ZAIN GROUP IR PRESENTATION. December 31 st 2012



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Transcription:

ZAIN GROUP IR PRESENTATION December 31 st 2012

1 Disclaimer Certain expectations and projections regarding future performance of the Group referenced in this presentation may be forward-looking statements within the meaning of applicable securities laws and regulations. These are statements which the management believes are true at the time of their preparation based on available data and information and are subject to certain future events and uncertainties, that could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated in these forward-looking statements.

2 A brief introduction to Zain Group 42.7 MILLION ACTIVE CUSTOMERS 108 MILLION PEOPLE UNDER LICENSE $ 902 MILLION IN NET INCOME 12.5 MILLION CUSTOMERS IN REPUBLIC OF SUDAN 13.7 MILLION CUSTOMERS IN IRAQ 4G LONG TERM EVOLUTION (LTE) NETWORK IN SAUDI ARABIA AND KUWAIT 348.7 MILLION + TOTAL DAILY CALLS 44.6 MILLION + DAILY 5.2 TOTAL SMS MILLION KM2 UNDER LICENSE 6,200 EMPLOYEES 222 TB OF DAILY DATA USAGE $ 4.58 BILLION IN REVENUES $ 2.04 BILLION IN EBITDA MARKET LEADER IN KUWAIT, IRAQ, REPUBLIC OF SUDAN, SOUTH SUDAN AND JORDAN

3 Key Milestones ACQUIRED FASTLINK IN JORDAN AWARDED 2ND GSM LICENSE IN BAHRAIN AWARDED GSM LICENSE IN IRAQ ACQUIRED CELTEL IN 13 AFRICAN NATIONS ACQUIRED MADACOM IN MADAGASCAR MERGED MTC ATHEER AND IRAQNA AND REBRANDED TO ZAIN REBRANDED FROM CELTEL TO ZAIN ALL AFRICAN OPERATIONS COMMENCED OPERATIONS IN KSA COMMENCED OPERATIONS IN GHANA SOLD MOBILE OPERATIONS IN 15 AFRICAN COUNTRIES (EXCLUDING SUDAN AND MOROCCO) TO BHARTI AIRTEL FOR $10.7 BILLION ZAIN KSA RAISED $1.6 BILLION IN RIGHTS ISSUE AND GROUP INCREASED STAKE IN THE OPERATION TO 37% INCREASED STAKE IN ZAIN IRAQ TO 76% 2003 2005 2008 2010 2012 1983-2002 LEADING MOBILE OPERATOR IN KUWAIT 2004 2006 2007 2009 2011 AWARDED MANAGEMENT AGREEMENT IN LEBANON ACQUIRED THE REMAINING 61% OF MOBITEL IN SUDAN ACQUIRED 65% OF V-MOBILE IN NIGERIA WON BID FOR 3RD GSM LICENSE IN KSA REBRANDED TO ZAIN ALONG WITH 4 OPERATIONS ACQUIRED 15 YEAR NATIONWIDE LICENSE IN IRAQ INVESTED IN 31% OF MOROCCAN OPERATOT INWI IN A JOINT VENTURE WITH AL AJIAL SEPERATED OPERATIONS BETWEEN SUDAN AND SOUTH SUDAN ACQUIRED 75% OF WESTEL GHANA ACQUIRED IRAQNA IN IRAQ

4 The World of Zain Ownership: 15.5% Ownership: Management Contract Customers: 1.9 m Prepaid: 86% Ownership: 76% Revenues: $1,733 m Customers: 13.7 m Prepaid: 99% Market Share: 50% ZAIN S WORLD CATERS TO OVER 42.7 MILLION CUSTOMERS IN 8 COUNTRIES* Ownership: 96.52% Revenues: $509 m Customers: 3.5 m Prepaid: 86% Market Share: 38% Ownership: 100% Revenues: $864 m Customers: 12.5 m Prepaid: 99% Market Share: 52% Ownership: 100% Revenues: $51 m Customers: 667,000 Prepaid: 99% Market Share: 37% Ownership: 100% Revenues: $1,187 m Customers: 2.3 m Prepaid: 70% Market Share: 42% Ownership: 56.25% Revenues: $202 m Customers: 616,000 Prepaid: 68% Ownership: 37.05% Revenues: $1,708 m Customers: 7.5 m Prepaid: 94% Market Share: 15% The numbers show active customers year end 2012. * exclusive of Morocco, in which Zain has a 15.5% ownership in the mobile operator INWI

USD Million USD Million Thousand USD Million 5 Key Performance Indicators Customers Revenues +6% (4%) 40,263 42,714 4,791 4,584 2011 2012 EBITDA / Margin 2011 2012 Net Income / EPS 2,176 (6%) 2,041 1,033 0.27 (13%) 902 45.4% 44.5% 0.23 2011 2012 EBITDA EBITDA margin 2011 2012 Net Income EPS ($)

