How To Grow Bs In Spain
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- Brian Henderson
- 5 years ago
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1 Business Plan Presentation
2 Disclaimer Banco Sabadell cautions that this presentation may contain forward looking statements with respect to the business. financial condition. results of operations. strategy. plans and objectives of the Banco Sabadell Group. While these forward looking statements represent our judgement and future expectations concerning the development of our business. a certain number of risks. uncertainties and other important factors could cause actual developments and results to differ materially from our expectations. These factors include. but are not limited to. (1) general market. Macroeconomic. governmental. political and regulatory trends. (2) movements in local and international securities markets. currency exchange rate. and interest rates. (3) competitive pressures. (4) technical developments. (5) changes in the financial position or credit worthiness of our customers. obligors and counterparts. These risk factors could adversely affect our business and financial performance published in our past and future filings and reports. including those with the Spanish Securities and Exchange Commission (Comisión Nacional del Mercado de Valores). Banco Sabadell is not nor can it be held responsible for the usage. valuations. opinions. expectations or decisions which might be adopted by third parties following the publication of this information. Financial information by business areas is presented according to GAAP as well as internal Banco Sabadell group s criteria as a result of which each division reflects the true nature of its business. These criteria do not follow any particular regulation and can include forecasts and subjective valuations which could represent substantial differences should another methodology be applied. The distribution of this presentation in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law. Recipients of this presentation should inform themselves about and observe such restrictions. These slides do not constitute or form part of any offer for sale or subscription of or solicitation or invitation of any offer to buy or subscribe to any securities nor shall they or any one of them form the basis of or be relied on in connection with any contract or commitment whatsoever. 2
3 Index 1. : the new business plan 2. Domestic business delivery 3. Balance sheet normalisation 4. Developing new productivity drivers 5. International footprint 6. Talent and HR 7. Financials 8. Closing remarks 3
4 1. : the new business plan 4
5 In February 2011 the CREA plan was launched te Growth Crecimiento Profitability Rentabilidad Efficiency Eficiencia Ambition Ambición 5
6 The CREA plan was mainly based on growth and opportunity Leveraging existing franchise and target new clients within our current footprint Gain market share and attract 1 million new clients. Growing our retail market share by more than one percentage point Number of customers per branch 1,800 2, Number of customers 2.1m 3.1m Operational streamlining Number of operations / FTE* (in thousands) e 2012e 2013e *Full Time Equivalent 6
7 as well as commercial levers Improve brand recognition New incentive model Winning commercial attitude Gross margin per FTE (2010=100) 129 Profitability e 2012e 2013e Note: Full Time Equivalent 7
8 What did deliver? 8
9 Delivery of CREA targets Number of customers Attract new customers 1 million new customers, growing our market share in retail banking Millions 2.1 2, ,1 x Org. growth Efficiency Operaciones corporativas 2010 CREA Obj.CREA plan target 2013 Customers per branch x 1.2 Leveraging existing platform and customer franchise value , ,800 2, CREA Obj.CREA plan target
10 Delivery of CREA targets Brand recognition * Improve brand recognition Emphasis on retail banking segment 8.1% Catalonia 17% 28.9% 2.6% Madrid 7% 11.9% 2010 Obj.CREA Obj.CREA 2013 Gross margin per employee 2010 = 100 x 0.8 Profitability Obj.CREA CREA 2013 target * Among the first five mentioned entities. Source FRS Inmark 10
11 Delivery of CREA targets CREA estimates Customers Branches1 Employees 2 Actual outcome 284 Actual vs. estimated x 1, x 1,7 x 1, e 2012e 2013e oct Spanish branches 2. excluding US operations 3. Excluding B.Guipuzcoano 4. Excluding Lloyds Spain and B. Gallego 11
12 What were s exogenous challenges? 12
