What does higher education look like for the fall 2013?

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2 What does higher education look like for the fall 2013? Every morning in Africa a gazelle wakes up. It knows it must run faster than the fastest lion or it will be killed. Every morning a lion wakes up. It knows it must outrun the slowest gazelle or it will starve to death. It doesn t matter whether you are a lion or gazelle. When the sun comes up, you better start running. (African Proverb)

3 Three Horizons of Educational Change 0 Bishop (2012) states that transition of higher education needs to be viewed on three horizons of change. 0 Horizon 1 Change that is upon us 0 Horizon 2 Change on the horizon 0 Horizon 3 Change over the horizon

4 Horizon 1: Change that is upon us: Fall Number of students taking at least one online course 6.7 Million and growing 9.3% last year (32% of all students) 0 In the past decade the percent of academic leaders who believe online learning outcomes are the same or superior to f2f has grown from 57.2% to 77.0%. 0 Only 30.2% chief academic offers believe their faculty accept the value/legitimacy of online education, that number only rises to 38.4% among CAOs at schools with fully online programs % of academic leaders consider the need for more discipline on the part of online students a barrier to the growth of online instruction.

5 Horizon 1: Change that is upon us: Fall Other barriers include lower retention rates, and lack of acceptance of online degrees by potential employers. 0 Only 2.6% of schools currently offer MOOCs, and only 9.4% plan to offer them and most of those are large schools with 15,000+ students. And half of them plan to partner with outside organizations to offer the MOOCs % of CAOs believe MOOCs have the potential to attract potential students to their institutions % believe credential for MOOC completion will cause confusion about higher education degrees % of CAOs at schools with online offerings believe their institutions are above average in their ability to scale their online offerings. (Allen and Seaman, 2013)

6 Horizon 1: Change that is upon us: Fall 2013 Forces That Flattened the World 0 Flattener #2. 8/9/95 (Internet) 0 Flattener #3. Work Flow Software/Platforms 0 Flattener #4. Uploading (Online Communities) 0 Flattener #9. In-forming (Google, Yahoo, Bing) 0 Flattener #10. The Steroids (Digital and Mobile) (Friedman, 2007)

7 Horizon 1: Change that is upon us: Fall 2013 Cost-Benefit Analysis Over the past few decades, the cost of higher education programs have been a challenge for most there is a trend of questioning the cost-benefit of higher education (Berger, 2013; Fried, 2013; Is College Worth It?, 2011).

8 Horizon 1: Change that is upon us: Fall 2013 Digital native learners Prefer receiving information quickly from multiple multimedia sources Prefer parallel processing and multi-tasking Prefer processing pictures, sounds and video before text Prefer random access to hyperlinked multimedia information Prefer to interact/network simultaneously with many others Prefer to learn just-in-time Prefer instant gratification and instant rewards. Prefer learning that is relevant, instantly useful and fun Digital immigrant teachers Prefer slow and controlled release of information from limited sources Prefer singular processing and single or limited tasking Prefer to provide text before pictures, sounds and video Prefer to provide information linearly, logically and sequentially Prefer students to work independently rather than network and interact Prefer to teach just-in-case (it is on the exam) Prefer deferred gratification and deferred rewards Prefer to teach to the curriculum guide and standardized tests (Jukes and Dosaj as cited in Chelliah and Clarke, 2011)

9 Horizon 2: Change on the horizon Open source and its impact on education 0 But learning may not be what schools are about. Some argue that learning is not even the most important part of a school s mission. Rather, sorting and credentialing may be the primary service that schools provide society today (Bishop, 2012, p. 141).

10 Horizon 2: Change on the horizon Separate Learning from Credentialing 0 Most four-year undergraduate degrees require about 120 semester credit hours (180 quarter hours) 0 If students can learn on the Internet, why sit through classes or participate in structured online course? 0 Why even enroll and pay tuition? 0 They learn however they will; and when they believe they are ready, they sit for an examination or any other form of assessment from a credentialing center. (Bishop, 2012, p. 141)

11 Horizon 3: Change over the horizon Possible Trends by Moving from synchronous toward asynchronous 0 Moving from courses toward competencies 0 Role of faculty moving from teaching sections of courses toward mentoring/coaching 0 Moving from an academic calendar of specific start and stop dates toward a fluid, on-demand structure

12 Presenters Kevin Hughes Ronald Bolender

13 References Allen, I. E., & Seaman, J. (2013, January). Changing course: Ten years of tracking online education in the United States. San Francisco: CA. Babson Survey Research Group and Quahog Research Group, LLC. Berger, B. (2013, May 9). Why a college degree may not be worth it. U.S. News & World Report. Retrieved from Bishop, P. C. (2012). The three horizons of educational change. On the Horizon. 20(2) Emerald Group Publishing Limited Chelliah, J., & Clarke, E. (2011). Collaborative teaching and learning: Overcoming the digital divide? On the Horizon. 19(4) Emerald Group Publishing Limited. Is college worth it? (2011, May 15). Pew Research Social & Demographics. Retrieved from Farr, C. (2013, June 6). Coursera partners with education publishing giant to bring online learning to millions of students. Venture Beat. Retrieved from Fried, V. H. (2013, March 26). College The Heritage Foundation. Retrieved from Friedman, T.L. (2007). The world is flat: A brief history of the twenty-first century. NewYork, NY: Picador/Farrar, Straus and Giroux.