Q RESULTS (UNAUDITED)
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- Emil Dawson
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1 Q RESULTS (UNAUDITED) April 30, 2015 Consolidated financial statements as of March 31, 2015 were authorized for issue by the Board of Directors held on April 29, 2015
2 Q highlights Sales of 3,286.2m Up 7.1% on a reported basis, boosted by a strong positive currency effect of 8.0% Broadly stable on a constant and same-day basis: down 0.4%, including the negative impact due to the change in copper-based cable prices, and stable, restated for this impact Resilient gross margin of 24.7%, down only 10bps year-on-year Europe and North America proved resilient with limited drops of less than 10bps Asia-Pacific and Latin America posted drops of 49bps and 122bps respectively Adjusted EBITA margin of 4.0%, down 45bps year-on-year Solid profitability in Europe with adjusted EBITA margin at 5.9%, stable year-on-year Profitability in North America still impacted by the ongoing business transformation program in the US Full-year 2015 targets confirmed Divestment of operations in Latin America P. 2
3 RESULTS BY GEOGRAPHY
4 Europe (54% of sales): Broadly stable organic sales Sales of 1,785.5m, up 1.5% on a reported basis Positive currency effect of 32.6m (i.e. 1.8% of last year s sales) Sales broadly stable (down 0.1%) on a constant and same-day basis France (33% of the region s sales) continued to reflect challenging environment Down 3.6%, impacted by strong drop in cables sales (-5.9%); excluding cables, sales were down 3.3% Over 2 years, sales improved sequentially: Q vs. Q = -4.0% / Q vs. Q = -5.1% United Kingdom (15% of the region s sales) was impacted by strong drop in PV sales Down 1.2%; excluding PV sales which dropped by 24%, sales were broadly stable (-0.2%) Over 2 years, sales improved sequentially: Q vs. Q = -0.5% / Q vs. Q = -3.6% Germany (11% of the region s sales) returned to positive territory Up 0.2% year-on-year Over 2 years, sales improved sequentially: Q vs. Q = +1.4% / Q vs. Q = -5.7% Scandinavia (12% of the region s sales) continued to post solid growth of 7.6% Other European countries Belgium and Austria were up 3.1% and 3.3% respectively Spain posted double-digit growth (up 24.3% year-on-year) due to strong domestic and export activity Switzerland was down 2.1%, impacted by lower pricing due to the Swiss franc evolution; sales volume slightly up Italy and The Netherlands remained difficult with sales down 7.6% and 13.2% respectively P. 4
5 Europe (54% of sales): Solid profitability Rexel s presence At comparable scope and exchange rates Europe ( m) Q Q Change Sales 1, , % same-day -0.1% Adj. EBITA % as % of sales 5.9% 5.9% +1bp 2014 market ranking: # 1 or 2 # 3 or # 4 other 1 At comparable scope of consolidation and exchange rates and excluding amortization of purchase price allocation and excluding the non-recurring effect related to changes in copper-based cables price P. 5
6 North America (34% of sales): Broadly stable organic sales Sales of 1,128.5m, up 16.1% on a reported basis Positive currency effect of 175.9m (i.e. 18.1% of last year s sales), mainly due to the appreciation of the USD against the euro On a constant and same-day basis, sales were broadly stable (down 0.2%), significantly impacted by lower cable prices; excluding cables, sales were up 0.4% on a constant and same-day basis USA (76% of the region s sales) up 0.2% year-on-year Industrial end-market impacted by commodity deflation, export headwinds due to USD strength and Oil & Gas sector weakness as from March, mainly in upstream applications Residential end-market impacted by softening housing starts Underlying trends in non-residential end-market still healthy Canada (24% of the region s sales) down 1.5% year-on-year As from February, slowdown in Western Canada, especially in Alberta, due to the Oil & Gas sector weakness Weak Quebec economy, including a drop in sales to the mining industry as a large project ended at the start of Q Strong drop in PV sales (down 60%); excluding PV sales, sales in Canada were up 0.4% Reminder: sales to the Oil & Gas customers represent only 4% at Group level but represent 10% in North America (similar percentage in the USA and Canada) P. 6
