Contingent Capital in the new regulatory regime Challenge or Opportunity?

Similar documents
Development of the Client-Focused, Capital-Efficient Business Model

Second Quarter 2014 Results

Presentation at Bank of America Merrill Lynch Banking & Insurance Conference

Why Credit Suisse? Private Banking & Wealth Management 3Q2014

CREDIT SUISSE GROUP AG CREDIT SUISSE AG

Investing in Contingent Convertibles

Basel III and beyond The trillion dollar question: can bail-in capital bail out the banking industry?

CoCo Bonds and their extension risk

Definition of Capital

4Q15 Letter to shareholders

Bank of America Merrill Lynch 2013 Banking & Financial Services Conference. Robert J. McCann CEO, UBS Group Americas CEO, Wealth Management Americas

Strategic Update. James P. Gorman, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. January 20, 2015

Third Quarter 2010 Results

CoCos: a primer 1. Stefan Avdjiev. Anastasia Kartasheva. Bilyana Bogdanova

Investing in CoCos. Preferred Securities. In Europe, the CoCo market has tripled over the past two years.

BANK OF MAURITIUS. Guideline on Scope of Application. of Basel III and Eligible Capital

GOLDMAN SACHS REPORTS THIRD QUARTER LOSS PER COMMON SHARE OF $0.84

GOLDMAN SACHS REPORTS FIRST QUARTER EARNINGS PER COMMON SHARE OF $2.68

BNY Mellon Third Quarter 2015 Financial Highlights

GOLDMAN SACHS REPORTS FIRST QUARTER EARNINGS PER COMMON SHARE OF $5.94 AND INCREASES THE QUARTERLY DIVIDEND TO $0.65 PER COMMON SHARE

I. Emerging markets will not be initially subject to TLAC Liability structure: Business structure:

Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. Basel III definition of capital - Frequently asked questions

Press release. National Bank releases its results for the second quarter of the SECOND quarter of 2009 (1) :

GOLDMAN SACHS REPORTS EARNINGS PER COMMON SHARE OF $17.07 FOR 2014

Goldman Sachs U.S. Financial Services Conference 2012

GOLDMAN SACHS REPORTS THIRD QUARTER EARNINGS PER COMMON SHARE OF $2.90

European Credit: Seeking Symmetry From Senior to Subordinated Vianney Hocquet, Corporate Portfolio Manager

GOLDMAN SACHS REPORTS SECOND QUARTER EARNINGS PER COMMON SHARE OF $3.72. Highlights

VIII. Parent company financial statements Credit Suisse (Bank) 339 Report of the Statutory Auditors. 340 Financial review. 341 Statements of income

Recommended Offer for Alliance & Leicester. 14 July 2008

Morgan Stanley Reports Third Quarter 2015:

TD Bank Group Provides Supplementary Disclosures Related to Fiscal 2011 IFRS Results and Segment Change

GE Capital Finance Australia APS 330: Public Disclosure of Prudential Information December 2013 (AUD $ million)

How To Make Money From A Bank Loan

State Bank Financial Corporation Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2015 Financial Results

CorpBanca Announces First Quarter 2011 Financial Results and Conference Call on Tuesday, May 17, 2011

'Contingent Convertibles' The World of CoCos

Morgan Stanley - Current Net Income and Statements of Performance

Credit Suisse Private Banking: Strategy update

GOLDMAN SACHS REPORTS FIRST QUARTER EARNINGS PER COMMON SHARE OF $4.02

About Credit Suisse A brief presentation. December 2015

GOLDMAN SACHS BANK USA AND SUBSDIARIES

3rd Quarter Fiscal 2016 Results Conference Call May 25, 2016

High Yield Bonds A Primer

Financial strategy supports strategic transformation

Strategic Update. James P. Gorman, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. January 19, 2016

Press release Press enquiries:

Asset Management Credit Suisse Asia Pacific Investor Forum

Financial Data Supplement 2Q2013

BMC Software Announces Fiscal 2008 First Quarter Results

N E W S R E L E A S E

Glossary & Definitions

Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. Consultative Document. TLAC Holdings. Issued for comment by 12 February 2016

2015 Biennial IADI Research Conference. Session 5: Perspectives on the Global Financial Safety Net. Eva Hüpkes Basel, 4 June 2015

