Barry Callebaut 9-months roadshow presentation



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Transcription:

9-months roadshow presentation June/July 2009

Agenda u company overview and strategy u Highlights first 9 months 2008/09 and business review u Outlook 2

is active along the entire cocoa and chocolate value chain Cocoa Semi-finished Products Chocolate Products 100% Sugar Milk Other Retail customers Shells/ waste Cocoa Beans 100% 20% 80% Cocoa Liquor 27% 63% Liquor for chocolate Liquor for pressing 50% 50% Butter Cake 100% 100% Powder Chocolate Couverture Vending mixes Compounds/ Fillings via via via Industrial customers Artisanal customers Vending Distributor FM Pharma & Tobacco customers Consumer Products 3

at a glance FY 2007/08 Net revenue: CHF 4.8 bn Consumer 23 Products % 19% Gourmet& Specialties 14% EBIT CHF 341.1 m Net Profit* CHF 209.1 m *from continuing operations Cocoa 11 % 13% 52 % Food Manufacturers 54% u World leader in high-quality cocoa and chocolate products and outsourcing partner of choice, with over 40% share in the industrial chocolate market u World s largest supplier of Gourmet & Specialties chocolate for artisanal customers u Global service and production network, employing over 7,000 people worldwide, 40 production factories u Fully integrated with a strong position in the countries of origin u Close to 1,700 recipes to cater for a large variety of individual customer needs u Low cost production with large number of focused chocolate & cocoa factories u Achieved consistent earnings stream 4

Confirmed growth strategy Strategy successful even in challenging times Vision u Heart and engine of the chocolate industry u Chocolate expert and business partner of choice u Number one chocolate company Geographic expansion Strategic pillars Innovation Sustainable, profitable growth Cost leadership 5

Geographic expansion: BC doubles network to 40 factories in 5 years Chekhov, Russia (September 2007) Stollwerck, Germany (2002) Netherlands Luijckx (2003) Sweden (2004) Belgium Monterrey, Mexico (2008) Nappa, U.S. (2005) Canada 1 Robinson, U.S. (2008) USA Eddystone, U.S. (2008) France UK Jacques, Belgium (2002) Dijon, France (2007) Switzerland Italy Alicante, SpainAlprose, Switzerland (summer 2008) (2002) Extension San Pedro (2006) Poland Extension Ghana (2006) San Sisto, Italy (2007) Morinaga, Osaka, Japan (2009) Ivory Coast Ghana Cameroon Singapore Brazil 1 New factory planned to be operational in 2010 KLK, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia (May 2008) Suzhou, China (January 2008) in 2001 BC New factories u reached double digit growth YTD 08/09 in new markets in Asia, Eastern Europe and Latin America May 2009 H1 08/09 6

Cost leadership Profitability drivers in challenging markets u Continued cost savings since January 2008 u Hiring freeze u Flexible operational set-up reduced production costs u Reduced promotional spend u Higher product margins u Lower logistics costs u Decrease in shipping costs of up to 50%, partly offset by higher energy prices u Negative impact of lower cocoa butter prices (combined ratio) will impact profitability in H2 08/09 and H1 09/10 u Down-trading in FM/Gourmet partly negatively impacts BC s products mix u Negative currency effects u Efficiency improvement measures u Supply chain efficiencies 7

Innovation West Africa is the world s largest cocoa producer Indonesia 13% PNG 1% * Ecuador 3% Brazil* 5% Cameroon* 5% Nigeria 5% Others 10% Ghana 21% * Ivory Coast* 39% u Total 3,684 m tonnes harvested globally in 2007/08 u BC sources ~470k MT/y (07/08) cocoa, thereof 65% directly from farmers, cooperatives & local trade houses u BC has various cocoa processing facilities in origin countries*, in Europe and in the USA u BC s cocoa business units produces semi-finished cocoa products for group and third party customers Our local sourcing is the basis for innovations and Corporate Social Responsibility projects 8

Innovation BC innovation leader: controlled fermentation Fermentation: naturally removes the remaining fruit pulp that sticks to the beans. The beans change color from beige to purple and develop their aroma. Fermentation is a spontaneous process and differs from country to country. Main benefits of controlled fermentation: Quality characteristics No or very few bean defects Consistency in quality Taste & components No off-flavors Constant flavor Better preservation of flavanols Increased functional components Processability Easier processable Light color liquor possible 9

