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Transcription:

Desjardins Mining Conference December 2014

Cautionary Statements Caution Regarding Forward Looking Information This presentation contains forward-looking oo information, o including, but not limited to, guidance on estimated annual production and cash costs. This forward-looking information is not based on historical facts, but rather on current expectations and projections about future events and is subject to risks and uncertainties. These risks and uncertainties could cause actual results to differ materially from the future results expressed or implied in this document. The forward looking information contained in this document is based on a number of assumptions including, but not limited to, foreign currency rates; metal prices; estimation of mineral resources and reserves and the geology; gy grade, tonnage, dilution and metallurgical and other characteristics of ore; production capabilities and cost estimates. Such risks may include, without limitation: risks and uncertainties relating to foreign currency fluctuations; risks inherent in mining including environmental hazards, unusual or unexpected geological formations, ground control problems and flooding; risks associated with the estimation of mineral resources and reserves and the geology, grade and continuity of mineral deposits; the possibility that future exploration, development or mining results will not be consistent it twith the Company s expectations; ti the potential ti for and effects of labor disputes or other unanticipated i t difficulties with or shortages of labor or interruptions in production; actual ore mined varying from estimates of grade, tonnage, dilution and metallurgical and other characteristics; the inherent uncertainty of production and cost estimates and the potential for unexpected costs and expenses; and commodity price fluctuations. For further details of other risks and uncertainties see Risk Factors Relating to the Company s Business in the Company s Annual Information Form and in each Management s Discussion and Analysis. Note: All dollar amounts are in US dollars unless otherwise denoted. 2

Lundin Well Diversified Base Metals Producer Copper dominant with excellent base metals and geographic diversification Zinkgruvan (100%) Freeport Cobalt (24%) (Sweden) (Finland) Eagle (100%) (USA) Zinc Lead Copper Cobalt Refinery Neves Corvo (100%) Aguablanca (100%) (Portugal) (Spain) Copper Zinc Nickel Copper Nickel Copper Candelaria (80%) (Chile) Copper Gold Silver Tenke Fungurume (24%) (DRC) Copper Cobalt 2015 Production (k tonnes) Copper 258 272 Zinc i 146 155 1 Nickel 31 35 Lead 31 35 3

Stable Growth Profile in all Metals 50.0 Nickel Production (kt) 45.0 40.0 35.0 30.8 34.5 26.5 30.0 30.00 22.5 26.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 9.5 11.5 10.0 7.6 5.0 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E tonnes Zinc Production (kt) 100 180 300 Copper Production (kt) 258 272 250 234 242 238 252 226 245 200 150 117 160 146 155 150 158 143 151 135 145 140 125 50 120 100 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 80 Total ex. Candelaria Candelaria 60 40 20 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E *LUN production profile for 2015 to 2017 based on 3-yr guidance provided in Dec. 4, 2014. Copper profile does not include any future expansions at Tenke and includes a full year of production in 2014 from Candelaria for illustrative purposes. 4

Excellent Base Metals Diversification 2015E Attributable Cu Eq. Production by Commodity (1)(2)(3) Priorto Candelaria Including Candelaria Zinc 19% Cobalt Lead 5% 4% Zinc 13% Copper 46% Nickel 17% Cobalt 3% Lead 3% Copper 64% Nickel 26% Enhanced copper exposure and strong leverage to nickel and zinc maintained (1) Based on midpoint of 2015E production guidance provided by Lundin. Only includes commodities for which Lundin provides public guidance. Excludes gold and silver. Based on 80% interest in Candelaria. (2) Equivalency calculated according to the following prices: $3.00/lb Cu, $1.00/lb Zn, $8.00/lb Ni, $12.00/lb Co and $1.05/lb Pb. (3) Cobalt guidance for 2015E assumed equal to 2014E guidance. 5

Excellent Geographic Diversification 2015E Attributable Cu Eq. Production by Country (1)(2)(3) Priorto Candelaria Including Candelaria Sweden 15% Spain Spain 6% Sweden 4% USA 10% 28% DRC 15% Chile 33% DRC 23% Portugal 28% Portugal 19% USA 19% Chilebecomes Lundin s largest producing region (1) Based on midpoint of 2015E production guidance provided by Lundin. Only includes commodities for which Lundin provides public guidance. Excludes gold and silver. Based on 80% interest in Candelaria. (2) Equivalency calculated according to the following prices: $3.00/lb Cu, $1.00/lb Zn, $8.00/lb Ni, $12.00/lb Co and $1.05/lb Pb. (3) Cobalt guidance for 2015E assumed equal to 2014E guidance. 6

Cost Competitive Across All Commodities 2014E Copper C1 Cash Cost Curve (Net of By Products) (1) ($/lb) $3.00 $2.50 $2.00 Tenke Fungurume a $1.16 Weighted Average d $1.60 Neves-Corvo a $1.85 $1.50 $1.00 $0.50 $1.69 Candelaria (LOM) c 25% 50% 75% 100% 2014E Zinc C1 Cash Cost Curve (Net of By Products) (1) 2015E Nickel C1 Cash Cost Curve (Net of By Products) (1) ($/lb) $1.50 $1.20 $0.90 Zinkgruvan a $0.35 ($/lb) $15.00 $12.00 $0.60 $6.00 $2.00 $9.00 Eagle b Aguablanca b $5.00 $0.30 $3.00 25% 50% 75% 100% 25% 50% 75% 100% a. 2014 guidance, at Q3 2014 Source: Wood Mackenzie, 2014 b. from LUN operating outlook 2015-17, at Dec 4, 2014 c. Candelaria LOM avg cash costs excludes sale of the precious metals stream. Including the stream LOM avg. costs are estimated at ~$1.93/lb. 7 d. Weighted average costs are shown prior to the sale of the precious metals stream at Candelaria. Weighted avg costs including the stream are estimated at ~$1.72/lb.