Earnings Release 1Q15

Carbonite Reports Record Revenue for Second Quarter of 2014

SLM CORPORATION SUPPLEMENTAL FINANCIAL INFORMATION FIRST QUARTER 2006 (Dollars in millions, except per share amounts, unless otherwise stated)

Morgan Stanley Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2015:

Q3 INTERIM MANAGEMENT STATEMENT Presentation to analysts and investors. 28 October 2014

EMERSON AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED OPERATING RESULTS (AMOUNTS IN MILLIONS EXCEPT PER SHARE, UNAUDITED)

GOLDMAN SACHS REPORTS SECOND QUARTER EARNINGS PER COMMON SHARE OF $1.98; LITIGATION PROVISIONS REDUCED EARNINGS PER COMMON SHARE BY $2.

Annual Highlights. Book value per common share increased by 5% during the year to $

Should Life Insurers buy CoCo Bonds? - Regulatory Effects Implied by the Solvency II Standards

Commerzbank: Operating profit improved after nine months of 2015 to EUR 1.5 bn CET 1 ratio increased to 10.8%

THE GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP, INC. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Bank Capital Adequacy under Basel III

EXTRACT FROM. Common shares issued by the bank For an instrument to be included in CET1 capital it must meet all of the criteria that follow.

Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. Basel III definition of capital - Frequently asked questions

Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2013 Results

THE REGULATORY LANDSCAPE IS CHANGING, ARE YOU READY? RECENT UPDATES TO PRA AND TLAC STANDARDS

4Q and FYE 2014 Results Conference Call

UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C Form 6-K. CREDIT SUISSE AG (Translation of registrant s name into English)

by Johannes A. Bürgi, Thomas Meister and Thomas S. Müller, Walder Wyss Ltd

2. Banks must maintain a total capital ratio of at least 10% and a minimum Tier 1 ratio of 6%.

Morgan Stanley Reports First Quarter 2015:

NASDAQ OMX Copenhagen A/S. Preliminary announcement of financial statements February 2015

Jupiter Asset Management Ltd Pillar 3 Disclosures as at 31 December 2014

American International Group, Inc.

Closing Speech by the Governor of the Banco de España 6th Santander International Banking Conference Luis M.

MORGAN STANLEY Financial Supplement - 4Q 2015 Table of Contents

Investor Presentation Acquisition of General Electric s Transportation Finance Business

The UK/EU approach to bail-in: key design features

Q Results. 1 August 2014

PAYCHEX, INC. REPORTS THIRD QUARTER RESULTS

HSBC Holdings plc and HSBC Bank Canada Presentation to Fixed Income Investors. September 2013

Transcription:

Contingent Capital in the new regulatory regime Challenge or Opportunity? David Mathers, Chief Financial Officer London, October 5th, 2011

Cautionary statement Cautionary statement regarding forward-looking and non-gaap information This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties, and we might not be able to achieve the predictions, forecasts, projections and other outcomes we describe or imply in forward-looking statements. A number of important factors could cause results to differ materially from the plans, objectives, expectations, estimates and intentions we express in these forward-looking statements, including those we identify in "Risk Factors" in our Annual Report on Form 20-F for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2010 filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission, and in other public filings and press releases. We do not intend to update these forward-looking statements except as may be required by applicable laws. This presentation contains non-gaap financial information. Information needed to reconcile such non-gaap financial information to the most directly comparable measures under GAAP can be found in Credit Suisse Group's second quarter report 2011. Slide 1

Agenda The challenge: A changing landscape for capital regulation The opportunity: Credit Suisse's Buffer Capital Notes as a component of an efficient capital structure Looking ahead Slide 2

