Interim Results for 31 March May 2014

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1 Interim Results for 31 March May 2014 Ketso Gordhan CEO Tryphosa Ramano CFO Richard Tomes Joint MD SA Cement 1

2 Agenda Context Financial Overview Divisional Overview Strategy & Outlook Questions 2

3 Context For the six months ended March 2014 PPC s total cement sales up 2% Key events Supported by increased export sales and consolidation of new businesses Offset by declines in South Africa, Botswana and Mozambique Significant headway on rest of Africa projects Construction underway in four African countries: Rwanda, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Zimbabwe and Ethiopia Commissioning of new tpa plant in Rwanda expected by end CY 2014 Successful completion of the Safika Cement acquisition Approval received from shareholders to restructure part of BEE I transaction Plans to modernise Slurry kiln 8 at an advanced stage New order mining rights converted 3

4 South Africa Botswana Zimbabwe Mozambique Financial Overview 4

5 F2014 H1 Financial overview Revenue R4.16bn 9% [R3.81bn] EBITDA # R1.17bn 5% [R1.12bn] EBITDA margin 28.2% [29.5%] Cash generated from operations R0.78bn (27%) [R1.07bn] Normalised operating profit # R0.88bn 3% [R0.86bn] Normalised earnings per share # 86 cps 4% [83 cps] Interim dividend 38 cps [38 cps] Gross debt to EBITDA 2.3 times [1.7 times] # Excluding BBBEE IFRS 2 charges, Zimbabwe indigenisation costs, restructuring costs and prior year tax adjustments. 5

6 F2014 H1 Summary income statement % R million R million Change Revenue Cost of sales (9) Gross profit Administration and other operating expenditure (26) Operating profit before items listed below BBBEE IFRS 2 charges (34) Zimbabwe indigenisation costs - 82 Operating profit Net finance costs (21) Exceptional items (10) (12) (17) Earnings from equity accounted investments Profit before taxation Taxation Profit for the period EPS (cents) HEPS (cents) Normalised EPS (cents) # DPS (cents) % of revenue and 10% of cost of sales relate to new businesses Of the 26%, 3% relates to currency movements while 12% is as a result of new businesses Additional borrowings for local and international initiatives Tax assessment overpayment # Excluding BBBEE IFRS 2 charges, Zimbabwe indigenisation costs, restructuring costs and prior year tax adjustments. 6

7 F2014 H1 Segmental analysis Revenue split per division Revenue split per region 10% 4% 26% Cement Lime Aggregates South Africa International 74% 86% Revenue (R million) Mar 2014 Mar 2013 EBITDA Margin Mar 2014 Mar 2013 Cement Lime Aggregates Cement 30% 32% Lime 17% 17% Aggregates 7% 7% Group Group 28% 29% Increasing revenue contribution from International operations 7

8 F2014 H1 Summary balance sheet 2014 R million 2013 R million ASSETS Non-current assets Property, plant and equipment Intangibles Other non-current assets Current assets Inventories Trade and other receivables Cash and cash equivalents TOTAL ASSETS EQUITY AND LIABILITIES Capital and reserves Non-controlling interests Non-current liabilities Long-term borrowings Provisions and other non-current liabilities Deferred taxation Current liabilities Short-term borrowings Trade and other payables TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES Capex amounting to R844m with CIMERWA accounting for half of this Impacted by new acquisitions Impact of new acquisitions Includes bond issue of R750m in December

9 F2014 H1 Summary cash flow statement Cash flow from operating activities 2014 R million 2013 R million Operating cash flows before movement in working capital Net investment in working capital (434) (4) Net finance costs paid (193) (104) Taxation paid (325) (230) Cash available from operations Capital investments in PPE and intangible assets (872) (294) Acquisitions in terms of business combinations (377) (140) Other investing activities (37) (26) Net funding raised Net cash flow before dividends paid Dividends paid (636) (569) Net cash inflow for the year Payment of interest rate swaps and restructuring costs Higher levels of borrowings, in particular corporate bonds Prior year taxation paid in Zimbabwe 9

10 F2014 H1 Effective tax rate The effective taxation rate was 23.8%, mainly due to the prior year taxation adjustments and BBBEE IFRS 2 charges F2014 H1 Rm Profit before taxation 651 Total taxation 155 Effective taxation rate 23.8% Add back BBBEE IFRS 2 charges 19 Adjusted profit before taxation 670 Effects of prior year taxation adjustments 74 Total taxation (excluding prior year tax adjustments) 229 Adjusted effective taxation rate 34.2% Withholding taxes approximate 3% of taxation charge 10

11 F2014 H1 Capital expenditure 2014 R million 2013 R million Total for F2014e R million Operational and modernisation capex CIMERWA Zimbabwe mill expansion DRC Total capital expenditure Modernisation of Slurry kiln 8 SK8 commissioned in 1973 Modernisation to meet emissions legislation, improve thermal efficiency, output and operating costs Planetary coolers to be replaced by latest generation grate cooler Once upgraded, SK8 to produce 5000 tpd of clinker at heat consumption <3.4 MJ/kg 11