7 North America (34% of sales): Profitability still impacted by ongoing transformational projects in the US Rexel s presence At comparable scope and exchange rates North America ( m) Q Q Change Sales 1, , % same-day -0.2% Adj. EBITA % as % of sales 3.5% 2.7% -77bps 2014 market ranking: # 1 or 2 # 3 or # 4 other 1 At comparable scope of consolidation and exchange rates and excluding amortization of purchase price allocation and excluding the non-recurring effect related to changes in copper-based cables price P. 7
8 Asia-Pacific (10% of sales): Sales growth in Asia, continuing underperformance in the Pacific region Sales of 307.6m, up 12.7% on a reported basis Positive currency effect of 34.3m (i.e. 12.6% of last year s sales) Positive scope effect of 9.8m (i.e. 4.0% of last year s sales) On a constant and same-day basis, sales were down 2.5% Asia (51% of the region s sales) up 2.5% year-on-year China (67% of Asia) posted a 5.0% decline in sales due to a challenging base effect (sales in Q were up 25.9%) and a 49% drop in wind sales; excl. wind, sales were down only 2.5% South-East Asia (23% of Asia) posted a 6.2% growth in sales, driven by mainstream business and Lighting projects, offsetting pressure on sales to the Oil & Gas industry Middle-East (6% of Asia) almost tripled sales to 9.1m Pacific (49% of the region s sales) down 7.3% year-on-year Australia (81% of Pacific) posted a 7.5% decline in sales, reflecting continuous low level of sales to the mining industry, lower project activity and impact of branch closures; excluding the impact of last year s branch closures, sales were down 4.3% New-Zealand (19% of Pacific) posted a 6.5% decline in sales, mainly attributable to weak performance in Upper North Island and a branch closure P. 8
9 Asia-Pacific (10% of sales): Profitability mainly impacted by weak sales in the Pacific region Rexel s presence At comparable scope and exchange rates Asia-Pacific ( m) Q Q Change Sales % same-day -2.5% Adj. EBITA % as % of sales 2.7% 2.0% -68bps 2014 market ranking: # 1 or 2 # 3 or # 4 other 1 At comparable scope of consolidation and exchange rates and excluding amortization of purchase price allocation and excluding the non-recurring effect related to changes in copper-based cables price P. 9
10 Entering the datacenter market in China through the acquisition of Shanghai Maxqueen Shanghai Maxqueen description Shanghai Maxqueen footprint Leading distributor of building automation systems (data communication and cabling solutions, power management and cooling system) Annual 2014 sales of c. 20m 7 branches and 4 warehouses FTEs: c. 130 Addressing banking, public and commercial building end-market Strategic rationale Broaden footprint in China, entering the datacenter market Strengthening Rexel building automation value proposition in China HQ Warehouses Branches CHENGDU Kunming BEIJING Nanjing Hangzhou SHENZHEN GUANGZHOU SHANGHAI 10
11 Latin America (2% of sales): Slight overall organic sales decline, strong performance in Peru Sales of 64.6m, up 2.7% on a reported basis Positive currency effect of 2.4m (i.e. 4.0% of last year s sales), mainly due to the appreciation of the Chilean peso against the euro On a constant and same-day basis, sales were down 1.1% Brazil (56% of the region s sales) down 0.3% Strong single-digit inflation context Chile (31% of the region s sales) down 11.9% Challenging base effect (sales in Q were up 14.7%) Continued impact of low commodity prices on sales to the mining industry Exceptional flooding disaster in Northern Chile Peru (13% of the region s sales) up 32.4% Solid outperformance due to increased customer penetration P. 11
