Investment Strategy HK STOCK MARKET WRAP

Transcription

1 Investment Strategy HK STOCK MARKET WRAP Investment Strategy HK STOCK MARKET WRAP: September 27, 2012 (Thursday) Hong Kong shares moved higher after opening lower. The Hang Seng Index (HSI) opened 40 points lower and ended 235 points or 1.14% higher at 20,762 points. The H-Share Index opened 20 points lower, and closed 140 points or 1.46% higher at 9,769 points. Turnover of the trading day amounted to HK$ billion. Both A-shares and Hong Kong shares moved higher after opening lower. As for the Shanghai stock market, A-shares were spurred significantly higher on rumors China would introduce a new round of share issuance reform at the end of October at the earliest. At the close of the trading day, the Shanghai Composite Index ended at 2, points, up points or 2.60%. September 2012 Hang Seng Index futures expired today. Hong Kong shares moved higher after opening lower, and shot up amid gains of A-shares in the afternoon. At the close of the trading day, the HSI jumped 235 points, up 1.14%, to end at 20,762 points. Blue chips were generally up. Tencent (00700), the best performer, gained 2.42%, and hit a record high since its listing. Property stocks continued to extend gains. Henderson Land Development (00012) rose 2.35%. China Resources Land (01109) gained 1.80%. Sun Hung Kai Properties (00016) leapt 1.34%. Financial shares climbed across the board. AIA (01299) swelled 2.12%. Ping An Insurance (02318) added 1.81%. ICBC (01398) edged 1.80% higher. Esprit Holdings (00330), the worst performer, extended the losing streak and tumbled 5.67%.

2 As for sectors performance, financial institutions, petroleum/ petrochemical and China banking sectors outperformed the broad market. Motive battery, water affairs and electric equipment sectors underperformed the broad market. Petroleum/ petrochemical stocks moved higher. Sunshine Oilsands (02012) rebounded 6.43% to end at HK$2.98. Both CNOOC (00883) and Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical (00338) climbed over 2%. Leoch International (00842) slid 4.90%. Sound Global (00967) dipped 4.26% and weighed on the sector. Following the decline of over 10%, BYD (01211) rebounded and ended 1.66% higher at HK$ On September 25, CLSA Asia Pacific Markets maintained its conviction sell on BYD (01211), and significantly slashed the target price of BYD (01211) to HK$0.41, stunning the stock market. 2 ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ In summary, the Hang Seng Index opened 40 points lower, and ended 235 points or 1.14% higher at 20,762 points with volatility ranging from 20,487 points to 20,850 points. Turnover of the broad market amounted to HK$ billion (turnover of last trading day: HK$ billion). The Hang Seng Index and the H-Share Index accounted for 44% and 25% of today s turnover, respectively. Hang Seng Finance Sub-Index leapt 316 points to end at 27,770 points; Hang Seng Properties Sub-Index added 316 points to end at 29,292 points; Hang Seng Utilities Sub-Index climbed 335 points to close at 49,675 points; Hang Seng Commerce & Industry Sub-Index rose 148 points to end at 12,358 points. September 2012 Hang Seng Index futures ended at 20,688 points, traded at a 74-point discount to cash and settled 16,339 contracts. October 2012 Hang Seng Index futures ended at 20,809 points, traded at a 47-point premium to cash and settled 81,682 contracts. The H-Share Index opened 20 points lower, and closed 140 points or

3 1.46% higher at 9,769 points, with volatility ranging from 9,606 points to 9,825 points and turnover amounted to HK$ billion (turnover of last trading day: HK$9.054 billion). September 2012 H-Share Index futures ended at 9,721 points, traded at a 48-point discount to cash and settled 14,163 contracts. October 2012 H-Share Index futures ended at 9,790 points, traded at a 21-point premium to cash and settled 50,893 contracts. 3

4 4 Eric Meng Investment Strategy 27/F., Low Block, Grand Millennium Plaza, 181 Queen s Road Central, Hong Kong Direct line: (0852) Facsimile: (0852) Guotai Junan (Hong Kong) s Michael Shea translates this HK Stock Market Wrap. DISCLOSURE OF INTERESTS (1) The Analysts and their associates do not serve as an officer of the issuer mentioned in this Research Report. (2) The Analysts and their associates do not have any financial interests in relation to the issuer mentioned in this Research Report. (3) Except for Shandong Chenming Papers Holdings Limited-H shares (01812) and China City Railway Transportation Technology Holdings Company Limited (08240), Guotai Junan and its group companies do not hold equal to or more than 1% of the market capitalization of the issuer mentioned in this Research Report. (4) Guotai Junan and its group companies have had investment banking relationships with Jiangsu Expressway Co. Ltd. (00177.HK), Xiangyu Dredging Holdings Ltd. (00871.HK), Huaneng Power (00902.HK), Active Group Holdings Ltd. (01096), Kingworld Medicines Group Limited (01110), China Modern Dairy Holdings Ltd. (01117), Yanzhou Coal Mining Co. Ltd. (01171), China Hangqiao Group Limited (01378), Titans Energy (02188.HK), Costin New Materials Group Ltd. (02228.HK), Billion Industrial Holdings Ltd. (02299.HK), China Shipping Container Lines Co. Ltd. (02866.HK) and China U-Ton (08232) mentioned in this Research Report within the preceding 12 months. DISCLAIMER This Research Report does not constitute an invitation or offer to acquire, purchase or subscribe for securities by Guotai Junan Securities (Hong Kong) Limited ("Guotai Junan"). Guotai Junan and its group companies may do business that relates to companies covered in research reports, including investment banking, investment services and etc. (for example, the placing agent, lead manager, sponsor, underwriter or invest proprietarily). Any opinions expressed in this report may differ or be contrary to opinions or investment strategies expressed orally or in written form by sales persons, dealers and other professional executives of Guotai Junan group of companies. Any opinions expressed in this report may differ or be contrary to opinions or investment decisions made by the asset management and investment banking groups of Guotai Junan.

5 5 Though best effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information and data contained in this Research Report, Guotai Junan does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the information and data herein. This Research Report may contain some forward-looking estimates and forecasts derived from the assumptions of the future political and economic conditions with inherently unpredictable and mutable situation, so uncertainty may contain. Investors should understand and comprehend the investment objectives and its related risks, and where necessary consult their own financial advisers prior to any investment decision. This Research Report is not directed at, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to applicable law or regulation or which would subject Guotai Junan and its group companies to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction Guotai Junan Securities (Hong Kong) Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27/F., Low Block, Grand Millennium Plaza, 181 Queen s Road Central, Hong Kong. Tel.: (852) Fax: (852) Website: