INVESTOR PRESENTATION. September 2016

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Transcription:

INVESTOR PRESENTATION September 2016

2016 2017 Priorities I. Lasting recovery in France II. Turnaround in Brazil III. Exito: strong operational results in Colombia, Argentina and Uruguay IV. Simplification of our E-commerce activities V. Significant deleveraging and secured financing 2

I. Recovery in France: Sales * Excluding fuel and calendar effects 3

I. Recovery in France: Retail market shares Casino is the only integrated retailer to achieve market share gain year-on-year in France Cumulative market share measured by the Kantar Worldpanel from January 1, to August 7, 2016 0.5 0.3 0.1 Casino Lidl Leclerc Lidl Leclerc 4

I. Recovery in France: Profitability Significant improvement of Trading profit in H1 2016: 85m vs. - 53m in H1 2015 Significant recovery in profitability of food retail operations with a + 170m improvement vs. H1 2015 Profitability supported by solid performances of our different banners: Stable market shares at Monoprix globally (Kantar) and locally (IRI) (Paris, suburbs and other cities) and excellent margins thanks to its unique mix of food and non-food assortment High level of profitability at Franprix and increase at Casino Supermarchés Leader Price profitable in 2016 and Géant from 2017 onwards Confirmation for FY 2016 of a Trading profit above 500m in France thanks to: Margin improvements: purchasing gains, optimization of mix, wider fresh assortment Transfer of c. 200 stores to franchisees and closure of non performing stores These actions will have a positive carry-over impact in 2017, driving the 2017 profitability growth 5

I. Recovery in France: Free cash flow Net capex of c. 350m in 2016 Gross capex allocated to premium formats and maintenance Disposal of mature assets (stores, warehouses, etc.) Net capex level in 2017 similar to 2016 FCF* Before 2015 dividends and coupons on hybrids instruments > 550m After 2015 dividends and coupons on hybrids instruments > 150m** * Operating cash flow from the French business activities after tax - capex of the French business activities and dividends received from international subsidiaries and equity associates - net financial expense ** Before 2016 interim dividend 6

II. Turnaround in Brazil: GPA Food Improvement in sales in Q2 2016 Solid performance of Assaí, with sales growth of +37% Gradual recovery in food LFL for Extra Hypermarkets thanks to new commercial initiatives ( 1, 2, 3 promotions, Hyper fair, Lowest price) Strong performance of Proximity and Premium banners (Pao de Acucar) Total food sales grew +8.9% Decline of gross margin in Q2 due to the effort to boost competitiveness SG&A evolution in Q2 below inflation EBITDA margin to increase sequentially in Q3 vs. Q2 Progressive improvement of Sales trends Operational efficiency gains (headcount reductions, review of marketing spend, productivity in logistics) 7

II. Turnaround in Brazil: Via Varejo Sales at Via Varejo started to grow again in Q2 Focus on competitiveness and core product families Development of services Market share gains Focus on cost cutting and financial discipline Merger with Cnova Brazil expected in Q4 2016 8

III. Exito: strong operational results in Colombia, Argentina and Uruguay In H1 2016, solid operational performances in Colombia, Uruguay and Argentina Opening of the first Cash & Carry store in Colombia, with additional projects in 2017 Creation of Viva Malls, a vehicle designed to fund real estate developments in Colombia Synergy plan with GPA: on track, with expected improvement of +50 bps in consolidated Ebitda margin by 2019 Positive evolution of the stock value of GPA (+41.8%*) and Via Varejo (+126.6%) still to be seen in Exito share price (+4.4%*) Deleveraging plan focused on working capital optimization of around USD$150m Structural reduction of inventories (by 4-5 days) Optimization of receivable collection and negotiation of term with suppliers * January 1 st to August 25 th, 2016 9

IV. Simplification of our E-commerce activities Announcement in May 2016 of the project to reorganize Cnova s E-commerce Business in Brazil (Cnova Brazil) within Via Varejo to create an omni-channel Electronics leader in Brazil and to focus Cnova on the Cdiscount activity in France Approval of this project by the Boards of Via Varejo and Cnova in August 2016 and Via Varejo shareholders meetings scheduled in September and Cnova s shareholders' meeting expected in Q4 2016 Subject to the completion of the reorganization between Via Varejo and Cnova Brazil, Casino has agreed to launch an offer to purchase the publicly held Cnova shares at US$5,50 per share The reorganization is expected to generate operational synergies: One time working capital improvement of c. BRL325m, thanks to the reduction of overlapping inventories Recurring sales and cost synergies of c. BRL245m, run-rates achieved in 2017 (Source: Via Varejo Notice of Material Fact 08/08/2016) 10

