A description of some of the above factors and the directional impact on the determination of the multiples within the prescribed ranges, when considering each factor in isolation, are discussed in the following sections. Operational Risk Assessment As mentioned, DBRS conducts an operational risk review of the servicer as part of the rating analysis. With regard to this factor, the multiple considers the potential for future operational risk. For companies with servicing operations that DBRS deems as less robust compared to other industry participants, the multiple may be on the higher end of the prescribed ranges. Conversely, a lower multiple may be used for servicers that demonstrate standards that exceed those deemed by DBRS to be typical for entities in the same sector. Adherence to ED servicing rules is required to receive guaranty payments, therefore a FFELP servicer s effectiveness is generally reflected in their historical default claim rejection rate. For example, a servicer with a low default claim rejection rate is deemed as being more effective at adhering to policies, procedures and standards, and generally has better operational risk than servicers with a higher rejection rate. Macroeconomic Conditions In determining the multiples, DBRS considers potential variability in future macroeconomic conditions. Macroeconomic conditions are considered with respect to the timeframe that the issuer s historical performance statistics cover and the degree of relevance of the historical performance data in the derivation of the expected loss rate. DBRS also considers macroeconomic conditions in terms of the presence of benign or recessionary environment over the period of the issuer s historical performance data and derivation of the expected default rate. Concentrations The degree to which a pool has concentrations, geographic or otherwise, can also impact a transaction s risk profile and may magnify the risk of default. DBRS assesses any pool concentration and determines whether such concentration would contribute to an adjustment of the default multiple. 19
20 DEFAULT TIMING Default timing is an important component of the DBRS cash flow analysis as it impacts the availability of excess spread to cover losses and other potential liquidity stresses. The default curve for FFELP loans reflects the underlying loan type. DBRS uses distinct default curves for Stafford, Consolidation, PLUS and Rehab loans. DBRS reviews an issuer s historical default experience to determine the expected shape of the default curve. DBRS may also develop and apply front-ended and back-ended timing curves. The curves are developed to evaluate scenarios whereby defaults materialize sooner or later than expected, as might be the case if the economy entered a recession shortly after a transaction closed or toward the tail end of the transaction s life. The impact of default timing stresses typically impact transactions differently under different scenarios. Front-loaded default scenarios typically add stress to the credit enhancement of the most senior securities in the structure. A front-loaded stress scenario also compounds liquidity risk, which is typically the highest in the beginning of a securitization, as many borrowers have not entered repayment or may be in grace, deferment or forbearance. Back-ended defaults add stress to subordinate bonds and may increase maturity risk, especially if there are delays with claim reimbursements by a loan guarantor. DBRS may assume the following default timing curves, as outlined in Figure 11, for each type of loan if an issuer does not provide adequate historical performance data. Figure 11: Default Timing Year Stafford PLUS Consolidation Rehab 1 40% 30% 25% 55% 2 25% 25% 20% 20% 3 20% 20% 20% 15% 4 10% 15% 15% 10% 5 5% 5% 10% 6 5% 10% Historically, the default curve for Stafford loans is steep and front-loaded with most Stafford loan defaults occurring in the first two years of repayment. Stafford defaults occur early in the loan lifecycle for several reasons. First, Stafford borrowers are often recent graduates with limited employment history and may experience initial delays in establishing a career. Additionally, some Stafford borrowers change their address upon graduation delaying the time it takes for servicers to initiate repayment. Finally, personal debt management is a new experience for some Stafford borrowers, who may not initially fully understand the consequences of defaulting on a FFELP loan. The default curve for PLUS loans is slightly flatter than Stafford loans. PLUS loans are made to students parents, who are more likely to be established, employed and have experience in managing their personal finances. The default curve for Consolidation loans is much flatter than the default curve for Stafford and PLUS loans. As discussed, loan consolidation permits the borrower to reduce monthly payments by extending the repayment period. Lower monthly payments reduce the burden of student loan debt during the initial years of repayment. The default curve for Rehab loans is the most front-loaded and steepest as these loans tend to re-default quickly and have a high recidivism rate. 20 Loss Severity Loss severity in FFELP securitizations is low due to the government s guarantee of at least 97% of principal and accrued and unpaid interest on defaulted loans. FFELP loans can lose their guarantee if they are improperly originated or serviced and the errors are not cured in accordance with ED guidelines. Consequently, the DBRS analysis includes an additional assumption that addresses the risk that a defaulted loan will be ineligible for the guarantee due to improper origination or servicing.
