Climate Change and Everglades National Park: A Park Manager s Perspective
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1 Climate Change and Everglades National Park: A Park Manager s Perspective Florida Bay and Adjacent Marine Systems Conference Naples, Florida December 8, 2008 Carol Mitchell, Deputy Director for Science Everglades & Dry Tortugas National Parks National Park Service EVERGLADES & DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL PARKS
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3 Everglades National Park
4 Everglades National Park
5 Climate Change Predictions 1. SEA LEVEL RISE IPCC: GLOBALLY AVERAGED SEA LEVEL RISE PROJECTION: 7 INCHES TO 23 INCHES BY 2100 (EXCLUDES FUTURE RAPID DYNAMIC CHANGES IN ICE FLOWS) UP TO 1.5 FEET BY 2050 AND 3-5 FEET BY 2100 (WANLESS, 2008) 2. IPCC: GLOBALLY AVERAGED SURFACE TEMPERATURE CHANGE BY 2100: +2-5 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT 3. IPCC: CHANGES IN WEATHER PATTERNS -- INCREASED CYCLONIC ACTIVITY (FREQUENCY & INTENSITY); EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS; AND REDUCED PRECIPITATION EVERGLADES & DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL PARKS
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11 Mustang Corner Fire 5/14-25/2008 EVERGLADES & DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL PARKS
12 HURRICANE WILMA EVERGLADES & DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL PARKS
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15 POTENTIAL PYTHON RANGE BASED ON 2100 CLIMATE Current Distribution EVERGLADES & DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL PARKS
16 Applicable National Park Service Laws [The National Park Service] shall promote and regulate the use of national parks by such means and measures as conform to the fundamental purpose of the said parks which purpose is to conserve the scenery and the natural and historic objects and the wild life therein and to provide for the enjoyment of the same in such manner and by such means as will leave them unimpaired for the enjoyment of future generations. (National Park Service Organic Act, 1916) [Everglades National Park] shall be permanently reserved as a wilderness, and no development shall be undertaken which will interfere with the preservation intact of the unique flora and fauna and the essential primitive natural conditions (Everglades National Park, Authorizing Legislation, 1934) EVERGLADES & DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL PARKS
17 NPS Mgt Policies: Response to Climate Change & Disturbances Earth s climate has changed throughout history. Although national parks are intended to be naturally evolving places that conserve our natural and cultural heritage for generations to come, accelerated climate change may significantly alter park ecosystems. Thus, parks containing significant natural resources will gather and maintain baseline climatological data for reference. (4.7.2) The Service will reestablish natural functions and processes in parks Landscapes disturbed by natural phenomena will be allowed to recover naturally Impacts on natural systems resulting from human disturbances The Service will seek to return such disturbed areas to the natural conditions and processes characteristic of the ecological zone in which the damaged resources are situated. (4.1.5) The National Park Service will employ the most effective concepts, techniques, and equipment to protect cultural resources against theft, fire, vandalism, overuse, deterioration, environmental impacts, and other threats without compromising the integrity of the resources. (5.3.1) EVERGLADES & DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL PARKS
18 EVERGLADES RESTORATION GET THE WATER RIGHT, GET THE HABITAT RIGHT, & COMPATIBILITY WITH THE BUILT ENVIRONMENT EVERGLADES & DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL PARKS
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22 CLIMATE FRIENDLY PARKS PROGRAM US DEPT OF THE INTERIOR CLIMATE CHANGE TASK FORCE & MIAMI-DADE CLIMATE CHANGE ADVISORY TASK FORCE EDUCATION & OUTREACH OTHER ACTIONS EVERGLADES & DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL PARKS
23 Climate Change Research & Science Topic Areas Resource Inventory, Vital Signs Monitoring, & Data Management Evaluation of Climate Change Effects (especially regional/local) Surface water & groundwater (QQTD including storm surge) Vegetation & wildlife (including exotics & disease) Wetlands & coastal geomorphology Marine resources Fire Recreation (fishing/boating) & visitor enjoyment Cultural resources & the built environment Climate Change Vulnerability Assessments Evaluation of Adaptation Measures Education/Outreach Tools Assessment of Naturally-caused Climate Change vs Humaninduced Climate Change EVERGLADES & DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL PARKS
24 SUMMARY RESOURCES AT EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK ARE VULNERABLE TO CLIMATE CHANGE MONITORING & LEARNING ABOUT CLIMATE CHANGE & EFFECTS TAKING ADAPTATION MEASURES TO RESTORE RESOURCES & MAKE THEM MORE RESILIENT TO CLIMATE CHANGE EDUCATION & OUTREACH ACTIVITIES WEALTH OF CLIMATE CHANGE-RELATED RESEARCH & SCIENCE TOPICS EVERGLADES & DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL PARKS
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