WHAT IS THE NEXT BIG THING IN YOUTH TRAVEL?
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1 WHAT IS THE NEXT BIG THING IN YOUTH TRAVEL? Samuel Vetrak StudentMarketing, Ltd.
2 2 PRESENTATIONOUTLINE Market features Market overview Drivers & trends NEXT BIG THING
3 3 MARKETRESEARCH Market research can reveal answers crucial for the future growth of any enterprise. Good marketing decision guided by market research leads to 25% - 50% increase in revenues within 3 years.* *Source: D. V. L. Smith, J. H. Fletcher: The Art & Science of Interpreting Market Research Evidence
4 YOUTHTRAVELMARKET Fast facts 4 Market size: 196 million trips Market value: US$173 billion Target group worldwide: 1.8 billion Average spending per trip: US$1,000 - US$6,000 Average lenght of trip: 10 to 53 days Number of associations: 300 Number of businesses involved: 40,000 Number of industry events: 150 pa Source: UNWTO, 2012; Youth Travel Matters, 2008; UN Population Division, 2011; StudentMarketing, 2011
5 YOUTHTRAVELMARKET Industry value 5 Source: UNWTO, ; Youth Travel Matters, 2008;
6 YOUTHTRAVELMARKET Global tourism vs youth travel 6 Two-way relationship Global tourism is a framework in which youth travel exists Youth traveller of today is the global tourist of the future US$40,000 US$120,000 Estimated long-life budget Youth travel currently accounts for 20% of the global market and is expected to be 25%. Source: Youth Travel Matters, 2008, StudentMarketing, 2012
7 YOUTHTRAVELMARKET Industry scheme 7 Youth travel YAST organisations Service providers Young travellers Programme providers YAST agencies Global travel Governments Mainstream brands Source: StudentMarketing, 2012
8 YOUTHTRAVELMARKET Industry performance Youth Travel 196 million arrivals Source: UNWTO, ; Youth Travel Matters, 2008
9 YOUTHTRAVELMARKET Purpose of travel 9 Purpose of the last main trip Relax and fun 28% Explore 34% VFR 17% Study abroad 9% Work abroad 7% Volunteer 3% Language course 2% Source: WYSE Travel Confederation Independent Traveller Survey, 2007
10 YOUTHTRAVELMARKET Population prospects (15-30 years) 10 billion 1,2 1 0,8 0,6 0,4 Africa Europa Northern America Asia Latin America and the Caribbean Oceania 0, Source: UN Population Division Prospects, 2011
11 THENEXTBIGTHING Next big thing in youth travel? 11 PROGRESSIVE GROWTH
12 THENEXTBIGTHING Next big thing in youth travel? million arrivals 196 million arrivals US$ 320bn US$ 173bn Source: UNWTO, 2011; Youth Travel Matters, 2008, StudentMarketing, 2012
13 MARKETOVERVIEW Educational travel 13 million Performance Higher Education English Language Travel Competition increases USA market shared declined 28.6% from 2001 to 2009 (IHE) UK market share declined 34.1% from 2005 to 2009 (LT, student weeks) Traditional destinations are losing, new destinations are increasing. Source: Institute of International Education, 2011; Global Education Digest, 2011, Language Travel Magazine,
14 MARKETOVERVIEW Backpacking/Flashpacking 14 Top 10 preferred destinations Share of youth on backpacking Thailand New Zealand China Australia 79% 76% UK USA 70% Germany Italy Spain France New Zealand Australia South Africa Backpacking and budget travel on rapid increase Source: 2009 Snapshots: Backpacker accomodation in Australia, 2009; Ministry of Economic Development New Zealand, 2010; Backpacking and Youth Travel in South Africa, 2007; Youth Travel Matters (ATEC Symposium), 2009
15 MARKETOVERVIEW Volunteer travel 15 Evolution of volunteer organisations Case study GoAbroad.com number of volunteer programmes offered: programmes ,036 programmes ,398 programmes ,599 programmes % increase over the last 7 years Source: Volunteer Tourism: A global analysis, 2008 Source: Novelli, M., 2005; Coppage, J., 2007; GoAbroad.com, 2011, 2012
16 MARKETOVERVIEW Youth travel accommodation 16 Hotels vs hostels Average price of a hostel overnight Hostels Hotels US$ 36 50% 63% 48% 60% 56% 55% 57% 58% Source: Youth Travel Matters, 2008; The STAY WYSE Youth Travel Accommodation Industry, 2008, 2009; The STAY WYSE Youth Travel Accommodation Industry Survey, 2010
17 DRIVERSANDTRENDS Growth contributors 17 Emerging markets Youth travel agencies Mergers & acquisitions Governmental engagement Diversification Less barriers
