How To Make Money From Semiconductor Production



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ASML 2011 Third Quarter Results Confirming expectation for record sales year Oct 12, 2011 / Slide 1

Safe Harbor "Safe Harbor" Statement under the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995: the matters discussed in this document may include forward-looking statements, including statements made about our outlook, realization of systems backlog, IC unit demand, financial results, average selling price, gross margin and expenses, dividend policy and intention to repurchase shares. These forward looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties including, but not limited to: economic conditions, product demand and semiconductor equipment industry capacity, worldwide demand and manufacturing capacity utilization for semiconductors (the principal product of our customer base), including the impact of general economic conditions on consumer confidence and demand for our customers products, competitive products and pricing, the impact of manufacturing efficiencies and capacity constraints, the pace of new product development and customer acceptance of new products, our ability to enforce patents and protect intellectual property rights, the risk of intellectual property litigation, availability of raw materials and critical manufacturing equipment, trade environment, changes in exchange rates, available cash, distributable reserves for dividend payments and share repurchases, and other risks indicated in the risk factors included in ASML s Annual Report on Form 20-F and other filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. / Slide 2

Agenda Business summary Market ASML business update Outlook and summary / Slide 3

/ Slide 4 Business summary

Q3 results - highlights Net sales of 1,459 million, 55 systems sold valued at 1,274 million, service and field option sales at 185 million Gross margin of 42.1% Operating margin of 27.9% Net bookings are valued at 514 million, 23 systems Backlog at 1,994 million, 74 systems, excluding EUV (ASP new tools 31.5 million) Generated 338 million cash from operations Net bookings and backlog numbers are excluding EUV. / Slide 5

Total net sales M 6,000 5,000 4,508 Net sales 4,000 3,000 2,000 3,582 1,053 958 3,768 955 934 2,954 494 697 1,596 1,521 1,176 1,459 1,529 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 1,000 0 930 844 581 1,069 942 555 1,452 949 919 629 277 742 183 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Numbers have been rounded for readers convenience. / Slide 6

Net system sales breakdown in value: Q3 2011 Technology Sales in Units USA 19% Korea 24% Region Japan 13% China 15% KrF ArF immersion 16% ArF 83% Immersion 71% Singapore 13% Europe 9% Taiwan 7% ArF dry 5% I-Line 2% EUV 6% NAND 28% End-use Foundry 22% DRAM 23% 2 EUV IDM 27% 25 ArF immersion 3 18 ArF dry KrF I-Line 7 Numbers have been rounded for readers convenience. / Slide 7

Consolidated statements of operations M Q2 11 Q3 11 Net sales 1,529 1,459 Gross profit Gross margin % 690 45.1% 613 42.1% R&D costs 145 150 SG&A costs 51 56 Income from operations Operating income % 494 32.3% 407 27.9% Net income Net income as a % of sales 432 28.3% 355 24.4% Earnings per share (basic) 1.01 0.84 Numbers have been rounded for readers convenience. / Slide 8

Key financial trends 2010 2011 Consolidated statements of operations M Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Net Sales 1,176 1,521 1,452 1,529 1,459 Gross profit Gross margin % 513 43.6% 685 45.0% 649 44.7% 690 45.1% 613 42.1% R&D costs 137 141 145 145 150 SG&A costs 48 50 54 51 56 Income from operations Operating income % Net income Net income as a % of net sales 328 27.9% 269 22.8% 494 32.4% 407 26.7% 450 31.0% 395 27.2% 494 32.3% 432 28.3% 407 27.9% 355 24.4% Units sold 51 69 63 63 55 ASP new systems 24.1 22.4 22.5 22.7 27.1 Net bookings value 1,391 2,315 845 840 514 Numbers have been rounded for readers convenience. / Slide 9

Cash flows M Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash flows from operating activities; Q2 11 Q3 11 Net income 432 355 Impairment and obsolescence 14 23 Depreciation and amortization 43 43 Deferred income taxes (8) (4) Other non-cash items 3 4 Change in assets and liabilities 15 (83) Net cash provided by operating activities 499 338 Net cash used in investing activities (60) (80) Net cash used in financing activities (394) (172) Total FX effects (2) 10 Net increase in cash and cash equivalents 43 96 Numbers have been rounded for readers convenience. / Slide 10

Balance sheets M Assets Jun 2011 Sep 2011 Cash and cash equivalents 2,742 39% 2,838 40% Accounts receivable, net 895 12% 812 11% Finance receivables, net 62 1% 116 2% Inventories, net 1,610 23% 1,456 20% Other assets 468 7% 498 7% Tax assets 195 3% 179 3% Fixed assets 1,104 15% 1,209 17% Total assets 7,076 100% 7,108 100% Liabilities and shareholders equity Jun 2011 Sep 2011 Current liabilities 2,230 31% 2,031 29% Non-current liabilities 1,737 25% 1,793 25% Shareholders equity 3,109 44% 3,284 46% Total liabilities and shareholders equity 7,076 100% 7,108 100% Numbers have been rounded for readers convenience. / Slide 11

Bookings activity by sector - total value M 514 Bookings in value NAND Foundry 41% 30% DRAM 18% IDM 11% Booked 21 new tools at 506 million, 2 used at 8 million Numbers have been rounded for readers convenience. / Slide 12

Backlog in value per Sep 25, 2011 Total value M 1,994 End-use Technology ArF immersion 75% KrF 21% I-Line 2% ArF dry 2% New systems Used systems Total systems Units 62 12 74 Value M 1,951 43 1,994 ASP M 31.5 3.6 26.9 Region (ship to location) IDM 17% DRAM 16% Foundry 42% NAND 25% Taiwan 21% USA 25% Korea 27% Japan 7% Singapore 7% Europe 10% China 3% 82% of backlog carry shipment dates in the next 6 months Numbers have been rounded for readers convenience. / Slide 13

