Florida Poll August 2016 Topline Results August 25, 2016

Transcription

1 Florida Poll August 2016 Topline Results August 25, 2016 Question 8 How likely are you to vote in the general election for U.S. President and other offices this November? 97% TOTAL WILL VOTE 3% TOTAL WILL NOT VOTE 87% DEFINITELY WILL VOTE 10% PROBABLY WILL VOTE 2% PROBABLY WILL NOT VOTE 1% DEFINITELY WILL NOT VOTE Question 9 Do you think that things in the country are going in the right direction, or are things going down the wrong track? 31% RIGHT DIRECTION 69% WRONG TRACK Question 10 And do you think that things in Florida are going in the right direction, or are things going down the wrong track? 41% RIGHT DIRECTION 59% WRONG TRACK 1

2 Question 11 Which of the following would you say is the most important problem facing Florida today? 23% JOBS AND THE ECONOMY 12% HEALTH CARE/HEALTH ISSUES 11% CRIME 10% IMMIGRATION 10% EDUCATION 7% TERRORISM/HOMELAND SECURITY 7% ENVIRONMENT 5% GUN POLICY 4% TRANSPORTATION AND INFRASTRUCTURE 4% RACISM 3% TAXES 2% SOCIAL ISSUES 3% SOMETHING ELSE Question 12 How would you rate the Florida economy these days? 40% TOTAL EXCELLENT/GOOD 60% TOTAL FAIR/POOR 4% EXCELLENT 36% GOOD 51% FAIR 9% POOR Question 13 How would you rate your own personal economic situation these days? 54% TOTAL EXCELLENT/GOOD 46% TOTAL FAIR/POOR 10% EXCELLENT 44% GOOD 35% FAIR 11% POOR Question 14 Thinking about the next 12 months, would you say you feel optimistic or pessimistic about your own family's financial situation? 75% OPTIMISTIC 25% PESSIMISTIC 2

3 Below is a list of people. Please indicate whether you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of each. If you have never heard the name, or have heard of the name but have no opinion, just indicate so. TOT HRD OF TOT FAV TOT UNFAV VERY FAV SMT FAV SMT UNFAV VERY UNFAV HRD OF NO OPIN NVR HRD OF 15_1. Barack Obama 99% 47% 51% 30% 18% 11% 39% 1% 1% _2. Hillary Clinton 99% 41% 57% 21% 20% 12% 45% 1% 1% _3. Donald Trump 99% 37% 61% 18% 18% 12% 48% 2% 1% _4. Marco Rubio 99% 38% 52% 10% 28% 23% 29% 8% 1% _5. Bill Nelson 89% 43% 30% 12% 31% 17% 12% 17% 11% _6. Rick Scott 98% 36% 55% 11% 24% 19% 36% 7% 2% _7. Patrick Murphy 74% 26% 24% 6% 20% 13% 11% 23% 26% _8. Alan Grayson 68% 15% 28% 2% 13% 14% 14% 24% 32% 0.5 RATIO 3

4 Question 16/17/18 If the November 2016 general election for U.S. President were held today and these were the candidates, for whom would you vote? 42% TOTAL CLINTON 37% TOTAL TRUMP 8% TOTAL JOHNSON 2% TOTAL STEIN 4% TOTAL SOMEONE ELSE 27% STRONGLY CLINTON 13% NOT SO STRONGLY CLINTON 1% LEAN CLINTON 24% STRONGLY TRUMP 12% NOT SO STRONGLY TRUMP 1% LEAN TRUMP 3% STRONGLY JOHNSON 4% NOT SO STRONGLY JOHNSON 1% LEAN JOHNSON 1% STRONGLY STEIN * NOT SO STRONGLY STEIN 0% LEAN STEIN 1% STRONGLY SOMEONE ELSE 2% NOT SO STRONGLY SOMEONE ELSE 1% LEAN TOWARDS SOMEONE ELSE 8% UNDECIDED Question 19 And if your preferred candidate were not on the ballot, who would be your second choice for U.S. President in November? 21% GARY JOHNSON, THE LIBERTARIAN CANDIDATE 11% JILL STEIN, THE GREEN CANDIDATE 4% DONALD TRUMP, THE REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE 4% HILLARY CLINTON, THE DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE 34% SOMEONE ELSE 26% UNDECIDED 4

