Aegean Airlines 2007 Review & Business Outlook. Analysts Conference Call February 20, 2008



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Transcription:

Aegean Airlines 2007 Review & Business Outlook Analysts Conference Call February 20, 2008

Agenda 2007 Review Business Outlook Key highlights Domestic network International network Activity Our fleet Financials Key performance indicators Our network expansion Western Europe Regional/Domestic Our refleeting process Airbus A320/321 Boeing 737-300/400 Commercial initiatives Fuel prices / FX Closing remarks 2

2007 Review: Key Highlights Turnover rose 20% to 482.7m Net profit for the period increased 39% to 35.8m Total passengers welcomed on board reached 5.2 million (+18% y-o-y) IPO proceeds and improved results strengthen balance sheet Avg segment length rose 9% - CASK fell by 6% - Yield decreased by 4% High fuel costs impact felt on Q4:07 3

2007 Review: Domestic Network Operating 18 year-round and 2 seasonal routes Thessaloniki Kavala Alexandroupolis Reaching 15 destinations Kerkyra Ioannina Carrying 3.4m pax (+10% y-o-y) Outperforming domestic market growth registered by AIA (+9%) Athens Mytilini Chios Samos Mykonos Kos Overall market share gains Heraklion Chania Santorini Rhodes Opened in 2007 4

2007 Review: International Network Operating 13 year round and 9 seasonal routes Dusseldorf Frankfurt Stuttgart Munich Reaching 10 destinations Carrying 1.9m pax (+35% y-o-y) Milan Rome Sofia Bucharest Very good evolution of German routes opened in 2007 Athens Thessaloniki A3 #1 position in Sofia for 2007 #2 in Bucharest on dynamic market growth and reduced competitors frequencies (excl OA) Heraklion Larnaca AIA international market growing by +10% y-o-y Opened in 2007 Note: Year-round routes, excluding seasonal routes from Heraklion to Germany and Cyprus and from Myconos and Santorini to Italy Cairo 5

2007 Review: Activity & Market Position More flights, longer distances & market share gains in a growing market 22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 AIA Pax (m) & A3 market share (%) 20% 22% 23% 25% 17% 14% 11.8 12.2 13.6 14.3 15.1 16.5 32% 27% 22% 17% 12% 7% 2% -3% 2.42 2.85 A3 Total pax (m) 4.01 3.58 4.45 5.23 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Average Segment Length (km) Number of flights* 2007 639 2007 54,708 2006 588 2006 47,979 2005 582 2005 45,377 2004 577 2004 46,150 6 *Excl non revenue flights

2007 Review: Our Fleet Total available seats flown up 19% in 2007 Arrival of 3 new A 320s in the first quarter 2007 1 Boeing 737 / 300 returned to lessor in December 2007 Avros capacity up to 112 seats from 100 Exercise option with Airbus for delivery of 6 A320 in first half 2010 Total pre-delivery payments reached EUR77.8m as of Dec 2007 7

2007 Review: P&L Highlights Euro (million) 2006 2007 07 vs 06 Revenue 401.1 482.7 20% EBITDAR 69.9 83.1 19% EBITDAR margin 17.4% 17.2% -0.2pp EBIT 40.0 42.9 7% EBT 34.4 44.6 30% Net income 25.7 35.8 39% Net income margin 6.4% 7.4% 1pp 8

2007 Review: Balance Sheet Euro (million) Advances for A/C acquisition Other fixed assets Total fixed assets Cash and cash equivalents Other current assets Total Assets Total equity Debt Other Liabilities* Total Liabilities & Equity Dec-06 32.1 39.7 71.8 24.4 70.6 166.8 16.5 56.7 93.6 166.8 Dec-07 77.8 46.5 124.3 158.3 70.5 353.2 167.5 57.5 128.2 353.2 * Includes derivative financial instruments liabilities of 31.2m in 2007 vs. 12.6m in 2006 9

2007 Review: Key Performance Indicators 2006 2007 07 vs 06 Load Factor (RPK/ASK) Scheduled 71.8% 69.5% -2.3pp Load Factor (Pax/AVS) Scheduled 70.4% 69.2% -1.2pp Avg Pax/flight 93 96 +3 pax Yield ( cents) 14.0 13.4-4.1% RASK ( cents) 10.0 9.4-5.2% CASK - EBITDAR level ( cents) 8.2 7.8-5.0% CASK - EBT level ( cents) 9.1 8.6-5.9% Average Fare ( ) 75.6 78.9 4.4% 10

Agenda 2007 Review Business Outlook Key highlights Domestic network International network Activity Our fleet Financials Key performance indicators Our network expansion Western Europe Regional/domestic Our refleeting process Airbus A320/321 Boeing 737-300/400 Commercial initiatives Fuel prices / FX Closing remarks 11

Our Network Expansion 2008 summer schedule consistent with stated strategy 2008 Routes Destinations International Network 17 12 New W. European route: Athens-London New regional route: Athens-Tirana Domestic Network 24 17 2 new destinations: Limnos, Kefalonia, now covering 98% of potential demand Adding Thessaloniki-Chios Total 41 29 12

Athens-London 2 daily flights as of May 15 operated by new A 321 Biggest market from Athens with near 1m pax Boosts Aegean s International Carrier Profile Stansted Airport Closer to City financial center Less delays Slots availability / flexibility to add more routes in the future Competitor capacity overall stagnant last 4-5 years 13

