Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians (NOC 2233)

Transcription

1 Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians (NOC 2233) Technologists and Technicians Occupational Group Industrial engineering and manufacturing technologists and technicians may work independently or provide technical support and services in the development of production methods, facilities and systems, and the planning, estimating, measuring and scheduling of work. They are employed by manufacturing and insurance companies, government departments, and establishments in other industries. (More NOC 2233 information is provided foling the Strategies and Actions section.) Highlights The labour market for Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians in BC begins the forecast in balance, becomes tight by 2018, and remains tight until the final year of the forecast period. In the Lower Mainland, the forecast begins the first 2 years in balance, moves to tight conditions by 2018, and eases somewhat in the last year of the forecast. In BC and the Lower Mainland, the labour market shows a high (50%) reliance on Im as the source of new s in the occupation. In rthern BC, the numbers are too small to reliably forecast tightness in the labour market. In Southeastern BC, the forecast shows a tight labour market in all years of the forecast. In the Vancouver Island Coast region, the forecast is in balance in 2016 and then becomes tight for the rest of the forecast period. For rthern and Southeastern BC, when normal unemployment 1 is taken into consideration, there are shortages in at least two years of the forecast. In BC and all of the regions, the Low Investment Scenario creates more job openings than the High over the full 10 years of the forecast. In the Vancouver Island Coast region, that difference is over 13%. 1 The shortage is calculated by assuming that 50% of the normally unemployed will be working in the occupation, effectively cutting normal unemployment by half. If fewer s are drawn into the workforce, the shortages are more pronounced. If all the normally unemployed remained outside of the workforce, rthern BC would show a shortage of s in all occupations and in all years. The Asia Pacific Gateway Skills Table wishes to acknowledge the funding support from the Government of Canada s Sectoral Initiatives Program. The opinions and interpretations in this publication are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of the Government of Canada. We gratefully acknowledge the financial support of the Province of British Columbia through the Ministry of Jobs, Tourism and Skills Training. Additional 2015 EGTT LMI Products EGTT LMI Project Executive Summary Industry Outlooks Regional Outlooks Occupational Snapshots APGST LMI Forecast Backgrounder More information can be found at or contact the Skills Table at info@apgst.ca or

2 New supply is expected to average just under 100% of job openings (99%) over the forecast period, but to be er (90%) in the first 5 years. In rthern BC, the numbers are very small, but supply does not keep pace with the job openings forecast. In Southeastern BC, new supply does not keep pace with demand, at 75% in the first 5 years of the forecast and 85% over the full 10 years. In the Vancouver Island Coast region, the numbers are very small, but new supply outpaces demand over the 10 year period, at 89%. The number of Industrial Engineering Technologists and Technicians positions increases by 10% over the 10 year forecast. In Architectural, Engineering and Related Services, the rate of growth is 29%. In Construction, the rate of growth is 9%. In BC, 2 in 3 job openings are created by Attrition. Expansion generates nearly half of the job openings in the first 5 years. This is similar in the Lower Mainland and the Vancouver Island Coast region. In the Vancouver Island Coast region, the number of positions does not change over the forecast period. In rthern BC and Southeastern BC, 75 85% of job openings are created by Attrition. Just over 1 in 5 Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians today will leave the labour market by the end of the forecast period. Regionally, this is: 2 in 5 in rthern BC, and 1 in 4 in Southeastern BC. In the Lower Mainland, 2 in 5 new Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians are immigrants. In all regions except for rthern BC, 2 in 3 or more of the new supply of Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians are New Entrants newly trained and new to the workforce. In rthern BC, virtually all of the new supply of Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians come from other occupations. 86% of Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians live in the Lower Mainland; 1% live in rthern BC; 7% live in Southeastern BC; and 6% live in the Vancouver Island Coast region. On average, Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians have years left in their working lives. BC Labour Market: Three Economic Scenarios The Skills Table models the labour market based on three different economic scenarios to provide a range of plausible possibilities for changes in the labour market. The Low Investment, or conservative, scenario includes projects that are underway or certain, while the Moderate Investment, or expected, scenario adds projects that are planned and likely to proceed. The High Investment, or optimistic, scenario adds projects that have been announced but with more distant start dates or more regulatory approvals needed to proceed. The analysis that fols is based on the Moderate Investment Scenario. The impacts of the Low Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians (NOC 2233) 2