13 A challenging macro environment Spanish GDP evolution (YoY change in percentage) 1,3% 1.3% 1,6% 1.6% 0,7% 0.7% -0,2% 0,1% -0.2% 0.1% -1,6% -1.3% -1,3% -1.6% -3,8% -3.8% e CREA estimates Actual evolution In 2010 there were signs of an economic recovery in Spain but with downside risks: Sovereign debt crisis in the euro zone Capital outflows from the European periphery Credit crunch 13
14 which prompted a change in revenue structure CREA Actual Net interest income 1,459 1,861 1,815 Commissions Trading income & Forex ,547 Other Operating Results Gross Operating Income 2,331 2,873 3,977 Operating Costs -1,036-1,152-1,686 Depreciations Pre-provision Income 1,136 1,571 2,062 Total provisions & Impairments ,764 Gains on sale of assets Profit before taxes 464 1, Attributable Net Profit Euros in million 14
15 The Spanish financial map has changed Total domestic assets of the main financial entities in Spain (Euros in million) CaixaBank 340 BBVA 336 Santander 292 Bankia 251 Sabadell+Gallego Popular + Unicaja + CEISS CatalunyaBanc Restructuring of the savings banks: from 45 to 11 entities Kutxabank 64 + Ibercaja + Caja3 NCG Banco Bankinter 58 BMN 51 Liberbank 46 Note: Refers to latest available financial disclosures by entity 15
16 The bank managed to doubled in size during the financial crisis (Euros in million) /07 Assets Loans 1 Deposits 2 Branches Employees 76,776 97, ,441 63,165 73, ,615 34,717 49,374 94,497 1,225 1,428 2, ,234 10,777 16,900 4 X 2.1 X 2.0 X 2.7 X 1.8 X 1.6 improving liquidity and solvency ratios Core Capital Loan to deposit 6.0% 8.2% 12.0% 197% 135% 107% X 2.0 X Gross loans to customers excluding repos. 2. On-balance sheet customer funds forecast forecast Note: Loan to deposit ratios is net of provisions and intermediary funding. 16
17 Taking advantage of inorganic growth opportunities Recent integrations Miami Total assets (Euros in million)
18 Creating a national franchise with exposure to the regions with higher economic activity Market share by region % 4% 5% % 6% Total number of branches: 636 7% % 13% 5% 6% Total number of branches: 1,187 12% 10% 4 y <10% <4% 4% 10% 6% 5% 10% 6% 5% 13% 5% Total number of branches: 1,853 14% Total number of branches: 2,370 Note: The region of León is included in Asturias and not in Castilla y León. 18
19 Progressively strengthening our footprint abroad International footprint Mexico London BS Andorra New York Sabadell United Bank BCP Miami Morocco Venezuela Algeria Dominican Republic Hendaya Moscow Warsaw Paris Turkey Dubai India Beijing Shanghai Footprint in strategic markets Agreements with international trade promoters Singapore Brazil Specialised services Branches 5 Banking subsidiaries 2 Representative offices 13 Associated banks 1 Awaiting licence approval 1 Recent openings: New York Warsaw Morocco 19
20 Achieving critical mass in all segments of the market Market shares by product Customer share Individuals Deposits 1 2 Loans Payroll accounts Transactionality Nov-13 Nov-13 Nov-13 Dec % 6.3% 6.0% 8.0% 11.4% Companies and SMEs Sight deposits 11.4% Corporate credit Exports Volume at BS card PoS Nov-13 Nov-13 Oct-13 Sep % 10.5% 14.0% Sep % Note: pro-forma including Penedés, Gallego and Lloyds Spain. 1 Including term and sight deposits and repos 2 Including cheques, transfers, SEPA transfers, receivables and promissory notes 20
21 Positioned to take advantage of the Spanish banking industry going forward Medium term outlook for the Spanish domestic banking sector Weight of the 6 largest financial institutions in assets * Improving NII margins ROE in the mid-teens 58% 75% Further consolidation The Spanish retail banking model is efficient and continues to be a sustainably profitable business through the cycle * Excluding foreign banks and Cajas rurales 21
22 The main focus of : Domestic business delivery Increasing customer profitability Customer growth SME s focus leveraging on international franchise Improving value proposal in Private Banking Profit delivery Balance sheet normalisation Implementation of new recovery processes and reducing NPLs Reduction of Real Estate assets Developing new productivity drivers Additional focus points International footprint Sowing the seeds for future growth Talent and HHRR Instant Banking Investing in future talent Transformation of the production model 22
23 2. Domestic business delivery 23
24 Sabadell has staged an unprecedented leap in size Household deposits 1 Corporate credit DEC 08 NOV % 0.77% 3.92% 7.01% +469 bps DEC 08 NOV % 2.03% 3.88% 10.63% +591 bps Household loans Sight deposit companies DEC % DEC % NOV % 4.29% 6.31% +450 bps NOV % 4.34% 11.42% +569 bps Transactionality 2 Volume at BS card PoS JAN % 4Q % +386 bps +943 bps DES % 1.61% 7.96% 3Q % 2.60% 13.96% Organic growth Contribution B.Guipuzcoano, B.CAM, Penedés, Lloyds y Gallego. 1 Including term and sight deposits and repos. 2 Including cheques, transfers, SEPA, transfers, receivables and promissory notes. 24