Our network Cover 6 out of 7 and 8 out of 15 most popular international destinations from Athens 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Athens-Alexandroupolis Athens-Chania Athens-Chios Athens-Corfu Athens-Heraklion Athens-Ioannina Athens-Kavala Athens-Kefalonia Athens-Kos Athens-Limnos Athens-Myconos Athens-Mytilini Domestic Routes 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Athens-Rhodes Athens-Samos Athens-Santorini Athens-Thessaloniki Thessaloniki-Chania Thessaloniki-Chios Thessaloniki-Heraklion Thessaloniki-Kos Thessaloniki-Mykonos Thessaloniki-Mytilini Thessaloniki-Rhodes Thessaloniki-Santorini 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 International Routes 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Athens-Bucharest Athens-Cairo Athens-Frankfurt Athens-Larnaca Athens-London Athens-Milan Athens-Munich Athens-Rome Athens-Sofia Athens-Tirana Heraklion-Larnaca Rhodes-Larnaca Thessaloniki-Dusseldorf Thessaloniki-Frankfurt Thessaloniki-Larnaca Thessaloniki-Munich Thessaloniki-Stuttgart Top 15 International Destinations from AIA 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 London Larnaca Paris Milan Frankfurt Rome Munich Amsterdam Zurich New York Madrid Brussels Istanbul Bucharest Cairo 14

Our Re-fleeting Process Boeings 737-300/400 retirement Decision to return Boeing fleet back to lessors over the 12/07 6/09 period based on: Aim at simplifying operations by shifting to 2 types of A/C High fuel prices intensify importance of operating fuel efficient fleet A3 attractive customer to lessors Short term impact from Boeings early retirement Impact on utilization Re-delivery cost 15

Our Re-fleeting Process A 320 / 321 Opportunity Delivery of 8 A320 and 2 A321 in 2008 Exercised option for 2 A321 with 2009 delivery Majority of international routes served by new Airbus A 320/321 fleet in 2008 New fleet to represent 44% of total available seats in 2008 Image benefits / Business Class potential Cost savings Maintenance costs per flight hour Lower fuel consumption per flight hour 16

Our Fleet 2007 2008 2009 2010 A320/321 deliveries 3 10 8 6 Boeing re-deliveries 1 4+ 2 8 Avro re-delivery 2 Average fleet size 2007 2008 2009 2010 A 320 2.5 7.9 16.2 21.5 A 321 0.0 1.4 3.5 4.0 Avros 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.0 Boeing 737/300-400 14.9 11.1 2.5 0.0 Total 23.4 26.4 28.3 30.5 Fleet at peak period 24 27 27 31 32 deliveries-redeliveries in 2008-2009 to impact effective capacity 17

Average fleet age 12.0 8.0 4.0 0.0 10.4 10.0 8.0 4.0 2.0 18 Years 2006 2007 2008E 2009E 2010E

Commercial Initiatives More active marketing campaign in 2008 focusing on: New destinations New fleet Attractive web fares Targets include: Boost A3 international carrier status Attract business class passengers Improve quality of web bookings 19

New website booking engine offering choice and transparency All inclusive fare policy Choice on fares: saver, SemiFlex, Flex Choice on flights: Including code share flights Easily see and compare results for previous/next day trips To launch new web image at end March 20

Fuel Prices / FX Sharp rise in oil prices to impact performance in 2008 Fuel surcharges raised in Oct 2007 (at $80/bbl levels) Limited fuel hedges for 2008 1.6 100 80 60 40 20 Fuel surcharges Brent $/bbl First hedges implemented for 2007 Fuel surcharges 1.5 USD/EUR 0 1.4 Jan-06 Apr-06 Jul-06 Oct-06 Jan-07 Apr-07 Jul-07 Oct-07 Jan-08 1.3 1.2 1.1 1 Jan-06 Apr-06 Jul-06 Oct-06 Jan-07 Apr-07 Jul-07 Oct-07 Jan-08 US dollar hedges implemented for 2008 but at lower than current levels 21

Closing Remarks Looking back to an important year for Aegean Airlines: Share capital increase successfully completed providing financial security Delivering strong results during the first year as a publicly listed company despite increasing competition and rising oil prices Initiated re-fleeting process Looking ahead Aegean Airlines targets at: Successfully completing the re-fleeting process involving 40 acceptances / re-deliveries by 2010 Exploit the opportunity offered by new fleet operation Execute on international routes expansion 22

Forward Looking Statements Except for historical information, the statements made or information contained in this presentation are forward-looking in nature and, as such, are subject to certain risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond the Company s control, which could cause the actual results to differ materially from those referenced, projected or contemplated herein by any forward-looking statement, including but not limited to the following: overall passenger traffic; the airline ticket pricing environment; the international expansion of our route network; seasonal fluctuations in passenger travel; aviation fuel prices; landing and navigation fee changes; changes in aircraft acquisition, leasing and other operating expenses; developments in government regulations and labour relations; the cost of our ground handling operations; the future development of AIA; foreign currency fluctuations, in particular between the euro and the U.S. dollar; the progress of our codeshared and interline arrangements; our ability to finance our planned acquisition of aircraft and to discharge any resulting debt service obligations; the availability of additional slots or landing rights at existing airports and the availability of new airports for expansion; interest rate fluctuations; extraordinary events, such as accidents, terrorist attacks or threats of terrorist attacks, natural disasters and outbreaks of contagious diseases; the rates of taxes payable; and general economic conditions in Greece and the European Union. Additional risks are discussed in the Offering Memorandum and the Company s filings with the Capital Markets Commission and the Athens Exchange. Although the Company believes the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that its expectations will be attained. The forward-looking statements are made as of the date of this presentation, and we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. 23