V. Deleveraging Rapid execution of the asset disposal plan, which exceeded objectives: Disposal of operations in Thailand in March 2016 Disposal of operations in Vietnam in April 2016 Sharp decline in Casino's Financial net debt in France: Net debt in France reduced from 8.5bn at 30 June 2015 to 4.0bn at June 2016 Year end debt to be significantly reduced from 6.1bn as of December 2015 Positive Free Cash Flow after dividend > 150m Significant divestments (Asia): 3.9bn Buy back of Monoprix convertible 500m Purchase offer on Cnova up to 160m 2016 Interim dividends 170m Buy back of Casino, Exito* and GPA** shares and liquidity contract 150m Other non cash items * See note 3.1.2 to the H1 consolidated financial statements: between 1 March and 28 March 2016, the Group acquired 2.4 million shares in Exito for a total of USD 11 million ( 10 million), increasing its stake in the company to 55.30% from 54.77% previously ** See note 3.1.3 to the H1 consolidated financial statements: in June 2016, the Group acquired 970 thousand preference shares for 11 million, representing about 0.4% of GPA s share capital 11

V. Secured Financing - Liquidity 6,577m LIQUIDITY* AT 30 JUNE 2016 In m 3,711 2,866 3,079 1,578 Cash and cash equivalents Credit facilities H1 2015 H1 2016 Liquidity further strengthened by the disposals Gross cash of 2.9bn and 3.7bn in confirmed undrawn lines of credit Average maturity of confirmed lines of 4 years, an improvement following a one-year extension to the maturity of the 1,200m syndicated credit facility * Scope: Casino Guichard Perrachon parent company, French businesses and wholly-owned holding companies 12

Secured Financing Bond schedule During H1 2016, Casino reimbursed the bond maturing in April for 386m and bought back 645m of outstanding bonds ( 107m in the market and 537m via a public offer in June) As of June 30, 2016, the average maturity of Casino s bond debt is 4.6 years The February 2017 will be redeemed with the proceeds from the disposal plan 1,000 850 853 900 552 508 600 450 602 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Casino has been rated BB+ by Standard & Poor's (stable outlook) since 21 March 2016 and is rated BBB- (stable outlook) by Fitch Ratings 13

Appendices

Preliminary comments (1/2) The 2015 financial statements have been restated in accordance with IFRS 5 to reflect the sale of operations in Asia. Profits from the Asian businesses up until their sale, as well as the consolidated disposal gain, are reported under "Net profit from discontinued operations". The consolidated income statement also reflects a non-material restatement related to the first-time consolidation of Disco (PPA) To ensure a more uniform presentation of net finance costs and net debt, costs relating to the cost of discounting receivables have been accounted for under "other financial income and expense", with no impact on net financial income and expense Considering the new due dates for the Tascom tax and to avoid the tax being accounted for twice, Tascom for 2016 is now spread over the full year (H1 impact of - 22m) and Tascom for 2015 has been recognised under other operating income and expenses (impact of - 43m) The consequences of the fraud detected at Cnova have been fully recognised in Cnova's financial statements. Corrections for prior years and legal expenses related to the investigation have been recognised in Casino's financial statements under other operating income and expenses (- 76m) 15

Preliminary comments (2/2) In the first half of 2016, changes in the scope of consolidation were not material and primarily concerned Franprix and Leader Price stores sold to master franchise partners that are now accounted for by the equity method Currency effects were again negative, with significant average declines in the Colombian peso and Brazilian real against the euro. Nevertheless, the real and the COP have rallied against the euro since early June 2016 Colombia (COP/EUR) (x1,000) Brazil (BRL/EUR) Average exchange rates H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 Closing exchange rates Change H1 2016 H1 2015 H1 2015 S2 2015 H1 2016 Change H1 2016 H1 2015 2.7720 3.3245 3.4817-20.4% 2.9001 3.4561 3.2477-10.7% 3.3102 4.0907 4.1296-19.8% 3.4699 4.3117 3.5898-3.3% 16

France Retail In m H1 2015 reported H1 2016 Consolidated net sales 9,136 9,264 EBITDA 146 267 Trading profit (53) 85 Retail (134) 35 Property development 81 49 EBITDA margin of 2.9%, up +128bp in H1 2016 Recovery in profitability of food retail operations, notably at Géant Casino, Leader Price and Casino Supermarchés Satisfactory profitability at Monoprix and Franprix Property development trading profit reflected the recognition of margins realised at the stage of completion on hypermarket conversion projects and the disposal of projects on Monoprix sites (St Germain-en-Laye and La Garenne Colombes) 17