12 Latin America (2% of sales): Profitability mainly impacted by sales in Chile Rexel s presence At comparable scope and exchange rates Latin America ( m) Q Q Change Sales % same-day -1.1% Adj. EBITA 1 (0.4) (1.6) n/m as % of sales (0.6)% (2.4)% -185bps 2014 market ranking: # 1 or 2 # 3 or # 4 other 1 At comparable scope of consolidation and exchange rates and excluding amortization of purchase price allocation and excluding the non-recurring effect related to changes in copper-based cables price P. 12
13 FINANCIAL REVIEW
14 Sales up 7.1% on a reported basis and broadly stable on a constant and same-day basis m Reported sales Q Net currency effect 1 Net scope effect 1 Comparable sales Q , % +0.2% 3,319.1 Organic sales evolution Same-day excl. copper +/- Copper effect = Same-day incl. copper Q % -0.4% -0.4% Actual-day organic -1.0% +/- Calendar effect 1-0.6% Reported sales Q ,286.2 = Actual-day organic -1.0% year-on-year change +7.1% Strong positive net currency effect, mainly due to the appreciation of the USD against the euro Excluding negative impacts from copper and calendar, organic same-day sales were stable year-on-year 1 See detail on Appendix 5 14
15 Resilient gross margin of 24.7%, down only 10bps Gross margin 1 as a % of sales -10bps Gross margin Europe change yoy North America change yoy Q % -6bps 22.2% -6bps -4bps at Group level -1bp at Group level 24.8% 24.7% Asia-Pacific change yoy Latin America change yoy 19.1% -49bps 20.8% -122bps -3bps at Group level -2bps at Group level Q Q Group change yoy 24.7% -10bps Europe and North America proved resilient The drop in Asia-Pacific was mostly attributable to poor sales performance in the Pacific region, whose gross margin is higher than Asia s The drop in Latin America was attributable to Chile 1 At comparable scope of consolidation and exchange rates and: - excluding amortization of purchase price allocation - excluding the non-recurring effect related to changes in copper-based cables price 15
16 Breakdown of adjusted EBITA margin at 4.0% Constant and adjusted basis 1 ( m) Q Change Adj. EBITA margin Europe change yoy Q % +1bp neutral at Group level Sales 3, % Gross margin % as % of sales 24.7% -10bps Distr. and adm. exp. (incl. depr.) (682.6) +0.7% as % of sales (20.8%) -35bps Adjusted EBITA % as % of sales 4.0% -45bps North America change yoy Asia-Pacific change yoy Latin America change yoy Corporate holdings change yoy Group change yoy 2.7% -77bps 2.0% -68bps (2.4)% -185bps 4.0% -45bps -25bps at Group level -6bps at Group level -4bps at Group level -10bps at Group level Adjusted EBITA margin down 45bps year-on-year: Solid profitability in Europe with adjusted EBITA margin at 5.9%, stable year-on-year Other geographies combined (North America, Asia-Pacific and Latin America) accounted for 35bps of the total 1 At comparable scope of consolidation and exchange rates and: - excluding amortization of purchase price allocation - excluding the non-recurring effect related to changes in copper-based cables price 16
17 Net income mainly impacted by one-off costs from financing optimization ( m) Q Q Change Reported EBITA % Amortization resulting from PPA (4.1) (4.4) Other income & exp. (18.7) (17.4) Operating income % Net financial expenses (46.3) (72.2) Income tax (21.9) (11.0) Reported net income % Recurring net income % o/w restructuring costs: (15.3)m in Q vs. (13.7)m in Q o/w (19.6)m in Q due to 7% bonds early redemption Tax rate of 34.7% in Q vs. 33.7% in Q The 52.0% decrease in reported net income mainly reflected the 19.6m charge related to the early redemption of the 7.000% EUR Senior notes due Dec See detail on Appendix 2 17