25 and following years of perimeter growth, the upside now is through delivery ( Million) /13 Domestic branches 1,428 2,370 x 1.7 Business volume 1 122, ,112 x 1.8 Leveraging the existing platform NII + Fees 1,976 2,574 x 1.3 Loans to companies (ex-real state) Market share in mutual funds 2 vs. market share in deposits 42,829 49,651 x Potential to improve performance 1. Gross loans to customers excluding repos + on-balance sheet customer funds 2. Ex Real Estate fund 25
26 Different approaches for different regions: Profitability and new customers Branches share Business Volume share Focus on customer acquisition Focus on profitability Northwest North Catalonia 10.1% 4.2% 12.8% 7.4% 4.0% 14.5% Centre 3.5% 3.4% South 2.4% 3.1% East 11.1% 13.6% 26
27 In Catalonia and Eastern region the focus is on extracting value from existing customers Branches share Business Volume share Sabadell has 2/3rds of its business volume in Catalonia and the East characterised by a a more positive economic outlook Employed people (% var 4Q13/4Q12) 1,0% Spain average -1,2% -2,3% CataloniaT. and + EastT. Restof of Spain Focus on profitability East 11.1% 13.6% Catalonia 12.8% 14.5% Recent integrations Eastern Spain B.CAM December Catalonia (Northeast) BMN Penedes October Greater market share in business volumes vs. market share in number of branches 1. Operational integration 27
28 Closing the income gap with the newly integrated businesses in the Eastern region Eastern region ( Million) Sabadell stand alone B. CAM Branches (date: acquisition B.CAM) Business volume (date: post-integration B.CAM) , ,264 x 3.4 x 3.2 Current number of branches: 608 (December 2013) Branch closures: 155 (20%) NII + Fees (date: post-integration B.CAM) x 2.4 Closing the NII + Fee income gap per customer Retail (gap BS/ B. CAM) Dec 12 Dec % SMEs (gap BS/ B. CAM) Dec 12 Dec 13 2,203 1,852-16% 1,340,734 customers exclusively from B. CAM in 2013 Challenge in SME s 28
29 as well as in Catalonia Catalonia Branches (date: acquisition Penedés) Sabadell stand alone ( Million) BMN Business volume (date: post-integration Penedés) ,020 Penedés 447 x ,698 x 0.4 Currently number of branches: 743 (December 2013) Branch closures: 122 (14%) NII + Fees (date: post-integration Penedés) x 0.3 Closing the NII + Fee income gap per customer In 2014 the gap has started to close with Penedés c. 494,000 customers exclusively from Penedés in
30 In the rest of Spain the focus is on filling the branches with customers Branches share Business volume share Focus on customer acquisition Recent integrations North B. Guipuzcoano April Northwest North Branches market share 2011: 4.1% 10.1% 4.2% 7.4% 4.0% Centre Business volume market share 2011: 3.3% Northwest B. Gallego November % 3.4% South 2.4% 3.1% Larger branch market share than business volume market share 1. Operational integration 2. Closing (Operational integration expected in March 2014) 30
31 And the trend of customers per branch is already improving North region Ratio of customers per branch Ratio of business volume per customer (euros) 1. Post integration B. Guipuzcoano /13 1,257 1,606 x ,797 61,310 x 0.9 Since Guipuzcoano we have done well, but we still have work to do. Target: Customers per branch of c. 2,900 Northwest/Galicia ( Million) Branches (date: acquisition B.Gallego) Business volume (date: acquisition B.Gallego) Sabadell stand alone 28 2,652 B.Gallego 117 2,483 x 4.2 x 0.9 Similar to Northwest experience we will need to fill the branches with customers (currently 1,325 customers per branch) 31
32 With a different approach for the centre of Spain, with emphasis on Madrid Why focus on Madrid? 1. High GDP 28,906 Euska di Madrid 22,291 Navarra Cataluña La Rioja Aragón Baleares España Cast.León Cantab ria Asturias G alicia 2. Highly dynamic economy GDP per capita ( euros) C.Valenciana Canaria s Ceuta Murcia Cast.Mancha And alucía Melilla Extremadura 1st region in foreign direct investment 1st region in R&D 2nd region in export volumes How? Levers Increase brand awareness Commercial strength 3. Weak footprint 18.6% 17.6% 14.5% 10.5% Branches market share (December 2012) 6.2% 4.8% 1.8% Instant Banking Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3 Peer 4 Peer 5 BS* Peer 6 * Including Gallego and Lloyds 32
