1 June 2013 Global Update on HIV Treatment 2013: Results, Impact and Opportunities WHO/UNAIDS/UNICEF v2
2 Outline Results: Progress towards Global Targets - Antiretroviral treatment - Prevention of mother-to-child transmission - Treatment for children and key populations - Treatment of co-infections Making an Impact: The strategic use of ARVs - Averting HIV-related deaths - Reducing new HIV infection Looking ahead - Changes in eligibility under 2013 ARV guidelines - Enhancing impact Conclusions
3 Methodology Global AIDS Response Progress Reporting (GARPR) Annual reporting of programme data by countries (MoH, NAPs), electronic platform managed by UNAIDS, validated jointly by WHO, UNICEF, UNAIDS Set of standardized indicators for tracking UN Political Declaration and Universal Access Health Sector reporting By May 2013, 124 out of 144 low- and middle-income countries provided ART data, representing 99% of the estimated total number of people on ART at end of 2012 Estimating epidemic size and treatment need Country based estimates using Spectrum model (UNAIDS/WHO) In May 2013, completed and validated 2012 data for Global Plan countries (n=22) Other country-specific and global 2012 estimates available in September 2013
4 01 Results: 9.7 million people on ART by end of million more than at the end of 2011 Actual and projected numbers of people receiving antiretroviral therapy in low-and middle-income countries, and by WHO Region, Source: 2013 Global AIDS Response Progress Reporting (WHO/UNICEF/UNAIDS).
5 01 Results: People receiving treatment in low- and middle-income countries and % of eligible people receiving antiretroviral therapy 61% % % % % % 75% % 63% Source: Update from 2013 Global AIDS Response Progress Reporting (WHO/UNICEF/UNAIDS).
6 01 Results: Antiretroviral therapy retention rates at 12, 24 and 60 months in selected low- and middle-income countries, 2012 Source: 2013 Global AIDS Response Progress Reporting (WHO/UNICEF/UNAIDS).
7 01 Results: Countries are at different stages of scale-up Gap closed Gap closing Gap constant or widening Source: 2013 Global AIDS Response Reporting (WHO/UNICEF/UNAIDS) and 2012 UNAIDS/WHO estimates.
8 01 Results: % of pregnant women living with HIV and their infants receiving antiretroviral medicines, Source: Towards the elimination of mother-to-child transmission of HIV and keeping their mothers alive: abbreviated progress report 2012.
9 01 Results: PMTCT coverage in Global Plan countries increases from 59% to 65% ( ) Note: Numbers from 2009 include single-dose nevirapine. Numbers from exclude single-dose nevirapine. Source: 2013 Global AIDS Response Reporting (WHO/UNICEF/UNAIDS) and 2012 UNAIDS/WHO estimates.
10 01 Results: PMTCT coverage in African Global Plan countries varies between 13% and 95% 87% 20% Coverage of antiretroviral medicines for preventing motherto-child transmission in 20 of the 22 priority countries in the Global Plan, % 86% 53% 95% 81% 51% 41% 13% Source: Global AIDS Response Progress Reporting (WHO/UNICEF/UNAIDS) and 2013 UNAIDS estimates.
11 01 Results: HIV testing and counselling coverage among pregnant women, 2005 and
12 01 Results: children on ART in low- and middle-income countries end of 2012 Absolute number of children < 15 years on ART at end of 2012 Source: 2013 Global AIDS Response Progress Reporting (WHO/UNICEF/UNAIDS).
13 01 Results: 2012 increase in children on ART by 10% too low to close the coverage gap Source: Global AIDS Response Progress Reporting (WHO/UNICEF/UNAIDS) and 2013 UNAIDS estimates.
14 01 Results: The gap between adult and child ART coverage in 20 high burden countries is widening % 34% 59% [56-66] 68 % [65-75] Children Adult % [25-31] 34% [29-36] Source: Global AIDS Response Progress Reporting (WHO/UNICEF/UNAIDS) and 2013 UNAIDS estimates.
15 01 Results: Access to ART for people who inject drugs remains insufficient, the example of Eastern Europe People who inject drugs as a proportion of all people living with HIV with a known transmission route and the proportion of people who inject drugs who received antiretroviral therapy in reporting countries, WHO European Region (2011) PWID among all PLWHA PWID among all on ART a Preliminary 2011 ART data and 2010 HIV surveillance (case reporting) data. Sources: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control and WHO Regional Office for Europe (21,22); HIV/AIDS surveillance in Europe. End-year report 2006 (23); HIV/AIDS in Europe: moving from death sentence to chronic disease management (24); Global AIDS Response Progress Reporting (WHO/UNICEF/UNAIDS).
