SOUTH CAROLINA CHANGING DEMOGRAPHICS

Transcription

1 SOUTH CAROLINA CHANGING DEMOGRAPHICS WEBCAST TRAINING SOUTH CAROLINA ASSOCIATION OF COUNTIES May 21, 2015 By Frank A. Rainwater Executive Director Mike Macfarlane Demographic Director South Carolina Revenue and Fiscal Affairs Office 1000 Assembly Street Rembert Dennis Building, Suite 402 Columbia, SC (803)

2 POINTS TO REMEMBER Heraclitus Mark Twain May 21, 2015

3 Change is the only constant in life. ~Heraclitus 500 BC May 21, 2015

4 There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics. ~Mark Twain quoting Prime Minister Disraeli Mark Twain Prime Minister Disraeli

5 SC CHANGING DEMOGRAPHICS Continuous change Different than in prior decades Varies from county to county

6 SOME KEY POINTS ARE: South Carolina s natural increase is declining, but net migration has been large enough to result in a consistent net gain. The proportion of people in South Carolina who can speak a foreign language is increasing. The largest sources of domestic migration into South Carolina are the Northeast states and our immediate neighbors (North Carolina, Georgia, and Florida). The population as a whole is getting older, particularly in rural counties. The proportion of SC population in urban areas is increasing.

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8 NOTES SC experienced a loss in net migration until 1980 Recent net migration gains are larger than natural increase Impact of natural increase is different than net migration

9 Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, Department of Health and Environmental Control, Revenue and Fiscal Affairs Office. JSM 3/9/15

10 Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, Department of Health and Environmental Control, Revenue and Fiscal Affairs Office. JSM 3/9/15

11 Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, Department of Health and Environmental Control, Revenue and Fiscal Affairs Office. JSM 3/13/15

12 NOTES Relationship between natural growth and net migration is different in each county Last Census noted tremendous variations between counties Impact may vary based upon actual number or percentage of population

13 Source: Internal Revenue Service, Statistics of Income Division, Revenue and Fiscal Affairs Office. JSM 2/25/15

14 Source: Internal Revenue Service, Statistics of Income Division, Revenue and Fiscal Affairs Office. JSM 2/25/15 Source: Internal Revenue Service, Statistics of Income Division, Revenue and Fiscal Affairs Office. JSM 2/25/15

15 Source: Internal Revenue Service, Statistics of Income Division, Revenue and Fiscal Affairs Office. JSM 2/25/15

16 NOTES Largest number of net migration gains are from New York and New Jersey Largest percentage of net migrations are from North Carolina and Georgia Large in-migration before recession

17 Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, 2000 Census of Population, American Community Survey , Revenue and Fiscal Affairs Office JSM 3/13/15

18 Source: U.S. Bureau of Census, 2000 Census of Population, American Community Survey , Revenue and Fiscal Affairs Office. JSM 3/12/15

19 Source: U.S. Bureau of Census, 2000 Census of Population, American Community Survey , Revenue and Fiscal Affairs Office JSM 3/12/15

20 NOTES Number of residents who speak a language other than English is increasing Spanish is becoming a larger share of the other languages Pattern varies by county Remember Twain

21 Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census of Population and Housing , Revenue and Fiscal Affairs Office. JSM 3/13/15

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26 NOTES SC median age between 1970 and 2013 increased from 26 to 38 years The increase stems from the aging baby boomers

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31 NOTES SC population is becoming more urbanized Urbanization does not mean living within municipal boundaries Community patterns drastically affect daytime and nighttime populations

32 APPENDIX

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36 Fairfield SC NATURAL INCREASE BY COUNTY Greenville Cherokee Pickens Spartanburg York Oconee Union Chester Lancaster Chesterfield Marlboro Anderson Laurens Abbeville Greenwood McCormick Fairfield Kershaw Newberry 12.2 % Lee Saluda Richland Lexington Sumter Dillon Darlington Marion Florence Horry Edgefield Aiken Calhoun Orangeburg Clarendon Williamsburg Georgetown Statewide: 1,719,418 Barnwell Bamberg Dorchester Berkeley Allendale Hampton Colleton Charleston 100,001 to 196,609 Jasper Beaufort 30,001 to 100,000 10,001 to 30,000 3,561 to 10,000 Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census and S.C. Department of Health & Environmental Control. RFA: JSM: 3/18/15 SC NATURAL INCREASE BY COUNTY Greenville Cherokee Pickens Spartanburg York Oconee Union Chester Lancaster Chesterfield Marlboro Anderson Laurens Fairfield Dillon Kershaw Darlington Newberry 12.2 % Abbeville Lee Marion Greenwood Florence Saluda Richland Lexington McCormick Sumter Horry Edgefield Aiken Calhoun Orangeburg Clarendon Williamsburg Georgetown Statewide: 201,268 Barnwell Bamberg Dorchester Berkeley Allendale Hampton Colleton Charleston 10,001 to 25,417 Jasper Beaufort 1,001 to 10,000 1 to 1, to 0 Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census and S.C. Department of Health & Environmental Control. RFA: JSM: 3/18/15