12 Capital structure BBBEE I: Shareholders approved the restructuring Finalisation of the transaction funding arrangements underway A further R750 million corporate bond raised in December 2013 Five year senior unsecured floating rate bond Issued at JIBAR plus 1.5% Two times oversubscribed Dividend policy cover range of 1.2 to 1.5 times under review 12

13 South Africa Botswana Zimbabwe Mozambique Divisional Overview 13

14 F2014 H1 Segmental analysis Revenue split per division Revenue split per region 10% 4% 26% Cement Lime Aggregates South Africa International 74% 86% Revenue (R million) Mar 2014 Mar 2013 EBITDA Margin Mar 2014 Mar 2013 Cement Lime Aggregates Cement 30% 32% Lime 17% 17% Aggregates 7% 7% Group Group 28% 29% Increasing revenue contribution from International operations 14

15 PPC SA cement demand PPC s F2014 H1 SA sales volumes down 2% Industrial action on the platinum belt with above-average rainfall in the Inland regions had a severely negative impact on cement sales volumes Volume growth was, however, experienced in some Inland and Coastal regions PPC increased selling prices by 4% on average for the period Pricing environment remains highly competitive Pleasing progress with Safika Cement strategy 15

16 SA cement demand - Imports 2013: 1.1 million tons of imported cement entered SA, up 44% from previous year Figure not captured in the official industry sales of 12.1 million tons of cementitious products sold in 2013 (up 5% from 2012) Implies imports account for ~8% of SA volumes Majority (>70%) landing in Durban and the balance split between PE and CT Virtually all coming from Pakistan, with FOB price in that country at ~R30 per bag Cement Imports # (Tons) Q1-10 Q2-10 Q3-10 Q4-10 Q1-11 Q2-11 Q3-11 Q4-11 Q1-12 Q2-12 Q3-12 Q4-12 Q1-13 Q2-13 Q3-13 Q4-13 Q1-14 # All data sourced from the South African Revenue Service 16

17 PPC SA cement input costs Key cost Proportion of Movement components for F2014 H1 cost of sales (R/t) (R/t) Input costs up 4% on a rand per ton basis Distribution 26% +6% Salaries (R) 11% +8% Depreciation (R) 10% - Energy related costs: Diesel + coal + electricity = 27% of all input costs Electricity 8% +9% Coal 8% -2% ~35% of the distribution cost comprises of diesel costs Maintenance 7% +3% Packaging 4% +3% Other 26% +3% Carbon Tax to commence January 2016, likely impact of ~R150 million on PPC Group 17

18 Zimbabwe, Botswana, Mozambique and Rwanda Zimbabwe In-country liquidity constraints have led to a slowdown in local demand Limited growth in domestic selling prices Offset by an increase in exports to neighbouring countries at favourable selling prices Favourable impact of rand devaluation Cement cost of sales well-managed: Benefits of investment in palletiser and right-sizing of operations being realised Botswana Demand, pricing environment remains under pressure Cautiously optimistic on the outlook for government infrastructure spending Favourable impact of rand devaluation Mozambique Volumes remain under pressure in southern regions due to intense price competition as a result of imported cement products Rwanda Turnaround in production efficiency has led to significant improvement in volume output 18

19 Lime, Aggregates and Readymix Lime Revenue ended 9% higher on the back of higher burnt product and limestone sales of 5% and 25% respectively EBITDA consequently rose to R69 million (2013: R61 million) Aggregates Revenues ended 22% higher than last year at R168 million (2013: R138 million) Boosted by increased sales volumes of 15% in South Africa and 14% in Botswana EBITDA was 33% higher at R12 million (2013: R9 million) Following a strategic review of the aggregates operations in Botswana and the difficulties being experienced in that market, an impairment charge of R10 million has been included in exceptional items Readymix / Ash Pronto Holdings acquisition: the final tranche of 50% is payable in May

20 South Africa Botswana Zimbabwe Mozambique Strategy & Outlook 20

21 Democratic Republic of the Congo Construction of 1 mtpa plant in western DRC for ~$280m underway Shareholding: PPC 69%, Local partner Barnet group 21% and IFC 10% Debt: equity ratio of 60:40 with IFC and PTA Banks as joint lead arrangers Project complies with stringent IFC/World Bank environmental, social and governance standards Use of ring-fenced project financing to shield PPC balance sheet Applications for investment incentives underway 21

22 DRC PPC s ability to deliver Sinoma appointed as EPC contractor; responsible for: design, procurement, construction and commissioning of EPC project scope on a turn key basis turn key basis - Sinoma is responsible for the complete construction schedule and fixed cost as per contract with PPC Sinoma to offer post-commissioning operational support Ercom appointed as project management consulting engineers; responsible for: technical specifications of project deliverables, quality assurance and project management of contractors work as well as project cost and schedule management Hatch Goba Engineering to provide specialist project services including: scheduling, cost engineering, contract administration, estimation and certification Above support structures allow PPC management to effectively and successfully manage the implementation of the project Support structures will ensure project delivery on time and within budget 22