3 and High Investment Scenarios on the labour market for Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians are detailed in the Impact of the Economic Scenarios section of this document. Key Facts : Labour Demand 2 Labour demand is created by the business environment, economic circumstances and decisions affecting employers operations. It reflects the number of jobs available to be filled in an occupation. The table be includes the number of jobs, job openings, and job openings created by Expansion for the Moderate Investment Scenario. It also shows the impact on each of those measures of the High and Low Investment Scenarios compared with the Moderate Investment Scenario. Demand and Job Openings for Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians Region Investment Scenario British Columbia Lower Mainland rth Southeast Vancouver Island Coast Average Annual Number of Jobs Total Job Openings, Total Job Openings, Jobs Created by Expansion, Jobs Created by Expansion, Impact of High +1 jobs +1 jobs 5 jobs +3 jobs 4 jobs Moderate 1,467 7,472 7, Impact of Low 2 jobs 12 jobs +11 jobs 9 jobs +16 jobs Impact of High +0 jobs 3 jobs 5 jobs +4 jobs 1 jobs Moderate 1,255 6,387 6, Impact of Low 0 jobs +1 jobs +9 jobs 1 jobs +9 jobs Impact of High 0 0 jobs 80 jobs +1 jobs 0 jobs Moderate Impact of Low +0 jobs 0 jobs +1 jobs 0 jobs 0 jobs Impact of High +1 jobs +5 jobs +3 jobs 0 jobs 1 jobs Moderate Impact of Low 2 jobs 16 jobs 3 jobs 6 jobs +7 jobs Impact of High 0 2 jobs 1 jobs 1 jobs 0 jobs Moderate Impact of Low +0 jobs 2 jobs +3 jobs 0 jobs +1 jobs The number of Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologist and Technician positions increases by 140 (10%) over the forecast period, with: just over 130 in the Lower Mainland, fewer than 5 in rthern BC, just over 5 in Southeastern BC, and no change for the Vancouver Island Coast region. 2 All of the information in this document is generated by the Skills Table from a labour market forecast based on the three economic scenarios. The statements and assessments of labour market conditions are based on the forecasts and therefore are expected conditions and outcomes relative to the economic conditions used to create the information. Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians (NOC 2233) 3

4 In BC as whole, about 480 job openings (from growth and retirements combined) are expected to be created, with: 420 in the Lower Mainland, fewer than 10 jobs in rthern BC, just under 35 in Southeastern BC, and just under 15 in the Vancouver Island Coast region. Three fifths of the job openings are expected to be created in the first 5 years of the forecast. The rate of growth from is just over a fifth of the rate seen in the first 5 years for BC and the Lower Mainland; in Southeastern BC, the rate falls to 30% of what it is in the first 5 years. In the Vancouver Island Coast region and rthern BC, the growth is too small to include in this analysis Total Job Openings: Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians British Columbia The majority of job openings are expected to be created from , when demand will grow at just under 2% annually. 25 High Low Moderate Expansion demand generates 33% of job openings, 47% in the first 5 years: In the Lower Mainland, Expansion generates 36% of job openings, 50% in the first 5 years. In rthern BC, Expansion generates 14% of job openings, 50% in the first 5 years. In Southeastern BC, Expansion generates 24% of job openings, 50% in the first 5 years. In the Vancouver Island Coast region, Expansion or rather the economic conditions in the region reduces the number of job openings for the full 10 years of the forecast. Key Facts : Labour Supply The labour supply is created by the number of s who have the skills and/or certifications to be qualified to work in each occupation in each year, including those who are newly trained, have moved from other provinces or countries, or have moved from other occupations. The extent of labour demand will affect changes in labour supply. Attrition Attrition continues to be a significant driver of job openings, although in BC as a whole and in the Lower Mainland, its impact has declined from previous forecasts. This decline is attributed to two things: more s are remaining in the workforce after the age of 65; and the impact the baby boom generation Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians (NOC 2233) 4