CSR strategy Programs and partnerships s long-term commitment u Our own CSR programs and initiatives u Support customer requirements to source cocoa with 3rdparty-verified certification labels, such as: Fairtrade, Rainforest Alliance, UTZ, IMO, Starbucks Cocoa Practices, Organic, etc. u BC Product portfolio includes Fairtrade and Organic u CSR programs and projects focus on 3 spheres of activity: farmers, children, employees u Working in partnership with industry u Cooperation with other companies, associations to work towards sustainable, responsible cocoa farming Africa Cocoa Livelihoods Program, founded by industry donors and Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation World Cocoa Foundation (WCF) Sustainable Tree Crops Program (STCP) International Cocoa Initiative (ICI) child labor focus 10

Agenda u company overview u Highlights first 9 months 2008/09 and business review u Outlook 11

Highlights first nine months u In the third quarter sales volumes grew significantly in recessionary markets u We grow thanks to geographic expansion, outsourcing deals and market share gains u Sales volumes: 895,391 tonnes u Third quarter: +8.8% u Year-to-date: +2.6% u Sales revenue: CHF 3,639.6 million, negatively impacted by currency effects u Third quarter: +10.2% in local currencies (in CHF +7.1%) u Year-to-date: +6.3% in local currencies (in CHF +0.9%) u Ongoing tight cost control and hiring freeze u Financial targets for current fiscal year and mid-term confirmed 12

Highlights first nine months September 2008 Acquisition of IBC, specialist in decorations (Gourmet) October 2008 Opening of factory for frozen pastry in Spain January 2009 Inauguration of new factory in Monterrey, Mexico February 2009 Sale of Van Houten Singapore consumer business to Hershey s April 2009 Brazil S/A, and Bunge signed a distribution agreement for Brazil August/September 2008 New Chocolate Academies in U.S. & India & Russia December 2008 Start of production in new factory and outsourcing agreement with Morinaga in Japan February 2009 joins WCF and Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation initiative to significantly improve cocoa farmer livelihoods in West Africa March 2009 and Natra sign MoU on the integration of BC s European consumer products business into Natra Acquisition of Danish Vending mix company Eurogran to further strengthen our Vending business Early 2010 Chocolate factory in Brazil 13

Chocolate consumption Declining volume in mature markets, yet decline slowing down in last quarter 10 000 units 250'000 240'000 230'000 220'000 210'000 200'000 190'000 180'000 170'000 160'000 150'000 USA* Western Europe Emerging markets** -8.1% 1'100 1'050 1'000 950 900 850 800 750 700-2.2% Sep-April 07/08 Sep-April 08-09 Sep-April 07/08 Sep-April 08-09 Sep-April 07/08 Sep-April 08-09 650 600 550 500 450 400 350 300 +4.9% u Decline in volumes for developed markets, yet decline has slightly eased u Emerging markets still growing, yet growth declining or even shrinking in last quarter * Wal-Mart not included **Poland, Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, Brazil, China Source: Nielsen Data, chocolate confectionary, Sep 08 Mar/Apr 09 14

Raw materials price development until June 2008/09 Lower cocoa butter prices, cocoa prices volatile London Cocoa 2nd Position weekly close in /ton in EUR/ton Cocoa powder-butter combined ratio European ratios - 6 months fwd against Liffe 2700 2500 2300 2100 1900 1700 1500 1300 1100 900 700 500 Oct-01 Mar-02 Aug-02 Dec-02 May-03 Sep-03 Feb-04 Jul-04 Nov-04 Apr-05 Aug-05 Jan-06 Jun-06 Oct-06 in /ton in /ton Mar-07 Jul-07 Dec-07 May-08 Sep-08 Feb-09 Jun-09 4.40 4.00 3.60 3.20 2.80 2.40 2.00 1.60 1.20 0.80 0.40 EU powder EU butter Combined ratio 0.00 4000 Skimmed milk powder prices Jan-98 Jul-98 Jan-99 Jul-99 Jan-00 Jul-00 Jan-01 Jul-01 Jan-02 Jul-02 Jan-03 Jul-03 Jan-04 Jul-04 Jan-05 Jul-05 Jan-06 Jul-06 Jan-07 Jul-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 3500 u BC s cost plus model for 80% of volume EUR / MT 3000 2500 2000 u Combined cocoa ratio* was favorable in H1 2008/09, yet has been falling since start CY 2008 currently at low levels 1500 1000 07.02.02 07.08.02 07.02.03 07.08.03 07.02.04 07.08.04 07.02.05 07.08.05 07.02.06 07.08.06 07.02.07 07.08.07 07.02.08 07.08.08 07.02.09 u Cocoa price significantly above long-term average and highly volatile * Price charged for semi-finished products compared to cocoa bean price 15