33 Furthermore we are going to improve customer relationship to become the preferred bank Loyalty among individual customers by bank Loyalty among company and SME customers by bank 82.6% 80.1% 75.9% 73.1% 71.4% 18.8% 16.8% 23.0% 23.4% 20.3% 68.4% 19.9% 34.0% 30.2% 29.5% 27.7% 24.4% 20.4% 19.5% 63.8% 63.3% 52.9% 49.7% 51.1% 48.5% 30.5% 27.7% 25.9% 25.3% 20.4% 19.3% 18.1% 3.5% 2.5% 3.6% 2.4% 1.0% 1.1% 1.4% Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3 Peer 4 Peer 5 Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3 Peer 4 Peer 5 Peer 6 Exclusive banking partner of the customer Increase customer loyalty among retail customers Preferred banking partner of the customer To become the preferred banking partner for more companies Peers include Bankia, Bankinter, BBVA, Caixabank, Popular and Santander Source: Comportamiento financiero de los particulares en España-2013, based on 12,000 respondents in all of Spain and Comportamiento financiero de las empresas en España-2012, based on answers from 876 Spanish companies, with an annual turnover of million euros. 33
34 with room to improve insurance fees and off-balance sheet funds Individual customers with insurance In percentage 20.9% 19.1% 18.2% 15.3% 12.9% 8.6% Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3 Peer 4 Peer 5 Customer funds structure 3Q2013 (Euros in billion) % % 68% % 25% 75% % 96 15% 82% 85% 34 22% 78% Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3 Peer 4 Peer 5 90% of the market has an insurance with banks and insurance companies Focus on diversifying customers funds, increasing off-balance sheet savings products Source: FRS Inmark: Comportamiento financiero de los particulares en España-2013, (12,000 polls) Note: Peers include Bankinter, BBVA, CaixaBank, Popular and Santander Source: Quarterly company reports 34
35 In short, the aim is to extract value from the domestic business: profitability and growth 1 Increasing customer profitability NII + Fees X1.38 Weighted market share weight Lending ex-npl s 20 Productive Activities 1 15 Households 5 Liabilities 20 Deposits x 1.28 Existing customers x 1.10 New customers (+595,000) Customer growth BS overall market share 1 in Spain 7.6% 9.3% Mutual Funds 3 10 Pension Funds + Life-savings insurances Customer Relationship 35 5 Sight dep Purchases whit BS cards 5 Volume at BS card PoS 5 Transactionality banking 10 International 15 Total Export 5 15 Insurances 10 Life + Home e 1. Weighted market share 1. Non-financial Corporations + Individual entrepreneurs excluding Real State activities 2. Sight + term + repos (Households + Non-financial Corporations) 3. National Financial Funds 4. Households + Non-financial Corporations 5. Excluding warrants 35
36 The internationalisation is and will be a key factor to the growth of the economy Significant increase in the number of Spanish exporting companies during the crisis (c. 46,200) Exporting companies (in thousands) BS market shares Export letter of credit until nov-13 JAN 11 DEC % +214 p.b % Exports (without guarantees) and more than 40% of the exporting companies are from our core regions (Catalonia and East) JAN 11 DEC % +299 p.b % 36
37 so strengthening the international business is a priority for us Our aim is to strengthen our leadership and deepen our customer relationships beyond the scope of exporting Evolution of the customer needs in its internationalisation process + Evolution Optimising the customer base of exporters Managing the customers according to their needs Funding Starting point International Customer Adapting the products and services offer to the customer stage of internationalisation and to the type of company Always increasing the range of transactionality products - Exporting customer Target: International business commercial margin Total Group (BS + International Financial Institutions) - Transactionality + x
38 as well as improving the value proposal in private banking Strengthened by across the board initiatives Multiproduct strategy by segment Investment orientation model On-line transactionality Sabadell Markets Portfolio Advice according to the MIFID profile Investment advice model Private Banking Plan. Customer funds: x 1.2 SICAV s Market share: x 1.2 NII + Fees : x 1.4 Focus on Mutual Funds. AuM: x 2.15 Market share: x 2.3 Fees: x 1.9 Increase in security trading business Security trading revenues: x
39 Summarising the commercial banking plans NII + FEES : Increasing the revenues per client, brand and manager CUSTOMER PRODUCT REGION SKILLS Increasing the profitability of the customer base: Increasing the links with the customers: be their main bank Improve the saving profile of the personal banking customers Increase market share in companies Fee products: Insurance Off-balance sheet funds International business Loans to customers and consumer finance Tailor-made plans for different regions Extracting revenue synergies from the integrated businesses Focusing growth vs. profitability depending on the region Focus on: Increasing sales per manager Increasing sales per channel Increasing profitability of the brands Tailored-made management Execution plans Positioning based in: Confidence and quality Publicity Customer experience in the different channels Customer relationship model Centralised management Multichannel Commercial development program Simplifying the mass markets management S I M P L I F I C A T I O N 39
