Optioneering Newsletter
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1 Optioneering Newsletter August 28, 2016 The Dow Monthly No new record high this week, but there s no sign of a top. Last month s close above the 2015 high is solid evidence that the trend is up and the up move could go much further.
2 The first profit opportunity we will consider this week is in SPXL. SPXL is the Direxion S&P 500 3X Bull ETF. SPXL seeks to yield results that correspond to three times the daily performance of the S&P 500. SPXL Monthly The monthly chart shows that SPXL was in a very strong bull trend from late 2011 until last year s high. After that, SPXL had a deep pullback, a strong rally, a deeper pullback, and another very strong rally. Last month s close above the 2015 high suggests that SPXL could still be in the early stage of a big bull move.
3 SPXL Daily The daily chart shows that SPXL has been very bullish since the June low. This week s dip back to the Mid-Line of the Keltner channel gives us a new buying opportunity. SPXL is a leveraged ETF. While leveraged ETFs contain more risk, they usually possess higher premiums as a result. We suggest taking advantage of the high premiums offered by initiating option debit spreads. Traders who want a more leveraged approach could consider buying SPXL calls. SPXL has options expiring in September, October, November, January 2017, and January 2018.
4 Buy to Open SPXL October 21 st expiration 80-strike Call Sell to Open SPXL October 21 st expiration 90-strike Call We can see from the Call Option Spread Analysis Calculator that if the SPXL ETF price declines by -7.5%, stays where it is, or increases in price when the options expire, the spread will make a 25% or $200 profit. The next profit opportunity we will review is in AYI, or Acuity Brands, Inc. Acuity is one of the world s leading providers of indoor and outdoor lighting and energy management solutions.
5 AYI Monthly The monthly chart shows that AYI has been in a very strong bull trend since 2011.
6 AYI Daily The daily chart for AYI has a bullish pattern of higher highs and higher lows since the February low. Every pause or pullback has been followed by a rally to a new all-time high. The current pause gives us a new buying opportunity. We are going to review a Call Debit Spread for AYI. Traders who want a more leveraged approach could consider buying AYI calls. AYI has options expiring in September, October, November, and February.
7 Buy to Open AYI November 18 th 240-Strike Call Sell to Open AYI November 18 th 250-Strike Call We can see from the Call Option Spread Analysis Calculator that if the AYI stock price declines by -7.5%, stays where it is, or increases in price when the options expire, the spread will make a 29% or $225 profit. The next profit opportunity we will review is in COHR, or Coherent, Inc. Coherent is one of the world's leading suppliers of laser and photonicsbased solutions to a broad set of commercial and scientific research customers.
8 COHR Monthly The monthly chart shows that the Coherent stock price has been going straight up since last year s low.
9 COHR Daily As usual, the daily looks a little choppier than the monthly chart. The longer time frame (the monthly) tends to smooth out choppier short-term trading. Despite the choppier chart picture, the daily chart for COHR has a clear pattern of higher highs and higher lows. The pullback to the Mid-Line of the Keltner Channel is a buying opportunity. We are going to review a Call Debit Spread for COHR. Traders who want to employ a more leveraged approach can buy COHR calls. COHR has options expiring in September, October, November, and February.
10 Buy to Open COHR November 18 th 90-strike Call Sell to Open COHR November 18 th 100-strike Call We can see from the Call Option Spread Analysis Calculator that if the COHR stock price declines by -5%, stays where it is, or increases at all when the options expire, the spread will make a 26.6%, or $210 profit. If the COHR stock price is down -7.5% when the options expire, the spread will make 21.8% or $172. The last profit opportunity we will review is in ICUI, or ICUI Medical, Inc. ICUI Medical is a California-based company with global operations that develops, manufactures, and sells medical technologies used in vascular therapy, oncology, and critical care applications.
11 ICUI Monthly After a normal but deep 3-wave pullback from last year s high, ICUI has been very strong this year. ICUI hit a new all-time high this month. New record highs can have very bullish implications.
12 ICUI Daily The daily chart for ICUI has a nice bullish pattern of higher highs and higher lows. The current pullback is expected to yield to a further advance. We are going to review a Call Debit Spread for ICUI. Traders who want to employ a more leveraged approach can buy ICUI calls. ICUI has options expiring in September, October, November, and February.
13 Buy to Open ICUI October 21 st expiration 110-Strike Call Sell to Open ICUI October 21 st expiration 120-Strike Call We can see from the Call Option Spread Analysis Calculator that if the ICUI stock price is down -2.5%, stays where it is now, or increases in price when the options expire, the spread will make 28.2% or $220. If ICUI is down -5% when the options expire, the spread will make 18.8% or $146. If the ICUI stock price is down -7.5% when the options expire, the spread will lose -21.5% or -$168. EARNINGS SEASON: There are four Earnings Seasons a year. The seasons begin in January, April, July, and October and they each last about two months. The earnings reports can have an impact on the stock price. We don t know if the impact is going to be positive or negative (or nothing at all). It s up to you to decide if you want to be in a trade when the earnings report is announced. Here s a link for a page that can help you keep track of the report dates:
14 Note: Profit performance displayed in this newsletter does not include transaction costs. This newsletter includes some trading ideas following Chuck Hughes trading strategies along with educational information. For a complete listing of Chuck s exact trades, including specific entries and exits and real time Portfolio tracking, please call Brad at or
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