18 DRIVERSANDTRENDS Emerging markets 18 Economic impact = shift in the industry?
19 DRIVERSANDTRENDS Emerging markets 19 Middle class booming in emerging markets Source: Standard Chartered Bank Research, 2010; IATA Industry Outlook, 2010; OECD, 2010
20 DRIVERSANDTRENDS Emerging markets 20 Emerging countries catching up international arrivals in global tourism million 550 Advanced; Emerging; Source: UNWTO World Tourism Barometer, January 2012 March ITB XX, Berlin 2012
21 DRIVERSANDTRENDS Youth travel agencies 21 Source: StudentMarketing, ,000 retailers, over 50% bookings, increasing share
22 DRIVERSANDTRENDS Mergers and acquisitions 22 Young travellers tend to travel for a reason, are not escapists and many programmes include assistance to local communities what underpines importance of the industry Due to increase in share on global travel, governments and international organizations have started to recognize the size and significance of this industry (UNWTO initiatives, EU - European Year of Volunteering) Organisations active on the market are successfully bringing in partners from different spheres (Microsoft, ManUtd, TUI) Industry is becoming more and more documented
23 DRIVERSANDTRENDS Mergers and acquisitions 23 Youth and student travel brands in TUI portfolio TUI Portfolio Youth and student travel 297 brands c. 20 % offering youth & student travel Educational travel StudentCity Manchester Academy of English Educators English Language Centre York Adventure travel MasterClass Sports Tours Interpid Travel Gecko's Adventures English Jumpstreet Tours Volunteer travel i-to-i volunteering Real Gap Inspired Breaks Source:
24 DRIVERSANDTRENDS Mergers and acquisitions 24 Source: ; ;
25 DRIVERSANDTRENDS Governmental engagement 25 Traditional destinations currently dwell in a re-evaluation phase, reappraising regulations, policies and standards. Emerging destinations, intensive marketing investments and easing regulations to gain more market share and international students.
26 DRIVERSANDTRENDS Diversification 26 Portfolio Destinations Booking channels Source markets Source: StudentMarketing, 2012
27 DRIVERSANDTRENDS Diversification 27 Four aspects of the future growth More youth travellers More stakeholders More arrivals More revenues Source: StudentMarketing, 2012
28 DRIVERSANDTRENDS Less barriers 28 Low-cost carriers fuel grow in YT million US$ Low-cost carriers Full-service carriers Europe Asia Transatlantic Source: iata.org, airneth.nl
29 DRIVERSANDTRENDS Less barriers 29 Critical mass already speaking lingua franca million Language abilities give current youth travellers rather different options and opportunties than to their parents Source: British Council, 2006
30 DRIVERSANDTRENDS Less barriers 30 Technological leap 80% online 50% word of mouth Young first purchasers of overseas services Information sharing & vizualisation Customer reviews Product knowledge
31 THENEXTBIGTHING Youth Travel 31 US$ 100 bn market potential by 2020 Meaningful sectors (2/3 receipts) Education and experience programs Both traditional and alternative destinations 300 million arrivals Emerging source markets Youth travel agencies Online presence 196 million arrivals US$ 320bn US$ 173bn
32 32 THANKYOU Market intelligence Market studies Trade missions Business solutions Assistance for organisations to succeed at international youth travel market.
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