Latam Retail In m H1 2015 reported H1 2016 at CER* H1 2016 Consolidated net sales 7,803 8,607 6,836 EBITDA 459 427 340 EBITDA margin 5.9% 5.0% 5.0% Trading profit 299 267 212 Trading margin 3.8% 3.1% 3.1% In Colombia, Uruguay and Argentina: satisfactory operating performances In Brazil: Multivarejo: continuation of sales relaunch plans at Extra in Q2, improved gross margin following the recognition of tax credits (with a favorable impact of +250bp on Q2**), growth in overhead costs lower than inflation thanks to cost management plans; continuous high profitability at Pão de Açucar and progressive improvement in proximity Assaí: stepped-up same-store and organic growth in Q2, improved operating leverage and profitability Cost reduction plans were launched in H1 2016 with a focus on number of hours worked, marketing expenses, leases and logistics * CER: Constant Exchange Rate ** As disclosed by the subsidiary 18

Latam Electronics In m H1 2015 reported H1 2016 at CER* H1 2016 Consolidated net sales 2,924 2,722 2,182 EBITDA 226 156 125 EBITDA margin 7.7% 5.7% 5.7% Trading profit 191 124 100 Trading margin 6.5% 4.6% 4.6% Business picked up from the second quarter, reflecting banners conversions, growth of mobiles sales, an improved assortment and growth in services Market share widened both in the specialized market (+150bp in April-May) and the overall market (+220bp in April-May) Gross margin was affected by tax credits and tax changes (two of them with a favorable impact of +770bp on gross margin and the third one with an unfavorable impact on EBITDA margin of -240bp in Q2**); H1 2016 EBITDA margin was impacted by the basis of comparison, but increased sequentially * CER: Constant Exchange Rate ** As disclosed by the subsidiary 19

E-commerce In m H1 2015 reported H1 2015 restated H1 2016 EBITDA (35) (30) (62) o/w France (25) (20) 1 o/w Brazil (10) (10) (63) Trading profit (55) (50) (80) o/w France (36) (31) (9) o/w Brazil (19) (19) (70) Disposal of Asian sites and closing of operations in 3 countries Improved profitability at Cdiscount In Brazil: profit impacted by lower sales and introduction of a cost-cutting plan 20

Underlying financial income* In m H1 2015 reported H1 2015 restated H1 2016 France Retail (49) (49) (14) Latam Retail (73) (70) (145) o/w Colombia 8 8 (59) Latam Electronics (74) (74) (64) Asia (9) - - E-commerce (19) (20) (44) Total (223) (213) (267) Net financial income in France improved as a result of deleveraging operations, including the unwinding of interest rate swaps backed to the repurchased bonds Impact of higher debt for Colombian operations within the Latam Retail segment Deterioration in net financial income from E-commerce relating to Cnova Brazil * Underlying financial income (expense) corresponds to financial income (expense) adjusted for non-recurring financial items. Non-recurring financial items include fair value adjustments to equity derivatives instruments (for example instruments as Total Return Swap and Forward related to GPA shares) and effects of monetary updating of tax liabilities in Brazil 21

Underlying net profit, Group share* In m H1 2015 reported H1 2015 restated H1 2016 Trading profit and share of profits of associates 558 425 335 Financial expense (223) (213) (267) Income tax expense (83) (57) (61) Underlying net profit from continuing operations 252 156 7 Attributable to minority interests 189 149 10 Group share 63 6 (3) H1 2016 underlying net profit, Group share is close to the H1 2015 figure restated for the disposal of operations in Asia The improvement in trading profit for French operations, which are 100% owned, offset the decrease in trading profit abroad Minority interests contracted sharply * Underlying net profit corresponds to net profit from continuing operations adjusted for (i) the impact of other operating income and expenses (as defined in the Significant Accounting Policies section of the notes to the annual consolidated financial statements), (ii) from effects of non-recurring financial items and (iii) non-recurring income tax expenses/benefits 22

Net profit from continuing operations In m H1 2015 underlying restated Non-recurring items H1 2015 continuing operations restated H1 2016 underlying Non-recurring items H 1 2016 continuing operations Operating profit 388 72 460 317 (533) (217) Net financial income (expense) (213) (179) (392) (267) 46 (221) Income tax expense (57) 110 54 (61) 80 19 Share of profit/(losses) of associates 37 0 37 18 0 18 Net profit (loss) from continuing operations 156 3 159 7 (407) (400) Of which Group share 6 11 17 (3) (293) (296) H1 2016 net profit (loss) from continuing operations comprised other operating income and expenses of - 533m versus a positive 72m in 2015 (mainly related to the consolidation of Disco) These non-recurring items mainly related to - 202 in Brazil (including Cnova), - 19m in Colombia and in France: scope operations (- 105m, mainly FPLP), change in the accounting treatment of the Tascom tax (- 43m), assets depreciations (- 22m) and provisions and charges for restructuring (- 113m) 23

