WHERE IS EDTECH HEADING? Brian Stewart CANNHEIT June 17, 2015

Prediction is very difficult, especially if it's about the future. Niels Bohr - Physicist 2

Those who have knowledge, don't predict. Those who predict, don't have knowledge. Lao Tzu - 6th Century BC Chinese Poet 3

Books,. will soon be obsolete in the public schools. Scholars will be instructed through the eye. It is possible to teach every branch of human knowledge with the motion picture. Our school system will be completely changed inside of ten years. Thomas Edison - Inventor Published in The New York Dramatic Mirror in July 1913 4

COST OF EDUCATION 5

COST OF EDUCATION Figure 2.2 The Real Price of Higher Education Compared to the Real Price of Selected Non-Durable Goods, (1970=1) 6

COST OF EDUCATION Figure 2.4 The Real Price of Higher Education Compared to the Real Price of the Services of Physicians, Dentists, and Lawyers, (1970=1) 7

FUNDING SHIFTS 8

FUNDING SHIFTS Source: Canadian Federation of students http://cfs-fcee.ca/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2013/11/fact-sheet-funding-2013-11-en.pdf 9

STUDENT LOAN GROWTH - US The Economist: A lagging model, America s higher-education system is no longer delivering all it should, Mar 28th 2015 10

Industry REQUIREMENT FOR EDUCATION Table 4.1 The Percentage of High-Skill Workers by Industry, 2005 Research and Development 72.0 Education 68.3 Computer and Related Activities 65.7 Publishing 49.3 Aircraft and Spacecraft 43.7 Electrical and Optical Equipment 42.8 Post and Telecommunications 38.2 Motor Vehicles 22.1 Transport and Storage 18.1 Metals 14.3 Textiles 11.6 Construction 11.2 High-Skill 11

PRIVATE RETURN ON EDUCATION Figure 4.2 Detailed Returns to Education, 1973 2005 12

PRIVATE RETURN ON EDUCATION - US Source: US Bureau of Labour Statistics, Current Population Survey 13

PRIVATE RETURN ON EDUCATION - CANADA Professional Undergraduate Degree Earnings Premium Engineering 117% Computer Sciences 86% Commerce 74% Nursing 71% Architecture 65% Occupational or Physical Therapist 60% Pharmacist 58% Education/Teacher 53% Standard Undergraduate Degrees Earnings Premium Social sciences 38% Life sciences 37% Humanities 23% Fine & Applied Arts -12% Source: Mark Swartz, Highest Paying University Degrees in Canada. http://career-advice.monster.ca/career-development/educationtraining/highest-paying-degrees-in-canada-ca/article.aspx 14

WHAT IS EDTECH the study and ethical practice of facilitating learning and improving performance by creating, using and managing appropriate technological processes and resources. Source: Richey, R.C. (2008). Reflections on the 2008 AECT Definitions of the Field. TechTrends. 52(1) 24-25 15

WHAT IS ELEARNING? e-learning can be defined as 'learning facilitated and supported through the use of information and communications technology. Source: http://www.jisc.ac.uk/elearning Retrieved 2014-1-16 16

Scope of e-learning What is the e in elearning? and how do you strategically manage it? http://www.stccg.com/what-is-the-e-in-elearningand-how-do-you-strategically-manage-it/, Accessed October 2014. 18

Source: http://chtl.hkbu.edu.hk/elearning/images/elearning_ecosystem.jpg 19

http://gizmoninja.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/college-classroom-laptops.jpg STUDENTS 20

STUDENTS OPINION First Second Third Quality 45% 49% Access and Cost 53% 44% Technology 1% 7% 91% Source: Ignite 2014 : Ideas for Post-Secondary Education http://ignitealberta.ca/ Accessed June 2014 21

STUDENTS Evaluation of Evidence-Based Practices in Online Learning A Meta-Analysis and Review of Online Learning Studies Online performed modestly better on average Across all content and learner types Blended is better than either Collaborative or instructor led is better Online method had no affect Elements quizzes or videos had no impact Online can be enhanced through learner control and prompted reflection U.S. Department of Education, 2010 22

STUDENT PERCEPTIONS OF ONLINE COURSE TOOLS Source: Student Perceptions of Course Management System Tools ECAR 23 1237 Students 2.96% return