21 To arrive at collateral loss assumptions that stem from improper origination or servicing procedures, DBRS analyzes a servicer s historical net claim reject experience. This statistic captures the amount of defaulted loan claims that have been rejected by the guarantor due to non-curable servicing or origination errors. When the servicer net claim reject data is unavailable or insufficient, DBRS uses standard servicer loss rates derived from an analysis of data from multiple servicers and applies more conservative assumptions. Across FFELP loan servicers, net rejected claim losses have historically averaged less than 50 basis points. Consequently, the servicer loss rate assumptions are relatively small and spread within a tight band. DBRS base case servicer loss stress assumptions per rating category are presented in Figure 12. DBRS may adjust these assumptions up or down to reflect issuer specific historical data. Figure 12: Base Case Servicer Loss Stress Assumptions Rating Claim Rejection AAA 2.00% AA 1.75% A 1.25% BBB 0.75% BB 0.50% ADDITIONAL CASH FLOW ASSUMPTIONS Factors other than defaults and loss severities can impact cash flows to FFELP ABS transactions. Several complexities arise from uncertainty related to the timing of cash flows from the underlying assets. Liquidity risk in a FFELP securitization stems from cash flow uncertainty caused by changes in loan status, prepayment rates and yield curves. In addition, borrower benefits and reimbursement lags can impact timing and amount of cash available to pay security holders. Payment Lag for Defaulted Loans DBRS assumes a payment lag for defaulted loans as listed in Figure 13. According to ED regulations, servicers may file a claim for defaulted loans starting at 270 days past due and must file such claim no later than 90 days after a loan defaults. Student loan guarantors must pay reimbursement claims within 90 days. The DBRS claim rejection assumptions protect against the potential for delayed timing in the claim rejection process in addition to the inability of student loan guarantors to make claim payments due to insolvency. If a student loan guarantor does not make a payment due to a claim rejection, the loan will cease to benefit from SAP and interest subsidy payments until the claim issue is cured. If a student loan guarantor cannot make a payment due to insolvency, the ED will either pay the claim directly or reassign it to a new guarantor. Figure 13: Payment Lag for Guaranty Claim Reimbursements Rating AAA AA A BBB Guarantee Payment Lag 540 days 450 days 450 days 450 days 21
22 Interest and SAP Payment Lags Differences in interest payment dates may also create liquidity risk when quarterly SAP payments are made by the ED. The risk arises because note payments are made monthly and the receipt of any SAP payments is subject to a 45-day payment lag following the end of each quarter. Further, during periods of rising interest rates, the delay may result in circumstances where current interest due security holders exceeds SAP paid in the prior quarter. As an added liquidity stress, DBRS assumes subsidized interest and special allowance payments due from the ED are subject to a 60 day delay. Interest-Based Repayment Over the past few years, the Obama administration has worked to improve repayment options available to borrowers. Since 2009, borrowers have been able to enroll in Income-Based Repayment (IBR) to cap their student loan payments at 15% of their current discretionary income. To the extent an issuer can provide historical data showing the utilization rate of such program, DBRS may apply certain stresses to a transaction s cash flows. However, because an increase in IBR slows the principal amortization of a transaction, DBRS believes that IBR utilization would be captured in its slow prepayment scenario. While low amortization rates typically create more excess spread and credit enhancement overtime, a higherthan-expected IBR rate may negatively affect deal liquidity and reduce available funds. Basis Risk/Interest Rate Risk Interest rates on FFELP loans are linked to the SAP rate, which is paid for by ED. The SAP rate is set as a spread to certain indices. For loans originated prior to January 1, 2000, FFELP loans pay a quarterly SAP rate equal to the 91-day T-bill (average of the previous three months) plus a spread. For loans originated after January 1, 2000, FFELP loans typically pay a quarterly SAP rate equal to one-month LIBOR (average of the previous three months) plus a spread. Interest rate risk, or basis risk, occurs when the interest rate on the underlying loans adjusts differently from the interest rate on the notes. For example, assuming that a portion of the underlying loans is based on the 91-day T-bill rate and the FFELP ABS notes are based on one-month LIBOR, if the two indices were to diverge, excess spread would decrease. DBRS simulates the effect of an interest rate mismatch by performing stressed sensitivity analyses to determine if there will be sufficient excess spread to cover losses. Based on the historical relationship between the indices pertaining to the assets and liabilities of a transaction, DBRS applies certain stressed spreads at each rating level. For example, in its AAA cash flow scenarios, DBRS assumes that the 91-day T-bill rate is equal to one-month LIBOR minus 162 basis points. Additionally, to account for the impact of large basis shocks, DBRS applies a spike of one-month LIBOR minus 424 basis points versus the 91-day T-bill rate. This spike is generally applied at periods in the cash flows exhibiting the highest defaults and liquidity risk and on a periodic basis (approximately every six years to eight years) with a three-month duration. Interest risk in the form of rate reset risk may occur due to different rate setting calculations for each interest period. As mentioned, the collateral rate is based on its underlying daily index (i.e., one-month LIBOR) averaged over the previous three-month period, while note funding costs are typically paid monthly and is fixed on a specific date. This timing difference exposes the transaction to potential spread compression in a rising rate environment. DBRS quantifies the effect of rate reset risk by applying a forward interest rate curve that simulates stress in an upward interest rate environment. Transaction cash flows are further tested by applying periodic sharp increases to the index that the note rate is based on. For example, if the transaction s note rate is floating based on one-month LIBOR, DBRS stresses AAA cash flows by increasing the coupon by 236 basis points for two consecutive payment periods. This increase is applied at points in the cash flows exhibiting the highest defaults and liquidity risk and on a periodic basis (approximately every six years to eight years). 22 In addition to evaluating upward interest rate stresses in its cash flow analysis, DBRS assumes certain downward interest rate environments for each rating level. DBRS s interest rate stresses (upward and downward) for each transaction are based on its Unified Interest Rate Model for U.S. Federal Family Education Loan Program Securitizations.