40 3. Balance sheet normalisation 40
41 Balance sheet normalisation: NPLs and real estate assets 2013: end of Crea Inflection point in nonperforming assets Solid real estate commercial platform Economic recovery Customers cash flows Real estate assets liquidity and value NPL reduction Disposal of real estate assets 41
42 NPL reduction: New model to attack non-performing loans Reduction of entries Accelerate recoveries New repayment and workout model for individuals Real estate sale support to our debtors through Solvia Distressed credit specialists for companies Industrialization of mortgage resolution model Several initiatives launched or tested in 2013 with positive results, and improving with economic recovery NPL recoveries exceed entries already in
43 NPL reduction: New structure and management model Example: Individuals workout and recovery model Overdue loans & alerts NPLs & Litigious D+0 or alerts D+90 Workout specialists Recovery unit Repayment specialists Decentralized units Objectives & incentives to the network Defined processes Specialized recovery unit Centralized New processes: Friendly negotiation (even if litigation has started) New payment channels New structure is configured and running since 4Q13 Anticipation Accelerate recovery 43
44 NPL reduction: New workout model for individuals: prevention Prevention: Anticipa-T (overdue or with alerts) Examples of individual and small businesses campaigns 1 ( to customers per campaign) % of clients with positive results Nov 13 Dec 13 Jan14 83% 84% 86% ~ 85% of clients with overdue loans or alerts show positive results Positive result means: Regularization (full or partial) Payment plans 1) Customers with overdue balances or alerts 44
45 NPL reduction: New recovery model for individuals: resolution Resolution: Recupera-T (litigious NPLs) Campaign example (individuals) 1 (~ customers per campaign) % customers contacted 27% 46% Results 2 Unwillingness or unable to pay Make some payment /accept payment plans 26% 74% 9% 91% Dec Jan Of litigious customers contacted, ~80% show willingness and ability to pay Ability to contact clients is key: initiatives in place to improve contact Good receptivity from customers contacted: Willingness and ability to make payments We have enabled new payment channels (web, etc.) 1) Customers with overdue balances or alerts 2) Of those customers contacted 45
46 NPL reduction: What will Triple deliver NPL reduction starts in ,000 in NPLs throughout the plan 46
47 Real Estate Real Estate market at a turning point Transaction level stabilized Number of transactions 900, , , , , , , ,000 transactions 9M2013 vs. 9M2012 Alicante: +10.1% Almería: +8.2% Girona: +6.8% Murcia: +5.7% Tarragona: +5.1% Prices moving towards stabilization % yoy change 12% 7% 2% -3% -8% 100, (F) -13% -18% Q13 2Q13 3Q13 Slight recovery in 2012, due to fiscal changes Geographic differences Accumulated house price correction 30% 40% Price hikes in some geographies Source: Ministerio de Fomento 47
48 Real Estate Above market performance Solvia s sales In units BS portfolio well positioned X2.0 13,777 X1.3 18,501 6, Significant differences among real estate players # homes over total < 1% 1% - <2% 2% - <5% 5% - <10% 10% >86% of our finished properties along the Mediterranean and in Madrid 48
49 Real Estate B. Sabadell has anticipated the market Market Moderation in house price fall Change in price expectations Price hikes in some regions B. Sabadell Prices hikes in more than 450 properties in 2013 Property auctions: average price increase of 16% (selling price vs published price) Stock reduction and transaction recovery in some regions Programs to develop assets with high commercial potential Land sales > 90M sales of land in promotions under development B. Sabadell: preemptive move in a changing market 49
50 Real Estate Creation of a top performing real estate company Home transactions market share Leading real estate web Local servicing: Own network Top performing realtors Superior commercial processes Advanced pricing models International channel % of BS sales over market transactions by banks and developers 1 Sales (units) 4.5% 9.0% % Q13 6,903 13,777 10,457 (18,501 full year) Market share x 2.7 1) Estimate. Sabadell sales over total dwelling transactions in Spain, excluding sales between individuals and purchases by banks 2) Includes B. CAM sales for full/ year Source: Ministerio de Fomento 50