PERCEPTION OF BENEFIT Source: Eden Dahlstrom, D. Christopher Brooks, and Jacqueline Bichsel. The Current Ecosystem of Learning Management Systems in Higher Education: Student, Faculty, and IT Perspectives. Research report Louisville, CO: ECAR, September 2014. http://www.educause.edu/ecar Accessed June 2015 24

http://www.xlri.ac.in/images/faculty-member-head.jpg FACULTY 25

FACULTY PERCEPTION OF ONLINE Source: I. Elaine Allen, Ph.D., Jeff Seaman, Ph.D. GRADE LEVEL, TRACKING ONLINE EDUCATION IN THE UNITED STATES, Babson Survey Research Group and Quahog Research Group, LLC. February 2015. 26

10,700 FACULTY PERCEPTION OF E-LEARNING 64 % - more effort to teach 85+% - more effort to create a course 80+% - online is inferior outcomes (never taught online) 80+% - recommended online (taught online) Barriers Effort required Lack of institutional support Incentives Faculty motivation Professional Development Student choice and access Source: Online Learning as a Strategic Asset Vol. 2 APLU, 2009 27

Faculty Perception Source: Carl Straumsheim, honline Ed Skepticism and Self-Sufficiency: Survey of Faculty on Technology, Inside Higher Ed, www.insidehighered.com/news/survey/onlineedskepticismandselfsufficiencysurveyfacultyviewstechnology Accessed June 2015 28

CHALLENGES INSTITUTIONAL ADOPTION Source: Hannah Forsyth, Jenny Pizzica, Ruth Laxton & Mary Jane Mahony Faculty of Education and Social Work, University of Sydney, Australia. Published online: 04 Jan 2010. 31

MOOC MOOCS ARE IMPORTANT FOR INSTITUTIONS TO LEARN ABOUT ONLINE PEDAGOGY 2012 2013 2014 Agree 49.8% 44.0% 27.9% Neutral 31.7% 28.8% 34.9% Disagree 18.5% 27.2% 37.3% MOOCS ARE A SUSTAINABLE METHOD FOR OFFERING COURSES 2012 2013 2014 Agree 28.3% 23.2% 16.3% Neutral 45.4% 38.3% 32.9% Disagree 26.2% 38.5% 50.8% Source: I. Elaine Allen, Ph.D., Jeff Seaman, Ph.D. GRADE LEVEL, TRACKING ONLINE EDUCATION IN THE UNITED STATES, Babson Survey Research Group and Quahog Research Group, LLC. February 2015. 32

MOOC Source: I. Elaine Allen, Ph.D., Jeff Seaman, Ph.D. GRADE LEVEL, TRACKING ONLINE EDUCATION IN THE UNITED STATES, Babson Survey Research Group and Quahog Research Group, LLC. February 2015. 33

Open Educational Resources Source: I. Elaine Allen, Ph.D., Jeff Seaman, Ph.D. GRADE LEVEL, TRACKING ONLINE EDUCATION IN THE UNITED STATES, Babson Survey Research Group and Quahog Research Group, LLC. February 2015. 34

ONLINE AS STRATEGY Source: I. Elaine Allen, Ph.D., Jeff Seaman, Ph.D. GRADE LEVEL, TRACKING ONLINE EDUCATION IN THE UNITED STATES, Babson Survey Research Group and Quahog Research Group, LLC. February 2015. 35

ONLINE AS STRATEGY Source: I. Elaine Allen, Ph.D., Jeff Seaman, Ph.D. GRADE LEVEL, TRACKING ONLINE EDUCATION IN THE UNITED STATES, Babson Survey Research Group and Quahog Research Group, LLC. February 2015. 36

Cultural Norms Technology Disrupts the relationships between students and teachers. It moves from teacher centric to a broader technology afforded enablement. The teacher is no longer the chief protagonist This may be a reason the hybrid model is accepted, it still keeps the teacher s central role The adoption of EdTech It is not just about teacher s ability to use technology 37

Technology 38

INTERNET IMPACTS Source: Mary Meeker, 2015 Internet Trends Report. Kpcb.com/InternetTrends,.Accessed June 2015 39