23 DRC Establishing the PPC Brand PPC has commenced sales of PPC branded cement in the Kinshasa region and will follow up with sales in the Bas Congo region Cement is imported from our Riebeeck operations in the Western Cape to the Matadi river port and transported by road to our warehouse in Kinshasa Allows us to establish the PPC brand, and to better understand country and market dynamics prior to launching full production and operations in 2016 Local hire of over 250 operational staff members in 2016 to further enhance corporate image Limited PPC expat team already identified and involved Substantial community engagement work being undertaken to ensure that we build our brand as a responsible corporate citizen 23

24 CIMERWA Ltd, Rwanda Significant progress with the tpa plant with 5 stage pre-calciner kiln Plant to be commissioned end 2014 with sales revenues to be generated from calendar Q Recently appointed Busi Legodi as CEO 18 years PPC experience Operational readiness for production is progressing according to target Main supply contracts have been secured; charcoal, peat, gypsum, packaging etc. Implementation of IT and maintenance systems progressing well 24

25 CIMERWA Ltd, Rwanda Sales and marketing strategy for target market progressing well Presence in Kigali to be expanded with establishment of a distribution centre Recruitment of ~90% of total planned workforce has been completed Rwandese, East African and (where not available), expatriate skills Training of 8 Rwandese engineering graduates for process operator positions at Technical Skills Academy (Slurry) in progress Further training interventions for functional operational competence scheduled Continued emphasis on relevant social investment initiatives Progress on new tpa plant 25

26 Zimbabwe/Mozambique PPC expansion plans to be achieved by backward integration in a phased approach First, construction of 100 tph cement mill ( tpa) in Harare for ~$80m Corporate loan funded against PPC Zim s balance sheet Harare mill to be commissioned in 2016 Plans to construct $200m clinker plant on Zimbabwean border and cement mill in Tete to follow Two less efficient cement mills to be retired in Bulawayo, totalling 50 tph Modern efficient mill in Harare gives a competitive advantage and phased capital expenditure approach reduces risk Sinoma as EPC partner and Ercom as engineering and project management partner 26

27 Habesha Cement, Ethiopia PPC has increased shareholding to 31% Construction of the 1.4 mtpa facility has just begun Commissioning to occur in 2016 Project cost of ~$135 million To be funded on a 70/30 debt equity ratio split Factory site well located, 35km northwest from Addis Ababa Significant construction activity underway within Addis Ababa which will benefit project operations 27

28 Algeria PPC to acquire a 49% stake in Hodna Cement Company Hodna to construct a 2 mtpa plant for ~$400 - $450 million Feasibility study underway and to be concluded in 2014 Construction likely to commence early 2015 Intend to fund via locally raised project finance 80% debt funding Algerian cement demand estimated at 22 mtpa with production capacity of ~18 mtpa Government committed to roll out major infrastructure investments Cement selling prices range between $80 - $120 per ton Favourable costs of production due to affordable gas prices and availability of electricity at project location Well located raw material components all on site limestone, gypsum and shale further reduce operational costs 28

29 Outlook Intense efforts to accelerate expansion plans across the African continent have gained significant momentum Trading conditions in our operating geographies are generally challenging, but we remain optimistic that cement demand will improve PPC team focused and well positioned to boost rest of Africa revenues to at least 40% by 2017 We will double the size of the business by

30 Questions? 30

31 Investor contacts Ketso Gordhan Tryphosa Ramano Azola Lowan Chief Executive Officer Chief Financial Officer Investor Relations Tel

32 Addendum: Southern African cement industry map 32

33 Strategy Overview PPC s strategies are: 1. Enhance our industry leader position in southern Africa ( Keeping the home fires burning strategy) Excel in sales, marketing, customer focus, overall value offering Efficient operations and optimised logistics Renew/upgrade equipment, especially relating to customers or efficiency Acquire businesses with good strategic fit 2. Expand our operational footprint into other parts of Africa ( Rest of Africa strategy) Grow revenue outside South Africa to >40% of group revenue by 2017 Stringent criteria: Identify suitable markets Locate limestone (quality and quantity) Identify local partner/government support Contract with equipment supplier and project managers Secure appropriate funding Ensure skilled staffing is in place 33

34 Disclaimer This document including, without limitation, those statements concerning the demand outlook, PPC s expansion projects and its capital resources and expenditure, contain certain forwardlooking statements and views. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty and although PPC believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, no assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to be correct. Accordingly, results could differ materially from those set out in the forward-looking statements as a result of, among other factors, changes in economic and market conditions, success of business and operating initiatives, changes in the regulatory environment, other government action and business and operational risk management. Whilst PPC takes reasonable care to ensure the accuracy of the information presented, PPC accepts no responsibility for any damages be it consequential, indirect, special or incidental, whether foreseeable or unforeseeable, based on claims arising out of misrepresentation or negligence arising in connection with a forward-looking statement. This document is not intended to contain any profit forecasts or profit estimates, and the information published in this document is unaudited. 34

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