BMW GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION. October 2016

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Transcription:

BMW GROUP INVESTOR PRESENTATION October 2016

FORWARD-LOOKING STRATEGIES LEADING TO A SUCCESSFUL CORPORATE DEVELOPMENT SINCE 2001. 2016 2001/ 2003 Premium brand strategy Strategy Number ONE 2007 BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Page 2

VISION COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE STRATEGIC APPROACH CORPORATE CULTURE BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Page 3

STRATEGY NUMBER ONE NEXT. We are Number ONE. We inspire people on the move: We shape tomorrow s individual premium mobility. We are leading the BMW Group into a new era: We leverage innovative technologies, digitalization and sustainability to deliver unique customer experiences. We unite excitement, responsibility and success: We have the most emotional products and attractive services. We create the future: We combine operational excellence and fresh thinking. BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Page 4

MANAGING THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE INDUSTRY TO SET THE COURSE FOR FURTHER GROWTH AND SUSTAINABLE PROFIT. EVOLUTION Efficient combustion engines Innovative technologies REVOLUTION Alternative drive trains Mobility Services BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Page 5

STRENGTHENING PROFITABILITY BY SALES GROWTH AND PRODUCT EXPANSION. HIGH PERFORMANCE CARS LUXURY SEGMENT X-PORTFOLIO BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Page 6

MOBILITY OF THE FUTURE: HIGHLY AUTOMATED, ZERO-EMISSION VEHICLES COMBINED WITH INNOVATIVE MOBILITY SERVICES. AUTONOMOUS DRIVING E-MOBILITY MOBILITY SERVICES BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Page 7

LEADERSHIP DRIVEN BY ASPIRATIONAL BRAND PORTFOLIO AND HIGHLY EMOTIONAL PRODUCTS. BRANDS & DESIGN Premium Brands Design Luxury Compact/Small Dynamic Target group Now Efficient BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Page 8

ATTRACTIVE PREMIUM BRANDS PROVIDE THE BASIS FOR A FURTHER EXPANSION OF THE PRODUCT PORTFOLIO. BRANDS & DESIGN BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Page 9

SIXTH GENERATION OF BMW 7 SERIES: THE NEW BENCHMARK IN THE LUXURY SEGMENT. PRODUCTS BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Page 10

KEEPING THE LEAD FURTHER EXPANSION OF THE X-PORTFOLIO PLANNED UNTIL 2020. PRODUCTS BMW X1 BMW X2* BMW X3 BMW X4 BMW X5 BMW X6 BMW X7 BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 *Concept Car Page 11

BMW M AUTOMOBILES ARE THE VERY SPORTY AND DYNAMIC END OF OUR MODEL RANGE. PRODUCTS AN EXAMPLE: BRAND SHAPER BMW M4 GTS M AUTOMOBILES BMW M2 Coupé M PERFORMANCE AUTOMOBILES BMW M240i Coupé CORE BRAND MODEL WITH M SPORT PACKAGE BMW 420i Coupé with M sport package TOP MODEL CORE BRAND BMW 228i Coupé BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Page 12

iperformance AND BMW i BALANCING THE PRODUCT PORTFOLIO. PRODUCTS DYNAMIC EFFICIENT BMW brand framework for product portfolio M Core Models M Performance Core Models PHEVs BEVs High Performance Performance Champions Electrified Efficiency Champions Visionary Mobility The interplay of BMW M and BMW i enhances competitive differentiation (representation of the scope of the BMW brand). BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Page 13

23,600 VEHICLES WITH ELECTRIC DRIVE TRAIN SOLD IN FIRST HALF OF 2016. PRODUCTS BMW i3 BMW i8 BMW 225xe iperformance BMW X5 xdrive40e iperformance BMW 330e iperformance BMW 530Le BMW 740e iperformance BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Page 14

FURTHER EXPANSION OF THE BMW i PORTFOLIO. PRODUCTS i NEXT 2013 2014 2016 2018 Beginning ofthe next decade Continuous development of the BMW i3 with regard to range and design BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Page 15

PROJECT i 2.0: THE BMW i NEXT IS THE FUTURE OF MOBILITY. TECHNOLOGIES Lightweight construction Interior of the future Connectivity Sustainability BMW i NEXT Purpose-built Autonomous driving New sportiness Highly automated driving Electrification Artificial Intelligence BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Page 16