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38 Greenville Richland Lexington Horry Charleston York Berkeley Beaufort Spartanburg Dorchester Aiken Anderson Pickens Florence Sumter Lancaster Oconee Kershaw Georgetown Greenwood Orangeburg Cherokee Laurens Darlington Jasper Colleton Chesterfield Edgefield Newberry Barnwell Saluda Hampton Abbeville Clarendon Fairfield Dillon Marion Chester Calhoun Marlboro Allendale Bamberg Union McCormick Lee Williamsburg Number of Persons 300,000 South Carolina Population Change , , , , , , , , , ,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20, , Source: United States Bureau of the Census

39 Greenville Horry Richland Lexington York Beaufort Spartanburg Charleston Dorchester Berkeley Anderson Aiken Pickens Florence Lancaster Kershaw Oconee Georgetown Cherokee Greenwood Jasper Edgefield Laurens Chesterfield Orangeburg Darlington Clarendon Sumter Colleton Newberry Saluda Dillon Hampton Calhoun Barnwell Fairfield Abbeville McCormick Chester Lee Marlboro Marion Bamberg Allendale Union Williamsburg Number of Persons South Carolina Population Change , , ,000 90,000 70,000 50,000 30,000 10,000-10, Source: United States Bureau of the Census

40 Beaufort County Community Development Code

41 Why a New Code? Have a better regional approach to development between County and municipalities. Preserve and enhance traditional places in Beaufort county. Update existing standards to respond to new conditions, new Comp Plan, Regional Plans Make zoning more user friendly and flexible.

42 A Regional Approach to Zoning Rural Places Suburban Places Urban Places

43 Rural Places Promote rural economic development (agriculture, fishing, cottage industry, small businesses) Facilitate traditional rural residential communities Preserve natural areas and open space

44 Suburban Places Apply conventional development standards. Protect existing single family subdivisions and PUDs from adverse development Promote a greater degree of connectivity and walkability while facilitating the automobile Preserve natural resources

45 Urban Places Use transect zones to promote walkable and mixed use communities Facilitate infill development Target civic improvements e.g. parks, schools, libraries, other public services Simplify and expedite development review process

46 Rural Zones Suburban Zones Urban Zones

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49 What Makes Up the New Code Improvements on the ZDSO Best of Existing ZDSO Beaufort County Community Development Code New Tools

50 Keeping What Works Rural Policies (Rural zoning, family compounds, cottage industry, Cultural Protection Overlay District) Community Preservation Areas Existing PUDs Resource Protection Standards

51 Fixing and Improving More user friendly Improving the use table Providing more predictability More fine grained approach rather than one size fits all Promoting more usable civic and open space

52 New Tools in the Toolbox Transect Zones Facilitate consistent development for areas adjoining municipalities Preserves and enhances unique places in Beaufort county Better tool for infill and redevelopment Prescriptive vs. proscriptive

53 Outline of County Code Preamble Article 1: General Provisions Article 2: General to Community Design Article 3: Specific to Zones Article 4: Specific to Use Article 5: Supplemental to Zones Article 6: Subdivision and Land Development Article 7: Procedures Article 8: Nonconformities Article 9: Enforcement Article 10: Definitions

54 Article 2: General to Community Design Summary: Provides community scale requirements for both conventional and traditional communities Establishes improved standards for connectivity and community form for residential, multi family, and commercial developments Provides tools to develop traditional neighborhoods Provides standards for blocks, streets (thoroughfares), and civic and open space

55 Community Design Standards Multi Family Community Commercial Community

56 Civic and Open Space Standards

57 Thoroughfare Standards

58 Article 3: Specific to Zones Summary: Contains regulations and allowable land uses for transect, nontransect and overlay zones Transect zones assemble building form standards and allowable land uses into 2 4 page spreads Land uses are consolidated and condensed Non transect zones carry forward and improve upon remaining non transect zone framework Overlay zones carried forward