23 Deferment and Forbearance The percentage and length of time that student loans are in deferment and forbearance play key roles in determining liquidity risk. DBRS requests FFELP loan ABS issuers to provide historical deferment and forbearance data that includes utilization rates and lengths of time in each status. For issuers who do not provide adequate historical deferment or forbearance data, DBRS assumes the base case deferment and forbearance assumptions in Figure 14. Figure 14: Stress Case Deferment and Forbearance Assumptions Deferment AAA AA A BBB Non-Consolidation 35% 30% 28% 25% Consolidation 30% 25% 20% 15% Forbearance AAA AA A BBB Non-Consolidation 35% 30% 25% 20% Consolidation 30% 25% 20% 15% DBRS assumes that loans remain in deferment and forbearance for 30 months. Loans already in deferment or forbearance as of the cut-off date are assumed to remain in these states. 7 Loans that are in their in school or grace periods as of the cut-off date are assumed to enter into deferment or forbearance immediately prior to entering active repayment. DBRS assumes that loans already in active repayment will immediately enter deferment or forbearance. DBRS runs deferments and forbearances concurrently in its standard stress scenarios and runs deferments and forbearances consecutively in its maturity stress scenario. On all eligible loans, interest is assumed to be capitalized and no payments are made on such loans during the assumed deferment and forbearance periods. Although the DBRS deferment and forbearance stresses increase liquidity risk earlier in the life of a transaction, it may benefit a transaction as interest is capitalized on the loan balance (excluding subsidized loans). This may have the effect of creating additional credit enhancement due to an increasing principal balance, as well as increased excess spread. To account for this, DBRS runs a low deferment and forbearance scenario at each rating category where deferments and forbearances are assumed to be zero, although loans already in deferment or forbearance as of the cut-off date remain in such states. DBRS evaluates each transaction on a case-by-case basis and may adjust its base case deferment and forbearance assumptions up or down based on a number of factors, such as loan type and seasoning. Prepayments DBRS uses a combined voluntary and involuntary prepayment assumption based primarily on loan type. Prepayments most frequently occur when: (1) a borrower defaults (involuntary prepayment) resulting in principal reimbursement from a loan guarantor or (2) a borrower combines individual loans into one FFELP Consolidation loan (voluntary prepayment). Both types shorten collateral average life and reduce excess spread with the difference being that voluntary prepays do not result in any losses to the trust. Other reasons for voluntary prepayments include borrowers paying off their loans completely, borrowers refinancing their loans with other forms of personal debt or servicers purchasing defaulted loans out of the securitization trust when guarantors reject claims. 7. The percentage of loans that are already in deferment or forbearance as of the cut-off date is reflected in Figure
24 From a liquidity perspective, high prepayments reduce trust income over the remaining life of the transaction diminishing excess spread, which is used as a form of credit enhancement. The prepayment impact is most severe when parity falls below 100% and achievement of overcollateralization is largely dependent on excess spread. DBRS evaluates issuer-specific historical prepayment speed data to derive prepayment rate assumptions. If issuer-specific data is limited, DBRS may utilize proxy data. For its maturity stress scenario, DBRS assumes a prepayment speed of zero. Borrower Benefits Borrower benefits usually take the form of payment reductions offered by lenders to borrowers that pay on time or make payments via direct debit. The most common type of borrower benefit program offered is the Automated Clearing House, with most issuers offering interest rate reductions of at least 0.25% for using an electronic payment system. Borrower benefit programs may also include interest rate reductions or principal rebates after a certain number of consecutive on-time payments. While borrower benefits may result in fewer delinquencies, significant utilization can decrease collateral yield and lower excess spread. To stress borrower benefits on a transaction s cash flow, DBRS first examines program information including qualification requirements and whether benefits are terminable at will by the lender. DBRS then develops expected borrower utilization rates based on the issuer s historical experience and applies stress multiples at different ratings categories in its cash flow