18 FCF before I&T impacted by traditional seasonality on WCR ( m) Q Q EBITDA Other operating revenues & costs (20.1) (18.1) Restructuring outflow (12.1) (16.6) Change in working capital (192.6) (246.2) Net capital expenditure, o/w: (24.1) (32.2) Gross capital expenditure (18.2) (27.0) Disposal of fixed assets and other (5.9) (5.2) Free cash flow before interest & tax (82.7) (148.7) FCF before interest & tax mainly impacted by change in working capital on a reported basis On a constant and adjusted basis, working capital was stable at 12.2% of sales: Inventories stable at 11.1% of sales Slight deterioration in payables and non-trade working capital offset by improvement in receivables 18
19 Net debt impacted by traditional business seasonality and unfavorable currency effect of 183m At March 31, 2015 ( m) Last 12m Q Free cash flow before interest & tax (148.7) Net interest paid (159.3) (41.4) Income tax paid (90.7) (34.0) Net financial investment (46.4) (10.2) Dividend paid (65.6) (0.0) Other (58.2) (22.6) Net debt variation before currency 76.2 (256.9) Currency change (323.5) (182.6) Net debt variation after currency (247.3) (439.5) Debt at the beginning of the period 2, ,213.1 Debt at the end of the period 2, ,652.5 Q (82.7) (38.0) (27.6) (6.8) (0.0) (63.3) (218.4) 5.1 (213.3) 2, ,
20 Sound financial structure Breakdown of net debt at March 31, 2015: Senior unsecured notes USD Bond issued March 2012 (maturity: Dec % USD Bond issued April 2013 (maturity: Jun % EUR Bond issued April 2013 (maturity: Jun % Senior Credit Agreement (SCA) 1.0bn facility (maturity: Nov year + 1year) Securitization (4 programs for a compound commitment of 1.2bn) Commercial paper Other debt & cash 2,652.5m 1,609.8m 466.0m 472.0m 671.8m undrawn 1,041.2m 247.2m (245.7)m Strong financial flexibility, with 1.2bn of cash and undrawn facilities at March 31 Average maturity of 3.9 years Cost of financing reduced by 50bps, with average effective interest rate of 4.5% on gross debt (vs. 5.0% in Q1 2014) 20
21 Active balance-sheet management On March 16, Rexel redeemed its 7.000% EUR Senior notes due Dec Nominal redeemed: 488.8m Net charge of 19.6m recognized in Q financial expenses, of which: Make whole premium representing a charge of 25.4m Accelerated amortization of the remaining financing fees representing a charge of 3.9m Fair value adjustments representing a profit of 9.7m Savings on financial expenses of c. 34m per annum from 2016 to 2018 Net Present Value (NPV) of 100m Market conditions permitting, Rexel envisions redeeming its 6.125% USD Senior notes due Dec and replacing them by a new financing at improved terms Outstanding as of March 31, 2015: 466.0m Callable as from Dec Expected gain in Net Present Value Continuous improvement in financing structure and reduction in financial expenses 21
22 DIVESTMENT OF LATIN AMERICA
23 Divestment of operations in Latin America Rexel announced today its decision to divest its operations in Latin America This divestment is part of the disposal plan announced on February 12 and represents about 40% of the total plan In 2014, Latin America contributed: 256.8m to Rexel s consolidated sales (down 3.8% organically vs. 2013) (3.3)m to Rexel s adjusted EBITA (vs. a profit of 0.8m in 2013) Rationale Brazil, representing almost 60% of our operations in Latin America, does not offer value-creation prospects in line with our initial investment criteria and growth expectations, and does not justify maintaining our presence in the country Rexel decided to sell simultaneously its operations in Chile and Peru, markets whose size remains relatively small with combined sales of around 100m, and discontinue its operations across Latin America Through this divestment, Rexel will refocus its resources and management efforts on its three main geographies (Europe, North America and Asia Pacific) and continue its targeted acquisition policy in these regions P. 23
24 Expected financial impacts Pro forma impacts on FY2014 and Q accounts are as follows: ( m) FY 2014 reported FY 2014 proforma Q reported Q proforma Sales 13, , , , % -2% Adjusted EBITA bps on adj. EBITA margin +8bps on adj. EBITA margin FCF before int. & tax (148.7) (141.0) Proceeds from transaction represent an EV of USD 51m (equivalent to c. 47m at latest exchange rate) The transaction should result in an estimated loss of about 70 million euros, before tax The transaction remains subject to approval by relevant anti-trust authorities P. 24