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61 Article 5: Supplemental to Zones Summary: This article contains standards that include the following: Building Types Building Frontages Architecture Fences and Walls Off street Parking Signage Exterior Lighting Landscaping and Buffers Neighborhood Compatibility Historic Preservation Natural Resources Stormwater

62 Building Type Standards

63 Private Frontage Standards

64 Architectural Standards

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68 5/21/2015 Considerations for County Planning and Zoning Penelope G. Karagounis Lancaster County Planning Director South Carolina Association of Counties Growth in Lancaster County Geographical location Polarized County Influx of Newcomers Outdated Comprehensive Plan Outdated Unified Development Ordinance Carolina Thread Trail 1

69 5/21/2015 Map of North Carolina and South Carolina 2

70 5/21/2015 Rewriting our Comprehensive Plan 3

71 5/21/2015 What is a Comprehensive Plan? Guiding Principles Strategic Plan CONNECT Our Future Core Values Smart Growth Principles Planning Best Practices 4

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73 5/21/2015 The Unified Development Ordinance (UDO) The UDO guides both new development and redevelopment in accordance with current and future needs The UDO implements the Comprehensive Plan and promotes the health, safety, and welfare of Lancaster County The UDO must be effective to successfully implement the goals and objectives of the Comprehensive Plan 6

74 5/21/2015 How does the UDO guide development? Achieves policies and proposals defined in the Comp. Plan Balances development with natural resources Concentrates development with adequate infrastructure Minimizes traffic congestion Secures safety from hazards of improper development How does the UDO guide development? Provides adequate privacy, light, air and open space Protects land values through planning and responsible development Conserves the character of neighborhoods Protects rural communities Fosters convenient, attractive and harmonious communities 7

75 5/21/2015 Rewriting Our UDO Catawba Regional Council of Government is our Consultant UDO Review Committee UDO Staff Review Community Meetings Infrastructure and Regulation Committee Engaging both Planning Commissioners and County Council Officials How the trail became possible in Lancaster County, SC Adopted the Carolina Thread Trail Master Plan for Lancaster County in 2011 Public Open House Meeting Support from County Council Support from the Developer Support from the Walnut Creek HOA and the Indian Land Action Council 8

76 5/21/2015 Twelve Mile Creek Trail at Walnut Creek Park 9

77 5/21/2015 Proposed Bridge Next Project Cross State connection foot suspension bridge Adding more miles to the trail Promoting walkable communities Any Questions? Penelope G. Karagounis, Lancaster County Planning Director (803)

78 5/21/2015 Active Living & Community Planning John Cock Vice President, Southeast Region Alta Planning + Design South Carolina Association of Counties Project Partners ESMMSC coordinates obesity prevention efforts across the state and leads the implementation of South Carolina's Obesity Prevention Plan. We promote and protect the health of the public and the environment. 1

79 5/21/2015 An Introduction To The Connection Between Healthy Lifestyles and Community Planning South Carolina Health Indicators and County Health Rankings State of the Practice among South Carolina Counties Introduction of the Health + Planning Toolkit for South Carolina Health and well being are influenced by the communities where people live, work, play, and learn, through the interplay of a community s physical, social, and cultural environment. Over the past decade, research has demonstrated links between the built environment and eating and physical activity behaviors, which in turn impact health outcomes. 2

80 5/21/2015 The Connection County Comprehensive Plans And other local plans and regulatory policy Active Living A way of life that integrates physical activity into daily routines Healthy Eating The production, process, distribution, access, and consumption of food that limits the risk of diet related chronic diseases. We have engineered physical activity out of everyday life. - Dr. William Dietz, Centers for Disease Control 3

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82 5/21/2015 The Other Side of the Equation An epidemic of preventable chronic diseases associated with: consuming excess calories inadequate consumption of fruits, vegetables, whole grains, and some micronutrients overconsumption of added products such as refined sugar and preservatives 5

83 5/21/2015 Public health education about healthy eating cannot overcome these challenges alone. - American Planning Association What does this mean for South Carolina? Source: SCaledown.org (a project of SC DHEC) 6

84 5/21/2015 $1.2 Billion of New Farm Income if each South Carolina resident purchased an additional $5 of food each week directly from a farm in the state. - Making Small Farms into Big Business: A plan for infrastructure investments to connect small farms in South Carolina to local markets Crossroads Resource Center. County Health Rankings and Roadmaps Examines metrics of health behaviors, clinical care, social and economic factors, and the physical environment Use this knowledge to garner support for local health improvement initiatives 7

85 5/21/2015 ONLINE RESOURCE See how your county ranks Roadmaps to Health Action Center 8

