Select 70i30e Managed Portfolio. Portfolio Review First Quarter 2016
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1 Portfolio Review First Quarter 2016 Q1
2 Portfolio Performance (Class A) 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months 1 Year 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years Since Inception (November 2006) 1.8% -1.0% 0.5% -3.3% 4.6% 4.8% N/A 3.6% Asset Allocation Overview and Activity Different types of investments will respond differently to the markets, reinforcing the importance of a multi-level diversification strategy. A balanced asset mix ensures that investors are not dependent on any one asset class or security type to provide returns. CI Investment Consulting combines its portfolio construction expertise with ongoing comprehensive research and recommendations from State Street Global Advisors, a world leader in asset allocation, to create portfolios designed to capture evolving opportunities in the various asset classes. This report is designed to provide you with an up-to-date portfolio overview of the Select 70i30e Managed Portfolio, including the allocations across asset class, geographic region, equity sector and market capitalization. The arrows indicate whether the allocation for each category has increased or decreased since the previous quarter-end. Asset Class Geographic Regions 29.9% 21.2% 14.1% 13.0% 9.8% 6.3% 2.4% 2.0% 1.3% Foreign bond Canadian bond U.S. equity Cash Canadian equity European equity Asian equity Emerging markets equity Other equity 35.0% 31.2% 20.0% 3.3% 2.9% 2.3% 1.9% 1.6% 0.9% 0.9% U.S. Canada Cash and other countries U.K. Japan Emerging markets France Switzerland Australia Spain Equity Market Cap Equity Industry Sector 81.0% 17.5% 1.5% Large-cap Mid-cap Small-cap 27.3% 11.3% 11.2% 10.3% 10.0% 9.5% 8.7% 3.9% 3.9% 3.3% 0.6% Financial services Consumer discretionary Industrials Information technology Consumer staples Energy Health care Materials Telecommunication services Utilities Other 10 Portfolio Select Series Catégories d actif Régions géographiques
3 Underlying Fund Allocations CI Income Fund 66.7% Select U.S. Equity Managed Fund 10.5% Select Canadian Equity Managed Fund 9.2% Select International Equity Managed Fund 8.6% Signature Global Bond Fund 3.1% Cash 1.8% Top Ten Holdings U.S. Treasury Note 2.00% 15Feb25 3.7% U.S. Treasury Note 2.25% 15Nov24 1.3% Citigroup Inc. 0.7% U.S. Treasury Note 2.125% 15May25 0.6% Province of Quebec 4.5% 01Dec19 Total 0.6% UBS Group 0.5% HSBC Bank Canada 2.572% 23Nov15 0.5% Apple Inc. 0.5% Bank of Nova Scotia 2.1% 08Nov16 0.5% CGI Group Inc. 0.5% Portfolio Select Series 11
4 Portfolio Commentary The portfolio declined 1.0% during the quarter, underperforming its benchmark (70% FTSE TMX Canada Universe Bond Index, 20% S&P/TSX Composite Index, 10% MSCI World Index C$), which rose 1.2%. Government bond positions added to absolute returns, which were offset by declines in global dividend-paying equities. Within the equity portion, U.S. holdings and an overweight allocation to U.S. equities detracted from relative performance. Hedging a portion of our foreign currency positions contributed to performance. Global equity markets fell sharply early in the quarter due to concern about economic growth, particularly in China. Investors seeking safe havens, combined with the possibility of U.S. interest rates remaining lower for longer, supported government bond and gold prices. Oil rebounded late in the quarter on speculation that production restraints will ease the long-standing global surplus. Canadian equities and the Canadian dollar benefited from the rebound in commodities prices, with raw materials producers leading gains in Canada s benchmark equity index. The loonie also benefited from the diverging policies of the Bank of Canada, which raised its domestic growth outlook for the year, and the U.S. Federal Reserve, which scaled back its forecast of America s economic expansion. Our allocation to U.S. government bonds contributed to performance. U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen stated that global economic and financial uncertainty threatens the U.S. economy and justifies a slower pace of interest rate increases. Global dividend-paying equities fell as concerns rose over the health of the global economy and the effect of negative interest rates on the banking sector. We trimmed our equity holdings, which we are prepared to buy back at more attractive valuations, and modestly increased our weight in high-yield bonds to earn additional yield, but remained defensively positioned in general. To hedge the downside risk of high-yield investments, we added government bonds to the portfolio. U.S. government bonds continue to offer an attractive yield relative to other G7 countries. We also increased our exposure to the U.S. dollar, as its value became more attractive. With bonds offering attractive value, we introduced a small position in the Signature Global Bond Fund to modestly increase the duration of the income component without sacrificing total return. The government debt market in Canada continues to offer very low yields across all maturities, including longerterm issues. Meanwhile, interest rate risk, as measured by duration, has increased in recent years. It will be challenging to earn a return from government bonds in excess of inflation during the next three to five years and the portfolio therefore has an underweight allocation to this asset class. We favour investments that offer more attractive returns than those offered by government bonds, including foreign currencies, short-duration corporate bonds, high-yield corporate bonds and high-quality dividend-paying equities. Having a diversified and flexible framework allows us to take advantage of changes in market valuations and provide steady income returns. We continue to adjust our bond weightings to manage downside risk and volatility. The portfolio is positioned with less interest rate sensitivity and enhanced diversification relative to the broad-based bond index. Correlation between asset classes was at more normal levels, as prices of government bonds and equities moved in opposite directions. We remain patient, but expect to deploy cash over the coming quarters as opportunities develop. The sector allocation of the portfolio s equity portion is more diversified than that of the Canadian economy and the S&P/TSX Composite Index. We continued to have underweight exposure to the resource sectors, and overweight positions in information technology and the consumer sectors. 12 Portfolio Select Series