6 EBITDA Margins and Penetration Rates EBITDA Margins Penetration Rates * 49.2% 44.3% 44.2% 41.2% Group EBITDA margin : 44.5% 183% 172% 35.8% 134% 134% 13.7% 83% 60% Kuwait Jordan Iraq Republic of Sudan Bahrain KSA South Sudan 19% (10.7%) Kuwait KSA Jordan Bahrain Iraq Republic of Sudan * Source: WCIS. South Sudan

7 Blended ARPU and Revenue Contribution Blended ARPU Revenue Contribution Bahrain 5% $42 Kuwait 26% $27 Iraq 38% $18 $12 $11 $11 Jordan 11% $6 Republic of Sudan 19% South Sudan 1% Kuwait Bahrain KSA Jordan South Sudan Iraq Republic of Sudan

8 Our Customers Customers Contribution Customers Growth 2012 vs. 2011 Lebanon 5% South Sudan 2% 27% Bahrain 1% KSA 18% Republic of Sudan 29% 21% 10% Iraq 32% Kuwait 5% Jordan 8% 7% Jordan Bahrain Iraq Kuwait Lebanon KSA* Republic (1%) of Sudan * The management has reinforced the 90 days policy for active customers and eliminated inactive customers, to align with the industry standards and to avoid distortions resulting from transitory segment 6% (4%)

MTN Etisalat STC Vodacom Mobily Zain Maroc Telecom Ooredoo NMTC Orascom Zain KSA SABIC MTN Qatar Industries Alrajhi Bank Qatar National Bank Etisalat STC Vodacom Mobily Saudi Elictricity Company NBK Zain 3.2 2.4 4.2 11.9 10.9 10.2 17.9 16.8 15.4 14.5 11.9 22.0 20.9 26.2 26.0 25.8 17.9 16.8 33.0 22.0 20.9 33.0 75.4 9 Top Companies in Middle East & North Africa As of March 24, 2013 Top Telecom Companies Market Cap ($ billion) Top Companies Market Cap ($ billion)

IR PRESENTATION ZAIN OPERATIONS December 31 st 2012

USD Million 10 Kuwait Key Statistics December 2012 Market Share 3.8 m Population 183% Mobile Penetration $47,156 GDP/Capita 1983 Year of launch Contribution to Group total Population: 3% Customers: 5% Revenues: 26% Zain 42% 2,252 Thousand Customers 100% Ownership Customer YOY Growth: 7% Viva 21% $42 ARPU Wataniya 37% Group s flagship operation was established in 1983 and made history in 1994 by becoming the first telecom operator to launch a commercial GSM service in the region. Zain has been listed on the Kuwait Stock Exchange since 1985 with a market capitalization of over USD 12 billion closing at Fils 780 as of March 6, 2013. Zain Kuwait has the highest ARPU of $42 in the Group. The operation has reported USD 1,187 million in revenues at the end of 2012; reflecting a 4.9% decrease as compared with 2011, EBITDA decreased by 3.9% as compared with 2011 and net income decreased by 12.3% as compared with last year, these reductions are mainly due to the impact of OTT applications (Whatsapp, Viber, etc.) and the new MOC fee on number ranges. Zain Kuwait launched national LTE in the fourth quarter of 2012, which was a significant milestone for the operation, with the network covering the entire population through 1,765 network sites. Financials 1,247 1,187 584 608 Revenues 408 466 EBITDA Net Income 2012 2011

USD Million 11 Iraq Key Statistics December 2012 Market Share 33.4 m Population 83% Mobile Penetration $4,937 GDP/Capita 2003 Year of acquisition Contribution to Group total Population: 28% Customers: 32% Revenues: 38% Zain 50% 13,707 Thousand Customers 76% Ownership Customer YOY Growth: 10% Korek 14% $11 ARPU Asiacell 36% After acquiring a 15-year nationwide license for USD 1.25 billion in August 2007 and its acquisition of a rival operator Iraqna for USD 1.2 billion in December 2007, Zain became the largest mobile operator in Iraq. Zain Group subsequently increased its ownership from 30% to 76% to assume majority control. The operation has the largest customer base in the Group, representing a 32% of the group s customer base and has increased around 10% due to the customer acquisition in the North region. Zain Iraq is currently preparing to launch an initial public offering (IPO) to list the company shares on the Iraq Stock Exchange (ISX) as per the license requirements, which should take place during the 1 st half of 2013. By the end of 2012, the operation had a total of 3,724 sites, with a population coverage of 98%. Financials 1,733 1,618 766 745 Revenues 369 348 EBITDA Net Income 2012 2011