86 5/21/2015 A Resource Specific to South Carolina What it Offers Easy to Use Why it Matters Planning 101 Policy Guide SC Info 9

87 5/21/2015 Who it is for Local Government Professional Public Health Professional Elected Official Advocate/Interested Citizen Comprehensive plans are uniquely situated at the intersection of many of these interests and can be used as a tool to facilitate better health by improving access to physical activity and healthy foods in our communities. 10

88 5/21/2015 How Comprehensive Planning can be part of the solution: Land use Transportation Natural resources and environment Housing and community development Agriculture Economic development Community facilities such as parks or municipal buildings Growing Body of Literature ChangeLab Solutions (2013, 2012) Licensing for Lettuce Health on the Shelf How to Create and Implement Healthy General Plans American Planning Association (2012) Healthy Planning Planning for Food Access and Community Based Food Systems Public Health Law and Policy (2012) Roadmap for Healthier Comprehensive Plans University of Delaware Institute for Public Administration (2010) Healthy Communities Design for Health (2007) Integrating Health into Comprehensive Planning 11

89 5/21/2015 Step One: Needs Assessment State of the Practice in SC Comprehensive Plans are oriented towards private development and public infrastructure services. References to public health are often related to public safety. Metrics and action items related to public health in comprehensive plans are rarely, if ever, stated. Access to and understanding of health data may be a limiting factor for public health policy in comprehensive plans. Local governments are not reviewing and updating their comprehensive plans consistently. 12

90 5/21/2015 Policy Topics Covered in the Toolkit: Healthy Eating Food Production Food Processing Food Distribution Food Access and Consumption Implementation/Evaluation Policy Topics Covered in the Toolkit: Active Living Bicycle and Pedestrian Connectivity Access to Open Space, Parks, and Trails Safe Routes to School Land Use and Transportation Support Facilities, Policies, and Programs Implementation and Evaluation 13

91 5/21/2015 Available Online and Hard Copy 14

92 5/21/2015 Thank you! Contact Alta Planning + Design: John Cock johncock@altaplanning.com Jean Crowther jeancrowther@altaplanning.com South Carolina Association of Counties 15

93 5/21/2015 Collaborative Bicycle Planning In York County Stephen A. Allen, AICP Planning Services Manager, York County Allison C. Love, AICP Transportation Planner, York County South Carolina Association of Counties Process Identify the need Public meetings and outreach Bike Ped Task Force ESMMYC, York County, City of Rock Hill Secure the funding Healthy South Carolina Initiative (HSCI) Grant Local funding Identify initial routes Analyze collected data Partner with the SCDOT Their road network Initial feedback and suggestions Finalize Priority Routes 1

94 5/21/2015 Mapping Routing 5 Routes totaling Miles Signage Maps Signage Detail (MUTCD) Cost estimates Coordination with YC Public Works fabricate signs/installation Ground Truth Route Initiate route plan and signage detail review with SCDOT District Office Process Permitting Encroachment Permitting Be Patient! Online Improved SCDOT Roads, Local? Supporting Data Maps Sign Design # Signs and location Review by District SCDOT Office Pre permit communication is critical!!!! Permit issuance Installation Post permit follow up 2

95 5/21/2015 Economic Impacts and Tourism Marketing Efforts Media exposure and advertising Magazines Billboards Radio Social media Ribbon cutting ceremony Pocket maps and brochures National Bike Month activities York County Convention & Visitor s Bureau york county/ Eat Smart Move More York County Continuing Efforts Continued Project Funding Maintenance Signs for new routes Continued Collaboration Internal/External Comprehensive Planning York County, Tega Cay, Rock Hill Bike Survey Use of current routes Interest in creating new routes Gaps, Spurs, Links to other routes Goals Bike Friendly Community Designation (York County) Future road improvements coordinated with SCDOT 3

96 5/ /2015 Solar Energy: Planning and Zoning Implications Trish Jerman SC Energy Office S.C. Energy Office Mission Helping citizens, businesses and public entities save energy and money through greater efficiency and cleaner energy sources 1

97 5/ /2015 SC Distributed Energy Resource Program (Act 236 of 2014) Distributed Energy Resource Program Net Metering Program Creation of Framework for Leasing Program Review of costs and charges associated with distributed energy resources within current cost of service approach Standards for interconnection Co ops to consider costs of DE and charges SC Distributed Energy Resource Program (Act 236 of 2014) Regulated utilities must: Invest in or procure 1% of peak capacity equivalent from large scale renewables ( solar farms ) Obtain through PPAs or other incentives at least 0.75% of peak capacity equivalent from facilities <1.0 MW Provide incentives to enable customers to purchase or lease solar facilities <20 KW for the equivalent of 0.25% of peak capacity ( rooftop solar ) Develop plan for tax exempt facilities 2