analysis. An increasing number of borrowers become disqualified from receiving benefits as loans become more seasoned (mainly due to delinquencies, deferments and forbearances), so DBRS applies a lower utilization rate for on-time interest rate reduction programs that require a higher number of consecutive payments. Servicing Fees DBRS assumes a servicing fee based on the servicing agreement in each transaction. The servicing fee is typically a set amount per loan in the trust or percentage of the outstanding principal balance of the pool. If the terms of the servicing agreement call for the servicing fee to be increased due to inflation or other for other reasons, DBRS assumes the maximum fee in the transaction s cash flow scenarios. Legal Final Maturity DBRS stresses a securitization s cash flows to determine if the bonds will be paid down by their legal final maturity date. In modeling such cash flows, DBRS assumes that a higher-than-expected number of loans go into deferment and forbearance and that deferments and forbearances occur consecutively. Additionally, prepayments and defaults are assumed to be zero. 24
25 Legal Structure and Opinions Similar to other ABS asset classes, a key feature of FFELP ABS is that the underlying loans are legally isolated from the seller 8 and its creditors, allowing investors to rely on the creditworthiness of the assets and to discount the risk that principal and interest payments will be reduced or delayed by a bankruptcy proceeding. The most common legal structure used to achieve bankruptcy remoteness is a legal true sale where the seller transfers its right, title and interest in the assets to a bankruptcy remote special purpose vehicle (SPV). DBRS expects that true sale and non-consolidation opinions supporting such structure are delivered by the securitization s legal counsel. The true sale opinion concludes that the securitization constitutes a true sale that effectively transfers the seller s right, title and interest in the assets to the SPV and that the assets will not be considered part of the estate of the seller if the seller declares bankruptcy. This opinion also concludes that the creditors of the seller could not look to the assets to satisfy a claim against the seller. The non-consolidation opinion states that, in the event of a bankruptcy of the seller, the SPV and the seller will not be treated as the same entity and consolidated for bankruptcy purposes. In addition to the matters described above, all student loan secured transactions are expected to meet the DBRS Legal Criteria for U.S. Structured Finance Transactions methodology. 8. For purposes of this section, the term seller refers to the party that securitizes the pool of the student loans and sells such loans to the SPV (or issuer). 25
26 Copyright 2014, DBRS Limited, DBRS, Inc. and DBRS Ratings Limited (collectively, DBRS). All rights reserved. The information upon which DBRS ratings and reports are based is obtained by DBRS from sources DBRS believes to be accurate and reliable. DBRS does not audit the information it receives in connection with the rating process, and it does not and cannot independently verify that information in every instance. The extent of any factual investigation or independent verification depends on facts and circumstances. DBRS ratings, reports and any other information provided by DBRS are provided as is and without representation or warranty of any kind. DBRS hereby disclaims any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, timeliness, completeness, merchantability, fitness for any particular purpose or non-infringement of any of such information. In no event shall DBRS or its directors, officers, employees, independent contractors, agents and representatives (collectively, DBRS Representatives) be liable (1) for any inaccuracy, delay, loss of data, interruption in service, error or omission or for any damages resulting therefrom, or (2) for any direct, indirect, incidental, special, compensatory or consequential damages arising from any use of ratings and rating reports or arising from any error (negligent or otherwise) or other circumstance or contingency within or outside the control of DBRS or any DBRS Representative, in connection with or related to obtaining, collecting, compiling, analyzing, interpreting, communicating, publishing or delivering any such information. Ratings and other opinions issued by DBRS are, and must be construed solely as, statements of opinion and not statements of fact as to credit worthiness or recommendations to purchase, sell or hold any securities. A report providing a DBRS rating is neither a prospectus nor a substitute for the information assembled, verified and presented to investors by the issuer and its agents in