Challenger Wine Trust



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Transcription:

Challenger Wine Trust 2007 Annual results Nick Gill Fund Manager 22 August 2007

Important notice Information contained in this publication is current as at 22 August 2007 unless otherwise specified and is provided by Challenger Listed Investments Limited (ABN 94 055 293 644) (AFSL 236887) ( Challenger ), as Responsible Entity of the Challenger Wine Trust ( Trust ). This document has been prepared for general information purposes only and not with regard to any particular recipient s financial situation, objectives or needs nor to solicit offers or invitations for the Trust's securities. Nothing contained in this document constitutes investment, legal, tax or other advice. Accordingly, recipients should, before acting on any information in this document, consider its appropriateness, having regard to their objectives, financial situation and needs, and seek the assistance of their financial or other licensed professional adviser before making any investment decision. Challenger makes no representation, gives no warranty and does not accept any responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of any recommendation, information or advice contained herein. To the maximum extent permitted by law, the recipient releases Challenger, each member of the Challenger Financial Services Group, their directors, officers, employees, representatives and advisors from any liability (including, without limitation, in respect of direct, indirect or consequential loss or damage or loss or damage arising by negligence) arising in relation to any recipient relying on anything contained in or omitted from this document. Past performance is no guarantee or assurance as to the future performance, profitability or capital value of the Trust or its securities. Any forward looking statements included in this document are by nature subject to significant uncertainties, risks and contingencies, many of which are outside the control of, and are unknown to, Challenger, so that actual results or events may vary from those forward looking statements, and the assumption on which they are based. Challenger, or persons associated with it, may have an interest in the securities or financial products mentioned in this document and may earn fees as a result of transactions in any such securities or financial products. 2

Highlights Solid financial performance Net operating income $14.3 million up 8.8% Distribution per unit 9.10 cents up 0.4% High quality portfolio Income stream backed by 100% occupancy and long term leases to established industry participants Significant diversification by region, tenant, water source and grape variety Transaction activity focussed on enhancing returns and diversifying income risk Accretive acquisition of Miamba vineyards for $11.5 million Planned sale of four assets in FY08 3

Financial results

Financial performance Net operating income $14.3 million up 8.8% Key drivers were higher net property income (+2.8%) and lower borrowing costs (+2.3%) Restated Variance 30-Jun-07 30-Jun-06 $000 $000 $000 % Net property income 28,925 28,144 781 2.8 Other income 505 381 124 32.5 Finance costs (11,627) (11,904) 277 2.3 Management fees (2,274) (2,420) 146 6.0 Operating expenses (1,198) (1,030) (168) (16.4) Net operating income 14,331 13,171 1,160 8.8 Net fair value movements (6,456) (608) Net profit 7,875 13,779 (5,904) (42.8) * Restated 30 June 2006 numbers reflect the impact of the change in accounting treatment of water rights to intangible assets held at cost. Refer Appendices for further information. 5

Breakdown of net property income growth Net property income up 2.8% as a result of additional income from development projects and annual rental reviews 30-Jun-07 30-Jun-06 Variance $000 $000 $000 % Stable portfolio 11,288 11,115 173 1.5 Development assets/projects* 16,141 14,741 1,400 9.5 Assets held for sale 1,496 2,030 (534) (26.3) Assets sold in 2006-258 (258) (100.0) Net property income 28,925 28,144 781 2.8 * Includes assets developed by CWT and those which undertook development projects in FY06 and FY07 6

Distributable income Distributable income $14.3 million up 8.8% Distribution per unit 9.10 cents up 0.4% 30-Jun-07 $000 Restated 30-Jun-06 $000 Variance % Net profit 7,875 13,779 Adjusted for: Net fair value movements 6,456 (608) Transfer to/(from) retained earnings (5) 4 Distribution to unitholders 14,326 13,175 8.8 Distribution per unit (cents) 9.10 9.06 0.4 * Restated 30 June 2006 numbers reflect the impact of the change in accounting treatment of water rights to intangible assets held at cost. Refer Appendices for further information. 7