USD Million 12 Republic of Sudan Key Statistics December 2012 35.9 m Population 60% Mobile Penetration 12,535 Thousand Customers $6 ARPU $2,489 GDP/Capita 2006 Year of full acquisition 100% Ownership Contribution to Group total Population: 30% Customers: 29% Revenues: 19% Customer YOY Growth: (4%) Sudani 24% Market Share Zain 52% MTN 24% Zain entered Sudan through its 2005 acquisition of Celtel which had a minority 39% stake in Mobitel, Sudan s first mobile operator. In February 2006, the remaining 61% was fully acquired by Zain for USD 1.33 billion. Zain maintains its position by 52% of the market share in Republic of Sudan, with the second largest customer base in the group by forming 29% of the group s customer base. Net profit for 2012 was negatively impacted by the devaluation of the local currency, where the operation reported net income of USD 49 million. Loss from currency revaluation is USD 148 million compared to a loss of USD 41 million in 2011. The operation currently has a total number of 2,179 sites, with 87% population coverage and 35% geographical coverage. 864 356 49 Financials * Revenues EBITDA 2012 * Zain Sudan started to split its operation into two different entities in Q1-2012 (Republic of Sudan & South Sudan), therefore there is no similar comparative. Net Income

USD Million 13 Jordan Key Statistics December 2012 6.6 m Population 134% Mobile Penetration $5,300 GDP/Capita 2003 Year of acquisition Contribution to Group total Population: 5% Customers: 8% Revenues: 11% Market Share Zain 38% 3,489 Thousand Customers 96.52% Ownership Customer YOY Growth: 27% Umniah 25% $12 ARPU Orange 37% In January 2003, Zain Jordan was the Group s first acquired operation for a value of USD 418.9 million. Zain Jordan witnessed the highest increase in its customer base among other operations by adding over 738,000 new customers from the previous year. Despite the increased competition, the operation managed to increase its market share to 38% as compared with 37% in 2011, recording a 1% increase in revenues, mainly from the increase in data revenues, benefiting from increased smartphone penetration and integrated tariffs; however EBITDA and net income decreased by 3% and 8% respectively due to the higher Opex (increase in electricity rates). The operation has achieved 100% population coverage with a total number of 1,597 sites as of Q4-2012. Financials 509 506 226 232 Revenues 122 132 EBITDA Net Income 2012 2011

USD Million 14 Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Key Statistics December 2012 Market Share 28.9 m Population 172% Mobile Penetration 7,495 Thousand Customers $18 ARPU $25,587 GDP/Capita 2008 Year of acquisition 37% Ownership Contribution to Group total Population: 24% Customers: 18% Customer YOY Growth: (1%) STC 45% Zain 15% Mobily 40% Zain KSA launched commercial services in late August 2008, a year after it was rewarded its mobile license. Zain KSA has successfully completed its Capital Restructuring in July 2012, through reducing its capital by 65% and subsequently increase it by USD1.6 Billion Rights Issue. As a result, Zain KSA capital reached SAR 10.8 Billion, while Zain group stake increased to 37%. The operation achieved a 9% decrease in its net losses from the previous year, with a slight increase of 0.3% in its EBITDA margin as compared with 2011. Even with aggressive competition in the Kingdom and the clean-up of inactive customers the operation s customer base increased by 12% as compared with Q3-2012. The operation currently has a total number of 4,652 network sites, and population coverage of 91%. Financials 1,708 1,787 234 240 Revenues EBITDA 2012 2011 Net Income -467-513

IR PRESENTATION FINANCIAL STATEMENTS December 31 st 2012

15 Balance Sheet ASSETS 2012 2011 KD 000 Cash and bank balances 302,609 404,764 Trade and other receivables 319,109 332,843 Inventories 11,906 21,182 Investment securities at fair value through profit or loss 2,693 5,879 Total Current assets 636,317 764,668 Investment securities available for sale 48,659 62,470 Investments in associates 246,023 81,131 Interest in a jointly controlled entity 54,819 44,871 Loans to associates 145,832 190,166 Property and equipment 699,030 795,644 Intangible assets 998,082 1,256,094 Other assets 102,229 92,190 Total Non-current assets 2,294,674 2,522,566 Total Assets 2,930,991 3,287,234 LIABILITIES AND EQUITY Trade and other payables 535,114 506,541 Due to banks 270,656 313,823 Total Current liabilities 805,770 820,364 Due to banks 381,136 226,159 Other non-current liabilities 33,331 35,173 Total Non-Current liabilities 414,467 261,332 Equity Attributable to Parent Company s shareholders 2012 2011 KD 000 Share capital 431,527 430,754 Share premium 1,705,387 1,703,351 Treasury shares (567,834) (567,834) Legal reserve 215,764 215,377 Foreign currency translation reserve (694,184) (214,064) Treasury shares reserve 1,967 1,967 Equity issue transaction cost of associate - (1,760) Investment fair valuation reserve (987) (10,046) Share based compensation reserve 8,808 7,141 Hedge reserve - (849) Retained earnings 490,189 516,453 1,590,637 2,080,490 Non-controlling interests 120,117 125,048 Total equity 1,710,754 2,205,538 Total Liabilities and Equity 2,930,991 3,287,234