5 moving out of the workforce is lessening as more and more have left the workforce. The oldest baby boomers will be 70 in 2016; the youngest turned 50 in Impact of Attrition on Job Openings for Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians Region Total Job Openings Job Openings Created by Attrition, Job Openings Created by Attrition, % Job Openings Created by Attrition British Columbia % Lower Mainland % rth % Southeast % Vancouver Island Coast % On average, Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians are 43 years of age. They are youngest in the Lower Mainland and Southeastern BC, at 43, and oldest in rthern BC, at 47. For BC as a whole, labour supply is expected to grow by about 120 s over the 10 years of the forecast, with: 115 in the Lower Mainland, fewer than 5 in rthern BC, about 5 in Southeastern BC, and labour supply declining by less than 5 in the Vancouver Island Coast region. Base Supply 3 is a measure of the decline in the number of s who are active in an occupation at the beginning of the forecast and leave due to retirement during the forecast period. The decline demonstrates the proportion of experienced s who leave the workforce over the forecast period. Changes to the Base Labour Supply for Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians, Region Base Supply, 2015 Decline, % Decline, % British Columbia 1, % % Lower Mainland 1, % % rth % % Southeast % % Vancouver Island Coast % % 3 The Base Supply is calculated by removing the average number of unemployed s for the period from the 2014 supply and then removing Attrition from each year of the forecast. In essence, it demonstrates the changes in each year to the cohort of s in the first year of the forecast. Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians (NOC 2233) 5

6 New Supply In BC, new supply is expected to average just under 100% of job openings during the forecast period, but to be much er (90%) in the first 5 years. This is similar in the Lower Mainland. In Southeastern BC, new supply does not keep pace with demand; it averages 85% over the 10 year forecast, but is very : 75% in the first 5 years. In rthern BC, the numbers are very small, but supply does not keep pace with job openings forecast. In the Vancouver Island Coast region, the numbers are quite small, but new supply outpaces demand over the 10 year period. New Supply by Type Labour Supply Characteristics of Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians, Totals Region Im Average Number of Qualified New Entrants Regional From Other Occupations Average Age British Columbia 1, Lower Mainland 1, rth Southeast Vancouver Island Coast New Entrants (s newly trained and entering the workforce for the first time) are forecast to represent 64% of new supply in BC as a whole, with: 62% in the Lower Mainland, no New Entrants in rthern BC, 71% in Southeastern BC, and 91% in the Vancouver Island Coast region. International im is expected to add a further 35% to the total new supply of Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians in BC. The number is higher in the Lower Mainland, at 39%. Im adds no new s in rthern BC, Southeastern BC, or the Vancouver Island Coast Region. Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians (NOC 2233) 6

7 Labour Force Supply: Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians, British Columbia Moderate Scenario 1,500 1, Base Supply Im Occupational New Entrants Demand For BC, Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians leave the province and decrease new supply by 1% over the 10 years of the forecast: In the Lower Mainland, mobility reduces the workforce s new supply by 4%. adds no new s in rthern BC. adds 25% in Southeastern BC. adds 18% in the Vancouver Island Coast region. from other occupations adds 2% to the new supply of Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians in BC. This figure is 3% in the Lower Mainland. While the numbers are very, s from other occupations add virtually all of the new supply in rthern BC. from other occupations adds 4% of the new s in Southeastern BC. In the Vancouver Island Coast region, mobility reduces new supply by 9%. Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians (NOC 2233) 7

8 Industry Of the 10 industries included in the EGTT study, Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians work in five 4 More than 80% of Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians work in industries not captured here; close to 1 in 10 of BC s Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians work in Construction. Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians, British Columbia, Average Annual Employment, Expansion Demand, Replacement Demand, Net New Positions, Industrial Engineering and 1, Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians All Industries By Industry Architectural, Engineering and Related Services Computer Systems Design and Related Services Construction Local, Municipal and Regional Public 22 3 Administration Telecommunications 17 2 In Other Industries 1, About 1 in 4 job openings generated by Expansion are in these five industries, 15% of which are in Architectural, Engineering and Related Services. This holds true for Net New Positions. Only about 1 in 10 Attrition generated job openings are in these five industries. Impact of the Economic Scenarios In BC and all of the regions, the Low Investment Scenario creates more job openings than the high over the full 10 years of the forecast. In the Vancouver Island Coast region that difference is over 13%. Both supply and demand for Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians are minimally affected by the economic scenarios. This holds true for all of the regions. 4 The highest number of industries any of the 31 EGTT occupations work in is eight. Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians (NOC 2233) 8