Operations & Outlook Candelaria (80%) Eagle (100%) Neves Corvo (100%) Zinkgruvan (100%) Aguablanca (100%) Tenke Fungurume (24%) 8

Candelaria A Cornerstone Asset 80% stake in Candelaria mining complex closed 3 November Upfront payment of $1.8 bll billion. Funding: $1.0 billion senior secured notes, $600m equity and $648m Au/Ag stream Candelaria Overview: Cu Au Ag mine located in northern Chile Reserve life >14 years. Mine life expected to be extended by exploration. Assets include: Large open pit, three underground mines and two process plants Significant infrastructure including a large port and new desalination plant 9

Candelaria Exploration Potential 2015 Exploration Budget LUN company wide (excl. Tenke): $75M Candelaria: $40M 10

Candelaria Excellent Infrastructure In Place Port with Excess Capacity Currently ship max of: 600k wmt per year Max Capacity of: 3,500 k wmt per year Max. annual concentrate production of 600 ktpa (of 3.5 Mtpa total capacity) Potential value in excess capacity New Desalination Plant Commissioned i din : Q1 2013 Desalination Plant at Punta Padrones: 500 l/s Operating desalination plant with long term power contract Potential value in future expansion 11

Candelaria 2015 Outlook Attributable production expected to more than double LUN s current copper levels 2015 forecast C1 costs of $1.55/lb Cu a, after by product credits & excludes capitalized stripping Gold & silver by product credits throughout life of mine Medium term mine plan & regional infrastructure optimization underway Location Chile Ownership 80% 2015 Production (80%) 2015 C1 Cost Mine Life 130,000-135,000 t Cu $1.55/lb Cu a +15 years Cu a. LUN operating outlook for 2015-2017 (Dec 4, 2014), reported 2015 expected cash cost of $1.90/lb Cu, which included capital expenditures for deferred stripping in the amount of $160 million in 2015. 12

Eagle Mine In Commercial Production On Sept. 23, Eagle officially entered operation ahead of schedule and below $400 m budget First shipment of saleable nickel and copper concentrates took place in October On Nov. 24, commercial production declared from 2 months of start of continuous operations increased vs. previous estimates due to successful ramp up Location 2015 Production 2015 C1 Cost Mine Life Michigan, USA 25,000 28,000 28 t Ni 20,000 23,000 t Cu $2.00/lb Ni 8 years 13

Eagle Production Stats (01 Oct. 18 Nov) Performance to date is ahead of expectations and remains on track to meet or exceed 2014 production guidance Operating stats during the first month have already achieved design rates for periods of time Per day avg Oct. 2014 Nov 1 18 Design Rate Throughput 1,536 1,865 2,000 (tpd) Ni Recovery 79% 85% 83% Cu Recovery 94% 95% 96% Ni Conc grade 14% 16% 11 16% Cu Conc grade 29% 28% 31% Ni Metal (t) 1,301 660 n/a Cu Metal (t) 1,259 423 n/a 14

Neves-Corvo YTD Results & Outlook YTD production of 37.1kt copper and 50.0kt zinc Copper production impacted by change in short term mine plan leading to lower grades & recoveries Increasing zinc profile a result of +50% of production now being sourced from the high grade Lombador deposit Feasibility study on zinc expansion progressing according to plan with completion in Q1/15 2015 Outlook: Production: 50 55kt Cu, 68 73kt Zn, 4 5kt Pb C1 Cost: $1.80/lb Cu Location 2014 Production 2014 C1 Cost Mine Life Portugal 50,000 55,000 t Cu 60,000 65,000000 65 000 t Zn 3,500-4,500 t Pb $1.85/lb Cu +10 years Cu + Zn 15

Zinkgruvan YTD Results & Outlook YTD production of 58.6kt zinc, 24.9kt lead and 2.4kt copper; in line with guidance In Q3 achieved a second consecutive quarter of record mine production of zinc ore Overall production profile expected to remain steady going forward 2015 Outlook: Production: 78 82kt Zn, 27 30kt Pb, 35 4 3.5 4.0kt 0ktCu C1 Cost: $0.38/lb Zn Location Sweden 2014 75,000 80,000 t Zn Production 29,000 32,000 t Pb 3,000 4,000 t Cu 2014 C1 Cost $0.35/lb Zn Mine Life +10 years 16

Aguablanca YTD Results and Outlook YTD production of 6.1kt nickel and 5.4kt copper, in line with guidance Open pit mining expected to be completed in November Location Spain Ownership 100% 2014 Production 2014 C1 Cost Processing will continue with stockpiled ore from the open pit Production from underground project expected in Q1/15 2015 Outlook: Production: 5.8 6.5kt Ni, 4.5 5.0kt Cu C1 Cost: $5.00/lb Ni Mine Life 7,500 8,500 t Ni 6,000 7,000 t Cu $4.25/lb Ni ~4 years 17

Tenke YTD Results & Outlook YTD production (24% basis) of 37.0kt Cu and 2.4kt Co, in line with guidance Milling rates continue to exceed design capacity, averaging 15,500tpd for the quarter Cash distributions of $73 million YTD For the year, cash distributions expected to be in range of $90 $100m 2015 attributable cash distribution of $50 $60m Location Democratic Republic of Congo Ownership 24% 2014 Sales Production 48,400 t Cu (attributable share) 2014 C1 Costs $1.16/lb Cu Mine Life +40 years 18

Lundin Mining Summary Geographic and base metal diversification Portfolio of high quality, long-life mines Optimization opportunities and exploration potential at all existing assets No high risk major capital projects Proven disciplined growth approach 19