51 Real Estate Development capabilities Development capabilities Land planning Architecture Project management Construction manger Currently 1,429 residential units under development M investment expected through Plan Triple 2013 examples Playa San Juan 80 apartments Prices between 120, ,000 Foreign and domestic demand Occupation expected in 1H % sold under construction Polop (Alicante) 58 townhouses Prices between 95, ,000 In 2 months, 95% sold under construction In 2013, we have started to sell under construction where demand is picking-up 51
52 Real Estate Triple: new initiatives Leveraging Real estate market inflection Our own capabilities Asset management division Top real estate company New initiatives Sales Transformation and value Real estate as an investment product for individuals Solvia: real estate servicer Increase institutional sales Land transformation: For investors For retail sales Properties to rent 5,000M problematic assets 52
53 Balance sheet normalisation: Key targets NPL reduction NPLs reduction starts in ,000 in NPLs Disposal of real estate assets 5,000M problematic assets 53
54 4. Developing new productivity drivers 54
55 Optima and Crea: improvements in productivity Efficient platform for growth and better performance than competitors BS vs. Peer Group 1 Base 100 = Customers Productivity (customer volumes 2 / employee) 98% 100% Branches Employees Expenses (Expenses 3 / customer volumes 2 ) 108% 100% ) Peer Group includes: Santander Spain, BBVA Spain, Popular, Bankinter and Caixabank 2) Credit, deposits and off-balance sheet customer resources 3) Includes Personal and Administration expenses. For BS estimate for 2013 including full year acquisitions. Excluding restructuring costs for Caixabank 4) Employees post-synergies Source: Annual reports 55
56 Technological superiority and innovation Reparto de carga (modalidad activo/activo) Fully virtualized platform in private cloud Top service ATMs network Customer service: 24 x 7 (combining digital & human touch) ~48% of individuals access through mobile terminals Top 5 in financial applications downloads in Spain Pioneers in innovation Instant Money Sending money to mobile phone (single use PIN code) Best Ibex 35 company 1 in Social Networks 1) Study made by Alianzo Consulting October
57 Productivity challenge of Triple 10 Efficient platform for growth 330 Extract more value from our customer base Without increasing resources Maintaining quality NII + fees Expenses x 1.6 x Employees and branches x <1 57
58 Need to transform our model In the past Our challenge Factories Customer Experience Extracted tasks from branches Moved transactions to channels and to factories More capacity to sell Multiply sales opportunities Select opportunities with higher sales effectiveness Customer knowledge Instant Banking Customised, accessible, simple, functional and ultraconvenient bank keeping human touch 58
59 New Instant Banking Model Relationship Manager Consistent space for digital or physical relationship Branch Other channels Customer Support Center Telephone assistance Videoconference Electronic/mobile Banking Other channels Customer insight Propositive commercial systems (increase touch points) Automated management of sales opportunities Operations Fully automated processes Operational control Real time data management 100% digital Customised Simple Speed/ responsiveness Improved experience 59
60 Instant banking model features Monochannel relationship model Relationship Manager: access through any channel Accessibility Convenience Human touch 100% digital and customised Use of superior customer knowledge for instant customization and higher commercial effectiveness Real time data gathering and processing Commercial tools Less intensive footprint Fewer branches, different types. Examples: Flagship branches: customer experience Service points (express branches) Customer Cliente Oficinas Physical branches físicas Oficinas Telephone banking directas Medios Online channels online Relationship Gestor Manager comercial 60
61 Instant Banking will be deployed initially in key growth areas Plan Madrid Multiply commercial activity and increase sales effectiveness Some key elements: New branch formats: flagship branches Remote Relationship Managers Centralised customer management (business intelligence) 100% digital sales and service 61