connection with the sale of the securities. DBRS receives compensation for its rating activities from issuers, insurers, guarantors and/or underwriters of debt securities for assigning ratings and from subscribers to its website. DBRS is not responsible for the content or operation of third party websites accessed through hypertext or other computer links and DBRS shall have no liability to any person or entity for the use of such third party websites. This publication may not be reproduced, retransmitted or distributed in any form without the prior written consent of DBRS. ALL DBRS RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO DISCLAIMERS AND CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. PLEASE READ THESE DISCLAIMERS AND LIMITATIONS AT ADDITIONAL INFORMATION REGARDING DBRS RATINGS, INCLUDING DEFINITIONS, POLICIES AND METHODOLOGIES, ARE AVAILABLE ON
27 Corporate Headquarters DBRS Tower 181 University Avenue Suite 700 Toronto, ON M5H 3M7 TEL
Methodology. Rating U.S. FFELP Student Loan Transactions. october 2006
Methodology Rating U.S. FFELP Student Loan Transactions october 2006 Operational Risk Review section updated in methodology entitled Operational Risk Assessment for U.S. ABS Servicers in June 2011 CONTACT
Structured Finance. College Loan Corp. Trust I, Series 2004-1. Asset-Backed Presale Report. Expected Ratings
Asset-Backed Presale Report College Loan Corp. Trust I, Series 2004-1 Expected Ratings $293,000,000 Class A-1 Student Loan Asset-Backed Senior Notes... AAA $307,000,000 Class A-2 Student Loan Asset-Backed
F INANCIAL S TATEMENTS. Brazos Student Finance Corporation Year Ended June 30, 2014 With Independent Auditors Report
F INANCIAL S TATEMENTS Brazos Student Finance Corporation Year Ended June 30, 2014 With Independent Auditors Report Financial Statements Year Ended June 30, 2014 Contents Independent Auditors Report...1
Student Loans Terms To Know
Student Loans Terms To Know Borrower The borrower in most cases is the student. The loan is made in the borrower s name and he/she is responsible for paying back the loan(s) including principal plus any
Direct Loan Exit Counseling
Direct Loan Exit Counseling Understanding your student loan rights and responsibilities is critical to successful repayment! This guide will help you understand Federal Stafford Loans and Direct Loans.
Navient FFELP Student Loan Repayment Data Package. October 8, 2015
Navient FFELP Student Loan Repayment Data Package October 8, 2015 Forward-Looking Statements The following information is current as of October 7, 2015 (unless otherwise noted). This presentation contains
Moody s Proposes to Update Its Approach to Rating Securities Backed by FFELP Student Loans
JANUARY 18, 2012 ASSET-BACKED SECURITIES REQUEST FOR COMMENT Moody s Proposes to Update Its Approach to Rating Securities Backed by FFELP Student Loans Analyst Contacts: SAN FRANCISCO Stephanie Fustar
William D. Ford Federal Direct Loan Program Direct Subsidized Loan and Direct Unsubsidized Loan Borrower s Rights and Responsibilities Statement
Important Notice: This Borrower s Rights and Responsibilities Statement provides additional information about the terms and conditions of the loans you receive under the accompanying Master Promissory
SLM CORPORATION. Overview of FFELP and FFELP ABS Transactions
SLM CORPORATION Overview of FFELP and FFELP ABS Transactions JUNE 18, 2012 Forward-Looking Statements; Non-GAAP Financial Measures The following information is current as of June 18, 2012 (unless otherwise
William D. Ford Federal Direct Loan Program Direct Subsidized Loan and Direct Unsubsidized Loan Borrower s Rights and Responsibilities Statement
Important Notice: This Borrower s Rights and Responsibilities Statement provides additional information about the terms and conditions of the loans you receive under the accompanying Master Promissory
William D. Ford Federal Direct Loan Program Direct Subsidized Loan and Direct Unsubsidized Loan Borrower s Rights and Responsibilities Statement
Important Notice: This Borrower s Rights and Responsibilities Statement provides additional information about the terms and conditions of the loans you receive under the accompanying Master Promissory
Methodology. Rating U.S. Structured Finance Transactions
Methodology Rating U.S. Structured Finance Transactions december 2014 CONTACT INFORMATION Chris D Onofrio Senior Vice President, U.S. ABS Global Structured Finance +1 212-806-3284 [email protected] Chuck
Student Loans A comprehensive look at student aid and the various repayment options
Student Loans A comprehensive look at student aid and the various repayment options How Much Does College Cost? According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the US Department of Labor, the average cost
Types of student loans.
