Always Sufficient. Professor Rahim Tafazolli Director, Institute for Communication Systems (ICS), 5GIC

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1 Always Sufficient Professor Rahim Tafazolli Director, Institute for Communication Systems (ICS), 5GIC

2 University of Surrey, 5GIC 2

3 5GIC s Mission To become a world-leading centre for multi-disciplinary communications research To be a model for collaborations with academic institutions, industry and the community To deliver innovative communications solutions in order to generate social and economic value To influence future standards and regulation Service providers Leadership Infrastructure & device manufacturers Research Teaching Test equipment vendors Standardisation bodies Application & content providers Industry forums and alliances Regulators and policy makers Academia and research centres IPR SMEs & other solution providers Revenue Leadership Growth 5G Services 3

4 Wireless Standards Evolution 5G Next generation Global standard around Research & Std 5G Research & Std 4G LTE/LTE Advanced Research & Std 3G WCDMA/HSPA/HSPA + Research & Std 2G GSM/GPRS/EDGE 1G TACS Systems tend to co exist rather then replace previous generations Timescale getting shorter between Research/Standardisation and Commercialisation 4

5 What is 5G?

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11 Long Ago, People Concerts, Now They Video / Click / Share / Tweet

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13 Future is about connectivity Communications & Control Towards Digital Economy and Society Modernisation of ageing industries Transportation Energy Manufacturing Health Smart Homes, Cities and Countries 13

14 Communication Networks Becoming Super National Critical Infrastructure By connecting the other National Critical Infrastructures 14

15 Killer Applications The Internet! 15

16 Control- IoT Connected Digital Economy Connected Devices of small and large sizes and capabilities (robots, cars, sensors, actuators, smart phones. driverless cars) Major functionalities Sensing Data analytics Actuation 16

17 Control and Modernisation of other industries Still 99% of THINGS are not connected 17

18 UK industry benefits of big data million, (2011 prices) Industry Manufacturing 5,965 45,252 Retail 3,406 32,478 Other activities 3,446 27,929 Professional services 3,039 27,649 Central government 2,517 20,405 Healthcare 1,450 14,384 Telecommunications 1,465 13,740 Transport and logistics 1,360 12,417 Retail banking 708 6,408 Energy and utilities 660 5,430 Investment banking 554 5,275 Insurance 517 4,595 UK economy (total) 25, ,964 Source: CBER,

19 From Data to Information to Intelligence Analytics is discovery and communication of meaningful patterns in data which can be translated into useful actions (actuation) 19

20 Communications Mobile Broadband Cellular Communications 2020+

21 5G in one sentence Always Sufficient Rate to give users the perception of Infinite Capacity

22 Trends and Drivers--all compared with

23 Internet Services Trend Richness in Content Internet is getting more complex with rich multi-media content Web pages getting more complex Video and HD Average file size on the web = 10 MBytes Video accounts for ~99% of all bytes transferred Usage Several orders of magnitude New services Social networks 23

24 UK Situation in 2020 Communications Critical radio spectrum shortage Monday, 17 November

25 SU MIMO 2 x 2 SU MIMO 4 x 2 SU MIMO 4 x 4 SU MIMO 8 x 2 MU MIMO 4 x 2 MU MIMO 8 x 2 CS/CB CoMP 4 x 2 CS/CB CoMP 8 x 2 JP CoMP 4 x 2

26 Cellular WiFi- Throughput

27 Cellular WiFi- Spectral Efficiency

28 Bandwidth Floor 25 Traffic demand after WiFi off load of : ~ 6% (case A2) in 2020 ~ 25% (case A3) in 2020 Gb/s/km Traffic Case A Traffic Case C Traffic Case D Traffic Case F Traffic case A1 (Low WiFi off load) Traffic case C2 (Low WiFi off load) Traffic case D2 (Low WiFi off load) Trafic case F2 (Low WiFi off load) Traffic case A3 (hhigh WiFi off load) LTE (40 LTE (40 LTE (40 LTE (40 Gb/s/km Traffic Case D Traffic Case F Traffic case D2 (Low WiFi off load) Trafic case F2 (Low WiFi off load) LTE (40 LTE (40 LTE ( Case A: Working population inner city Case C: Offices Case D: Peak Case F: Mean ISD (Inter site Distance) represents cell densities Ref: InterDigital Surrey Vision beyond 2020

