Advanced Database Marketing Innovative Methodologies and Applications for Managing Customer Relationships



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Advanced Database Marketing Innovative Methodologies and Applications for Managing Customer Relationships Edited by KRISTOF COUSSEMENT KOEN W. DE BOCK and SCOTT A. NESLIN GOWER

Contents List of Figures ' ix List of Tables xi About the Editors xiii List of Contributors xv Preface xvii Introduction 1 1 The Brave New World of Database Marketing 1 2 Book Contents 2 7 PART I Chapter 1 METHODS Data Preprocessing in Database Marketing: Tasks, Techniques, and Why They Matter 11 Stefan Lessmann 11 2 The Process of Knowledge Discovery from Databases 13 3 The Tasks and Techniques of Data Preprocessing 14 4 Predicting Households' Income Level: The Effect of Data Projection on Forecasting Accuracy 29 5 Conclusions 34 35 Chapter 2 Textual Customer Data Handling for Quantitative Marketing Analytics 41 Kristof Coussement and Koen W. De Bock 41 2 The Unpopularity of Textual Data Analysis 42 3 Text Mining: The Process 42 4 Software 58 5 Conclusion and Directions for Further Research 58 Appendix 1: 10 Hotel Le Palais in Prague Reviews Randomly Scraped from Trip Advisor 59 Appendix 2: Term-by-document Matrix 61 64

vi Advanced Database Marketing Chapter 3 Bayesian Networks and Applications in Direct Marketing 67 Yuan Yuan Guo and Man Leung Wong 67 2 Bayesian Networks 69 3 Bayesian Network Classifiers 74 4 Learning Bayesian Networks from Incomplete Databases 80 5 Direct Marketing Modeling 82 6 The Evolutionary Bayesian Network (EBN) Algorithm' 84 7 Application in Direct Marketing Modeling 84 8 Conclusion 92 Acknowledgments 92 92 Chapter 4 Chapter 5 Chapter 6 Quantile Regression for Database Marketing: Methods and Applications Dries F. Benoit and Dirk Van den Poel 2 Methodological Background 3 Case Studies 4 Summary Ensemble Learning in Database Marketing Koen W. De Bock and Kristof Coussement 2 Basics of Ensemble Learning 3 Algorithms 4 Applications in Database Marketing 5 Advanced Topics 6 Software 7 Summary Advanced Rule-based Learning: Active Learning, Rule Extraction, and Incorporating Domain Knowledge Thomas Verbraken, Veronique Van Vlasselaer, Wouter Verbeke, David Martens, and Bart Baesens 97 97 98 103 114 114 117 117 119 124 131 134 139 139 140 145 145 2 Rule Extraction 146 3 Decompositional Rule Extraction from Artificial Neural Networks 148 4 Decompositional Rule Extraction from Support Vector Machines 153 5 Pedagogical Rule Extraction Algorithms 156 6 Visualizing the Extracted Rule Sets Using Decision Tables 158

Contents vii 7 Case Study: Rule Extraction for Customer Churn Prediction 160 8 Conclusion 162 162 PART II Chapter 7 APPLICATIONS Hybrid Models for Recommender Systems Asim Ansari 2 Hybrid Latent Factor Models 3 Model Extensions 4 Estimation Methodologies and Issues 5 Item Selection Model 6 Conclusions 167 167 172 177 182 183 184 185 Chapter 8 Marketing in the New Mobile Economy 189 Anindya Ghose and Sang-Pil Han 189 2 Mobile Web and Apps 191 3 Mobile Social Media and Social Network 195 4 Location-based Services: The Impact of Real-time Geography on User Browsing and Purchase Behaviors 198 5 Mobile Commerce 199 6 Conclusion 202 203 Chapter 9 Targeting Display Advertising 209 Wendy W. Moe 209 2 Measuring the Effectiveness of Online Display Advertising 210 3 Targeting Strategies - 216 4 Risks of Targeting Display Ads 224 5 Future Research 225 226 Chapter 10 Paid Search Advertising Oliver ]. Rutz and Randolph E. Bucklin 229 229 2 A Short-term Perspective - Paid Search as a Direct Marketing Tool 232 3 A Long-term Perspective - Indirect Effects of Paid Search 236 4 Beyond Keywords.- 240 5 Emerging Topics 241

viii Advanced Database Marketing Chapter 11 6 Conclusion Social Media Management Dina Mayzlin 242 243 247 247 2 The "Why" and "What?" of Social Media 248 3 Social Media Metrics and Data Collection 250 4 The Firm's Management of Social Interactions (and Social Media) 253 262 Chapter 12 Dynamic Customer Optimization Models Scott A. Neslin 265 265 2 The Impetus for Dynamic Customer Optimization 265 3 The Elements of Dynamic Customer Optimization 268 4 The Development of the Dynamic Customer Optimization Field 271 5 Applications 274 6 Summary, Key Challenges, and Future Research 283 284 Chapter 13 Direct Marketing in the Non-profit Sector Griet Verhaert 287 287 2 Different Aspects of the Donor Lifecycle 288 3 Multi-channel Approach 291 4 Database and Methods to Optimize Direct Marketing in Fundraising 293 5 Campaign Evaluation 298 6 Conclusion, Challenges, and Opportunities for the Future 300 300 Index 303 r