kw ( 10m ) [1,2 ], kw [3 ] Vol. 30,No. 11 November,2008 RESOURCES SCIENCE : (2008) ,

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1 RESOURCES SCIENCE Vol. 30,No. 11 November,2008 : (2008) ,2, 1 (1., ; 2., ) :,,,,, PVC,, 2006,,2020, 2020 :,, 2020, kwh, t, t,co t, t,so t, : ; ; ; ;, kw (10m ) [1,2 ],, 2006, 90, 3 310, kw [3 ],, 30,,,,, [4 ], ;, 60 % [5 ],, ,,,, , ( ),,,,, :,, : ; : : 973 (:2007CB210306) :,,,,E2mail :linxq. ac. cn :,E2mail ac. cn

2 30 11 : 1613, 2020 ;,2020,,, PVC,, 1,,,,,,,,,, [6 ],,, 111 ( ), ( ),, ( ), % 2020 ( ) 1 1 Table 1 Development goals of off2grid wind farm in China ( GW) ( GW) ( %) 2007 Π ( 10 4 kw)π( %) 2020 Π ( 10 4 kw)π( %) Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π Π , : W k q P j i = W k D k 100 % k = 1 q = k = 1 n W k ( X ikπ i = 1 X ik 100 %) (1) k ; D k k ; X ik i k ; q ; n ( 31),

3 ,,, 113, 7, 31 ( ),(1) ( ), 11311, [7 ],, 11312, ,,, ( ) ( ) 11314, GDP ( ),,,, 11315,, ( ) 11316,,, 2006 ( ) 11317,,, ( ), 114, 7,,, (1), 31 ( ) ( 2) 2 ( ) Table 2 Probability of off2grid wind farm layout in China

4 30 11 : 1615,10 () 2 NaCl NaOH Cl 2 H 2,,,,, [8 ],,,,, ( PVC),,, t, t [9 ],, , t, t 5, %, (20 30) 10 4 t 10, %, (10 20) 10 4 t 32, %, t 173, % [10 ], ( ), t, % t, 38 10, 13, 8, 4,2, 2, 1, 2, 2, 2, PVC t, t [11 ], PVC 92, ( ) Table 3 The output of chlor2alkali in China in 2006 ( 10 4 t, %) t 11, 43 %, (10 20) 10 4 t 16, 27 %, t 65, 30 % [10 ] PVC ( 4),2006 PVC 10 ( ),PVC t, % t, ( ), 2,3, 3,2,2,2,1,2,2,1 [12 ] 2006 PVC, 11 ( ),, ( 1) : t, t, PVC t, % % t, t,pvc t, % 8198 %

5 t, t, 6112 %, PVC t, 8168 % t, t, 5188 %, PVC t, % t, t, 5185 %,PVC t, 7127 %, t, 5145 %,PVC t, 5116 % t, t,pvc t, 4183 % 4176 % t, t, PVC t, 3102 % 4139 % ( ) PVC Table 4 The output of PVC in China in 2006 ( 10 4 t, %) Fig11 Spatial distribution of the chlor2alkali industry in China in 2006

6 30 11 : t, t, 2180 %,PVC t, 6143 % (), t, 4114 %, 2006 PVC t, 3179 % 212,,, [13 ],,,,, ( ), ( ) PVC,, ( ) PVC,2020 ( ) PVC ( 5) 5, t,pvc t,, 10 ( ) : PVC 10 ( ) : ,, : G = 1 n n F i i = 1 - S i (2) ( PVC) Table 5 The output of chlor2alkali and PVC in China in 2020 PVC ( 10 4 t, %) G ; F i i ; S i ; n G,, G,

7 Fig12 Spatial distribution of the chlor2alkali industry in China Fig13 Spatial differentiation between wind power industry,power consumption and chlor2alkali industry in ( ) (2), ( ) 3, 31 ( ), ;,,,,, 312,,, , 2020

8 30 11 : 1619, ( 6) 8,, 5,: 2PVC, 2PVC, 2PVC,, ( 4) kw, kwh, 318t, 513t,015t,10t, 0105t,0108t [14 ], 2020, kwh, t, PVC Table 6 Non2coal high2energy2consumption Chlor2alkali Industrial bases in China in PVC t, t, t, t ( 7) 4,,,,,,,, Fig14 Spatial distribution of non2coal high2energy2consumption chlor2alkali industrial bases in China in 2020