ENSURING OUR POSITION AS TECHNOLOGY LEADER. TECHNOLOGIES Technology and innovation leader Powertrain technologies Digitalization Efficient Dynamics NEXT E-Mobility Hydrogen Connectivity Artificial Intelligence Autonomous driving BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Page 17

THE NEXT STEPS ARE HIGHLY AND FULLY AUTONOMOUS DRIVING. TECHNOLOGIES Human Transition of responsibility Machine No active assistance system Early warning systems such as cruise control/ speed assistant ( Feet-off ) Traffic control (e.g. congestion assistant) ( Hands-off ) TODAY Awareness for take over Take over request ( Eyes-off ) General awareness No take over request ( Mind-off ) No driver 0 Driver Only 1 Assistance 2 Semi-Automation 3 High-Automation 4 Full-Automation 5 Autonomous BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Page 18

MASTERING THE BASIC TECHNOLOGIES IS THE FIRST STEP FOR HIGHLY AUTOMATED DRIVING. TECHNOLOGIES Sensor systems Artificial Intelligence Regulatory requirements Intelligent autonomous vehicle Digital maps / HERE Digital reality model BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Page 19

BMW GROUP, INTEL AND MOBILEYE TEAM UP TO BRING FULLY AUTONOMOUS DRIVING TO STREETS BY 2021. TECHNOLOGIES Fleets of fully autonomous cars for new mobility services in urban environments Creation of an open platform for the next generation of cars In-vehicle computing, robust cloud and set of machine-learning solutions from Intel Full suite of expertise in sensing, localization, and driving policy from Mobileye BMW inext model will be the basis for fleets of fully autonomous vehicles BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Page 20

LEVERAGING POTENTIAL OF DIGITALIZATION AND CONNECTIVITY. CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE & SERVICES BMW Connected Mobility Cloud BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Page 21

INTELLIGENT AND INNOVATIVE PRODUCTION - DIGITIZATION CREATES NEW POTENTIAL. DIGITALIZATION Data and Analytics Smart Logistics Innovative Automation Additive Manufacturing 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 140 135 130 125 Internet-of-Things Architecture Autonomous Transport Systems Collaborative Robot Systems Laminate or Metal Data Management for Planning and Control Global Supply Chain Visibility and Control Context-sensitive Worker Support Systems Serial Production and Rapid Prototyping Cyber Security Integrated Supplier Networks Reorganization of Work New Individualization BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Page 22

BMW MOTORRAD. WIDER RANGE THAN EVER BEFORE. PRODUCTS ADVENTURE TOUR SPORT ROADSTER HERITAGE URBAN MOBILITY NEW SINCE 2014 NEW SINCE 2012 BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Page 23

MAINTAINING THE AUTOMOTIVE EBIT MARGIN IN THE CORRIDOR OF 8-10% DESPITE ONGOING CHALLENGES. PROFITABILITY Future costs Regulatory requirements Market and competitive environment Volatility 10 % 8 % Ongoing efficiency measures to compensate the cost burden Expansion & optimization Retail sales growth product portfolio Autos and Motorcycles New technologies/ equipment options Reduction of material costs Benefits from digitalization Efficiency measures BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Page 24

FINANCIAL TARGETS 2020: SUSTAINABLE GROWTH AND SOLID PROFITABILITY DESPITE CHALLENGES. PROFITABILITY BMW Group EBT margin (from 2017) Investment ratio* Research and development ratio Payout ratio Automotive Segment EBIT margin Free Cashflow Motorcycles Segment Sales volume EBIT margin (from 2017) Financial Services Segment Return on Equity 2015 10.0% 4.2% 5.6% 32.9% 9.2% 5.4 bn 136,963 units 9.1% 20.2% 2020 >10% <5.0% 5.0-5.5% 30-40% 8-10% >3 bn > 200,000 units 8-10% >18% * Investments in property, plant and equipment and other intangible assets (without capitalized development costs). BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Page 25

BMW GROUP SALES FIGURES YTD AUGUST 2016. 1,508,659 + 5.5% 1,282,511 + 5.5% 223,913 + 5.7% 2,235-1.4% 103,829 + 2.5% BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Page 26