25 OUTLOOK
26 Full-year 2015 financial targets confirmed In an environment that remains challenging, Rexel confirms its full-year 2015 financial targets (at 2014 constant structure) Organic sales growth of between -2% and +2% (on a constant and same-day basis) Adjusted EBITA margin of between 4.8% and 5.2% (vs. 5.0% recorded in 2014) Solid free cash-flow of: At least 75% of EBITDA before interest and tax Around 40% of EBITDA after interest and tax Shareholders meeting to be held on May 27 Rexel will propose a dividend of 0.75 per share Stable vs. dividend paid in 2014, reflecting Rexel s confidence in its structural ability to generate strong cash-flow throughout the cycle In line with the Group s policy to pay out at least 40% of recurring net income Among proposed resolutions, Rexel has opted for maintaining: The principle of One share = One vote Board neutrality in a takeover situation P. 26
27 APPENDICES
28 Appendix 1: Segment reporting - Constant and adjusted basis Group Constant and adjusted basis ( m) Q Q Change Sales 3, , % on a constant basis and same days -0.4% Gross profit % as a % of sales 24.8% 24.7% -10bps Distribution & adm. expenses (incl. depreciation) (677.8) (682.6) +0.7% EBITA % as a % of sales 4.4% 4.0% -45bps Headcount (end of period) 30,079 29, % Constant and adjusted = at comparable scope of consolidation and exchange rates, excluding the non-recurring effect related to changes in copper-based cables price and before amortization of purchase price allocation; the non-recurring effect related to changes in copper-based cables price was, at the EBITA level, a loss of 2.7 million in Q and a loss of 4.4 million in Q
29 Appendix 1: Segment reporting - Constant and adjusted basis Europe Constant and adjusted basis ( m) Q Q Change Sales 1, , % on a constant basis and same days -0.1% o/w France % on a constant basis and same days -3.6% United Kingdom % on a constant basis and same days -1.2% Germany % on a constant basis and same days +0.2% Scandinavia % on a constant basis and same days +7.6% Gross profit % as a % of sales 27.5% 27.4% -6bps Distribution & adm. expenses (incl. depreciation) (387.7) (385.1) -0.7% EBITA % as a % of sales 5.9% 5.9% +1bps Headcount (end of period) 16,554 16, % Constant and adjusted = at comparable scope of consolidation and exchange rates, excluding the non-recurring effect related to changes in copper-based cables price and before amortization of purchase price allocation 29
30 Appendix 1: Segment reporting - Constant and adjusted basis North America Constant and adjusted basis ( m) Q Q Change Sales 1, , % on a constant basis and same days -0.2% o/w United States % on a constant basis and same days +0.2% Canada % on a constant basis and same days -1.5% Gross profit % as a % of sales 22.3% 22.2% -6bps Distribution & adm. expenses (incl. depreciation) (214.8) (219.8) +2.3% EBITA % as a % of sales 3.5% 2.7% -77bps Headcount (end of period) 8,508 8, % Constant and adjusted = at comparable scope of consolidation and exchange rates, excluding the non-recurring effect related to changes in copper-based cables price and before amortization of purchase price allocation 30
31 Appendix 1: Segment reporting - Constant and adjusted basis Asia-Pacific Constant and adjusted basis ( m) Q Q Change Sales % on a constant basis and same days -2.5% o/w China % on a constant basis and same days -5.0% Australia % on a constant basis and same days -7.5% New Zealand % on a constant basis and same days -6.5% Gross profit % as a % of sales 19.6% 19.1% -49bps Distribution & adm. expenses (incl. depreciation) (53.5) (52.5) -1.9% EBITA % as a % of sales 2.7% 2.0% -68bps Headcount (end of period) 3,218 3, % Constant and adjusted = at comparable scope of consolidation and exchange rates, excluding the non-recurring effect related to changes in copper-based cables price and before amortization of purchase price allocation 31