Region Europe Rebound in volumes in Q3 amid declining markets Regional revenue split 9m 08/09 Americas 22% Asia/RoW 8% Europe 70% u Decline in sales volumes during first six months, strong rebound in Western Europe in third quarter (March-May) u Sales revenue negatively impacted by currency translation effects u Positive third quarter development in FM and Gourmet, partly due to restocking, late Easter and growth in Eastern Europe u Consumer products adjusted for scope and foreign exchange effect +5% in revenues (year-to-date), thanks to focus on private label, continuous improvement in all activities, and good Easter business Volumes Revenue mt 700'000 600'000 500'000 400'000 300'000 +8.6-1.5% 556'539 604'207 594'982 3'200 2'400 CHF m +19.8% 2'262 2'709 +0.7%* 2'547-8.0% 200'000 100'000 0 9 m 06/07 9 m 07/08 9 m 08/09 1'600 9 m 06/07 9 m 07/08 9 m 08/09 *change in local currencies 16

Region Americas Continued growth due to implementation of outsourcing agreement and market share gains Regional revenue split 9m 08/09 Americas 22% Asia/RoW 8% Europe 70% u Substantial growth in Food Manufacturers due to volumes delivered to Hershey s under the existing long-term supply agreement and new volumes with small- and mid-sized customers u Gourmet & Specialties holding up well in difficult market environment, in the first six months mainly with locally produced Van Leer brand; in the third quarter, a recovery of sales of imported European high-end brands 250'000 200'000 150'000 100'000 50'000 mt 0 +7.8% +17.6% 228'323 211'708 179'955 9 m 06/07 Volumes 9 m 07/08 9 m 08/09 CHF m 1000 800 600 400 200 0 Revenue +21.4%* 802.3 +19.6% 668.0 558.6 +20.1% 9 m 06/07 9 m 07/08 9 m 08/09 *change in local currencies 17

Region Asia/Rest of World Increased volumes, high demand in Gourmet & Specialties Regional revenue split 9m 08/09 Americas 22% Asia/RoW 8% u Continuous growth in all businesses u Sales volumes growth of 26.3%, partly influenced by acquisitions and divestitures u After a strong second quarter, sales volumes growth was somewhat slower in third quarter u Successful start of deliveries to Morinaga Europe 70% Volumes Revenue mt 80'000 70'000 60'000 50'000 40'000 30'000 20'000 10'000 0 +26.3 72'086-0.2% 57'191 57'078 9 m 06/07 9 m 07/08 9 m 08/09 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 +26.9%* 290.4 222.9 231.4 +25.5% +3.8% 9 m 06/07 9 m 07/08 9 m 08/09 18

Business segments Positive development in 3rd quarter in all segments 9 months overview: INDUSTRIAL FOOD SERVICE / RETAIL Food manufacturers Volume: 572 k MT; +1.9% Q3: +9.5 Revenue: CHF 1 981m, +0.3% Q3 +8% in loc curr.: +5.2% Q3 +10.3% Cocoa Volume: 143 k MT; + 26.9 Q3: +20.8% Revenue: CHF 548m, +30.8% Q3: +19.4% in loc curr.: +37.9% Q3 + 23.5% u FM recovery in q3 due to market share gains, outsourcing volumes, strong new markets u Good cocoa sales in first six month, reduction in Q3 because of decline of butter prices Gourmet & Specialties Revenue: CHF 477m, -5.3% Q3 +3.8% in loc curr.: -0.3% Q3 +6.5% Consumer products Revenue: CHF 633m, -10.9% Q3: -3.3% in loc curr..: -4.9% Q3 + 1.4% Adj. for curr.& scope + ~5% u Gourmet & Specialties with headwind in the HORECA segment, while bakery and small confectioners segment was less affected general pick-up in Q3 u Consumer positive development YTD adj. for currency and scope, mainly due to stronger private label business 19

Expansion in Gourmet & Specialties Acquisition of vending mix company Eurogran u acquires 100% of shares in Eurogran A/S from MISP Holding with immediate effect (consolidation as per June 1) u Eurogran will be integrated into Barry Callebaut Sweden, headquarters of Barry Callebaut Vending mix business (part of Business Unit Gourmet & Specialties) Revenue: CHF 40 m Strengthening of BC s position as leading supplier of chocolate and cappuccino instant powder mixes Opportunity for BC to actively consolidate the market Synergy potential in geographic reach and costs Founded 1971 in Kalundborg, Denmark Products: vending mixes for hot chocolate, coffee, cappuccino, granulated milk Brands: own brand le Royal, private label 20