16 01 Results: Increased uptake of HIV testing among newly diagnosed TB patients 100% 80% 60% 75% 40% 20% 11% 0% Source: Global TB Reporting (WHO) preliminary analysis based on data from 43 countries
17 Outline Results: Progress towards Global Targets - Antiretroviral treatment - Prevention of mother-to-child transmission - Treatment for children and key populations - Treatment of co-infections Making an Impact: The strategic use of ARVs - Averting HIV-related deaths - Reducing new HIV infection Looking ahead - Changes in eligibility under 2013 ARV guidelines - Enhancing impact
18 02 Impact: ART averted 4.2 million deaths Annual number of people dying from AIDS-related causes in low- and middle-income countries globally compared with a scenario of no antiretroviral therapy, a The data points for 2012 are projected based on the scaling up of programmes in and do not represent official estimates of the number of annual AIDS-related deaths.
19 02 Impact: Decreasing mortality in Brazil Mortality rates in Brazil for AIDS-related, non-aids-related and unknown causes of death, Source: Grinsztejn et al. (7).Changing mortality profile among HIV-Infected patients in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil: Shifting from AIDS to non-aids related conditions in the HAART era. PLoS One, 2013, 8:e59768
20 02 Impact: Life expectancy increase in rural South Africa Average adult life expectancy, rural South Africa, Source: Bor et al. (18). Increases in adult life expectancy in rural South Africa: valuing the scale-up of HIV treatment. Science, 2013, 339:
21 02 Impact: PMTCT averted more than child infections Number of children acquiring HIV infection in low- and middle-income countries, a The data points for 2012 are projected based on the scaling up of programmes in and do not represent official estimates of the number of annual child infections.
22 02 Impact: Drop in child infections in Botswana PMTCT coverage and number of new child infections in Botswana, % 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 49% 1,120 86% 84% 83% % % 95% 95% Covg New child HIV infections low high 1,400 1,200 1,
23 02 Impact: 1.3 million lives saved due to TB/HIV activities Number of lives saved globally by scaling up collaborative TB and HIV activities, Source: WHO Global TB Report 2012
24 02 Impact: Notification of new cases of TB in relation to the scaling up of ART in Malawi Notification of new cases of TB in relation to the scaling up of antiretroviral therapy in Thyolo District, Malawi, Source: Zachariah et al. (37). Reduced tuberculosis case notification associated with scaling up antiretroviral treatment in rural Malawi. International Journal of Tuberculosis and Lung Diseases, 2011, 15: Reprinted with permission of the International Union Against Tuberculosis and Lung Disease. Copyright The Union.
25 Outline Results: Progress towards Global Targets - Antiretroviral treatment - Prevention of mother-to-child transmission - Treatment for children and key populations - Treatment of co-infections Making an Impact: The strategic use of ARVs - Averting HIV-related deaths - Reducing new HIV infection Looking ahead - Changes in eligibility under 2013 ARV guidelines - Enhancing impact
26 03 Looking ahead: Switch to 2013 guidelines will increase eligibility from 15.9 to 28.6 million people globally ,6 million ,9 million 2010 Guidelines 2013 Guidelines eligible for ART on ART Number of people eligible for ART in low- and middle-income countries (in millions) per WHO 2010 and 2013 ARV guidelines, based on end of 2012 epidemic situation
27 03 Looking ahead: Comparison of immunological criteria for initiating antiretroviral therapy, 2010 and 2013 a For their own health, excluding other options with the primary purpose of preventing the mother-to-child transmission of HIV.
28 04 Looking ahead: In the long term, ART scale-up will contribute to decreasing ART need People on ART People living with HIV Source: Special analysis conducted by Futures Institute, 2013
29 04 Looking ahead: Enhancing impact on mortality and incidence Annual HIV related deaths 2,000, m HIV deaths Annual new HIV infections 2,500,000 2,000, m HIV infections 1,500,000 1,500,000 1,000,000-39% 1,000,000-36% 500, , guidelines 2013 guidelines 2010 guidelines 2013 guidelines Source: Special analysis conducted by Futures Institute, 2013
30 04 Main figures and messages 9.7 million on ART, 1.6 more than in 2011 In high burden countries, ART coverage varies from 30% to 90% children on ART, only more than in 2011 ARVs saved 4.2 million lives and prevented child infections Eligibility increase from 16 to 29 m Mortality/ incidence decline by 1/3 15 by 15 is within reach Many countries do well, but some need intensified support Child adult coverage gap is widening, other key populations lag behind HIV treatment scale-up is paying off Switching from 2010 to 2013 guidelines will enhance impact on lives & epidemic
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