Financial position Change of accounting treatment of certain water rights Restated 2006 balance sheet includes: Recognition of certain water rights as intangible assets of $15.8 million Write down of $2.3 million due to recognising certain water rights at cost 2007 net assets, NAV per unit and NTA per unit include impact of: PICE unit conversion Net negative revaluation movement of $4.5 million and further write down of water rights of $1.9 million 30-Jun-07 Restated 30-Jun-06 30-Jun-06 Total assets ($000) 297,489 294,001 296,344 Net assets ($000) 156,194 143,212 145,555 NAV per unit ($) 0.92 0.94 0.96 NTA per unit ($) 0.82 0.84 0.96 * Restated 30 June 2006 numbers reflect the impact of the change in accounting treatment of water rights to intangible assets held at cost. Refer Appendices for further information. 8

Net asset value (NAV) movements $m Net asset value (NAV) cpu NTA cpu Opening balance 30-Jun-06 145,555 0.96 0.96 Intangible assets (water rights) initial recognition - - (0.10) Intangible assets (water rights) fair value right down 2,343 (0.02) (0.02) Restated opening balance 30-Jun-06 143,212 0.94 0.84 PICE unit conversion 13,643 (0.01) (0.01) Net fair value movement (water rights at cost) (1,904) (0.01) (0.01) Net fair value movement (valuation changes) (4,552) (0.03) (0.03) Fair value of derivative financial instruments 4,053 0.02 0.02 Other movements 1,742 0.01 0.01 Closing balance 30-Jun-07 156,194 0.92 0.82 * Restated 30 June 2006 numbers reflect the impact of the change in accounting treatment of water rights to intangible assets held at cost. Refer Appendices for further information. 9

Movement in asset valuations Restated carrying value 30-Jun-06 Capital expenditure Reimbursement of capital expenditure Revaluation changes Water rights at cost Depreciation Foreign currency translation movements Carrying value 30-Jun-07 $000 287,244 5,152 (5,970) (4,552) (1,904) (385) 7,404 286,989 Total asset valuation movements -$6.4m Equivalent to 2.2% of portfolio value at 30 June 2007 Water rights at cost (-$1.9m) Revaluation changes (-$4.5m) Australian warm climate vineyards (-$5.3m) Australian cool climate (-$0.9m) New Zealand cool climate (+$1.7m) * Restated 30 June 2006 numbers reflect the impact of the change in accounting treatment of water rights to intangible assets held at cost. Refer Appendices for further information. 10

Capital management Gearing 45.2% at 30 June 2007 following conversion of PICE units Gearing increased to 47.4% following debt funded acquisition on 20 August 2007 Preferred gearing range 45-55% Borrowings 100% fixed/hedged with duration in line with lease terms Weighted average cost of borrowings (including margins) 7.7% $82 million borrowings in NZ dollars representing 99% of NZ portfolio value Restated 22-Aug-07 30-Jun-07 30-Jun-06 Borrowings ($000) 146,693 134,393 142,766 Gearing (%) 47.4 45.2 48.6 * Restated 30 June 2006 numbers reflect the impact of the change in accounting treatment of water rights to intangible assets held at cost. Refer Appendices for further information. 11

Portfolio update

Portfolio snapshot* Australia New Zealand^ Total Number of assets 25 4 29 Portfolio value ($m) 224.2 75.3 299.5 % total portfolio value (%) 75 25 100 Total area (ha) 5,466 744 6,210 Area planted (ha) 3,565 627 4,192 Occupancy (%) 100 100 100 WALE (yrs) 6.1 4.9 5.9 Average rental yield (%) 10.8 8.2 10.1 Over/(under) renting (%) # 15.5 (19.0) 6.6 * Includes Miamba Vineyards acquired 20 August 2007 ^ New Zealand portfolio value at 30 June 3007 based on spot rate of 1.1014 # Over/(under) renting calculations are based on management s assumptions regarding achievable market rentals 13