5 Thinking about the 2016 election for U.S. president, how much would you consider voting for the following candidates? TOTAL CONS-IDER DEFI CONS- IDER MIGHT CONS-IDER 20_1. Hillary Clinton, the Democratic candidate 53% 41% 12% 47% 20_2. Donald Trump, the Republican candidate 48% 34% 14% 52% 20_3. Gary Johnson, the Libertarian candidate 60% 9% 50% 40% 20_4. Jill Stein, the Green candidate 50% 6% 44% 50% DEFI WOULD NOT CONS-IDER Question 21 And regardless of whom you support for president, if you had to say, who do you predict will win the election? 59% HILLARY CLINTON, THE DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE 37% DONALD TRUMP, THE REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE 5% SOMEONE ELSE Question 30/31/32 If the November 2016 general election for U.S. Senate were held today and these were the candidates, for whom would you vote? 43% TOTAL RUBIO 42% TOTAL MURPHY 23% STRONGLY RUBIO 18% NOT SO STRONGLY RUBIO 1% LEAN RUBIO 24% STRONGLY MURPHY 15% NOT SO STRONGLY MURPHY 3% LEAN MURPHY 16% UNDECIDED 5

6 Question 33/34/35 If the November 2016 general election for U.S. Senate were held today and these were the candidates, for whom would you vote? 44% TOTAL RUBIO 39% TOTAL GRAYSON 24% STRONGLY RUBIO 19% NOT SO STRONGLY RUBIO 2% LEAN RUBIO 19% STRONGLY GRAYSON 17% NOT SO STRONGLY GRAYSON 4% LEAN GRAYSON 16% UNDECIDED Question 37 Florida's Amendment 1 allows Florida residents to generate solar electricity on their property for personal use, and authorizes state and local governments to ensure that people who decline to produce solar energy do not have to subsidize solar energy production costs. Would you favor or oppose this ballot initiative? 70% TOTAL FAVOR 9% TOTAL OPPOSE 37% FAVOR - STRONGLY 32% FAVOR - SOMEWHAT 6% OPPOSE - SOMEWHAT 3% OPPOSE - STRONGLY 22% UNSURE Question 38 Florida's Amendment 2 would legalize medical marijuana for individuals with debilitating medical conditions as determined by a licensed state physician. It only applies to Florida law and Florida's Department of Health would regulate marijuana for medical use. Would you favor or oppose this ballot initiative? 72% TOTAL FAVOR 21% TOTAL OPPOSE 47% FAVOR - STRONGLY 25% FAVOR - SOMEWHAT 9% OPPOSE - SOMEWHAT 12% OPPOSE - STRONGLY 7% UNSURE 6

7 Question 39 Florida's Amendment 3 would provide tax relief on homestead property to a first responder who is totally and permanently disabled as a result of injuries sustained in the line of duty. Would you favor or oppose this ballot initiative? 87% TOTAL FAVOR 4% TOTAL OPPOSE 59% FAVOR - STRONGLY 27% FAVOR - SOMEWHAT 3% OPPOSE - SOMEWHAT 1% OPPOSE - STRONGLY 9% UNSURE Question 41 Florida's Amendment 5 would provide a tax break for homes valued at less than $250,000 and owned by senior citizens who have lived in the home at least 25 years, and to permanently disabled veteran seniors and surviving spouses of veterans or first responders who died in the line of duty. Would you favor or oppose this ballot initiative? 87% TOTAL FAVOR 6% TOTAL OPPOSE 56% FAVOR - STRONGLY 31% FAVOR - SOMEWHAT 5% OPPOSE - SOMEWHAT 1% OPPOSE - STRONGLY 7% UNSURE Question 44 In general, do you favor or oppose requiring police officers to use body cameras while on duty? 89% TOTAL FAVOR 5% TOTAL OPPOSE 62% FAVOR - STRONGLY 27% FAVOR - SOMEWHAT 4% OPPOSE - SOMEWHAT 1% OPPOSE - STRONGLY 6% UNSURE 7

