Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference Dr. Heinz Schimmelbusch CEO August 12, 2014



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Transcription:

Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference Dr. Heinz Schimmelbusch CEO August 12, 2014

Cautionary Note 2 THIS DOCUMENT IS STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL AND IS BEING PROVIDED TO YOU SOLELY FOR YOUR INFORMATION BY AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V. (THE COMPANY ) AND MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED IN ANY FORM OR FURTHER DISTRIBUTED TO ANY OTHER PERSON OR PUBLISHED, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, FOR ANY PURPOSE. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS. This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer to buy or acquire securities of the Company or any of its subsidiaries nor should it or any part of it, nor the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. This presentation has been prepared by, and is the sole responsibility of, the Company. This document, any presentation made in conjunction herewith and any accompanying materials are for information only and are not a prospectus, offering circular or admission document. This presentation does not form a part of, and should not be construed as, an offer, invitation or solicitation to subscribe for or purchase, or dispose of any of the securities of the companies mentioned in this presentation. These materials do not constitute an offer of securities for sale in the United States or an invitation or an offer to the public or form of application to subscribe for securities. Neither this presentation nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any offer or commitment whatsoever. The information contained in this presentation has not been independently verified. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information or the opinions contained herein. The Company and its advisors are under no obligation to update or keep current the information contained in this presentation. To the extent allowed by law, none of the Company or its affiliates, advisors or representatives accept any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the presentation. Certain statements in this presentation constitute forward-looking statements, including statements regarding the Company's financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations. These statements, which contain the words "believe, expect, anticipate, intends, estimate, forecast, project, will, may, should and similar expressions, reflect the beliefs and expectations of the management board of directors of the Company and are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially. These risks and uncertainties include, among other factors, the achievement of the anticipated levels of profitability, growth, cost and synergy of the Company s recent acquisitions, the timely development and acceptance of new products, the impact of competitive pricing, the ability to obtain necessary regulatory approvals, and the impact of general business and global economic conditions. These and other factors could adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described herein. Neither the Company, nor any of its respective agents, employees or advisors intend or have any duty or obligation to supplement, amend, update or revise any of the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. The information and opinions contained in this document are provided as at the date of this presentation and are subject to change without notice. This document has not been approved by any competent regulatory or supervisory authority.

AMG Basics Critical Materials Proprietary Processing Technology Extraordinary Price Volatility Low Cost Producer Leader in Niche Markets Lock in Forward Margins Manage a Portfolio Sustainability - Measure the CO 2 Impact of Our Products 3

AMG Summary Data Listed: NYSE-Euronext Amsterdam: AMG LTM Q2 14 Revenues: $1,124.2M LTM Q2 14 EBITDA: $68.7M LTM Q2 14 Op Cashflow: $61.9M Employees: 3,137 Market Cap: $272.1M Enterprise Value: $420.3M EV / EBITDA 6.1x Shares outstanding: 27.6M 52 week range: 6.34 8.35 Recent share price: 7.36 (August 11, 2014) 4

AMG 2014 H1 Financial Highlights $553.8M Revenue $40.5M EBITDA $10.8M Net Income $0.41 Earnings per Share 10% ROCE $24.8M Operating Cash Flow AMG MIBRA Mine $12.5M Free Cash Flow $147.8M Net Debt as of June 2014 AMG forecasts 2014 FY EBITDA $80M, over 10% growth 5

AMG s Presence in Critical Materials Critical Raw Materials for the EU Produced By AMG Mining Heavy REE EU Critical Raw Materials Produced By AMG Processing Light REE Supply Risk Treated in AMG vacuum systems Niobium Magnesium Germanium Indium Gallium Cobalt Beryllium Borate Phosphate Rock PGMS Fluorspar Silicon Metal Antimony Natural Graphite Magnesite Tungsten Coking Coal Chromium Molybdenum Tin Tantalum Vanadium Titanium Aluminum Nickel Economic Importance 6 Note: As defined by the EU 2014 Critical Raw Materials Report

AMG s Global Portfolio Al master alloys Ta & Nb alloys Al powder REE powder UK Germany Czech Republic Natural graphite Si metal Ti master alloys Sb oxide FeV alloys Al master alloys U.S.A. France Turkey China Natural graphite Al master alloys Ta concentrate Ta & Nb alloys Brazil Mozambique Zimbabwe Sri Lanka Natural graphite 7

Metals Price Volatility Last 10 Years 375% 275% Ta 175% 75% -25% Ti Nb Cr Al 8

Metals Price Volatility Last 10 Years 450% 350% 250% Sb 150% C 50% Si V -50% 9

Ferrovanadium Pricing - Forecast vs. Actual $80 $70 2007 & 2010 Roskill Forecasts $60 $ Per Pound V $50 $40 $30 $20 Actual $10 $0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014* 2015 10 Sources: Roskill s The Economics of Vanadium (2007), Vanadium: Global Industry Markets and Outlook (2010); Ryan s Notes FeV North America Transaction; NOTE: *2014 Actual price is August YTD