Regulatory capital requirements for end 2018 2% 1.5% 11.5 to 13% 9.5 to 11% 7 to 9.5% Lossabsorbing capital 19% 6% 13% 3% 10% Complete re-design Primarily to address TBTF/G-SIBs regulation in local regulation Effectively replaces current Basel II-compliant subordinated capital components which proved ineffective in 2008 crisis Contingent capital with equity conversion and write-down features most commonly discussed Requirement will be regularly adjusted up or down with changes in local market share and balance sheet size Increased level and improved quality Common equity tier 1 capital Needs to be in the form of equity Significant increase of 'minimum' levels Very limited scope for adjustments / local adaptation of rules Deductions for 'de-recognition' of certain assets Tier 2 capital Basel III 1) Non-core tier 1 capital 'Swiss finish' 5% low-trigger contingent capital 7% high-trigger contingent capital Note: Charts are a simplified presentation of capital requirements for illustration purposes 1) Including global systemically important banks (G-SIBs) loss absorbency buffer. An additional 1% surcharge in the additional loss absorbency buffer might be applied to provide a disincentive for banks to increase materially their global systemic importance in the future Slide 3

Regulators confirm important role for contingent capital as part of non-core, loss-absorbing capital instruments Conclusion on the use of going-concern contingent capital 89. The Group of Governors and Heads of Supervision and the Basel Committee [ ] support the use of contingent capital to meet higher national loss absorbency requirements than the global requirement, as high-trigger contingent capital could help absorb losses on a going concern basis. Global systemically important banks: Assessment methodology and the additional loss absorbency requirement, July 2011 European Commission Eligibility criteria for non-core Tier 1 capital 11. An instrument [ ] shall have principal loss absorption through either: conversion to common shares at an objective pre-specified trigger point or a write-down mechanism that allocates losses to the instrument at a pre-specified trigger point. Regulation on prudential requirements for the credit institutions and investment firms, July 2011 Slide 4

A level playing field is emerging in emerging in common equity requirements Basel III for 2.5% G-SIBs 19% 17 to 20% 13% Tier 2 11% Additional Tier 1 9.5% Low-trigger Contingent Capital 13% High-trigger Contingent Capital 10% Bail-in bonds 13% Non-equity capital (loss absorbing tier 1 and tier 2 capital) 9.5% 15 to 16% Other loss absorbing capital 10 to 12% Common Equity Tier 1 Common Equity Tier 1 Common Equity Tier 1 Common Equity Tier 1 Note: Charts are a simplified presentation of capital requirements for illustration purposes Slide 5

Regulation for non-core, loss-absorbing capital needs to address market demands while reflecting regulatory intentions Protect depositors Regulators & Governments Use truly loss Avoid bailout / reduce moral hazard Support economic growth absorbing capital Increase confidence in banking system Implications for existing capital notes Use in compensation plans Issuers Transparency and monitoring of capital triggers Costs, also relative to equity Investors "Rateability" and recognition in rating agencies' capital models CoCo? Fit into standard investment mandates Contingent Capital notes are suitable instruments that balance the concerns of three different groups, as they address the intentions of regulators and governments meet the demands of investors are aligned with business intentions of bank treasury departments Slide 6

Agenda The challenge: A changing landscape for capital regulation The opportunity: Credit Suisse's Buffer Capital Notes as a component of an efficient capital structure Looking ahead Slide 7

Proactive capital management at Credit Suisse through issuance of Buffer Capital Notes (BCN) Two separate transactions in February 2011 Marketing and execution success (public transaction) Private forward agreement to swap CHF 6 bn hybrid tier 1 notes with 10 to 11% coupon with CHF 6 bn of tier1 BCN with 9 to 9.5% coupon Public offering of USD 2 bn 30NC5.5 tier 2 BCNs with a 7.875% coupon A three-team global roadshow marketed the "RegS" transaction The final order book size was over USD 22 bn (more than 11x oversubscription) Final pricing of 7.875%, lower than initial whisper of 8% to 8.5% and a revised price guidance of 8% area (+/- 12.5 bps) Performed well in the after-market and traded at 103.125/103.25 Allocation Private transaction with two long-term strategic investors Public transaction: 48% to institutional, 34% to private and 18% hedge funds Worked extensively with local regulator (FINMA) to ensure BCNs qualify as contingent capital under the still to be finalized new regime Secured over 70% of high-trigger Contingent Capital requirement within less than a week Slide 8