9 Expansion Demand: Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians British Columbia High Low Moderate Both supply and demand for Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians fol very similar paths, with few differences across all economic scenarios. Demand for Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians shows a reverse economic impact in the last 5 years, as the Low Investment Scenario generates more jobs than the High or Moderate. Measures by Scenario: British Columbia The table on the next page shows the four APGST measures for s in BC: APGST Tightness Ranking, Supply Risk, Im Reliance, and 5. Taken together, these indicators provide a quick reference scorecard on the conditions in the labour market. 5 There are four metrics used to summarize the information from the forecast. (1) APGST Tightness Ranking: Assesses the tightness of the labour market; i.e., the degree of difficulty an employer may experience in trying to hire into the occupation. 1 = excess supply = Blue (more than 60% higher than normal unemployment) 2 = balanced supply and demand = Green (between 30 and 60% higher than normal unemployment) 3 = nearing a tight labour market = Yel (between 0 and 30% higher than normal unemployment) 4 = excess demand, limited supply = Red (be normal unemployment) (2) Supply Risk: A metric that assesses the extent to which new supply is keeping pace with job openings. It als for an assessment, relative to the Ranking, of the extent to which conditions are tightening or loosening in the labour market. If the new supply is more than 90% of the job openings, it is a LOW risk. If the new supply is between 80 and 90% of the job openings, it is a MEDIUM risk. If the new supply is less than 80% of the job openings, it is a HIGH risk. (3) Im Reliance: Assesses the extent to which the new supply is dependent on Im. Given that the levers that control im are not in the control of employers, this measure provides insight into the potential that the new supply expectations could be affected by changes to im policy. If Im represents less than 10% of new supply, it is a LOW risk. If Im represents between 10 and 25% of new supply, it is a MEDIUM risk. If Im represents between 25 and 50% of new supply, it is a HIGH risk. If Im represents 50% or more of new supply, it is an EXTREME risk. (4) : Demonstrates the extent to which movement into or out of the province affects the supply available to fill job openings. For the regions, it measures movement into and out of the region to other regions in BC as well as to other provinces. mobility <10% 10 25% 25 50% 50% or more Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians (NOC 2233) 9

10 Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians (NOC 2233) Scenario APGST Tightness Ranking High Moderate Low Supply Risk High LOW LOW HIGH HIGH MEDIUM LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Moderate LOW LOW HIGH HIGH MEDIUM LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Low LOW LOW MEDIUM HIGH MEDIUM LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Im Reliance High HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH Moderate HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH Low HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH High Moderate Low mobility moving in moving in moving in moving in moving in mobility moving in moving in moving in moving in moving in mobility Implications The labour market for Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians in BC, the Lower Mainland and the Vancouver Island Coast region begin the forecast in balance, moving to tight conditions by Conditions then ease somewhat in the last 2 years of the forecast. In BC and the Lower Mainland, the labour market also shows a high (40%) reliance on Im as the source of the supply of new Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians. This implies that employers will begin to have challenges finding the s they need in the province as a whole by the middle of the forecast period, and that strategies to address these challenges will need to look to options other than Im. The numbers are too small in rthern BC to forecast tightness reliably. In Southeastern BC, the forecast shows a tight labour market in all years of the forecast, implying that employers looking to fill vacancies will face continual challenges finding s. For rthern BC and Southeastern BC, when normal unemployment 6 is taken into consideration, there are shortages in at least 2 years of the forecast. 6 The shortage is calculated by assuming that 50% of the normally unemployed will be working in the occupation, effectively cutting normal unemployment by half. If fewer s are drawn into the workforce, the shortages are more pronounced. If all the normally unemployed remained outside of the workforce, rthern BC would show a shortage of s in all occupations and in all years. Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians (NOC 2233) 10