BMW GROUP AUTOMOTIVE: BALANCED SALES DISTRIBUTION AND SOLID YTD AUGUST 2016 GROWTH OF +5.5%. Americas Europe Mainland China Asia (w/o China) & Rest of World +10.1% -7.0% +9.4% +5.8% 20% 45% 22% 13% 298,821 units 685,328 units 329,972 units 194,538 units BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Rolls Royce is included in Rest of World, YTD August 2016 (figures may not add to 100% due to rounding) Page 27

BMW GROUP AUTOMOTIVE MAJOR MARKETS. DELIVERIES TO CUSTOMERS YTD AUGUST 2016. Deliveries of automobiles YTD 2016 YTD 2015 Change in % Europe 685,328 622,632 10.1 thereof Germany 1) 202,853 190,043 6.7 Great Britain 144,116 131,615 9.5 France 54,396 48,959 11.1 Italy 51,444 44,086 16.7 Americas 298,821 321,375-7.0 thereof USA 239,631 263,908-9.2 Asia 476,777 440,908 8.1 thereof China Mainland 329,972 301,529 9.4 thereof BBA retail sales 204,640 185,353 10.4 Japan 46,713 42,920 8.8 Rest of the World 2) 47,733 44,482 7.3 Total 1,508,659 1,429,397 5.5 1) BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Registrations 2) Rolls-Royce sales are included in Rest of the World Page 28

BMW AND MINI RETAIL DEVELOPMENT IN MAINLAND CHINA YTD AUGUST 2016. Share of JV Sales 62% 59% 53% 48% 32% 41% 43% 51% 61% 61% 61% 62% in 000 units +19.7 % +16.7 % 390.7 +1.7% 456.0 463.7 +9.4% Import JV Sales +86.7 % 169.0 +37.6 % +40.3 % 232.6 94.4 326.4 141.2 198.5 275.9 282.0 301.5 185.4 330.0 204.6 36.4 +27.5 % +41.8 % 51.6 65.8 35.2 30.6 22.6 13.8 21.0 30.7 +37.5 % 53.7 90.5 43.7 115.3 138.2 46.8 185.3 192.2 180.1 181.7 116.2 125.3 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 YTD 2015 YTD 2016 BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Source: BMW Group Retail data, YTD August 2016 Page 29

DELIVERIES TO CUSTOMERS BY SERIES YTD AUGUST 2016. Deliveries of automobiles YTD 2016 YTD 2015 Change in % 1 Series 110,297 111,809-1.4 2 Series 126,704 91,519 38.4 3 Series 272,670 289,931-6.0 4 Series 86,980 99,981-13.0 5 Series 219,187 225,436-2.8 6 Series 8,795 13,551-35.1 7 Series 35,540 23,347 52.2 X1 128,252 74,081 73.1 X3 101,105 86,330 17.1 X4 38,583 35,974 7.3 X5 105,689 112,147-5.8 X6 28,088 28,855-2.7 Z4 3,766 5,540-32.0 BMW i 16,855 16,804 0.3 BMW Total 1,282,511 1,215,305 5.5 MINI 223,913 211,826 5.7 Rolls Royce 2,235 2,266-1.4 BMW Group Total 1,508,659 1,429,397 5.5 BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Page 30

PREMIUM SEGMENT SHARE OF TOTAL MARKET 2015. in % 30 25 25.8 21.0 20 15 11.9 10 10.1 9.3 9.0 8.6 8.5 7.4 World Average: 8.9% 5 4.6 2.4 1.2 0 Germany United Kingdom Italy USA Turkey France S. Korea Russia China Japan Brazil India BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Source: Global Insight 12/2015 Page 31

GLOBAL ANNUAL PREMIUM SEGMENT SALES ARE EXPECTED TO GROW TO 9.0 MN UNITS BY 2020. 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 Rest of World, CAGR +4.6% BRIKT*, CAGR +5.2% China, CAGR +5.5% Japan, CAGR +0.4% 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 Region ( 000 units) 2015 2020 Chg. World 7,749 9,012 16% Res t of World 605 759 25% BRIKT* 475 612 29% China (Mainland) 1,793 2,345 31% Japan 225 229 2% North America 1,944 2,173 12% Western Europe 2,707 2,894 7% North America, CAGR +2.3% Western Europe, CAGR +1.3% 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Source: Global Insight 04/2016 *BRIKT refers to Brazil, Russia, India, South Korea and Turkey Page 32