5 From a regional perspective, we continued to have an overweight position in the U.S., an underweight allocation to Canada and a neutral position in international equities. The U.S. market is supported by a diverse economy, with large exposure to global markets and strong representation in all major industrial sectors, making it an attractive asset class on a risk-adjusted basis. Hedging a portion of our exposure to the U.S. dollar and other foreign currencies added value during the quarter, as the Canadian dollar advanced due to the rise in the price of oil and policy divergence between the Bank of Canada and other major central banks. Alfred Lam, CFA, Senior Vice-President and Portfolio Manager Yoonjai Shin, CFA, Vice-President and Associate Portfolio Manager Marchello Holditch, CFA, Senior Analyst Lewis Harkes, CFA, Senior Analyst Andrew Ashworth, CFA, Analyst Desta Tadesse, Analyst Portfolio Select Series 13
6 Portfolio Select Series Portfolio Management Teams Altrinsic Global Advisors, LLC follows a fundamental value approach to seek out high-quality undervalued companies worldwide. Altrinsic was Founded by John Hock and associates. Black Creek Investment Management Inc. is led by award-winning money managers Bill Kanko and Richard Jenkins. Black Creek pursues an equity mandate with no restrictions on finding the best businesses in the world. Cambridge Global Asset Management is led by Co-Chief Investment Officers Alan Radlo and Brandon Snow and Chief Market Strategist Robert Swanson. They invest in companies building long-term economic value. CI Investment Consulting is the portfolio management team responsible for $33 billion of assets in CI s managed solutions and oversight of all CI funds. Led by Portfolio Manager Alfred Lam, the team s mandate is centred on asset allocation, manager oversight and selection, and risk management. Epoch Investment Partners, Inc. is an investment management firm founded by Wall Street veteran William Priest and associates. Epoch uses a value-based approach that focuses on companies with superior shareholder yield. Harbour Advisors, a division of CI Investments, is led by Senior Portfolio Managers Ryan Fitzgerald and Roger Mortimer. Harbour s approach entails buying high-quality businesses at a sensible price, and following a patient, long-term outlook. Marret Asset Management Inc. focuses on fixed-income investing and alternative strategies on behalf of institutional, high net worth and retail clients. The firm is led by Chief Investment Officer Barry Allan. QV Investors Inc. follows a value-based approach in which it seeks companies with better returns and lower valuations than those of the market. The firm is led by Chief Investment Officer Joe Jugovic. Signature Global Asset Management is among the largest portfolio management teams in Canada, managing a full range of global and Canadian income, equity and balanced mandates. Chief Investment Officer Eric Bushell was named Morningstar Fund Manager of the Decade in Picton Mahoney Asset Management is led by David Picton and Michael Mahoney and uses quantitative analysis as the foundation of its approach. Tetrem Capital Management, led by Chief Investment Officer Daniel Bubis, uses a disciplined approach to invest in undervalued Canadian and U.S. companies.
7 For more information on Portfolio Select Series, please contact your CI Sales Representative or visit All commentaries are published by CI Investments Inc., the manager of all the funds described herein. They are provided as a general source of information and should not be considered personal investment advice or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell securities. Every effort has been made to ensure that the material contained in the commentaries is accurate at the time of publication. However, CI Investments Inc. cannot guarantee their accuracy or completeness and accepts no responsibility for any loss arising from any use of or reliance on the information contained herein. This report may contain forward-looking statements about the funds, future performance, strategies or prospects, and possible future fund action. These statements reflect the portfolio managers current beliefs and are based on information currently available to them. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. We caution you not to place undue reliance on these statements as a number of factors could cause actual events or results to differ materially from those expressed in any forward-looking statement, including economic, political and market changes and other developments. Commissions, trailing commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with mutual fund investments. Please read the prospectus before investing. Unless otherwise indicated and except for returns for periods less than one year, the indicated rates of return are the historical annual compounded total returns including changes in security value. All performance data assume reinvestment of all distributions or dividends and do not take into account sales, redemption, distribution or optional charges or income taxes payable by any securityholder that would have reduced returns. Mutual funds are not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated. Mutual fund securities are not covered by the Canada Deposit Insurance Corporation or by any other government deposit insurer and there can be no assurances that the CI Money Market Funds will maintain its net asset value per security at a constant amount or that the full amount of your investment in these funds will be returned to you. CI Investments, the CI Investments design, Synergy Mutual Funds, Harbour Advisors, Harbour Funds, Cambridge and American Managers are registered trademarks of CI Investments Inc. Portfolio Select Series, Signature Funds and Signature Global Asset Management are trademarks of CI Investments Inc. Cambridge Global Asset Management is a business name of CI Investment Inc. used in connection with its subsidiary, CI Global Investments Inc. Certain portfolio managers of Cambridge Global Asset Management are registered with CI Investments Inc. Morningstar Awards Morningstar Inc. All Rights Reserved. Published April Queen Street East, Twentieth Floor, Toronto, Ontario M5C 3G7 I Head Office / Toronto Calgary Montreal Vancouver Client Services _E (04/16)
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