11 In BC and all of the regions, the Low Investment Scenario creates more job openings than the High over the full 10 years of the forecast. In the Vancouver Island Coast region, this difference is over 13%. New supply is expected to average just under 100% of job openings (99%) over the forecast period, but to be er (90%) in the first 5 years. In rthern BC, the numbers are very small, but supply does not keep pace with the job openings forecast. In Southeastern BC, new supply does not keep pace with demand, at 75% in the first 5 years of the forecast and 85% over the full 10 years. In the Vancouver Island Coast region, the numbers are very small, but new supply outpaces demand over the 10 year period, at 89%. The number of Industrial Engineering Technologists and Technicians positions increases 10% over the 10 year forecast. In Architectural, Engineering and Related Services, the rate of growth is 29%. In Construction, the rate of growth is 9%. In summary, the impacts of the forecast labour market conditions for employers are: 1. Two thirds of job openings are created by Attrition in BC and the Lower Mainland. This suggests that while the loss of senior s can create loss of corporate memory and have a negative impact on productivity, the number of experienced new s (from Im, other provinces and other occupations) entering the occupation is likely to maintain productivity and knowledge levels. In Southeastern and rthern BC, 75 85% of job openings are created by Attrition. In the Vancouver Island Coast region, job openings are created solely by Attrition, as the number of positions shrinks over the forecast period. This implies significant challenges with succession and maintenance of corporate knowledge in 5 Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians today will leave the labour market by the end of the forecast period. In rthern BC, this is 2 in In BC and the Lower Mainland, more than a third of new Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians are immigrants. When Im represents a high portion of new supply, this is a risk to the labour market, as the levers that determine the rate of im are not in the control of employers. 4. In all regions except rthern BC, more than two thirds of the new supply of Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians are New Entrants newly trained and new to the workforce. In the Vancouver Island Coast region, New Entrants represent 9 in 10 new s. This suggests that employers will need to invest in strong orientation and internal training programs to enable new s to become fully productive as quickly as possible. 5. In rthern BC, virtually all of the new supply of Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians comes from other occupations. 6. Conditions are challenging over the whole forecast period, but slightly less so in the earlier years. Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians (NOC 2233) 11

12 7. While the overall tightness changes very little, BC, the Lower Mainland and the Vancouver Island Coast regions show some degree of ease in the labour market in the first and last years of the forecast. 8. Changes in the number of jobs and s available in the labour market are driven more by the overall economy than by large scale projects and programs % of Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians live in the Lower Mainland; 1% are in rthern BC; 7% are in Southeastern BC; and 6% live in the Vancouver Island Coast region. 10. On average, Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians have years left in their working lives. This implies a balance of ages in the available labour supply, and therefore reasonable opportunities for employers to find mid career, experienced s in the existing labour pool. Strategies and Actions The labour market is challenging for Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists over the 10 years of the forecast period, in BC as a whole as well as each of the four regions. Some strategies to support employers to access s and enhance productivity in this environment include: Focus on retention; keep s working for you; help them stay in BC. Develop or leverage existing cultural and immigrant settlement programs to enable immigrant s to integrate quickly and effectively into the workplace. In a tight labour market, managing succession and building comprehensive succession plans and experienced retention programs can be central tools for expanding and maintaining a workforce. Examine mature workforce retention and recruitment programs to extend the working lives of current employees. Develop, participate in or support work experience, co op and internship programs to help build experience in newly trained s. Review hiring/job requirements with a view to transferability from other occupations. Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians (NOC 2233) 12

13 OCCUPATION KEY CHARACTERISTICS Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians (NOC 2233) Example Titles CAD/CAM programmer industrial engineering technician industrial engineering technologist loss prevention technologist manufacturing manufacturing technician manufacturing technologist planning technician plastics manufacturing technician pulp and paper manufacturing technologist quality assurance technologist scheduling technician manufacturing textile technologist time study analyst Main Duties Industrial engineering and manufacturing technologists perform some or all of the foling duties: Develop and conduct production, inventory and quality assurance programs in manufacturing or in other industries Design plant layouts and production facilities Develop and carry out work study and related programs Develop and carry out industrial health, safety and fire prevention plans and programs and conduct safety training programs Develop applications using CAD/CAM (computer assisted drafting, computer assisted manufacturing) for the control of robots, computer numerical control (CNC) machines and other manufacturing processes and operations. Industrial engineering and manufacturing technicians perform some or all of the foling duties: Assist in the design of plant layouts Conduct work measurement or other studies Collect and compile operational or experimental data and assist in the development of estimates, schedules, specifications and reports Collect and analyze data and samples in support of quality assurance and industrial health and safety programs Develop manufacturing and processing procedures and variables, set machine or equipment controls, oversee production and inspect processes. Technologists and technicians in this unit group may specialize in the development of production processes, quality assurance programs, plans and schedules in a particular industrial area such as metal fabrication, plastics, pulp and paper, or textile manufacturing. Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians (NOC 2233) 13