BMW GROUP Q2-2016: NEW SALES VOLUME AND EARNINGS RECORDS IN SECOND QUARTER. BMW Group Q2-2016 Q2-2015 Change in % Earnings before tax Group (in m ) 2,798 2,582 +8.4 EBT margin (in %) Group 11.2 10.8 +0.4 pp Automotive Segment Automotive sales (units) 605,534 573,079 +5.7 Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) (in m ) 2,178 1,819 +19.7 EBIT margin (in %) 9.5 8.4 +1.1 pp Net financial assets (m ) 16,486 13,595 +21.3 Motorcycles Segment Sales (units) 46,966 47,048-0.2 Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) (in m ) 98 112-12.5 EBIT margin (in %) 15.9 18.0-2.1 pp Financial Services Earnings before tax (EBT) (in m ) 503 496 +1.4 Penetration rate (in %) 47.4 45.1 +2.3 pp Credit loss ratio (in %) 0.29 0.34-0.05 pp BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Page 33

BMW GROUP H1-2016: STRONG RESULTS IN FIRST HALF OF 2016. BMW Group H1-2016 H1-2015 Change in % Earnings before tax Group (in m ) 5,166 4,851 +6.5 EBT margin (in %) Group 11.3 10.8 0.5 pp Automotive Segment Automotive sales (units) 1,163,139 1,099,748 +5.8 Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) (in m ) 3,941 3,613 +9.1 EBIT margin (in %) 9.5 8.9 +0.6 pp Net financial assets (m ) 16,486 13,595 +21.3 Motorcycles Segment Sales (units) 80,754 78,418 +3.0 Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) (in m ) 192 227-15.4 EBIT margin (in %) 16.0 19.1-3.1 pp Financial Services Earnings before tax (EBT) (in m ) 1,073 1,055 +1.7 Penetration rate (in %) 47.4 45.1 +2.3 pp Credit loss ratio (in %) 0.29 0.34-0.05 pp BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Page 34

25TH CONSECUTIVE QUARTER TO ACHIEVE AUTOMOTIVE SEGMENT EBIT MARGIN WITHIN TARGET RANGE OF BETWEEN 8 AND 10% OR HIGHER. EBIT margin development automotive segment [in %] 14.4 11.9 11.9 11.6 11.6 11.7 9.6 8.1 10.2 9.2 9.6 10.5 9.9 9.6 9.0 9.1 9.5 9.4 8.2 9.5 8.4 9.1 9.6 9.4 9.5 Target corridor: 8-10 % BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Page 35

FREE CASH FLOW AUTOMOTIVE SEGMENT. TARGET OF >3BN EURO ANNUALLY. Free Cash Flow (Automotive) * [in m ] 5,404 4,471 2,277 3,166 3,809 3,003 3,481 2,557 2,522 Target: > 3 billion 1,456 n.a. 197 2006 2007 2008 2009** 2010 2011** 2012 2013** 2014 2015 H1-2015 H1-2016 * Definition: Free cash flow corresponds to the cash inflow from operating activities of the Automobiles segment less the cash outflow for investing activities of the Automobiles segment adjusted for net BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 investment in marketable securities and term deposits. 2009 2015 as reported, 2007 & 2008 calculated according to above definition from reported figures. No cash flow reporting on segment level in 2006. ** 2009, 2011, 2013 figures have been adjusted in accordance with IAS 8. Page 36

CAPITAL EXPENDITURE BMW GROUP. TARGET RATIO BELOW 5% OF GROUP REVENUES. BMW Group Capital Expenditure * [in m ] Capex Ratio ** [in %] 6,000 10 9 5,000 8 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 5.7 5.2 5.6 2,777 2,933 2,980 4.7 3.8 4.0 2,383 2,312 2,720 5.4 4,151 6.5 4,967 5.7 4,601 4.2 3,826 3.6 1,616 2.3 1,042 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Target ratio: <5% 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013*** 2014 2015 H1-2015 H1-2016 0 BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 * Capital Expenditure: additions to property, plant and equipment and other intangible assets (definition has been changed in 2016). ** Capital expenditure ratio: Capital expenditure divided by Group revenues. *** 2013 figures have been adjusted in accordance with IAS 8. Page 37