8 Question 45 In the event that police misconduct is reported, do you favor or oppose giving the public full access to video taken by police body cameras? 80% TOTAL FAVOR 14% TOTAL OPPOSE 52% FAVOR - STRONGLY 28% FAVOR - SOMEWHAT 10% OPPOSE - SOMEWHAT 4% OPPOSE - STRONGLY 6% UNSURE Question 46 Some people are calling for an expansion of citizen oversight boards for local law enforcement. These boards are made up of civilians who are not affiliated with government, and they are tasked with reviewing citizen complaints and proposing reforms. Would you support or oppose such a board in your community? 64% TOTAL FAVOR 22% TOTAL OPPOSE 25% FAVOR - STRONGLY 39% FAVOR - SOMEWHAT 14% OPPOSE - SOMEWHAT 8% OPPOSE - STRONGLY 15% UNSURE Question 47 Do you think that relations between local police forces and minorities in communities around the country are generally good or bad? 26% GOOD 55% BAD 19% UNSURE 8

9 Question 48 Overall, do you think U.S. college and university campuses would be safer or more dangerous places if students and faculty members who have a permit were allowed to carry a concealed weapon on campus? 35% TOTAL SAFER 56% TOTAL MORE DANGEROUS 14% MUCH SAFER 21% SOMEWHAT SAFER 24% SOMEWHAT MORE DANGEROUS 32% MUCH MORE DANGEROUS 9% UNSURE Question 49 Florida health officials recently confirmed the first known cases of the Zika virus in the state, including in pregnant women. Overall, how would you rate the state's response so far? 49% TOTAL EXCELLENT/GOOD 40% TOTAL FAIR/POOR 10% EXCELLENT 40% GOOD 25% JUST FAIR 15% POOR 11% UNSURE Question 50 How should the state prioritize responding to the Zika virus? 92% TOTAL PRIORITY 3% TOTAL NOT PRIORITY 26% TOP PRIORITY 52% HIGH PRIORITY 14% MEDIUM PRIORITY 2% LOW PRIORITY 1% BOTTOM PRIORITY 5% UNSURE 9

10 Question 52 How long have you lived in Florida? 12% LESS THAN 6 YEARS 88% 6 YEARS OR MORE 1% LESS THAN A YEAR 11% 1-5 YEARS 10% 6-10 YEARS 10% YEARS 68% 16+ YEARS Question 54 Regardless of your official party registration status, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, Republican, or Independent? 31% DEMOCRAT 31% REPUBLICAN 29% INDEPENDENT 1% OTHER AFFILIATION 8% NOT AFFILIATED Question 55 In general, would you describe your political views as Liberal, Moderate, or Conservative? 27% TOTAL LIBERAL 28% TOTAL CONSERVATIVE 8% VERY LIBERAL 19% LIBERAL 19% CONSERVATIVE 8% VERY CONSERVATIVE 45% MODERATE 10

11 Question 56 What was your total household income before taxes during the past 12 months? 40% LESS THAN $50K 51% $50K+ 12% LESS THAN $25,000 11% $25,000 TO $34,999 17% $35,000 TO $49,999 19% $50,000 TO $74,999 14% $75,000 TO $99,999 13% $100,000 TO $149,999 5% $150,000 OR MORE 9% PREFER NOT TO SAY Question 57 What is your marital status? 60% MARRIED OR LIVING WITH PARTNER 39% SINGLE/SEP/DIV/WID 23% SINGLE, NEVER MARRIED 5% WIDOWED 11% DIVORCED 1% SEPARATED Question 1 Age. 23% % % % 65+ Question 2 Gender. 46% MALE 54% FEMALE 0% ANOTHER IDENTIFICATION 11

12 Question 3 What is your race? 64% WHITE 18% HISPANIC OR LATINO 13% BLACK OR AFRICAN AMERICAN 3% ASIAN OR PACIFIC ISLANDER 1% NATIVE AMERICAN OR AMERICAN INDIAN 1% SOMETHING ELSE Question 4 Which is the highest level of school that you have completed? 57% NON-COLLEGE 43% COLLEGE 25% HIGH SCHOOL OR LESS 22% SOME COLLEGE, NO DEGREE 10% ASSOCIATE'S DEGREE 28% BACHELOR'S DEGREE 15% GRADUATE OR PROFESSIONAL DEGREE Question 5 Region. 8% PANHANDLE 14% NE 20% CENTRAL - EAST 26% CENTRAL - WEST 32% SOUTH 12