16 Income Statement Continuing operations 2012 2011 KD 000 Revenue 1,281,903 1,321,921 Cost of sales (360,975) (353,914) Gross profit 920,928 968,007 Distribution, marketing and operating expenses (254,820) (283,125) General and administrative expenses (87,179) (74,868) Depreciation and amortization (193,047) (170,700) Provision for impairment trade and other receivables (8,187) (9,654) Operating profit 377,695 429,660 Interest income 16,994 19,822 Investment income (8,811) 740 Share of loss of associates (41,053) (35,507) Share of profit of a jointly controlled entity 9,479 5,872 Other income 14,588 1,766 Finance costs (26,384) (27,429) Loss from currency revaluation (8,517) (34,277) Board of Directors remuneration (430) (430) Contribution to Kuwait Foundation for Advancement of Sciences (2,611) (2,930) National Labour Support Tax and Zakat (10,151) (8,870) Profit for the year before income tax 320,799 348,417 Income tax expenses (40,607) (47,209) Profit from continuing operations 280,192 301,208 2012 2011 KD 000 Discontinued operations Release of provisions - 16,320 280,192 317,528 Attributable to: Shareholders of the Parent Company 252,145 284,866 Non-controlling interests 28,047 32,662 280,192 317,528 Earnings per share (EPS) Basic Fils From continuing operations 65 69 From discontinued operations - 4 65 73 Diluted Fils From continuing operations 65 69 From discontinued operations - 4 65 73

17 Cash flow statement Cash flows from operating activities 2012 2011 KD 000 Profit for the year before income tax 320,799 364,737 Adjustments for: Depreciation and amortization 193,047 170,700 Interest income (16,994) (19,822) Investment income 8,811 (740) Share of loss of associates 41,053 35,507 Share of profit of a jointly controlled entity (9,479) (5,872) Finance costs 26,384 27,429 Loss from currency revaluation 8,517 34,277 Gain on sale of property and equipment (457) (288) Operating profit before working capital changes 571,681 605,928 Increase in trade and other receivables (69,785) (191,868) Decrease/(increase) in inventories 5,181 (8,466) Provisions used (7,524) (113,018) Increase in trade and other payables 34,895 80,662 Cash generated from operations 534,448 373,238 Payments: Income tax (36,419) (38,165) Board of Directors remuneration (430) (32) Kuwait Foundation for Advancement of Sciences (KFAS) (5,058) (1,818) National Labour Support Tax and Zakat (4,983) (6,814) Net cash from operating activities 487,558 326,409 Cash flows from investing activities Deposits maturing after three months and bank balances blocked (95,071) 162,249 Investments in subsidiaries (28,531) - Proceeds from sale of investment securities 21,063 17,049 Investments in securities (4,753) (1,152) Investments in associate/jointly controlled entity (97,696) (397) Proceeds from disposal of a subsidiary - 209,839 Acquisition of property and equipment (net) (161,532) (157,947) Acquisition of intangible assets (28,422) (155,353) Interest received 16,994 19,248 Dividends received 1,288 1,751 Net cash (used in)/from investing activities (376,660) 95,287 Cash flows from financing activities Proceeds from bank borrowings 484,060 723,120 Repayment of bank borrowings (380,949) (404,731) Loan to an associate (70,883) (4,461) Capital contribution including share premium employees stock option 2012 2011 KD 000 2,809 6,574 Dividends paid (252,884) (773,857) Dividends paid to non-controlling interests (18,838) (7,643) Finance costs paid (20,774) (27,834) Net cash used in financing activities (257,459) (488,832) Net decrease in cash and cash equivalents (146,561) (67,136) Effects of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents (50,665) (10,066) Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year 386,147 463,349 Cash and cash equivalents at end of year 188,921 386,147

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE CONTACT ZAIN GROUP INVESTOR RELATIONS TEAM Note: All population, GDP per Capita and Mobile Penetration figures are sourced from EIU, WCIS and CIA Fact Book. lr@zain.com Zain Group Head Office Building P.O. Box 22244, 13083 Safat, Kuwait City, Kuwait Tel: +965 2464 4444 Fax: +965 2464 1111 www.zain.com