98 5/ /2015 Installed PV Capacity by County (includes only distributed solar installations <100 kw) Charleston Greenville Richland Spartanburg Lexington Beaufort Horry York Berkeley Dorchester Aiken Oconee Colleton Anderson Newberry Pickens Chesterfield Sumter Hampton Chester Laurens Lancaster Orangeburg Kershaw Cherokee Abbeville Union Calhoun Greenwood Edgefield Fairfield McCormick Darlington Marion Saluda Georgetown Bamberg Barnwell Florence total kw PV capacity installed in SC 581 total installations kw AC How Do We Get From Here to There? Duke and Duke/Progress expect to need to add at least 2000 solar installations over the next 6 years SCE&G expects the same

99 5/ /2015 How Will Increased Solar Affect Local Governments? New legislation focuses attention Public opinion matters Can create zoning issues Can create permitting issues Can create inspection issues Can create finance issues Can create issues for first responders Zoning & Community Appearance Boards For commercial installations and solar farms Adequacy of current land use classifications Consequences of land clearing Solar panel screening restrictions For residential, bear in mind HOA issues Concern over property values HOA by law restrictions 4

100 5/ /2015 Zoning & Community Appearance Boards Some states have solar access laws Resources: NC Clean Tech model ordinance nccleantech.ncsu.edu/technology/renewableenergy/solar/template ordinance for solarenergy development in north carolina/ Solar Friendly Community Designation Plan Reviews & Permitting Pre-Application Access to information on solar permit requirements and procedures Permit desk & online permit applications may need revising (Solar Generator Diesel Generator) Possible increase in plan reviews for all roof top installations, commercial installations, and solar farms Solar developers will ask for pre application information about requirements and procedures Solar Systems are permitted against local jurisdiction s currently used building and electric codes SC LLR Mechanical License Requirements need to be verified. Interstate Renewable Energy Council (IREC) has a wealth of permitting resources reform/permitting 5

101 5/ /2015 Permitting: Pre application Materials Reduce individual questions staff has to field Increase applications submitted correctly and completely the first time Put everyone on the same page with respect to requirements reducing conflict Can help manage expectations about timing Facilitate solar expansion in your community Permitting: Application Checklists List required forms, diagrams or plans and where they can be found List any other documentation, signatures or approvals Describe the fee structure and options for payment 6

102 5/ /2015 Permitting: Application Checklists Provide submittal instructions Provide office locations, hours and appropriate staff contacts Include citations to relevant code or other references for technical requirements reform/permitting/ 7

103 5/ /2015 Application Submittal and Review Consider expedited review for pre-qualified projects, plans or installers Simple project pre-qualification Solar America Board for Codes and Standards (SolarABCs) solarabcs.org/about/publications/reports/expedited-permit/ Application Submittal and Review Common requirements for expedited review: Rooftop installations on residential structures Size limited (often to 10 kw or below) A maximum weight per sq. ft., (e.g., 5 lbs/sq. ft.) Minimum clearance range around the equipment Maximum height above the roof surface Panels and inverters installed per manufacturers specifications 8

104 5/ /2015 Inspections Frequency and timing of inspections can be crucial in solar installation process & cost Can you combine inspections? (building, electrical, fire, etc.) Can you coordinate inspections with utility interconnection inspections? Inspection Checklists & Guidelines IREC Field Inspection Guidelines: IREC Inspection Checklist: 9

105 5/ /2015 Using an Inspection Checklist Educational tool for inspectors and installers Improve consistency of inspections ensuring same features are checked for each system Reduce conflicts between inspectors and installers Method of notifying installers of unique or new requirements Can require it be submitted along with the application form Inspector Training Photovoltaic Online Training Platform (PVOT) IRECUSA.org/workforce-education Six topics covered: Roof Mounted Arrays and Wire Management Electrical for Roof and Ground Mounted Arrays Specifics of Ground Mounted Arrays Appropriate Signage Equipment Ratings Expedited Permitting Successful course completion allows students to apply for CE credits from International Association of Electrical Inspectors 10

106 5/ /2015 A Word About Finances Tax abatement proposals 38 states offer property tax abatement for renewable energy NC is one of them 80% local property tax abatement by law First Responders Issues 11