14 Educational Requirements Completion of a two or three year college program or equivalent in industrial engineering technology, pulp and paper technology, plastics technology, textile technology, manufacturing technology or a related discipline is usually required for industrial engineering or manufacturing technologists. Completion of a one or two year college program in industrial engineering technology or in a related discipline is usually required for industrial engineering or manufacturing technicians. Certification in industrial engineering or manufacturing technology or in a related field is available through provincial or territorial associations of engineering/applied science technologists and technicians and may be required for some positions. A period of supervised work experience, usually two years, is required before certification. A college diploma in manufacturing technology and/or trade certification and experience in machining and tooling or metalworking is required for CAD CAM/CNC programmers. Source: Human Resources and Skills Development Canada at Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians (NOC 2233) 14

15 DATA TABLES BY REGION AND ECONOMIC SCENARIO Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians (NOC 2233) Region: British Columbia High Investment Forecast Demand 1,375 1,398 1,429 1,461 1,491 1,498 1,501 1,504 1,507 1,513 Labour Force Supply 1,458 1,478 1,495 1,511 1,531 1,543 1,552 1,560 1,567 1,578 Replacement Demand Expansion Demand Total Job Openings Average Age New Entrants Net Other In Net New Supply APGST Tightness Ranking Supply Risk LOW LOW HIGH HIGH MEDIUM LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Im Reliance HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH Region: British Columbia Moderate Investment Forecast Demand 1,374 1,396 1,425 1,457 1,488 1,497 1,502 1,506 1,510 1,514 Labour Force Supply 1,458 1,478 1,494 1,511 1,531 1,544 1,553 1,561 1,568 1,579 Replacement Demand Expansion Demand Total Job Openings Average Age New Entrants Net Other In Net New Supply APGST Tightness Ranking Supply Risk LOW LOW HIGH HIGH MEDIUM LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Im Reliance HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians (NOC 2233) 15

16 Region: British Columbia Low Investment Forecast Demand 1,371 1,390 1,416 1,446 1,479 1,494 1,506 1,513 1,517 1,521 Labour Force Supply 1,457 1,476 1,492 1,507 1,528 1,543 1,555 1,565 1,571 1,582 Replacement Demand Expansion Demand Total Job Openings Average Age New Entrants Net Other In Net New Supply APGST Tightness Ranking Supply Risk LOW LOW MEDIUM HIGH MEDIUM LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Im Reliance HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH Region: Lower Mainland High Investment Forecast Demand 1,170 1,192 1,219 1,246 1,274 1,281 1,286 1,291 1,295 1,300 Labour Force Supply 1,243 1,263 1,278 1,291 1,309 1,320 1,330 1,340 1,346 1,357 Replacement Demand Expansion Demand Total Job Openings Average Age New Entrants Net Other In Net New Supply APGST Tightness Ranking Supply Risk LOW LOW HIGH HIGH HIGH LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Im Reliance HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH EXTREME HIGH HIGH Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians (NOC 2233) 16

17 Region: Lower Mainland Moderate Investment Forecast Demand 1,170 1,191 1,216 1,244 1,272 1,281 1,288 1,293 1,297 1,301 Labour Force Supply 1,243 1,263 1,279 1,292 1,310 1,321 1,331 1,341 1,347 1,358 Replacement Demand Expansion Demand Total Job Openings Average Age New Entrants Net Other In Net New Supply APGST Tightness Ranking Supply Risk LOW LOW MEDIUM HIGH MEDIUM LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Im Reliance HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH EXTREME HIGH HIGH Region: Lower Mainland Low Investment Forecast Demand 1,168 1,188 1,211 1,239 1,269 1,282 1,291 1,298 1,302 1,305 Labour Force Supply 1,242 1,263 1,279 1,293 1,311 1,324 1,334 1,342 1,348 1,359 Replacement Demand Expansion Demand Total Job Openings Average Age New Entrants Net Other In Net New Supply APGST Tightness Ranking Supply Risk LOW LOW MEDIUM HIGH HIGH LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Im Reliance HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH moderate Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians (NOC 2233) 17