GARTNER TOP TEN 2015 TRENDS Business Trends 1. Student Success 2. Reinventing Credits 3. Global Competition for Students 4. (Re)Thinking Business Models 5. Retreating Political Responsibility 6. Outcome-based Learning 7. Learning Analytics 8. Data-driven Decisions 9. Consumerized Expectations 10.E-research Strategic Technologies 1. Adaptive Learning Platforms 2. (Adaptive) E-textbooks 3. CRM (Enroll., Ret., Alumni) 4. Big Data 5. Sourcing Strategies (Cloud) 6. Exostructure 7. Open Microcredentials 8. Digital Assessment 9. Mobile 10.Social Learning Source: Gartner Top 10 Strategic Technologies Impacting Education in 2015 Published: 26 November 2014 40

http://www.kurtsoeser.at/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/technology-adoption.png 2.5% 13.5% 34% 34 16% 41

GARTNER HYPE CYCLE 2000 42

Eden Dahlstrom, D. Christopher Brooks, and Jacqueline Bichsel. The Current Ecosystem of Learning Management Systems in Higher Education: Student, Faculty, and IT Perspectives. Research report. Accessed June 2015 44

ELEARNING ECOSYSTEM Source: Eden Dahlstrom, D. Christopher Brooks, and Jacqueline Bichsel. The Current Ecosystem of Learning Management Systems in Higher Education: Student, 45 Faculty, and IT Perspectives. Research report Louisville, CO: ECAR, September 2014. http://www.educause.edu/ecar, Accessed June 2015

SERVICE PROVISION Bichsel, Jacqueine, The State of E-Learning in Higher Education: An Eye toward growth and Increased Access (Research Report), ECAR, 2013. http://net.educause.edu/ir/library/pdf/ers1304/ers1304.pdf, Accessed June 2015 46

RESOURCE GAP Bichsel, Jacqueine, The State of E-Learning in Higher Education: An Eye toward growth and Increased Access (Research Report), ECAR, 2013. http://net.educause.edu/ir/library/pdf/ers1304/ers1304.pdf, Accessed June 2015 47

EdTech Growth Source: http://edcetera.rafter.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/04/ambient-insight-investment-academic.jpg. Accessed 2014. 10. 01 49

EDTECH GROWTH Source: E-Learning Market Trends & Forecast 2014-2016 Report 2, A report by Docebo March 2014, www.docebo.com, Accessed June 2015 50

EdTech Growth Source: Ambient Insight Whitepaper: The 2012 Global Boom in Learning Technology Investment, Accessed: September 2013 51

EDTECH GROWTH RELATIVE SHARE SIZE Source: E-Learning Market Trends & Forecast 2014-2016 Report 2, A report by Docebo March 2014, www.docebo.com, Accessed June 2015 52

EDTECH GROWTH - CASE STUDY Source: E-Learning Market Trends & Forecast 2014-2016 Report 2, A report by Docebo March 2014, www.docebo.com, Accessed June 2015 53

EDTECH GROWTH Source: Sam S. Adkins: Ambient Insight Regional Report 2013-2018 North America Self paced elearning Market. www.ambientinsight.com http://www.ambientinsight.com/resources/documents/ambientinsight-2013-2018-northamerica-self-paced-elearning-market-executive-overview.pdf 54

EDTECH FUTURE FACTORS - TRAINING Source: E-Learning Market Trends & Forecast 2014-2016 Report 2, A report by Docebo March 2014, www.docebo.com, Accessed June 2015 55

FUTURE FACTORS - ACADEMIC Source: I. Elaine Allen, Ph.D., Jeff Seaman, Ph.D. GRADE LEVEL, TRACKING ONLINE EDUCATION IN THE UNITED STATES, Babson Survey Research Group and Quahog Research Group, LLC. February 2015. 56

The future is already here it's just not evenly distributed. William Gibson Author 57

THANK YOU BRIAN STEWART brstewar@ualberta.ca 58

EDTECH GROWTH Source: http://cangurses.files.wordpress.com/2013/08/2.png Accessed: June 2015 59

CRITICAL SUCCESS FACTORS INSTITUTIONAL ADOPTION Source: Hannah Forsyth, Jenny Pizzica, Ruth Laxton & Mary Jane Mahony Hannah Faculty of Forsyth, Education Jenny and Pizzica, Social Ruth Work Laxton, University & Mary of Jane Sydney Mahony, Australia. Published online: 04 Jan 2010. Faculty of Education and Social Work, University of Sydney, Australia. Published online: 04 Jan 2010. 60

STAFFING - GAP Source: Bichsel, Jacqueine, The State of E-Learning in Higher Education: An Eye toward growth and Increased Access (Research Report), ECAR, 2013. http://net.educause.edu/ir/library/pdf/ers1304/ers1304.pdf, Accessed June 2015 61