Portfolio diversification Geographic diversification (by value)* Tenant diversification (by value)* NZ 25% SA 30% Foster's Group 1.1% Delegat's Group 25.1% McGuigan Simeon Wines 34.3% VIC 17% WA 3% NSW 25% Green Valley Propertie s 5.2% Other 8.9% Pernod Ricard Pacific 14.5% Evans & Tate 5.2% Grant Burge Wines 5.7% * Includes Miamba Vineyards acquired 20 August 2007 14

Portfolio strategy Target vineyards that provide sustainable operating base through the generation of high gross margins per hectare Diversification overlay: ongoing preference for diversification by region, tenant and grape variety Portfolio comprises balance between: Warm climate vineyards 40-60% portfolio weighting (currently 40%) Cool climate vineyards (Aust/New Zealand) 40-60% portfolio weighting (currently 60%) 15

Warm climate vineyard portfolio Warm climate vineyards 40% of CWT portfolio Large scale commercial vineyards which provide grapes for low cost wine producers Major tenants include McGuigan Simeon Wines, Green Valley Properties Typically high production yields and lower relative grape prices Yields: 15-35 tonnes/hectare Grape prices: $350-750/tonne Located in Murray Darling Basin NSW Riverina, Gundagai VIC Sunraysia SA Riverland 16

Cool climate vineyard portfolio Cool climate vineyards 60% of CWT portfolio Global varietal presence and strong brand support Major tenants include Delegat s Group (Oyster Bay brand), Pernod Ricard Pacific (Jacob s Creek Reserve and Lawsons brands), Grant Burge Wines (Miamba and Filsell brands) Typically low production yields and higher relative grape prices Yields: 4-12 tonnes/hectare Grape prices: >$750/tonne Located in premium wine growing regions of Australia and New Zealand NZ Hawkes Bay and Marlborough WA Margaret River NSW Hunter Valley SA Adelaide Hills, Padthaway 17

Active management of lease expiry profile 100% portfolio occupancy 6.9% of portfolio income expiring in FY08 & FY09 Falls to 3.3% after excluding assets identified for sale 25 22.3 22.1 Vineyard Expiry date portfolio income % Strategy 20 Corryton Park Feb-08 1.1% Currently in negotiations with Grant Burge Wines 15 15.1 13.9 Hermitage Road Winery Jun-08 1.8% Offered for sale 10 5 0 3.6 3.3 5.9 4.2 1.1 8.2 0 0 0.3 Bethany & Creek Vine Vale Vineyards Cowra Vineyard Sandy Hollow Vineyard Oct-08 Apr-09 Apr-09 0.7% 1.5% 1.8% Awaiting confirmation of McGuigan Simeon Wines ongoing requirement Awaiting confirmation of McGuigan Simeon Wines ongoing requirement Offered for sale FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 18

Exposure to Evans and Tate Limited On 21 August 2007 Evans and Tate Limited announced appointment of Administrator and Receiver and Manager Evans and Tate Limited is a tenant at CWT s Cocoparra, Woods and Gnangara Vineyards FY07 rent $1.7 million, equivalent to 5.8% of CWT s net property income Rent has been paid up to 31 July 2007 in accordance with existing lease terms CWT is awaiting contact from the Administrator and Receiver and Manager in relation to their intentions regarding leases with CWT 19

Acquisition of Miamba vineyards Acquisition details Purchase price: $11.5 million (plus costs) Initial yield: 9.8% Acquisition date: 20 August 2007 Property details Total area: Area planted: Tenant: Lease term: Rent reviews: 205 ha 118 ha Grant Burge Wines 8 years + 3 x 4yr options (tenant has option to repurchase at market value on expiry of each term) Annual CPI, maximum cap 1.5% pa Reset to market in year six (with ratchet) 20