32 Appendix 1: Segment reporting - Constant and adjusted basis Latin America Constant and adjusted basis ( m) Q Q Change Sales % on a constant basis and same days -1.1% o/w Brazil % on a constant basis and same days -0.3% Chile % on a constant basis and same days -11.9% Peru % on a constant basis and same days +32.4% Gross profit % as a % of sales 22.1% 20.8% -122bps Distribution & adm. expenses (incl. depreciation) (14.8) (15.0) +1.6% EBITA (0.4) (1.6) n.a. as a % of sales -0.6% -2.4% -185bps Headcount (end of period) 1,564 1, % Constant and adjusted = at comparable scope of consolidation and exchange rates, excluding the non-recurring effect related to changes in copper-based cables price and before amortization of purchase price allocation 32
33 Appendix 2: Consolidated Income Statement Reported basis ( m) Q Q Change Sales 3, , % Gross profit % as a % of sales 24.9% 24.6% Distribution & adm. expenses (excl. depreciation) (610.1) (660.3) +8.2% EBITDA % as a % of sales 5.0% 4.5% Depreciation (19.8) (22.0) EBITA % as a % of sales 4.4% 3.8% Amortization of intangibles resulting from purchase price allocation (4.1) (4.4) Operating income bef. other inc. and exp % as a % of sales 4.2% 3.7% Other income and expenses (18.7) (17.4) Operating income % Financial expenses (net) (46.3) (72.2) Net income (loss) before income tax % Income tax (21.9) (11.0) Net income (loss) % Net income (loss) attr. to non-controlling interests 0.1 (0.4) Net income (loss) attr. to equity holders of the parent % 33
34 Appendix 2: Bridge between operating income before other income and expenses and adjusted EBITA in m Q Q Operating income before other income and other expenses Change in scope of consolidation 0.5 Foreign exchange effects 9.1 Non-recurring effect related to copper Amortization of intangibles assets resulting from PPA Adjusted EBITA on a constant basis
35 Appendix 2: Recurring net income In millions of euros Q Q Change Reported net income % Non-recurring copper effect Other expense & income Financial expense Tax expense Recurring net income % 35
36 Appendix 2: Sales and profitability by segment - Reported basis Reported basis ( m) Q Q Change Sales 3, , % Europe 1, , % North America , % Asia-Pacific % Latin America % Gross profit % Europe % North America % Asia-Pacific % Latin America % EBITA % Europe % North America % Asia-Pacific % Latin America (0.4) (1.5) n.a. 36
37 Appendix 2: Consolidated Balance Sheet 1 Assets ( m) December 31, 2014 March 31, 2015 Goodwill 4, ,447.9 Intangible assets 1, ,132.0 Property, plant & equipment Long-term investments Deferred tax assets Total non-current assets 5, ,083.2 Inventories 1, ,589.4 Trade receivables 2, ,349.7 Other receivables Assets classified as held for sale Cash and cash equivalents 1, Total current assets 5, ,940.8 Total assets 11, ,024.0 Liabilities ( m) December 31, 2014 March 31, 2015 Total equity 4, ,481.8 Long-term debt 2, ,518.3 Deferred tax liabilities Other non-current liabilities Total non-current liabilities 3, ,195.5 Interest bearing debt & accrued interests Trade payables 2, ,027.1 Other payables Total current liabilities 3, ,346.7 Total liabilities 6, ,542.2 Total equity & liabilities 11, , Net debt includes: Debt hedge derivatives for 6.5m at December and (4.5)m at March 31, 2015 Accrued interest receivables for (0.7)m at December, 2014 and for (4.4)m at March 31,
38 Appendix 2: Change in Net Debt m Q Q EBITDA Other operating revenues & costs (1) (20.1) (18.1) Operating cash flow Change in working capital (2) (192.6) (246.2) Net capital expenditure, of which: (24.1) (32.2) Gross capital expenditure (18.2) (27.0) Disposal of fixed assets & other (5.9) (5.2) Free cash flow before interest and tax (82.7) (148.7) Net interest paid / received (3) (38.0) (41.4) Income tax paid (27.6) (34.0) Free cash flow after interest and tax (148.3) (224.1) Net financial investment (6.8) (10.2) Dividends paid Other (63.3) (22.6) Currency exchange variation 5.1 (182.6) Decrease (increase) in net debt (213.3) (439.5) Net debt at the beginning of the period 2, ,213.1 Net debt at the end of the period 2, , Includes restructuring outflows of 12.1m in Q and 16.6m in Q Excluding settlement of fair value hedge derivatives 38