62 Developing new productivity drivers: Aspiration Model transformation Income growth Base 100 = NII + Fees Without increase in resources Maintaining high level of quality NII + Fees per employee: 50% In three years Employees Branches 62
63 5. International footprint 63
64 Sowing the seeds of future growth Internationalisation Developing the multinational platform of corporate management Multinational corporate governance and structure Entering new markets Mexico project International operating model 64
65 Growing opportunities outside of Spain Abilities of the organisation Differential value proposal Platform and operating model New banking concept In relationships More digital and less capillary In a market with room to grow and capacity to gain scale Leveraging the advantages of our abilities and platform We are gaining the opportunity to grow in more countries, organically and inorganically 65
66 6. Talent and HR 66
67 Investing in future talent Manage inhouse talent Planning, identification and management of the talent Professional development : internal selection, career and succession Motivate personal and teams achievements Investing in future talent Supporting transformation (Managing changes) Working together with the employees in the process of transformation of his functions Culture, change and principles Personnel management by segment Managing model of professional development Working flexibility and extension of working life 67
68 7. Financials 68
69 Room for improvement following the integration of recent acquisitions Gross loans and advances ex repos Euros in million 140, , ,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 NatWest Spain Banco de Asturias CAGR : 19.1% Banco Herrero Banco Atlántico TAB Banco Urquijo BBVA Miami Lydian Private Bank Banco Gui. MUNB Banco CAM Penedès Banco Gallego Lloyds Spain M&A activity complicates comparison 69
70 Improving trend in NII in an environment with a flattened yield curve 2013 Net interest income evolution Euros in million 1, % YoY 1, NII troughed in 2Q13 Avg Deposit Cost Increase Eur 3M &Eur 12M decrease ALCO Portfolio increase Avg Loan Increase, Acq. & Others Dec 2012 Dec 2013 Euribor 3 Month Evolution In % 2,00 1,75 1,50 1,25 1,00 0,75 0,50 0,25 0,00 31-Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec-13 Euribor 12 Month Evolution In % 2,25 2,00 1,75 1,50 1,25 1,00 0,75 0,50 0,25 0,00 31-Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec-13 70
71 SMEs have upside potential as a result of their improved operational leverage Internal transfer price evolution Loans and Working Capital (in %) Euribor 3M and 12M Evolution In % 4.0% 5.0% 3.0% 2.0% 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% % Loans Working Capital Eur 3 Months Eur 12 Months Adjusting asset prices by increasing spreads while maintaining the customer s financial burden Following a process of cost reduction, companies and SME s have strengthened their operational leverage 71
72 Better macro environment Year end data GDP (annual variation in %) Unemployment rate (%) HICP (annual variation in %) General Government Balance (% GDP) * Public Debt (%) * Current Account Balance (% GDP) * Gross loans excluding NPLs (yoy%) * Household and non-financial companies (yoy %) Euribor 3 months (average) ECB rates (%) Euribor 12 months (average) Spain 10 year risk premium (bps.) EUR/USD exchange rate *BS estimates Source: INE, Bank of Spain, Bloomberg and Banco Sabadell 72
73 We are facing a more favourable market situation Closing a vicious circle and starting a virtuous circle The change in trend is slow but clear Higher investing interest Spanish economy Financial Sector Higher coverage ratio Improved capital levels Lower NPLs More liquidity Peaked regulatory pressure External sector improvements Softening EU Deficit targets Economic Growth (GDP 2014e: +1%) End of employment destruction RE sector stabilisation Higher investing interest 73
74 New business plan environment Focus and capabilities within Banco Sabadell Strong capital level (taking advantage of economic recovery) Need to turn acquired businesses into profitable Capacity adjustments to improve efficiency levels Maintaining service quality leadership Capacity to integrate entities Macro Environment Though economy remains relatively vulnerable to potential shocks external sector is a basic support for the Spanish economy New Business Plan Transformation Profitability Internationalisation Financial System Sector restructuring is in an advanced phase A new cost/income relationship model Banking model evolution Increase number of customers through channel preference. opening hours and different relationship model than the current one In an environment where banking trust has deteriorated, personal relationship is still key 74
