California: A Strong Global Market for Energy Storage

Transcription

1 California: A Strong Global Market for Energy Storage Mark Higgins Strategen Consulting Advisor to California Energy Storage Alliance

2 U.S. Energy Storage Market Forecast Estimated 220 MW of energy storage will be deployed in the U.S. in 2015 More than three times the amount installed in 2014 Source: Greentech Media Research Mark Higgins California Seite 2

3 US Wholesale Opportunities for Energy Storage Source: GTM Research Mark Higgins California Seite 3

4 Number of Projects Storage Projects in the U.S. LEADING US STATES PROJECTS BY ISOs *Independent System Operator (ISO) and Regional Transmission Organization (RTO) Source: DOE Global Energy Storage Database (April 2015) Mark Higgins California Seite 4

5 California: Home to the World s Largest... Geysers Geothermal Plant 955 MW Lake County, CA Solar Star Silicon PV Project 579 MW Kern County, CA Alta Wind Energy Center 1550 MW - Kern County, CA SCE Tehachapi Li-Ion Battery 8 MW/32 MWh Tehachapi, CA Ivanpah Solar Thermal Project 393 MW - San Bernardino, CA Desert Sunlight Thin-Film PV 550 MW Riverside, CA Mark Higgins California Seite 5

6 California: The Most Promising U.S. Opportunity Significant New Capacity is Needed (3,600 MW) Power Plant Retirements (SONGS, OTC) Need for flexible capacity to address increasing renewable penetration (7,500-11,000 MW) Policy Drivers Governor Brown s new energy goals 50% Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) AB 2514 California Public Utility Commission Energy Storage Procurement Goals Storage included in all-source RFO and considered akin to a preferred resource Self-Generation Incentive Program (SGIP) Storage is proving to be cost effective Storage is being selected over conventional resources when allowed to compete on a level playing field Mark Higgins California Seite 6

7 CALIFORNIA IS CHARGED WITH A BIG MISSION 50% renewable 2030 Generate 50% of California s energy from sources by 2030 Mark Higgins California Seite 7

8 Additional Flexibility Needed as Renewables Increase Source: Investigating a Higher Renewables Portfolio Standard in California, E Mark Higgins California Seite 8

9 Curailment at 40% RPS Source: Prepared statement of Mark Rothleder on behalf of the CAISO (February 20, 2015). Mark Higgins California Seite 9

10 Power System Game Changer: ENERGY STORAGE Mark Higgins California Seite 10

11 Governor Brown (CA) Sponsored Law AB 2514 in 2010 Use case category, by utility (#s in MW) Total Southern California Edison Transmission Distribution Customer Subtotal SCE Pacific Gas & Electric Transmission Distribution Customer Subtotal PG&E San Diego Gas & Electric Transmission Distribution Customer Subtotal SDG&E GW of Storage required in operation by 2024 Total all 3 Utilities ,325 Mark Higgins California Seite 11

12 Production Cost Modeling with Storage % of total CA Gen. Capacity Unit Starts Reduced in CA* GW Storage (only 2 hour storage) GW Storage (2, 4, & 6 hour storage) 2.65 GW Storage (2, 4, & 6 hour storage) 0.5% 1.7% 3.4% 3,000 8,000 13,000 Curtailment Reduction in CA Source: CESA / Energy Exemplar using key CPUC agreed-upon assumptions 8.1% 23.3% 40.0% Even a small amount of energy storage makes a BIG system impact *Numbers are rounded for simplicity 3-4 emergency natural gas peaker plants were able to be removed from dispatch under the storage scenarios Mark Higgins California Seite 12

13 Peaker Replacement We build peaker plants to do one job Mark Higgins California Seite 13

14 PEAKER Slow to respond Does one thing Dirties air Used 5% of time Wastes water STORAGE Fast to respond Does many things Keeps air breathable Used 95% of time Water saver Mark Higgins California Seite 14

15 PEAKER Slow to respond Does one thing Dirties air Used 5% of time Wastes water STORAGE Fast to respond Does many things Keeps air breathable Used 95% of time Water saver Mark Higgins California Seite 15

16 Storage is a growing California Industry Source: CESA Mark Higgins California Seite 16

17 Opportunity for All Storage Technologies Electro-Chemical (Li-Ion / Flow Battery) Mechanical / Kinetic (Flywheel) Gravitational Thermal Storage (Ice / Molten Salt) Pumped Hydro Transportation (Electric Vehicles) Mark Higgins California Seite 17

18 MW of New Storage Procurement in CA (Figures in MW) 2014 Proposed Procurements Transmission Distribution Customer Total IOU (Existing or In Progress) CPUC 2014 Target (AB 2514) PG&E * 90 SCE Open Ended > ** 90 SDG&E *** 20 Totals > > *Excludes 150 MW Rice Solar to be counted in future solicitations **Includes 264 MW of storage projects under procurement from December 2013 LCR solicitation ***Includes 40 MW Lake Hodges Pumped Hydro and min 25MW LTPP Track 4 LCR requirement by 2022 Mark Higgins California Seite 18

19 2014 Self-Generation Incentive Program (SGIP) Reservations Energy Storage 2014 Funding Allocations $1,150,067 $ $3,742,120 $7,192,022 Other Danko Enterprises $7,196,735 CODA Energy Green Charge Networks 2014 Allocation by Technology Technology % of Incentive Wind Turbine 2.0% Gas Turbine 2.3% Microturbine 3.5% Internal Combustion 4.9% Fuel Cell CHP 6.4% Fuel Cell Electric 34.9% Adv. Energy Storage 46.0% Data source: SGIP Quarterly Statewide Report Note: Total 2014 SGIP budget was $165M (includes carryover funds) $66,015,336 Grand Total: $86,462,681 Stem Inc Tesla 67% of Dec reservations were from Tesla ($20.5M) Mark Higgins California Seite 19

20 2015 SGIP Budgets California s Top 3 Utilities PG&E 2015 budget: $36 Million 75% for Renewables and Emerging Technologies $25.11 million for Renewable and Emerging Technologies SCE 2015 Budget: $26 million 75% for Renewables and Emerging Technologies $19.5 million for Renewables and Emerging Technologies *SDG&E s program is administered by SDG&E 2015 Budget: $10 million 75% for Renewables and Emerging Technologies $7.5 million for Renewables and Emerging Technologies Mark Higgins California Seite 20

21 California s 2015 SGIP Summary to Date As of November 2 nd, $152 million of SGIP incentives are reserved for 946 Energy Storage projects with a total capacity of 87 MW Source: Figures from Mark Higgins California Seite 21

22 Validation of Cost Effectiveness: SCE Track 1 LCR RFO (2014) Southern California Edison chose to procure over 5x the amount of energy storage than required by the CPUC to meet Local Capacity Requirements (LCR) 50 MW of energy storage required 261 MW Procured Seller Resource Type Selected Energy Storage Resources Total Contracts Max Quantity (LCR MW) AES In-Front-of-Meter Battery Energy Storage Ice Energy Behind-the-Meter Thermal Energy Storage Advanced Microgrid Solutions Behind-the-Meter Battery Energy Storage Stem Behind-the-Meter Battery Energy Storage Source: SCE RFO winners. Total Mark Higgins California Seite 22

23 Battery Prices Continue to Decline... Solar PV Median Installed Price Trend Battery Prices over time Source: Lawrence Berkeley National Lab Mark Higgins California Seite 23

24 What if we could: Use all the renewable energy we produce Lower greenhouse emissions Create a more reliable power grid ALL AT A LOWER COST Mark Higgins California Seite 24

25 WE CAN WITH ENERGY STORAGE Mark Higgins California Seite 25

26 Unparalleled experience in New Grid Technologies Strategen Consulting Started consulting in PV and energy storage space in 2005 Unique focus in strategic advisory work in the clean energy industry Lines of Business Utilities: Focus on new grid technology implementation and strategy Public Sector (Governments and Nonprofits): Consultant on dozens of regulatory proceedings in numerous states Corporate: Strategy support for technology providers and project developers throughout the power sector ecosystem Energy Storage North America (ESNA) Largest storage conference in the world 28 countries in attendance Regulators, utilities, technology providers, and market participants Mark Higgins California Seite 26

27 CESA STEERING COMMITTEE MEMBERS CESA 2015 MEMBERSHIP 1 Energy Systems Inc. Abengoa Advanced Microgrid Solutions AES Energy Storage Aquion Energy ARES North America Brookfield Chargepoint Clean Energy Systems CODA Energy Consolidated Edison Development, Inc. Cumulus Energy Storage Customized Energy Solutions Demand Energy Duke Energy Dynapower Company, LLC Eagle Crest Energy Company East Penn Manufacturing Company Ecoult EDF Renewable Energy Elevation Solar ELSYS Inc. Energy Storage Systems, Inc. Enersys EnerVault Corporation Enphase ENERGY EV Grid Flextronics GE Energy Storage Green Charge Networks Greensmith Energy Gridtential Energy, Inc. Hitachi Chemical Co. Ice Energy IMERGY Power Systems Innovation Core SEI, Inc (A Sumitomo Electric Company) Invenergy LLC K&L Gates LG Chem Power, Inc. LightSail Energy Lockheed Martin Advanced Energy Storage LLC LS Power Development, LLC Manatt, Phelps & Phillips, LLP Mobile Solar NEC Energy Solutions, Inc. NextEra Energy Resources NRG Solar LLC OutBack Power Technologies Panasonic Parker Hannifin Corporation Powertree Services Inc. Primus Power Corporation Princeton Power Systems Recurrent Energy Renewable Energy Systems Americas Inc Rosendin Electric S&C Electric Company Saft America Inc. Sharp Electronics Corporation Skylar Capital Management SolarCity Sony Corporation of America Sovereign Energy STEM SunEdison SunPower Toshiba International Corporation Trimark Associates, Inc. Tri-Technic Wellhead Electric YOUNICOS Mark Higgins California Seite 27

28 Thank you! Mark Higgins Vice President and COO Office: extension 106 Mark Higgins California Seite 28