Types of student loans. Events like losing a job, getting sick and having financial trouble can create many challenges. In such situations, before you borrow, make sure you know the basic types of student
Glossary Financial Aid & Student Loan Terms
Glossary Financial Aid & Student Loan Terms A Academic year A period of time schools use to measure a quantity of study. For example, a school s academic year may consist of a fall and spring semester,
GAO STUDENT LOAN PROGRAMS. As Federal Costs of Loan Consolidation Rise, Other Options Should Be Examined. Report to Congressional Requesters
GAO United States General Accounting Office Report to Congressional Requesters October 2003 STUDENT LOAN PROGRAMS As Federal Costs of Loan Consolidation Rise, Other Options Should Be Examined GAO-04-101
Student Loans Bankruptcy and Student Loans: NUTS & BOLTS The Options (pressing your plea Prov 6:1-5) Federal loan
Student Loans Bankruptcy and Student Loans: Must prove undue hardship Must initiate an adversary hearing, a separate lawsuit within the bankruptcy where the undue hardship is illustrated. Most can t afford
SoFi Professional Loan Program 2015-C LLC
Presale Report SoFi Professional Analysts Jon Riber +1 212 806 3250 [email protected] Eric Rapp +1 212 806 3248 [email protected] Stephanie Whited +1 212 806 3948 [email protected] Ratings Debt Amount Coupon
Student Loan Backed Reporting Mixed Deal - FFELP Quarterly Distribution Report. Notes/Bonds - Group I (FFELP) Funds and Accounts
Student Loan Backed Reporting Mixed Deal FFELP Quarterly Distribution Report Issuer South Texas Higher Education Authority Deal Name 20131 Distribution D 4/1/2015 Collection Per Ending 02/28/15 Contact
Investor Presentation: Pricing of MRU s Private Student Loan. July 7, 2008 NASDAQ: UNCL
Investor Presentation: Pricing of MRU s Private Student Loan Securitization July 7, 2008 NASDAQ: UNCL Disclaimer and Disclosure Statement 1 Except for historical information contained herein, this presentation
FDLP and FFELP Fact Sheet Provided by the National Council of Higher Education Loan Programs (NCHELP) Program Regulations Committee
STAFFORD AND PLUS LOANS Interest Rate 1. [34 CFR 685.202; HEA 428(d)] [34 CFR 682.202; HEA 428(d); 438(g)] The interest rate is fixed at 6.8% for Stafford loans first disbursed on or after July 1, 2006,
Federal Student Financial Aid: 2011 National Profile of Programs in Title IV of the Higher Education Act
Federal Student Financial Aid: 2011 National Profile of Programs in Title IV of the Higher Education Act Overview...2 The Federal Pell Grant Program...5 The Federal Supplemental Educational Opportunity
fyi Federal loans: The smart way to borrow
Federal loans: The smart way to borrow If you don t receive enough free money to pay for college and you aren t able to cover your costs with savings or other resources, consider federal student loans.
Student loan terms to know
Definition of words related to federal student loans and the Nelnet payment process. Accrue The act of interest accumulating on the borrower s principle balance. Aggregate Loan Limit The maximum total
IMPORTANT NOTICE FOR ALL DEAL LOANS APPROVED
IMPORTANT NOTICE FOR ALL DEAL LOANS APPROVED Bank of North Dakota (BND) is required to disclose and collect specific documents from each borrower prior to disbursing the DEAL loan funds to the school.
NorthStar Education Finance, Inc. Student Loan Asset-Backed Notes, FFEL Trust Monthly Servicing Report Report Date: July 25, 2014.
Asset Coverage Portfolio Principal Balance: Accrued Interest: Special Allowance (SAP) and Interest Subsidy payments (ISP) receivable Total Portfolio Student Loan Portfolio 5/31/2014 Activity 6/30/2014
William D. Ford Federal Direct Loan Program Direct PLUS Loan Borrower s Rights and Responsibilities Statement
Important Notice: This Borrower s Rights and Responsibilities Statement provides additional information about the terms and conditions of the loans you receive under the accompanying Federal Direct PLUS
2015 United Student Aid Funds, Inc. All rights reserved. 1
Federal Direct Loan Repayment Relief Presented by USA Funds University Agenda Overview. Repayment. Deferment. Forbearance. Discharge and Forgiveness. Federal Consolidation Loans. Federal Direct Loans Repayment
NorthStar Education Finance, Inc. Student Loan Asset-Backed Notes, FFEL Trust Monthly Servicing Report Report Date: November 25, 2014.
Asset Coverage Portfolio Principal Balance: Accrued Interest: Special Allowance (SAP) and Interest Subsidy payments (ISP) receivable Total Portfolio Student Loan Portfolio 9/30/2014 Activity 10/31/2014
EXIT COUNSELING GUIDE FOR BORROWERS OF DIRECT LOANS AND FEDERAL FAMILY EDUCATION PROGRAM LOANS
EXIT COUNSELING GUIDE FOR BORROWERS OF DIRECT LOANS AND FEDERAL FAMILY EDUCATION PROGRAM LOANS U.S. Department of Education Arne Duncan Secretary Federal Student Aid James W. Runcie Chief Operating Officer
Credit Acceptance Auto Loan Trust 2013-2
Presale Report Analysts Lain Gutierrez +1.212.806.3922 [email protected] Chris O Connell +1.212.806.3253 [email protected] Credit Acceptance Auto Rating Debt Class Size Coupon Rating Rating Action Class
CRS Report for Congress
Order Code RL30655 CRS Report for Congress Received through the CRS Web Federal Student Loans: Terms and Conditions for Borrowers Updated June 29, 2005 Adam Stoll Specialist in Social Legislation Domestic
OKLAHOMA STUDENT LOAN AUTHORITY
Audited Financial Statements OKLAHOMA STUDENT LOAN AUTHORITY June 30, 2011 and 2010 June 30, 2011 and 2010 FINANCIAL STATEMENTS Independent Auditors Report... 1 Management s Discussion and Analysis...