/ Slide 14 Market

Business environment Its is too early to understand how overall demand for semiconductor will drive ASML s business in 2012 Sustained need for litho tools capable of printing new nodes will justify increased systems bookings in Q4 compared with Q3 This level of bookings will start to support continued technology upgrades for sub 20 nm nodes development ramping production of advanced 2x nm nodes in Logic and NAND and 3x nm in DRAM / Slide 15

Rapid technology transitions being executed in each sector NAND 1xH 2xL 2xH 3xL 3xH 4x nm 5x nm DRAM 100% 100% 2xH 3xL 3xH 4x nm 5x nm 6x nm 8x nm % of Wafer Starts per Node 80% 60% 40% 20% % of Wafer starts per Node 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 0% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2011 2012 2011 2012 Logic 32/28 nm 40/45 nm 5x nm 6x nm 9x nm 130 nm MPU 2X 3X 4X 6X 100% 100% % of Wafer Starts per Node 80% 60% 40% 20% % of Wafer Start per Node 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2011 2012 0% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2011 2012 / Slide 16

/ Slide 17 ASML business update

Options for shrink: Immersion and EUV 200 Resolution (half pitch) "Shrink" [nm] 100 80 60 50 40 30 20 10 LOGIC DRAM NAND EUV DPT ArFi ArF KrF 8 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Source: Customers, ASML, 05/10 Year of production start Notes: 1. R&D solution required 1.5~ 2 yrs ahead of Production 2. EUV resolution requires 7nm diffusion length resist 3. DPT = Double Patterning / Slide 18

ASML Dual Product Strategy enables continued shrink Strong NXT platform roadmap optimized for multi pass patterning processes Introduce EUV platform for volume manufacturing of critical layers Concurrent development programs to enhance imaging, overlay, productivity and process control on both platforms / Slide 19

Q3 immersion platform highlights ASML s TWINSCAN NXT:1950 reached milestone of more than 100 shipments to date; total installed base of ASML immersion systems exceeds 320 tools First TWINSCAN NXT:1950 with productivity of 200 wafers per hour (at 125 shots) is currently shipping TWINSCAN NXT:1950 surpassed the productivity milestone of more than 4000 wafers in a single day at a customer production site / Slide 20

EUV is making significant progress NXE:3100 4 machines are printing wafers, 1 system is being installed, 6 th system is shipping Imaging performance has been demonstrated down to 22 nanometer in a single exposure Total exposed wafers by customers almost doubled in Q3 to more than 2500 wafers allowing them to develop the next generation chip production processes / Slide 21

EUV productivity roadmap redefined Source suppliers have now demonstrated power levels that support mid teens wafers per hour productivity These upgrades will be field implemented starting Q4 2011 High confidence in reaching commercial viable productivity levels in the summer of 2012 through: pre-pulse for conversion efficiency increase optimized filtering for higher EUV light transmission duty cycle improvement for continuous production / Slide 22

NXE Source power roadmap and current status Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Power <10W Power 20-50W Power >100W Demonstrated at supplier Expose power 30W @ 80% duty cycle without pre-pulse 1.2 2 1.8 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 1.6 1.4 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 x 10 4 / Slide 23

EUV transition EUV will be first introduced for layers that are difficult / expensive to print with multi pass immersion patterning Every customer, every application, every product and every layer will have its own difficulty / cost threshold Based upon economics and productivity more layers will be printed with EUV over time Therefore there will be a gradual transition to EUV EUV simplifies process, reduces cost, improves yield and provide additional shrink opportunity / Slide 24

EUV industrialization in 2012-2014 Wafers per hour 150 125 100 75 50 Proven in the lab industrialization Proven in the fab Exposure layers Critical exposures transition to EUV with improved productivity EUV Immersion double patterning Immersion 25 Non critical 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Time / Slide 25

Additional EUV shrink benefits Die size reduction & cost per wafer (CpW) NAND DRAM Logic CpW Savings: up to 50 $/wafer CpW Savings: up to 100 $/wafer CpW Savings: up to 400 $/wafer Case: Bit Line Contacts Case: Sense Amplifiers Case: SRAM 14nm shrink 10,000,000 Announced SRAM cell sizes Projected SRAM cell sizes EUV ~200 nm Savings: ~4% in die size Additional savings: Cycle time / Yield Source: ASML Strategic Marketing / Slide 26 SPT : 2.4 µm EUV : 2.0 µm ArFi Savings: ~5% in die size Additional savings: Cycle time / Yield / Product design flexibility SRAM Bit Area [nm2 ] Trend 1,000,000 100,000 2.2669 y = 19.404x 10,000 1000 Data for devices >180nm 100 10 Process technology [nm, half pitch] Savings: ~7% in die size Additional savings: Cycle time / Yield / Product design flexibility

EUV NXE:3300 Volume manufacturing tool Assembly and integration of the first NXE:3300 has started for first delivery in H2 2012 / Slide 27

Share buy back program 1 billion, 24 month share buy back program 1000 56% of program executed 20.7 million shares repurchased at an average price of 26.98 weekly updates available on ASML s website million euros 800 600 400 200 0 Q3 Q2 Q1 2011 / Slide 28

/ Slide 29 Outlook and summary

Q4 2011 outlook Bookings expected at a level above Q3 Net sales above 1.1 billion including 1 EUV system ( 40 million at 0% gross margin) Gross margin about 41% R&D costs at 150 million SG&A costs at 56 million ASML expects full year 2011 sales to hit a record level of about EUR 5.5 billion / Slide 30

/ Slide 31