39 Appendix 3: Working Capital Constant basis March 31, 2014 March 31, 2015 Net inventories as a % of sales 12 rolling months 11.1% 11.1% as a number of days Net trade receivables as a % of sales 12 rolling months 16.6% 16.3% as a number of days Net trade payables as a % of sales 12 rolling months 14.0% 13.9% as a number of days Trade working capital as a % of sales 12 rolling months 13.7% 13.6% Total working capital as a % of sales 12 rolling months 12.2% 12.2% 39
40 Appendix 4: Headcount & Branch Evolution FTEs at end of period Year-on-Year 31/03/ /12/ /03/2015 comparable Change Europe 16,554 16,296 16, % USA 6,146 6,297 6, % Canada 2,362 2,355 2, % North America 8,508 8,652 8, % Asia-Pacific 3,218 3,312 3, % Latin America 1,564 1,395 1, % Other % Group 30,079 29,915 29, % Branches Year-on-Year 31/03/ /12/ /03/2015 comparable Change Europe 1,287 1,260 1, % USA % Canada % North America % Asia-Pacific % Latin America % Group 2,256 2,219 2, % 40
41 Appendix 5: Calendar, scope and change effects on sales Based on the assumption of the following average exchange rates: 1 USD = CAD = AUD = GBP = 0.73 and based on acquisitions to date, 2014 sales should take into account the following estimated impacts to be comparable to 2015: Q1 Q2e Q3e Q4e FYe Calendar effect -0.6% c. +0.2% c. +0.5% c. +0.8% c. +0.2% Scope effect 6.5m c. 13.7m c. 13.2m c. 10.9m c. 44.4m Change effect 8.0% c. 10.2% c.8.6% c.6.7% c. 8.3% 41
42 Appendix 6: Historical copper price evolution USD/t Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY ,954 7,187 7,104 7,168 7, ,999 6,762 6,975 6,573 6, , vs % -6% -2% -8% -7% 2015 vs % /t Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY ,024 5,502 5,363 5,267 5, ,111 4,932 5,263 5,261 5, , vs % -10% -2% 0% -7% 2015 vs % Change in USD mitigated by the appreciation of the USD vs. the euro 42
43 Appendix 7: Oil & Gas sales in Q sales to the Oil & Gas industry represented c. 4% of total Group sales 15% 17% RoW Asia-Pacific Canada USA 22% 61% 547m of sales in % 66% Downstream Midstream Upstream Q sales to the Oil & Gas industry dropped by 4.5% Oil & Gas sales ( m) Q Q Change USA % Canada % South-East Asia % Middle East x Rest of the world Total % % of Group sales 4.5% 4.0% P. 43
44 Appendix 8: Estimated impact of lower copper prices on 2015 In 2014, cable sales represented 14% of Group sales ( 1.9bn out of 13.1bn) Copper price in USD currently stands at c. USD6,100 (Apr. 28, 2015) Vs. USD6,827 on average in 2014 Vs. USD6,389 at year-end 2014 USD vs. currently stands at 1.09 (Apr. 28, 2015) Vs on average in 2014 Vs at year-end 2014 The appreciation of the USD vs. the euro mitigates the impact of lower copper prices Estimated impact on 2015 margin of lower cable prices at constant sales volume: e 2015e 2015e 2015e 6,827 Average copper price (USD) 6,000 5,500 6,000 5, USD vs ,142 Average copper price ( ) 5,455 5,000 5,714 5,238 Est. impact on Group sales vs c. (0)% c. (1)% c. (0)% c. (1)% Est. impact on Group gross margin vs c. (2)m c. (17)m c. 3m c. (12)m Est. impact on Group EBITA margin vs c. (1)bps c. (8)bps c. 2bps c. (6)bps 44
45 Financial Calendar and contacts Financial Calendar May 27, 2015 Shareholders meeting July 29, 2015 Q2 and H1 results October 29, 2015 Q3 and 9m results Contacts Investors & Analysts Marc MAILLET Tel: [email protected] Florence MEILHAC Tel: [email protected] Press Pénélope LINAGE Tel: [email protected] Brunswick - Thomas KAMM Tel: [email protected] 45