29 Major Challenges Latencies Reliability Security/privacy Energy Efficiency Capacity User Profiling 29

30 5GIC approach Starts from end user QoE (H2H, H2D, D2D) Unlike 2G.4G, designed for end device Capacity & Energy efficiencies, Latency, Reliability Speed is not the differentiator between 5G and previous generations Latency e2e and radio access 5G should start with high density cells macro cells 1G.4G started with macrocells small cells Spectrum and system agnostic No difference between licenced and licenced-exempt bands Broadcast, Cellular, WiFi technologies (Data, Video, Audio) 30

31 New Air-Interface? Ultra Dense Cells Scalable to Medium and low density cells From narrow band to broadband services 31

32 New Air-Interface and New KPIs Objectives NOT link spectral efficiency Low control signalling overhead for management, No stringent time frequency control as in OFDMA Light MAC protocol Support fast and reliable spectrum sensing for opportunistic spectrum sharing with and without database support Highly energy efficient Flexible implementation of carrier aggregation across highly fragmented spectrum including license exempt band Allow full duplex operation Sub millisecond Air Interface latency Scalable for device to device and machine type communications 32

33 Will 5G provide Higher Speed? Main reasons Low latency: Full utilisation of advanced techniques potentials QoE: Fast network responses 33

34 Fixed & Mobile data rate evolution 100 Mbps 10 Mbps 1 Mbps ADSL 3Mbps ADSL 1Mbps FTTH 100Mbps VDSL 25Mbps LTE Mbps HSPA+ 5 30Mbps HSPA 2 4Mbps HSDPA 1Mbps 100 kbps 10 kbps GSM 9.6 kbps 2.4k 4.8.k 56k 28.8k 3G R9 384k 128k GPRS 38 kbps Fixed Data Mobile Data

35 New Radio Access Architectures Cooperation converts the distributed cellular system into a MIMO system with distributed antennas Interference is good 35

36 Smaller Cells Fundamental capacity limits

37 New Air-Interface and New KPIs Objectives NOT link spectral efficiency Low control signalling overhead for management, No stringent time frequency control as in OFDMA Light MAC protocol Support fast and reliable spectrum sensing for opportunistic spectrum sharing with and without database support Highly energy efficient Flexible implementation of carrier aggregation across highly fragmented spectrum including license exempt band Allow full duplex operation Sub millisecond Air Interface latency Scalable for device to device and machine type communications 37

38 New RA Architecture Dynamic provisioning of resources Data and Signalling resources separation Reduce in signalling Reduce in energy consumption Cutting Energy, Cost and RF Emission Signalling Off By saving signalling User data Today Standby Deployment for Separating signalling and data 2020 traffic system 38

39 5G Targets Speed should not be the only target Targets: Area Spectral Efficiency bits/s/m2 Energy Efficiency. bits/joule Latencies: E2E and Over The Air QoE.? 39

40 University of Surrey, 5GIC CLOUD Spectrum 40MHz (2.6,3.4, mmwaveghz) Monday, 17 November

41 5GIC High Level Technical Activity Roadmap 5G Research 3G: Started in 1989, standards in 1999, commercial system in G: Started in 2000, standards in 2008, commercial in G: Already started, standards in ~2016 commercial in 2020 Rel. x WRC15 5G Commercial Field Trials Development & Testing Rel. 12 Standardisation Performance Evaluation Simulations Testbed Emulators Q1 2018, (5G) Large scale end to end testbed April 15 (4G Advanced+ 5G) 41

42 Achievement highlights so far Speed and spectrum efficiency Highest-ever speed wirelessly >800x highest speed in 4G (0.8Tbps) Interference is good Uniform user experience, all over cell coverage 14x capacity increase at cell edge compared with state-of-the-art technologies Energy Harvesting No more maximum talk time 42

43 Intelligence for always sufficient and QoE Use of Telecom Data

44 University of Surrey, 5GIC 44

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