OUTLOOK FOR 2016 POSITIVE BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED DESPITE CHALLENGES. BMW Group Slight increase in EBT compared with previous year Automotive Segment Slight increase in deliveries and revenues compared with the previous year EBIT margin in the target range of 8-10% Financial Services Segment Return on equity of at least 18%, on par with previous year Motorcycles Segment Solid increase in deliveries compared with the previous year BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Page 38

BMW GROUP S FINANCE STRATEGY COVERS THE ENTIRE AUTOMOTIVE VALUE CHAIN. BMW GROUP CORPORATE FINANCE STRATEGY REFLECTS THE INDUSTRIAL NATURE OFTHE BUSINESS AND IS FOCUSED ON THE ENTIRE AUTOMOTIVE VALUE CHAIN. Automotive value chain Research & Development Production Sales & Marketing Financial Services BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Page 39

DIVERSIFIED FUNDING MIX WITH A COMBINATION OF INDUSTRY AND BANK TYPICAL FINANCING INSTRUMENTS. Funding Instruments Financial Debt as of 30.06.2016 <1yr 1yr 2yrs 3yrs 4yrs 5yrs 7yrs 10yrs+ CP (EMTN) PPs Bonds Banks loans Others 2% Structured Financing 2% Bank Loans 9% Fed Funds 1% SSD 2% ABCP ABS Brokered CD's 5% Customers deposits Fed Funds BCD s Public Bonds 41% 91.2 bn * Customer Deposits BMW Bank 9% Industry-typical instruments Bank-typical instruments ABS 16% PP's 9% CP 4% BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 *Adjusted, excluding currency and interest rate derivatives. Page 40

BMW GROUP INVESTOR RELATIONS. CONTACTS. Torsten Schüssler Head of Investor Relations Bernd Daser Debt & Equity IR Patrick Neumayer Debt & Equity IR Americas +49-89-382-25387 torsten.schuessler@bmw.de +49-89-382-31684 bernd.daser@bmw.de +1-201-307-4210 patrick.neumayer@bmwna.com Tanja Seiler Equity & SRI IR Andreas Stöffler Equity IR Ziye Zhou Debt & Equity IR +49-89-382-75161 tanja.seiler@bmw.de +49-89-382-17944 andreas.stoeffler@bmw.de +49-89-382-16190 ziye.zhou@bmw.de http://www.bmwgroup.com/ir IR Contact BMW Group Investor Relations Petuelring 130 80788 Munich ir@bmwgroup.com BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Page 41

BMW GROUP INVESTOR RELATIONS. FINANCIAL CALENDAR 2016 & 2017. 04.11.2016 Quarterly Report to September 2016 21.03.2017 Annual Accounts Press Conference 2017 22.03.2017 Analyst and Investor Conference 2017 04.05.2017 Quarterly Report to March 2017 11.05.2017 Annual General Meeting 2017 03.08.2017 Quarterly Report to June 2017 http://www.bmwgroup.com/ir BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Page 42

DISCLAIMER. This document contains forward-looking statements that reflect BMW Group s current views about future events. The words anticipate, assume, believe, estimate, expect, intend, may, can, could, plan, project, should and similar expressions are used to identify forward-looking statements. These statements are subject to many risks and uncertainties or may be affected by factors outside BMW Group s control, including adverse developments in global economic conditions resulting in a decline in demand in BMW Group s key markets, including China, North America and Europe; a deterioration in credit and financial markets; a shift in consumer preferences affecting demand for BMW Group s products; changes in the prices of fuel or raw materials; disruption of production due to shortages of materials, labor strikes or supplier insolvencies; the effective implementation of BMW Group s strategic goals and targets; changes in laws, regulations and government policies, particularly those relating to vehicle emissions, fuel economy and safety; and other risks and uncertainties, including those described under the heading Report on Risks and Opportunities in BMW Group s most recent Annual Report. If any of these risks and uncertainties materializes or if the assumptions underlying any of BMW Group s forward-looking statements prove to be incorrect, actual results may be materially different from those BMW Group expresses or implies by such statements. BMW Group does not intend or assume any obligation to update these forward-looking statements. BMW Group Investor Presentation, October 2016 Page 43