46 Disclaimer The Group is exposed to fluctuations in copper prices in connection with its distribution of cable products. Cables accounted for approximately 14% of the Group's sales, and copper accounts for approximately 60% of the composition of cables. This exposure is indirect since cable prices also reflect copper suppliers' commercial policies and the competitive environment in the Group's markets. Changes in copper prices have an estimated so-called "recurring" effect and an estimated so called "non-recurring" effect on the Group's performance, assessed as part of the monthly internal reporting process of the Rexel Group: - the recurring effect related to the change in copper-based cable prices corresponds to the change in value of the copper part included in the sales price of cables from one period to another. This effect mainly relates to the Group s sales; - the non-recurring effect related to the change in copper-based cables prices corresponds to the effect of copper price variations on the sales price of cables between the time they are purchased and the time they are sold, until all such inventory has been sold (direct effect on gross profit). Practically, the non-recurring effect on gross profit is determined by comparing the historical purchase price for copper-based cable and the supplier price effective at the date of the sale of the cables by the Rexel Group. Additionally, the non-recurring effect on EBITA corresponds to the non-recurring effect on gross profit, which may be offset, when appropriate, by the non-recurring portion of changes in the distribution and administrative expenses. The impact of these two effects is assessed for as much of the Group s total cable sales as possible, over each period. Group procedures require that entities that do not have the information systems capable of such exhaustive calculations to estimate these effects based on a sample representing at least 70% of the sales in the period. The results are then extrapolated to all cables sold during the period for that entity. Considering the sales covered, the Rexel Group considers such estimates of the impact of the two effects to be reasonable. This document may contain statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements. By their nature, they are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties, including those described in the Document de Référence registered with the French Autorité des Marchés Financiers (AMF) on March 25, 2015 under number D These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of Rexel's future performance. Rexel's actual results of operations, financial condition and liquidity as well as development of the industry in which Rexel operates may differ materially from those made in or suggested by the forward-looking statements contained in this release. The forward-looking statements contained in this communication speak only as of the date of this communication and Rexel does not undertake, unless required by law or regulation, to update any of the forward-looking statements after this date to conform such statements to actual results, to reflect the occurrence of anticipated results or otherwise. The market and industry data and forecasts included in this document were obtained from internal surveys, estimates, experts and studies, where appropriate, as well as external market research, publicly available information and industry publications. Rexel, its affiliates, directors, officers, advisors and employees have not independently verified the accuracy of any such market and industry data and forecasts and make no representations or warranties in relation thereto. Such data and forecasts are included herein for information purposes only. This document includes only summary information and must be read in conjunction with Rexel s Document de Référence registered with the AMF on March 25, 201 under number D , as well as the consolidated financial statements and activity report for the 2014 fiscal year, which may be obtained from Rexel s website ( 46
Financial Information
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