Important design principles of Credit Suisse's BCN Low likelihood of conversion Credit Suisse capitalized with a significant gap to regulatory minimum and trigger-levels Adapted client-focused, capital-efficient business model; accompanied with significant risk reduction Probability of trigger-event viewed as sufficiently remote and unlikely Shareholder rights and cash delivery option Credit Suisse may appoint Selling Agent to offer shares to shareholders at/above the conversion price may result in a pro-rate delivery of cash to BCN holders Selling Agent also to sell shares and deliver cash to BCN investor if delivery instructions for shares can not be provided 1 2 Capped dilution to avoid "downward spiral" Conversion into shares at market price with floor price of USD/CHF 20.0 Floor price avoids downward spiral, providing for a possible rights issue as alternative to conversion Threat of dilution provides incentive for early capital raisings Fully maintains important loss absorption Additional protection for senior debt Subordination, as well as conversion feature, provides protection to senior bonds But BCNs are senior to equity first loss remains with equity holders Non-viability "failsafe" to ensure conversion where the trigger is not reached, but the institution is otherwise not able to survive 3 4 Slide 9

Costs of new regime comparable to existing structure CHF 26 bn Weighted-average yields (pre-tax) CHF 27 bn Still to be issued Yield assumptions Tier 2 capital CHF 11.8 bn 5.1% 5.6% est. (Tier 2 host) Low-trigger contingent capital Low-trigger notes expected to price/trade at a slight premium (est. 50 bp) to "old style" lower tier 2 capital Hybrid Tier 1 CHF 14.2 bn 8.0% 6.7% 6.8% 8.3% (Tier 2 host) 9.6% est. (Tier 1 host) CHF 18.0 bn CHF 1.7 bn CHF 1.9 bn CHF 5.4 bn High-trigger contingent capital Estimated Tier 1 high-trigger yield of 9.6% is based on the differential observed between high-trigger Tier 1 and Tier 2 instruments placed in February 2011 End 2010 capital components (Basel II) Future capital components ("Swiss Finish") 1) Note: Senior debt may price tighter, as the risk-profile of the issuer improves and the theoretical liquidation value increases Note: Weighted-average yields to next call/maturity based on secondary market yields during 3Q11; does not reflect the benefit of tax-deductibility 1) Based on CHF 300 bn of Basel III risk-weighted assets Slide 10

Agenda The challenge: A changing landscape for capital regulation The opportunity: Credit Suisse's Buffer Capital Notes as a component of an efficient capital structure Looking ahead Slide 11

Common Equity Tier 1 ratio simulation (Basel 3) As presented at 2Q11 results Illustrative CET1 capital projection in CHF bn +2.0 Share-based compensation impact 3) Proforma CET1 ratio 12.7% 5) +4.7 43.0 38.2 Retained earnings 2013 2) Proforma CET1 ratio 14.3% 5) 31.2 (0.7) +5.7 Retained earnings 2H11 and 2012 2) Shareholders equity 2Q11 Regulatory Capital generation CET1 capital 4) deductions 1) 2H11 and 2012 by end 2012 Capital generation 2013 CET1 capital 4) by end 2013 Note: Numbers may not add due to rounding 1) Fair value changes from movements in spreads on own debt and structured notes, net of tax 2) 2011 and 2012 Bloomberg consensus net income estimates, adjusted for 6M11 net income, less dividend estimates. Not endorsed or verified and is used solely for illustrative purposes 3) Represents the estimated share-based compensation expense that is assumed to be settled with shares issued from conditional capital, resulting in an equivalent increase in shareholders equity 4) Applying January 1, 2013 Basel 3 capital rules 5) Based on mid-point risk-weighted asset range of CHF 300 bn Slide 12

Swiss parliamentary process well advanced and flexibility for Credit Suisse in planning next capital issuances Parliamentarian process of Swiss TBTF legislation Both Swiss parliament chambers accepted a compromise on outstanding differences in the TBTF proposal Law most likely to come into force in early 2012 Ordinances, which define important implementation details, will take at least until 2Q12 to be proposed, reviewed and presented to the chambers for final approval Low-trigger contingent capital issuances No imminent need to issue additional contingent capital Flexible approach towards structure (e.g. conversion vs. write-down) Not yet clear how Basel II Tier1&2 instruments phase out from 2013, which may be important in the interim phase for leverage ratio calculation Slide 13

Summary The regulatory landscape is changing, with Switzerland being most advanced in local implementation Credit Suisse embraces changes and acts as early adopter Discussion around contingent capital is ongoing, but opportunities greatly outweigh any concerns Slide 14

Slide 15