LPFA Taxable Student Loan Backed Bonds Series 2011A - FFELP 2016 Annual Disclosure Report to Investors (All Information is as of 03/31/2016)
LPFA Taxable Student Loan Backed Bonds Series 2011A - FFELP 2016 Annual Disclosure Report to Investors (All Information is as of 03/31/2016) CHARACTERISTICS OF THE FINANCED STUDENT LOANS As of March 31,
William D. Ford Federal Direct Loan Program Direct PLUS Loans Borrower s Rights and Responsibilities Statement
William D. Ford Federal Direct Loan Program Direct PLUS Loans Borrower s Rights and Responsibilities Statement Important Notice: This Borrower s Rights and Responsibilities Statement provides additional
DIRECT CONSOLIDATION LOAN GUIDE for SCHOOLS
DIRECT CONSOLIDATION LOAN GUIDE for SCHOOLS Since January 1995, the U.S. Department of Education has been consolidating the federal education loans of borrowers in repayment and borrowers in default. The
STUDENT LOAN FORGIVENESS AND REPAYMENT: WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW
STUDENT LOAN FORGIVENESS AND REPAYMENT: WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW From here to repayment IUPUI updates your enrollment status. Your grace period begins. Your student loan servicer sends you details about
FEDERAL STUDENT LOANS. Education Could Do More to Help Ensure Borrowers Are Aware of Repayment and Forgiveness Options
United States Government Accountability Office Report to Congressional Requesters August 2015 FEDERAL STUDENT LOANS Education Could Do More to Help Ensure Borrowers Are Aware of Repayment and Forgiveness
FINANCIAL AID OFFICE OF FINANCIAL AID FINANCIAL AID POLICIES AND PROCEDURES ELIGIBILITY REQUIREMENTS FOR FINANCIAL AID APPEALS PROCESS
FINANCIAL AID OFFICE OF FINANCIAL AID FINANCIAL AID POLICIES AND PROCEDURES ELIGIBILITY REQUIREMENTS FOR FINANCIAL AID APPEALS PROCESS COSTS OF ATTENDANCE AND BUDGETS CREDIT BALANCES ACADEMIC REQUIREMENTS
Navient Student Loan Trust 2016-1
Presale: Navient Student Loan Trust 2016-1 Primary Credit Analyst: Mark W O'Neil, New York (1) 212-438-2617; mark.o'[email protected] Table Of Contents $1.11 Billion Student Loan-Backed Notes Series
Federal Stafford Loan Counseling Checklist
Student s Name (Please Print) Social Security Number You are receiving a Federal Stafford loan to help you cover the costs of your education. You must repay this loan. Before you receive your Stafford
Types of Title IV Loans - Loan Modification Options
Loans 101: Understanding the Basics Objectives 1 2 3 4 The role of loans in financial aid Overview of the Title IV Loan Program Repayment options Counseling resources The Role of Student Loans in Financial
Financial Aid Package
Financial Aid Package Understanding Your Financial Aid Graduate Students TABLE OF CONTENTS. Understanding Financial Aid for Graduate Students Page 1. William D. Ford Federal Direct Unsubsidized Loan Page
STATE BOARD OF REGENTS OF THE STATE OF UTAH STUDENT LOAN PURCHASE PROGRAM An Enterprise Fund of the State of Utah
An Enterprise Fund of the State of Utah Financial Statements AN ENTERPRISE FUND OF THE STATE OF UTAH FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED DECEMBER 31, 2011 TABLE OF CONTENTS Page MANAGEMENT S REPORT 1 FINANCIAL STATEMENTS:
Navient Student Loan Trust 2016-3
Presale: Navient Student Loan Trust 2016-3 Primary Credit Analyst: Ronald G Burt, New York (1) 212-438-4011; [email protected] Table Of Contents $761.0 Million Student Loan-Backed Notes Series 2016-3
How To Get A Loan From A College
STUDENT LOANS: AFTER YOU BORROW Student Loan Basics Nearly Everyone CAN Borrow, however: Loans have to be repaid! Borrow only what you need!! Interest What you are charged for using someone else s money
STUDENT LOAN REPAYMENT STRATEGIES
STUDENT LOAN REPAYMENT STRATEGIES FOR GRADUATE STUDENTS November 9, 2009 Updated: 11/04/2009 The information contained in this presentation is not comprehensive, is subject to constant change, and therefore
STATE BOARD OF REGENTS OF THE STATE OF UTAH STUDENT LOAN PURCHASE PROGRAM An Enterprise Fund of the State of Utah
An Enterprise Fund of the State of Utah Financial Statements AN ENTERPRISE FUND OF THE STATE OF UTAH FOR THE NINE MONTHS ENDED MARCH 31, 2011 TABLE OF CONTENTS Page MANAGEMENT S REPORT 1 FINANCIAL STATEMENTS:
StudentChoice. Student loans are an integral part of financing a college education. Educate yourself, and borrow wisely.