Planned assets sales in FY08 Assets identified for sale Sale of three assets that no longer meet CWT and McGuigan Simeon Wines long-term requirements Trillian s Hill Vineyard to be repurchased by tenant Asset Grande Junction Vineyard Hermitage Road Winery Sandy Hollow Vineyard Trillian s Hill Vineyard Book value 30-Jun-07 $0.9 million $3.9 million $2.8 million $1.1 million Reason for sale Following cancellation of development McGuigan Simeon Wines to repurchase land in Sep 2007 Deemed non-strategic long-term asset Deemed non-strategic long-term asset To be repurchased by tenant in Dec 2007 21

Australian vineyard industry conditions

Australian production impacted by weather conditions 2006 grape harvest was 1.87 million tonnes* 2007 grape harvest estimated to be 1.35 million tonnes* Impacted by frost and drought Wine companies using inventory to meet demand 2008 harvest forecast to be 1.5 million tonnes* Continued impact of 2007 frosts on vine development Reduced water availability along Murray River Grape supply and demand balance is forecast by 2008/2009* * Source: The Australian Winegrape Outlook 2007-2011 23

Favourable market conditions Lower production levels reducing surplus stocks Growing export demand Stock surplus/deficit over ideal stock levels Overseas demand and export availability Note: Ideal stocks are based on a 1.83 stocks-to-sales ratio for red wine (financial years end stocks held against forward sales) and a 1.33 stocks-to-sales ratio for white wine. Surplus stock is judged to be the actual or estimated stock minus the ideal. Based on 2007 harvest of 1.35 million tonnes and a hypothetical 20% lower yield per hectare in 2008 compared to the average between 2004 and 2008. Source: Australian Wine and Brandy Corporation 24

CWT portfolio exposure to reduced water availability in Murray Darling Basin Murrumbidgee River (NSW) 17% of CWT portfolio Current announced high security water allocation 30% Current forecast 92% probability for 95% allocation by Dec 2007 Murray River (VIC, SA) 23% of CWT portfolio Currently water allocations 13% in SA, 0% in VIC awaiting further announcement (expected Sep) Pruning has commenced on some vineyards to reduce crop size and associated water requirements No likely impact on FY08 forecast income or long-term asset values 25

Outlook

Outlook High quality portfolio Income stream backed by 100% occupancy and long term leases to established industry participants Significant diversification by region, tenant, water source and grape variety Transaction activity focussed on: Enhancing returns Improving portfolio diversification Key issue in FY08 is irrigation water availability along Murray River Will reduce industry production for 2008 No likely impact on FY08 forecast income or long-term asset values 27

Questions

Contacts Nick Gill Fund Manager Tel: 02 9994 7291 Email: ngill@challenger.com.au Susie McPherson Investor Relations Tel: 02 9994 7958 Email: smcpherson@challenger.com.au 29

Appendices

Restatement of 2006 balance sheet Reclassification of integral infrastructure as investment properties rather than vines Recognition of water rights as intangible assets at cost rather than embedded in the value of vines Write down of $2.3 million due to recognising water rights at cost rather than fair value Investment properties Vines Intangible assets Total 30-Jun-06 $000 38,194 244,377-282,571 Restated 30-Jun-06 $000 160,674 103,727 15,827 280,228 31

Rental yield analysis Proportion of portfolio (%) Average rental yield (%) Over/(under) renting* (%) Warm climate Australia 40 10.7 10.7 Cool climate Australia 35 10.9 19.8 Cool climate New Zealand 25 8.2 (19.0) Cool climate total 60 9.7 4.3 Warm climate total 40 10.7 10.7 Australia total 75 10.8 15.5 New Zealand total 25 8.2 (19.0) CWT portfolio total 100 10.1 6.6 * Over/(under) renting calculations are based on management s assumptions regarding achievable market rentals 32