AMG s Portfolio Drivers of Criticality Material Demand Shifts Severe Supply Risks Aluminum Alloys Ferrovanadium Chrome Metal Titanium Alloys Antimony Oxides Tantalum Niobium Natural Graphite Silicon Metal Fuel Efficiency HSLA Steel Aerospace, Fuel Cells Aerospace Infrastructure Electronics Performance Steel Energy Saving Materials, Batteries, Graphene, Nuclear Waste Solutions Solar 11

AMG s Portfolio Growth Potential C V Growth Potential Nb Ti Cr Al Engineering Ta Sb AMG s > GDP Growth Potential Si Relative Market Share 12

Titanium Growth Potential Titanium 13

Titanium Aluminides Ni-based Titanium Operating Ti-64 Ti-6246 Ti-834 Superalloys Aluminides temperature [ C] 500 700 1050 1,000-1,500 800 14 Titanium Aluminide is a substitute for Nickel based Superalloys

Titanium Aluminides Engine Types Model of aircraft Type of engine Demand 2014-2021 Boeing 747-8 GE Aviation Intercontinental + Freighter GEnx-1B Boeing 787 Dreamliner GE Aviation GEnx-2B GEnx COMAC 919 Boeing 737 Airbus A320neo Snecma / GE LEAP-X LEAP-X GTF-PW Bombardier CSeries MRJ Mitsubishi Regional Jet Irkut MS-21 Airbus A320neo P&W / MTU Geared Turbo Fan (GTF) PW1524G / PW1217G / PW1400G/ PW1100G 15

Titanium Aluminides Usage in Engines Number of Engines 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 A320NEO B737 Max COMAC-C919 200 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 16

Natural Graphite Growth Potential Natural Graphite 17

Natural Graphite Growth Trends Nuclear Waste Treatment Demand Energy Saving Energy Storage Graphene 18 2014 Bright Future

Natural Graphite Based Insulation CO 2 Savings Base Technology No Insulation Enhanced Technology Graphite Enhanced EPS Insulation Enabling Technology Graphite Enhanced Expanded Polystyrene Insulation Increases Thermal Coefficient of the Insulating Materials In 2013 Enabled 930,000 mt CO 2 Savings per Year 19

Graphene A standard graphite flake consists of thousands of graphene layers 3 million sheets of graphene are 1 mm thick 200 times stronger than steel Strength of graphene will lead to applications in lightweight composites 20 http://www.aviation-history.com/theory/composite.htm

Vanadium Growth Potential Vanadium 21

Ferrovanadium Capacity Growth 30,000 Spent Catalyst Recycling Spent Catalysts Processed 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 2000 2005 2008 2014e Lowest Cost Producer and Recycling Market Leader 22

Engineering Growth Potential Engineering 23

AMG Engineering Systems Installed Asia > 650 systems installed Europe > 750 systems installed North America > 130 systems installed Canada Kazakhstan Russia U.S.A. Mexico Egypt Turkey India South Korea China Japan Taiwan Thailand Brazil Indonesia South Africa Australia Argentina Global Leadership in Vacuum Furnaces 24 Note: *AMG Engineering s selected Global Install-based Customer

Engineering Growth Areas Intelligent Fasteners Gorilla Glass Turbine Blade Coating Fuel Efficiency Nuclear Waste Technologies 25

AMG Overview Financial Summary 26

AMG End Markets Revenue Gross Profit 2013: $1,158.4M 2013: $177.7M Aerospace 40% Aerospace 44% Energy 19% Infrastructure 12% Specialty Metals & Chemicals 29% Energy 19% Infrastructure Specialty 10% Metals & Chemicals 27% 27

Critical Metals Prices Improving 46% 2013 Price Trend (12/2013 vs. 12/2012) 2014 YTD Price Trend (6/2014 vs. 12/2013) 33% 16% 10% 8% 6% 6% 3% 0% 0% -1% -2% -14% -18% -6% -19% -11% -19% -10% -13% -19% -33% Mo Ni Ta Si Metal FeV Nb Al Sb Ti Sponge Graphite Cr 28

AMG s Focus on Cash Flow Net debt reduced from $194.2M to $147.8M in June 2014 from Dec 2012 $46.4M, or 24%, debt reduction Equates to 1.25 per share $69.7 $65.6 Operating Cashflow $45.0 -$2.1 -$1.6 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 29 Note: Operating Cash flow IFRS financial statements

Thank You