75 Key data The new Business Plan will focus in selective growth, increasing profitability, reducing at the same time problematic assets and improving efficiency levels 2016 Profit 1,000M ROTE % Efficiency ratio % Loan-to-deposits % Credit Growth (CAGR 13-16) 1% 75
76 Capital level compares well with other Spanish banks Basel 3 fully loaded capital ratios comparison 2013 reported data, in percentage Sabadell 2016e Basel III CRDIV capital ratios 10.1% 9.8% 10.2% 11.7% 9.0% 11.9% 11.2% Sabadell Santander BBVA Popular CaixaBank Phased-in Fully loaded 76
77 Main prospects for assets and liabilities Outstanding loans: deleverage trend continues in In 2015 increases slightly, and grows ~4% in Cagr > +1% Customer deposits: growth higher than 10,000M between 2013 and 2016 (cagr ~ 4%) Loan-to-deposits: declining to 100% in 2016 Commercial GAP: positive through next three years. c.+ 15,000M Off balance sheet: increase of c. 8,000M (cagr ~ 10%) 77
78 Lending by business units and products Euros in billion e 2015e 2016e Retail and Corporate Banking of which: Mortgages Loans and Credits Leasing & Renting Working Capital Asset Management Division Subsidiaries and other Total Gross Loans ex NPLs NPLs Total Gross Loans Focus on growth in SMEs and companies, offsetting mortgage book deleverage 78
79 Customer funds by business units and products Euros in billion e 2015e 2016e Balance Sheet funds of which: Sight Deposits Term Deposits Subsidiaries and others Off Balance Sheet funds of which: Mutual funds Pension funds Third party insurance Total Funds Commercial effort in gathering resources will involve all business units mainly recent acquired businesses New trend in gathering higher margin products will complement increase in deposits 79
80 Yields on loans and deposits In percentage e 2015e 2016e Mortgages Loans Credits Leasing Renting Confirming Gross Loans Yield Sight Deposits Term Deposits Other Customer Funds Yield Customer Spread Net Interest Margin Volume growth will be accompanied by pricing management 80
81 Quality of revenues improvement is sustainable throughout the plan 2014 Expected Net interest income evolution Euros in million +15.7% YoY 2,100 1, ALCO Portfolio Decrease Others Avg Deposit Cost decrease Dec 2013 Dec 2014 The ALCO portfolio decrease is more than offset by the term deposit repricing. This deposit repricing will be followed by higher asset yields in the coming years 81
82 Credit portfolio rotation Repriced loans quarterly evolution Euros in million Working capital Quarterly new entries.euros in million 4, , , , , , , ,717 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 Funding Quarterly renewals and new entries. Euros in million ,057 3, , , Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 Credits Quarterly renewals and new entries. Euros in million 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1, , , Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 82
83 Banco Sabadell targets Net interest margin In % Commissions Euros in million 1.21% 1.17% 1.76% , target Efficiency ratio In % target Net profit Euros in million 51.1% 47.6% 40.0% 1, target target 83
84 Q&A Business Plan Presentation 84
85 8. Closing remarks 85
86 Banco Sabadell market cap Banco Sabadell market cap evolution Euros in million 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2, Apr 2002-Sep 2004-Feb 2005-Jul 2006-Dec 2008-May 2009-Oct 2011-Mar 2012-Aug 2014-Jan 86
87 Shareholder s structure shareholders shareholders shareholders 28,0% 29,0% 38,5% 72,0% 71,0% 61,5% Institutional Investors Retail Shareholders In 2012 Banco Sabadell increased its shareholders base with the successfully exchange of Banco CAM preference shares In 2013 the institutional investors base significantly increased 87
88 Launch of the new business plan The new business plan is based on: An existing strong commercial platform with a national footprint Robust balance sheet with a high coverage ratio and comfortable liquidity position Systemic entity prepared to take advantage of any organic growth opportunities Good visibility on regulatory requirements on capital 88
89 A business plan focused on profitability Transformation PRofitability Internacionalization Commercial transformation Production model transformation Balance Sheet transformation Turn into profitable acquired businesses Setting the grounds for the Group internacionalization (structure. workforce. etc.) Entry in new markets 89
90 Business Plan Presentation
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