Breakdown of financial net debt by segment In m H1 2015 reported H1 2015 restated* H1 2016 France Retail (8,487) (8,482) (4,027) Latam Retail (30) 39 (2,263) o/w Brazil (749) (679) (1,136) o/w Colombia 617 617 (1,194) Latam Electronics 511 511 222 Asie (555) (555) 0 E-commerce 49 49 (275) Total (8,512) (8,438) (6,343) * Debt after reclassification of put option liabilities as financial liabilities, including net assets, Group share, that the Group decided to sell during the 2015 financial year The Group has reviewed in 2015 the definition of net financial debt mainly in view of net assets held for sale in connection with its debt reduction plan and debt of "minorities puts NFD at 30 June 2015 has been restated according to this new definition 24

Other operating income and expenses H1 2015 restated H1 2016 In m Total o/w Brazil Total o/w Brazil Gains (losses) on disposal of assets 21 (6) (18) (14) Other operating income and expenses Net income(expense) related to changes in scope of consolidation Provisions and expenses for restructuration Provisions and expenses for litigation and contingencies Other (incl. Cnova fraud in Brazil and Tascom in France) 63 (53) (491) (188) 215 (27) (118) (16) (138) (38) (144) (25) 9 11 (78) (71) (23) 0 (151) (76) Total excl. asset impairment losses 83 (60) (509) (202) Net asset impairment losses (11) (1) (24) (0) Total 72 (61) (533) (202) 25

Secured Financing Bank debt & covenants Covenants met with ample headroom at year end 2015 There are no covenants on Casino s bond documentation nor on Casino s commercial paper program The only covenants existing on Casino s bank debt (drawn and undrawn) are the following: Covenant ratio as of December 31, 2015 26

Disclaimer 1/2 Important Information for Investors and Security Holders In this presentation, Casino cautions that there can be no assurance as to when Casino s offer for Cnova s outstanding ordinary shares will be launched or whether it will be launched at all. The launch of Casino s voluntary tender offer will follow completion of the reorganization between Via Varejo and Cnova Brazil, which remains subject to the fulfilment of certain conditions precedent (including, in particular, the absence of a material adverse event prior to completion of the reorganization). This presentation does not constitute an offer to purchase, nor a solicitation to sell any securities. Investors are strongly advised to read, if and when they become available, the information materials relating to the tender offer for Cnova s outstanding ordinary shares because they will contain important information. The potential tender offer for Cnova s outstanding ordinary shares, par value 0.05 per share, described in this presentation has not commenced and may never commence. If and when the offer is commenced, Casino will file a tender offer statement on Schedule TO with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the SEC ), Cnova will timely file a solicitation/recommendation statement on Schedule 14D-9 with respect to the offer, Casino will file a draft tender offer memorandum (projet de note d information) with the French Autorité des marchés financiers ( AMF ) and Cnova will timely file a draft memorandum in response (projet de note d information en réponse) including the recommendation of its board of directors, with respect to the offer. Casino and Cnova intend to mail these documents to the shareholders of Cnova to the extent permissible under applicable laws. Any tender offer document and any document containing a recommendation with respect to the offer statement (including any offer to purchase, any related letter of transmittal and other offer documents) and the solicitation/recommendation statement will contain important information that should be read carefully before any decision is made with respect to any tender offer. Those materials, as amended from time to time, will be made available to Cnova s shareholders at no expense to them at www.cnova.com. In addition, any tender offer materials and other documents that Casino and/or Cnova may file with the SEC and the AMF will be made available to all investors and shareholders of Cnova free of charge at www.groupe-casino.fr and www.cnova.com. Unless otherwise required by law, all of those materials (and all other offer documents filed with the SEC and the AMF) will be available at no charge on the SEC s website: www.sec.gov and on the AMF s website: www.amf-france.org. 27

Disclaimer 2/2 This presentation contains forward-looking information and statements about Casino. Forward-looking statements are statements that are not historical facts. These statements include financial projections and estimates and their underlying assumptions, statements regarding plans, objectives and expectations with respect to future operations, products and services, and statements regarding future performance. Forward-looking statements are generally identified by the words expects, anticipates, believes, intends, estimates and similar expressions. Although the management of Casino believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, investors and holders of Casino securities are cautioned that forward-looking information and statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties, many of which are difficult to predict and generally beyond the control of Casino, that could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed in, or implied or projected by, the forward-looking information and statements. These risks and uncertainties include those discussed or identified in Casino s public filings with the Autorité des marchés financiers ( AMF ), including those listed under Risk Factors and Insurance in the Registration Document filed by Casino on 19 April 2016. Except as required by applicable law, Casino undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking information or statements. This material was prepared solely for information purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities or related financial instruments. Likewise it does not give and should not be treated as giving investment advice. It has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any recipient. No representation or warranty, either express or implied, is provided in relation to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information contained herein. It should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment. All opinions expressed in this material are subject to change without notice. This presentation and its contents are proprietary information and may not be reproduced or otherwise disseminated in whole or in part without the prior written consent of Casino Group. 28