9 ( 10 4 kw) Table 7 Development goals of non2coal high2energy2consumption chlor2alkali industrial bases in China in 2020 ( 10 4 kwh) ( 10 4 t) PVC ( 10 4 t) ( 10 4 t ) ( 10 4 t) ( 10 4 t) ( 10 4 t) ( 10 4 t) ( 10 8 kwh) (1) 7,, ( ) : (2), t,pvc t, 11 PVC 2020, t, PVC t, 13 PVC (3), 2020, :, kwh, t, t, t, t, t (4),,, ( References) : [ 1 ]. 12 [M]. :,2005. [LI Jun2feng. Wind Power 12 in China [ M]. Beijing : Chemical Industry Press,2005. ] [ 2 ]. [ M]. :, [ Ministry of Science & Technology Country Technology Development Center. Technology of Utilizing Wind Energy[ M]. Beijing : China Agricultural Science and Technique Press,2006. ] [ 3 ] http :ΠΠwww. cnwee. comπarticleπarticle html, [ SHI Peng2fei. The statistics of wind installation in China in http :ΠΠwww. cnwee. comπarticleπarticle html, ] [ 4 ]. WTO [J ].,2002, (3) : 2 4. [ ZHONG Hua2sheng. The suggestion on the future of the chloro2alkali enterprises after China entering WTO[J ]. Anhui Chemical Industry,2002, (3) :2 4. ] [ 5 ]. [J ].,2007, (4) : [J I Ge. The present situation and perspectives for chlor2alkali industry at home and abroad [J ]. Petroleum and Chemical Economic Analysis in China,2007, (4) : ] [ 6 ]. [J ].,2007, (1) : [ GU Wei2dong. The influence of the wind power non2grid connection theory to wind power industry in China and its prospect analysis[j ]. Shanghai Electricity,2007, (1) : ] [ 7 ]. [ M]. :, [ GUO Xin2sheng,Technology of Utilizing Wind Energy[M]. Beijing : Chemical Industry Press,2007. ] [ 8 ],. [J ].,2004, (1) : 1 5. [ WU Yong2su, ZHANG Xiao2bo. Features of domestic chlor2alkali industry development in new time [J ]. China Chlor2Alkali,2004, (1) :1 5. ]

10 30 11 : 1621 [ 9 ],,. [J ].,2007, (6) :1 4. [ SUN Qin,CHEN Gen2di,ZHAO Fu2 yuan. Suggestions on the harmonious development of the chlor2alkali industry in China[J ]. Chlor2Alkali Industry,2007, (6) :1 4. ] [10 ] [J ].,2007, (8) : [ ZHANG Guo2min. Analysis and suggestions on the development of the chlor2alkali industry in China in 2006 [ J ]. Petroleum and Chemical Economic Analysis in China,2007, (8) : ] [11 ], PVC [J ]., 2007, (11) : [ BING Juan2lin,LI Cheng2zhi. Analysis on the development of PVC industry in China in 2006[J ]. Petroleum and Chemical Economic Analysis in China,2007, (11) : ] [12 ] PVC [J ].,2007, (4) : [ XIAO Shen. Analysis on the supply and demand of PVC industry in China in 2006 [ J ]. Petroleum and Chemical Economic Analysis in China,2007, (4) : ] [13 ]. [J ].,2004, (12) : [LV Yong2mei. The development tendency of chlor2 alkali industry in China[J ]. China Petroleum and Chemical Industry, 2004, (12) : ] [14 ].. [M] :,2006. [ GU Wei2dong,New strategy for the Development of the Wind Power Industry in China and the Wind Power Non2Grid2Connection Theory [ M]. Beijing : Chemical Industry Press,2006. ] Non2Coal High2Energy2Consumption Chlor2Alkali Industry Distribution in China based on the Development of Large2Scale off2grid Wind Power Industry LIN Xue2qin 1,2,FANG Chuang2lin 1 (1. Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing , China ; 2. Graduate University of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing , China) Abstract :Due to energy shortages and environmental degradation, the Chinese government attaches great importance to renewable energy resources, and wind resource utilization and the wind power industry have entered a phase of rapid development. Wind power is gradually transitioning from a supplemental energy source to an alternative energy source. The chlor2alkali chemical industry has high levels of energy consumption and is presently facing a development bottleneck due to energy shortages. By coordinating the locations of large2scale off2grid wind power and the chlor2alkali chemical industry, and constructing an industrial chain including wind power, caustic soda, chemical fiber, papermaking, chlorine products and polyvinyl chloride, establishment of non2coal high2energy2consumption chlor2alkali industrial bases would have vital significance for both the utilization of wind energy and the sustainable development of the chlor2 alkali chemical industry. We used 2006 data on socioeconomic factors and the wind power industry to determine the spatial distribution of Chinaπs large2scale off2grid wind power industry, and then studied the optimal spatial arrangement of the chlor2alkali industry in China in 2020, taking into account the current situation and the planned objectives of the chlor2alkali chemical industry. This study shows that joint development between the large2scale off2grid wind power industry and the chlor2alkali chemical industry has great potential, and in 2020 China will form nine non2coal high2energy2consumption chlor2alkali chemical industrial bases including Jiangsu, Shandong, Zhejiang, Liaoning, Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia, Shanxi, Ningxia and Qinghai, which can generate kilowatt hours of electricity, save tons of raw coal, reduce dust emission by tons, carbon dioxide emission by tons, nitrogen oxides emission by tons, and sulfur dioxide emission by tons which are produced from burning coal, and thereby improve both economic efficiency and environmental benefits. Key words :Large2scale off2grid wind power industry base ; Chlor2alkali industry ; Industry distribution ; Generative coupling ; China