Focus on core business Natra transaction will allow BC to focus on core MoU for the combination of BC and Natra consumer businesses in Europe NA : u Natra Chocolates Holding shares (30-49%) u Long-term supply agreement for > 85,000 tonnes liquid chocolate p.a. NA NA Mutual benefits: u u Complementary product portfolio Complementary geographical set-up u Create No. one player in Private Label in Europe u New expansion opportunities in Eastern Europe and Asia Natra: u Consumer chocolate factories from u Guaranteed supply of liquid chocolate 21

Natra transaction structure and impact on BC financials [preliminary] Roll-up option u Pro forma sales of the combined entity of EUR850m for year ending Dec-08, corresponding to 215kT u Revenue carve out from BC European Consumer business: CHF m 800-850 u Additional volume for BC food manufacturing: > 85 000 tonnes from long-term outsourcing contract (revenues approx. 300 CHF m) u No short-term change in profitability expected: u Operating profit from outsourcing contract (industrial segment) u Income from equity participation in Natra chocolate Holding u Participate in upside from synergies u Final BC shareholding in Natra Chocolate Holding: 30-49%, depending on deal structure and amount of debt level u BC receives roll-up option to convert its participaton in Natra chocolate Holding into shares of the listed company Natra S.A. u At this moment, one-off financial implications of the transaction such as IFRS treatment of goodwill, transactions taxes, etc., are still being evaluated The transaction is still subject to various conditions such as satisfactory due diligence, secured financing, approvals from authorities 22

Stable financing situation due to long-term secured credit-lines Financing and liquidity situation per February 28, 2009 [CHF] 2500 2000 Short-term CHF 500 various uncommitted facilities Financial leeway per end February 2009 1500 CHF 1260 CHF m 1000 Maturity 2012 (16%) 2013 (84%) Syndicated bank loan (16 banks) EUR 850 CHF 273 ABS receivable financing CHF 448 Short-term 500 0 Maturity 2017 CHF 519 6% senior note EUR 350 CHF 718 Long-term Available Credit Facilities Used Credit Facilities per Feb 09 23

CAPEX development Planned to decrease to run-rate level over 2 years CHF m 300 250 250 200 150 115 153 ~ 147 * ~137 Run-rate level 100 additional growth IT 50 Upgrade/ efficiency gains existing sites 0 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 forecast 2009/10 plan Maintenance * Excluding consumer Europe 24

Agenda u company overview u Highlights first 9 months 2008/09 and business review u Outlook 25

Outlook Targets through to 2010/11 confirmed u sees 2008/09 as a year of slower volume but strong profit growth: u Volume growth expected at 2-4% - clearly outpacing the global chocolate market u Profits in local currencies expected to be in line with targets u Order portfolio for the next few months looks very promising and shows good margins u Four-year financial targets confirmed* Annual growth targets on average for 2007/08-2010/11**: u Volumes: 9-11% u EBIT: 11-14% u Net profit: 13-16% * Our view for the 2007-2011 period reflects current economic forecasts for the markets we operate in as well as internal developments and their assumed impact on our performance ** Barring any major unforeseen events JUNE 2009 BARRY CALLEBAUT 9-MONTH KEY SALES FIGURES 2008/09 26

Summary s well-balanced global presence, broad product portfolio and cost leadership are decisive advantages in times of economic crisis Increased profitability in recessionary markets 2008/09 year of slower volume growth; Four-year financial targets confirmed 27

Cautionary note Forward-looking statements Any information given on these slides as well as during the conference call has been prepared by solely for the use at this analyst presentation. Certain statements contained therein regarding the business of are of a forward-looking nature and are therefore based on management s current assumptions about future developments. Such forward-looking statements are intended to be identified by words such as believe, estimate, intend, may, will, expect, and project and similar expressions as they relate to the Company. Forward-looking statements involve certain risks and uncertainties because they relate to future events. Actual results may vary materially from those targeted, expected or projected due to several factors. The factors that may affect s future financial results are discussed in the Annual Report 2007/08. Such factors are, among others, general economic conditions, foreign exchange fluctuations, competitive product and pricing pressures as well as changes in tax regimes and regulatory developments. The reader and/or listener is cautioned to not unduly rely on these forward-looking statements that are accurate only as of today. does not undertake to publish any update or revision of any forward-looking statements. 28