Revenue and Gross Margin
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- Clarence Ferguson
- 10 years ago
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1 Units (in millions) Market Share Amounts in millions; except per share amounts, Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY12 6 ASP, percentages. FY08 FY09 FY09 FY09 FY09 FY10 FY10 FY10 FY10 FY11 FY11 FY11 FY11 FY12 FY12 FY12 Low High TAM Share 26.7% % 28.3% 29.5% 28.9% 30.9% 31.3% 31.8% 30.9% 31.2% 31.2% 32.5% 32.8% 23.9% 30.2% Units (HDD) ASP (HDD) $56 $53 $51 $50 $48 $49 $52 $51 $47 $46 $47 $45 $44 $46 $69 $68 Revenue $1,993 $2,109 $1,823 $1,592 $1,928 $2,208 $2,619 $2,641 $2,382 $2,396 $2,475 $2,252 $2,403 $2,694 $1,995 $3,035 $4,200 $4,400 Gross Margin $425 $424 $290 $253 $370 $514 $687 $665 $535 $437 $475 $410 $469 $541 $648 $977 Gross Margin % 21.3% 20.1% 15.9% 15.9% 19.2% 23.3% 26.2% 25.2% 22.5% 18.2% 19.2% 18.2% 19.5% 20.1% 32.5% 32.2% R&D $128 $133 $119 $125 $132 $142 $154 $160 $154 $167 $169 $179 $188 $193 $191 $265 SG&A $56 $57 $42 $49 $52 $53 $60 $64 $61 $59 $66 $63 $77 $71 $85 $122 Other $ - $ - $113 $18 ($23) $ - $ - $ - $27 $ - $ - $10 $32 $18 $210 $48 Total Operating Expenses $184 $190 $274 $192 $161 $195 $214 $224 $242 $226 $235 $252 $297 $282 $486 $435 $550 $550 Operating Income $241 $234 $16 $61 $209 $319 $473 $441 $293 $211 $240 $158 $172 $259 $162 $542 Net Income $213 $211 $14 $50 $196 $288 $429 $400 $265 $197 $225 $146 $158 $239 $145 $483 EPS $1.25 $1.85 $1.71 $ $ $1.96 $2.35 $2.55 Diluted Shares Outstanding Non-GAAP Results Gross Margin $425 $424 $290 $253 $370 $514 $687 $665 $535 $437 $475 $410 $469 $541 $648 $1,077 Net Income $213 $211 $123 $68 $173 $288 $429 $400 $292 $197 $225 $156 $193 $260 $358 $619 Top 10 Customers Revenue 53% 51% 49% 47% 52% 56% 55% 51% 52% 5 48% 49% 53% 49% 51% 53% Revenue by Channel OEM 57% 56% 57% 48% 54% 52% 48% 49% 54% 5 45% 47% 55% 53% 59% 64% Distributors 24% 26% 21% 3 29% 31% 3 33% 29% 32% 33% 33% 29% 29% 25% 28% Retail 19% 18% 22% 22% 17% 17% 22% 18% 17% 18% 22% 16% 18% 16% 8% Revenue by Geography Americas 29% 23% 23% 26% 24% 22% 25% 24% 25% 23% 22% 22% 19% 22% 21% Europe 25% 29% 29% 28% 22% 22% 25% 24% 21% 23% 25% 24% 22% 21% 18% Asia 46% 48% 48% 46% 54% 56% 5 52% 54% 54% 53% 54% 6 59% 57% 61% Compute Units Notebook Desktop Non-Compute Units Consumer Electronics Branded Enterprise Units Total HDD Units Revenue by Geography Rolling Four Quarters Ending Q3 FY09 Asia 49% Americas 24% Europe 27% Revenue by Geography Rolling Four Quarters Ending Q3 FY12 Americas 21% Asia 59% Europe Volume and Market Share Revenue and Gross Margin EPS Analysis Page 1 Volume Share 35% 3 25% 15% 5% $3,500 $3,000 $2,500 $2,000 $1,500 $1,000 $500 Revenue Gross Margin $2.25 $2.00 $1.75 $1.50 $1.25 $ $1.00 -$1.25 -$1.50 -$1.75 EPS Guidance High EPS Guidance Low Actual EPS Note: Q2 09 includes restructuring charge of $113M. Q2 12 and Q3 12 guidance excludes charges related to the flooding and acquisition-related expenses. Note: Refer to Non-GAAP Financial Measures for information about non-gaap financial measures included in this investor summary 35% 3 25% 15% 5%
2 Balance sheet, cash flows, earnings and Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 share repurchase amounts in millions FY08 FY09 FY09 FY09 FY09 FY10 FY10 FY10 FY10 FY11 FY11 FY11 FY11 FY12 FY12 FY12 Cash and Cash Equivalents $1,104 $1,213 $1,376 $1,579 $1,794 $2,056 $2,435 $2,826 $2,734 $2,858 $3,110 $3,230 $3,490 $3,675 $3,924 $3,377 Debt $509 $507 $504 $502 $482 $463 $444 $425 $400 $375 $350 $325 $294 $263 $231 $2,743 Net Cash and Cash Equivalents $595 $706 $872 $1,077 $1,312 $1,593 $1,991 $2,401 $2,334 $2,483 $2,760 $2,905 $3,196 $3,412 $3,693 $634 Cash Flow From Operations $229 $301 $300 $355 $349 $434 $557 $588 $363 $390 $505 $313 $447 $352 $378 $1,208 Free Cash Flow $83 $139 $160 $249 $238 $258 $358 $411 $178 $190 $255 $138 $294 $218 $258 $1,069 Capital Expenditures $146 $162 $140 $106 $111 $176 $199 $177 $185 $200 $250 $175 $153 $134 $120 $139 Depreciation and Amortization $113 $117 $122 $119 $122 $121 $126 $128 $134 $150 $151 $151 $150 $158 $140 $188 EBITDA $354 $351 $138 $180 $331 $440 $599 $569 $427 $361 $391 $309 $322 $417 $302 $730 Accounts Receivable, Net $1,010 $1,082 $926 $824 $926 $1,131 $1,365 $1,257 $1,256 $1,325 $1,250 $1,171 $1,206 $1,356 $747 $2,377 Inventory Raw Materials $144 $129 $124 $104 $97 $96 $102 $115 $159 $155 $141 $151 $172 $170 $191 $329 Work in Process $145 $168 $159 $152 $154 $173 $212 $254 $255 $266 $274 $260 $263 $275 $185 $667 Finished Goods $167 $180 $163 $129 $125 $126 $139 $138 $146 $140 $153 $163 $142 $200 $90 $286 Inventory, Net $456 $477 $446 $385 $376 $395 $453 $507 $560 $561 $568 $574 $577 $645 $466 $1,282 Property, Plant and Equipment, Net $1,668 $1,674 $1,620 $1,570 $1,584 $1,625 $1,696 $1,756 $2,159 $2,245 $2,277 $2,249 $2,224 $2,209 $2,091 $4,171 Accounts Payable $1,181 $1,215 $1,075 $1,001 $1,101 $1,342 $1,507 $1,508 $1,507 $1,703 $1,628 $1,486 $1,545 $1,708 $883 $2,774 Days Sales Outstanding Days Inventory Outstanding Days Payables Outstanding Cash Conversion Cycle (4) (3) (3) 2 (3) (2) Inventory Turns Shares Repurchased Shares Repurchased $ $ - $36 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $50 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - Remaining Amount Authorized $502 $466 $466 $466 $466 $466 $466 $466 $466 $416 $416 $416 $416 $416 $416 $416 R4Q ROIC % 22.9% 14.9% 13.9% 15.3% 24.9% 31.2% 30.2% 26.4% 21.1% 15.6% 13.2% 13.6% 11.9% 14.8% R4Q ROA 21.2% 21.1% 14.7% 9.8% 9.2% 10.4% % 20.7% 18.1% 14.6% 10.9% 9.2% 9.5% 8.5% 10.5% Business Model (to be updated) Gross Margin 18%-23% Operating Expense 9%- Operating Income 8%-14% Tax 6%-9% of Income Before Tax Capital Expenditures 7%-8% Inventory Turns Turns Conversion Cycle 4-8 Days Worldwide Headcount 50,072 51,409 50,838 43,898 45,991 52,208 55,128 61,803 62,500 62,817 62,991 61,349 65,431 67,799 67, ,604 Gross vs. Net Cash & Cash Equivalents R&D and Capital Expenditures Free Cash Flow R4Q Return on Invested Capital $4,500 $4,000 $3,500 Cash and Cash Equivalents Net Cash and Cash Equivalents $300 $250 R&D CapEx R&D % of Revenue 12% $1,200 $1, % 3 $3,000 $2,500 $2,000 $1,500 $200 $150 $100 8% 6% 4% $800 $600 $400 25% 15% $1,000 $500 $50 2% $200 5% Page 2 Note: Refer to Non-GAAP Financial Measures for information about non-gaap financial measures included in this investor summary
3 Non-GAAP Financial Measures Free Cash Flow: Free cash flow is a non-gaap financial measure defined as cash flows from operations less capital expenditures. We consider free cash flow to be useful as an indicator of our overall liquidity, as the amount of free cash flow generated in any period is representative of cash that is available for strategic opportunities including, among others, investing in the Company's business, making strategic acquisitions, strengthening the balance sheet, repaying debt and repurchasing stock. We also believe that free cash flow is one of several benchmarks used by investors for comparison of our liquidity with other companies in our industry, although our measure of free cash flow may not be directly comparable to similar measures reported by other companies. Free cash flow should not be construed as an alternative to cash flows from operations or other cash flow measurements determined in accordance with GAAP. EBITDA: EBITDA is a non-gaap financial measure defined as net income before interest, income tax expense, depreciation and amortization. We include information concerning EBITDA because we believe it is a useful measure to evaluate our operating performance. As a measure of our operating performance, we believe EBITDA provides a measure of operating results unaffected by differences in capital structures, capital investment cycles and ages of related assets among otherwise comparable companies. While EBITDA is a relevant and widely used measure of operating performance, it does not represent net income as defined by GAAP and it should not be considered as an alternative to that measure in evaluating operating performance. Non-GAAP Gross Margin: Non-GAAP gross margin is a non-gaap measure defined as gross margin before any unusual or non-recurring charges to cost of goods sold. For Q3 FY12, non-gaap gross margin excludes costs recognized upon the sale of inventory that was written-up to fair value in connection with the HGST acquisition. Because we believe these costs may not be indicative of ongoing operations, we believe that non-gaap gross margin is a useful measure to investors as an alternative method for measuring our operating performance and comparing it against prior periods performance. Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Reconciliation of Cash Flows from Operations to Free Cash Flow FY08 FY09 FY09 FY09 FY09 FY10 FY10 FY10 FY10 FY11 FY11 FY11 FY11 FY12 FY12 FY12 Cash Flows from Operations $229 $301 $300 $355 $349 $434 $557 $588 $363 $390 $505 $313 $447 $352 $378 $1,208 Capital Expenditures (146) (162) (140) (106) (111) (176) (199) (177) (185) (200) (250) (175) (153) (134) (120) (139) Free Cash Flow $83 $139 $160 $249 $238 $258 $358 $411 $178 $190 $255 $138 $294 $218 $258 $1,069 Reconciliation of Net Income to EBITDA Net Income $213 $211 $14 $50 $196 $288 $429 $400 $265 $197 $225 $146 $158 $239 $145 $483 Interest Expense (1) Income Tax Expense (7) Depreciation and Amortization EBITDA $354 $351 $138 $180 $331 $440 $599 $569 $427 $361 $391 $309 $322 $417 $302 $730 Reconciliation of Gross Margin to Non-GAAP Gross Margin Gross Margin $425 $424 $290 $253 $370 $514 $687 $665 $535 $437 $475 $410 $469 $541 $648 $977 Acquisition-Related Fair Value Adjustments 100 Non-GAAP Gross Margin $425 $424 $290 $253 $370 $514 $687 $665 $535 $437 $475 $410 $469 $541 $648 $1,077 Page 3
4 Non-GAAP Financial Measures Non-GAAP Net Income: Non-GAAP net income is a non-gaap measure defined as net income before any unusual or non-recurring charges or any tax impact related to those charges. Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Reconciliation of Net Income to Non-GAAP Net Income FY08 FY09 FY09 FY09 FY09 FY10 FY10 FY10 FY10 FY11 FY11 FY11 FY11 FY12 FY12 FY12 Net Income $213 $211 $14 $50 $196 $288 $429 $400 $265 $197 $225 $146 $158 $239 $145 $483 Acquisition-Related Expense Litigation Accruals Charges Related to Flooding, Net of Recoveries In-Process Research and Development Charge 14 Acquisition-Related Adjustments to Fair Value of Inventory / Cost of Revenue 91 Amortization of Newly Acquired Intangible Assets 12 Restructuring (23) Tax Impact (4) (16) Non-GAAP Net Income $213 $211 $123 $68 $173 $288 $429 $400 $292 $197 $225 $156 $193 $260 $358 $619 Page 4
5 Footnotes 1.FY08 and Q1 FY11 ASP, Revenue by Channel and Revenue by Geography exclude external sales of media/substrates 2.Unit volume excludes WD TV Media Players without hard drives, WD Livewire, SSD and media 3.Worldwide Headcount excludes temporary employees 4.Consumer Electronics includes gaming 5.Both the GAAP and non-gaap results include the results of the newly acquired HGST subsidiary from the acquisition date of March 8, Q4 FY12 guidance is presented on a non-gaap basis and excludes charges and insurance proceeds related to the Thailand flooding; expenses related to the acquisition of HGST, including amortization of intangibles; and any impact from the pending divestiture transaction with Toshiba. Because these expenses and proceeds are not known at this time, we are unable to provide information about, or a reconciliation to, the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures. The impact of these excluded items may cause the estimated non-gaap financial measures to differ materially from the comparable GAAP financial measures. Formulas Share = Units / TAM ASP = Revenue / Units Free Cash Flow = Cash Flow from Operations Capital Expenditures EBITDA = Net income + Interest Expense + Income Tax Expense + Depreciation and Amortization Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) = Accounts Receivable / (Revenue / 91 days) Days Inventory Outstanding (DIO) = Inventory / (Cost of Revenue / 91 days) Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) = Accounts Payable / (Cost of Revenue / 91 days) Cash Conversion Cycle = DSO + DIO DPO Inventory Turns = 364 days / DIO R4Q ROIC = R4Q (Net Income from Continuing Operations + Interest Expense) / R4Q Average (Equity + Debt) R4Q ROA = R4Q Net Income from Continuing Operations / R4Q Average Total Assets Page 5
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