StudentChoice Student loans are an integral part of financing a college education. Educate yourself, and borrow wisely. 2 2 What are my student loan options? Federal Student Loans A federal student loan
How To Write A Federal Consolidation Loan
Federal Family Education Loan Program (FFELP) Federal Consolidation Loan Application and Promissory Note Guarantor, Program, or Lender Identification OMB No. 1845-0036 Form approved Exp. date 10/31/2006
Widener University School of Law. Exit Interview Counseling Presentation Managing your student loan repayment
Widener University School of Law Exit Interview Counseling Presentation Managing your student loan repayment Types Of Education Debt Three Types Federal Loans Stafford Subsidized/Unsubsidized Federal Direct
EXIT COUNSELING GUIDE FOR BORROWERS OF DIRECT LOANS AND FEDERAL FAMILY EDUCATION PROGRAM LOANS
EXIT COUNSELING GUIDE FOR BORROWERS OF DIRECT LOANS AND FEDERAL FAMILY EDUCATION PROGRAM LOANS U.S. Department of Education Arne Duncan Secretary Federal Student Aid James W. Runcie Chief Operating Officer
ALASKA STUDENT LOAN CORPORATION (a Component Unit of the State of Alaska) Management s Discussion and Analysis and Financial Statements
Management s Discussion and Analysis and Financial Statements June 30, 2012 and 2011 Together with Independent Auditors Report June 30, 2012 and 2011 Table of Contents Pages Management s Discussion and
Methodology. U.S. Credit Card Asset-Backed Securities
Methodology U.S. Credit Card Asset-Backed Securities february 2014 CONTACT INFORMATION U.S. STRUCTURED FINANCE Chris O Connell Senior Vice President Tel. +1 212 806 3253 [email protected] Eric Rapp Senior
Prospectus Supplement to Prospectus dated June 28, 2007
Prospectus Supplement to Prospectus dated June 28, 2007 $1,221,700,000 Student Loan-Backed Notes, Series 2007-A Chase Education Loan Trust 2007-A Issuing Entity Collegiate Funding of Delaware, L.L.C. Depositor
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY OF ANTIGUA COLLEGE OF MEDICINE APPROVED TO PARTICIPATE IN WILLIAM D FORD DIRECT LOAN PROGRAM APPROVAL DATE : 10/15/15
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY OF ANTIGUA COLLEGE OF MEDICINE APPROVED TO PARTICIPATE IN WILLIAM D FORD DIRECT LOAN PROGRAM APPROVAL DATE : 10/15/15 Disclaimer 2 This presentation highlights the basics of Title IV
Loan Counseling Presentation
Loan Counseling Presentation Financing Options Federal Stafford Loans In Student s name Subsidized Unsubsidized Federal Parent Loans for Undergraduate Students (PLUS) In Parent s name Maximum Annual Loan
866.232.3314. Frequently Asked Questions about Student Loans
Frequently Asked Questions about Student Loans What are private student loans? Private student loans are meant to help students fill the funding gaps that federal aid can leave behind. Private loans should
Private Loan Guide. Apply for free, federal and state financial aid programs:
Private Loan Guide Private loan basics Private student loans are non-federal loans. You should only borrow private loans to fund your education as a last resort. Do all of the following before you consider
EXIT COUNSELING GUIDE
EXIT COUNSELING GUIDE For Federal Student Loan Borrowers Contents Intro 1 Exit Counseling Federal Student Loan Programs Getting Started 1 Types of Federal Student Loans Loan Terminology Repaying Your
The Ohio Centric Student Loan Program Program Manual Program Terms and Conditions. The Ohio Centric Student Loan Program Program Manual
The Ohio Centric Student Loan Program Amended as of March 31, 2007 Program Background The Ohio Centric Student Loan Program ( Centric or the Program ) was created in 2001 by action of the Ohio Legislature.
ENTRANCE COUNSELING GUIDE
ENTRANCE COUNSELING GUIDE For Direct Loan Borrowers Contents Direct Loan Types 1 Borrow Wisely 2 Borrow Direct Subsidized Loans and Direct Unsubsidized Loans First 2 You Must Repay Your Loans 3 Use of