18 Region: rth High Investment Forecast Demand Labour Force Supply Replacement Demand Expansion Demand Total Job Openings Average Age New Entrants Net Other In Net New Supply APGST Tightness Ranking Count Count Count Count Count Count Count Count Count Count too small too small too small too small too small too small too small too small too small too small Supply Risk Count Count Count Count Count Count Count Count Count Count too small too small too small too small too small too small too small too small too small too small Im Reliance new new new new new new new new new new supply supply supply supply supply supply supply supply supply supply Region: rth Moderate Investment Forecast Demand Labour Force Supply Replacement Demand Expansion Demand Total Job Openings Average Age New Entrants Net Other In Net New Supply APGST Tightness Ranking Count Count Count Count Count Count Count Count Count Count too small too small too small too small too small too small too small too small too small too small Supply Risk Count Count Count Count Count Count Count Count Count Count too small too small too small too small too small too small too small too small too small too small Im Reliance new intl. new new new new new new new new supply supply supply supply supply supply supply supply supply Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians (NOC 2233) 18

19 Region: rth Low Investment Forecast Demand Labour Force Supply Replacement Demand Expansion Demand Total Job Openings Average Age New Entrants Net Other In Net New Supply APGST Tightness Ranking Count Count Count Count Count Count Count Count Count Count too small too small too small too small too small too small too small too small too small too small Supply Risk Count Count Count Count Count Count Count Count Count Count too small too small too small too small too small too small too small too small too small too small Im Reliance intl. intl. new new new new new new new new supply supply supply supply supply supply supply supply Region: Southeast High Investment Forecast Demand Labour Force Supply Replacement Demand Expansion Demand Total Job Openings Average Age New Entrants Net Other In Net New Supply APGST Tightness Ranking Supply Risk Count Count Count Count Count Count Count Count HIGH MEDIUM too small too small too small too small too small too small too small too small Im Reliance intl. intl. intl. intl. intl. intl. intl. extreme intl. extreme intl. intl. Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians (NOC 2233) 19

20 Region: Southeast Moderate Investment Forecast Demand Labour Force Supply Replacement Demand Expansion Demand Total Job Openings Average Age New Entrants Net Other In Net New Supply APGST Tightness Ranking Supply Risk Count Count Count Count Count Count Count Count Count HIGH too small too small too small too small too small too small too small too small too small Im Reliance intl. intl. intl. intl. intl. intl. intl. extreme intl. extreme intl. intl. Region: Southeast Low Investment Forecast Demand Labour Force Supply Replacement Demand Expansion Demand Total Job Openings Average Age New Entrants Net Other In Net New Supply APGST Tightness Ranking Supply Risk Count Count Count Count Count Count Count Count Count Count too small too small too small too small too small too small too small too small too small too small Im Reliance intl. intl. intl. intl. intl. intl. intl. intl. intl. intl. Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians (NOC 2233) 20

21 Region: Vancouver Island Coast High Investment Forecast Demand Labour Force Supply Replacement Demand Expansion Demand Total Job Openings Average Age New Entrants Net Other In Net New Supply APGST Tightness Ranking Supply Risk Count Count Count Count Count Count Count Count Count Count too small too small too small too small too small too small too small too small too small too small Im Reliance new new intl. intl. intl. intl. intl. intl. intl. intl. supply supply Fewer jobs than previous extreme year Region: Vancouver Island Coast Moderate Investment Forecast Demand Labour Force Supply Replacement Demand Expansion Demand Total Job Openings Average Age New Entrants Net Other In Net New Supply APGST Tightness Ranking Supply Risk Count Count Count Count Count Count Count Count Count Count too small too small too small too small too small too small too small too small too small too small Im Reliance new new intl. intl. intl. intl. intl. intl. intl. intl. supply supply Fewer jobs than previous year Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians (NOC 2233) 21

22 Region: Vancouver Island Coast Low Investment Forecast Demand Labour Force Supply Replacement Demand Expansion Demand Total Job Openings Average Age New Entrants Net Other In Net New Supply APGST Tightness Ranking Supply Risk Count Count Count Count Count Count Count Count Count Count too small too small too Small too Small too Small too Small too Small too Small too Small too Small Im Reliance new intl. intl. intl. intl. intl. intl. intl. intl. intl. supply Fewer jobs than Leaving Worker Worker Moving Moving Moving Moving Moving Moving previous Extreme Migration Migration In In In In In In year Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians (NOC 2233) 22