Expert Session Eurowings



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Transcription:

Expert Session Eurowings Management Presentation 10.06.2016 London

Disclaimer in respect of forward-looking statements Information published in this presentation concerning the future development of the Lufthansa Group and its subsidiaries consists purely of forecasts and assessments and not of definitive facts. These forward-looking statements are based on all discernible information, facts and expectations available at the time. They can, therefore, only claim validity up to the date of their publication. Since forward-looking statements are by their nature subject to uncertainties and imponderable risk factors such as changes in underlying economic conditions and rest on assumptions that may not occur, or may occur differently, it is possible that the Group s actual results and development may differ materially from the forecasts. Lufthansa makes a point of checking and updating the information it publishes. However, the Company is under no obligation to update forwardlooking statements or adapt them to subsequent events or developments. Accordingly, it neither explicitly nor implicitly accepts liability, nor gives any guarantee for the actuality, accuracy or completeness of this data and information.

3 Anwendungsbeispiele PowerPoint

Agenda 1 Market environment and positioning of Eurowings 2 Commercial strategy 3 Organizational setup and financials 4 Growth opportunities through innovative Eurowings cooperation model 5 Summary and next steps 4 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

Eurowings builds on the success of Germanwings Development of Eurowings in three phases 1 New Germanwings 2 Eurowings Group 3 opportunities Growth Transfer of non-hub traffic from Lufthansa to New Germanwings from 2013 (30 aircraft) New fare concept BASIC, SMART, BEST Financial turn-around / break-even in 2015 CR9 conversion to homogenous A320 fleet Greenfield LCC operating platform EW Europe First base outside Germany in VIE Start of long-haul operations EW Group bundling activities for all AOCs Eurowings as lead brand Organic growth: re-fleeting, additional aircraft and Lufthansa Group internal consolidation External growth option: various alternatives (strategic partnerships and M&A) Innovative cooperation model to foster profitable growth and benefit from consolidation in Europe 5 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

The business model has proven successful Financial turnaround achieved in 2015 EBIT development RASK / CASK development in m EUR in eurocents break-even RASK CASK 2012 2013 2014 2015 2015 vs. 2013 10.8 10.6 CASK -7% > +13pts. EBIT-margin 9.9 9.9 10.0 9.5 RASK -4% excludes other operating income (wetlease revenues, FX gains, etc.) ASK Share: Germanwings / Eurowings Lufthansa Direct Services Lufthansa Direct Services > -200 m EUR Germanwings / Eurowings 2013 2014 2015 Successful turnaround despite increased LCC competition CASK improvement overcompensates RASK decline Constantly increasing load factor since 2013 6 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

Eurowings holds #1 or #2 positions in all relevant German catchments Strong competitive position in Germany Cologne Hamburg 39% 7% 17% 44% = 21 = 90 = ~5.9m HAM 23% 62% 18% 15% = 14 = 55 = ~3.1m 33% 50% 6% 17% Stuttgart = 14 = 59 = ~4.4m DUS DTM CGN HAJ BER 57% 11% 10% 32% Berlin = 8 = 30 = ~1.5m Düsseldorf Hanover 25% 46% 7% 29% = 30 = 77 = ~6.7m STR 12% 59% 20% 29% = 1 = 18 = ~0.7m Germany (non-hub airports) Eurowings operates from the heart of Europe = 89* = 135 = ~22.5m* Other 48% EW 20% 11% LH 21% AB Decentral structure of German market; several large catchments Premium position in high-yield markets with high purchasing power Shorter average sector length due to central geographic location in Europe Market shares based on offered outbound seats to Europe 2015; number of short- and long-haul fleet per base and number of destinations as of Jun 2016; *incl. Dortmund 7 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

Eurowings leverages legacy advantages at lower cost Positioning of Eurowings within Lufthansa Group and LCC market Eurowings within LH Group Eurowings Positioning within the LCC Segment Eurowings leverages LH Group advantages LH status & corporate customer base Frequent flyer program Joint procurement Fleet management Codesharing Lounge access while maintaining autonomy P2P focus Ultra Low Cost Single class, maximized seat density Aggressive seat pricing, with strong focus on ancillaries Focus on leisure travelers Mainly secondary and tertiary airports Traditional Low Cost Point-to-point High frequency Leisure travelers and price sensitive business travelers Mainly primary und secondary airports Modern Low Cost Point-to-point and network Leisure travelers and price sensitive business travelers Premium cabin, compromised seat density Frequently primary airports Unbundled fares Revenue management Independent labour agreements Non-legacy cost base Separate IT system (Navitaire) Cost Position Revenue & Product 8 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

Eurowings is able to retain LH Group customers and increase demand FFP data and travel profile of a frequent traveler Eurowings hybrid role Retain loyal Lufthansa Group customer base Raise purchase frequency Increase demand and tap into new target groups Frequent flyer program Passengers with FFP-Membership No FFP 76% 24% FFP Average revenue per segment 100 96 Non FFP Boomerang Club 112 M&M Member 131 162 93% M&M 229 FTL SEN HON 7% Boomerang Club 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Example: flight travel pattern of a Miles&More Gold Status passenger from Hamburg Number of trips per year Lufthansa Eurowings Other Airlines 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 FFP = Frequent Flyer Program; M&M = Miles&More; BC = Boomerang Club; FTL = Frequent Traveler (Silver Status); SEN = Senator (Gold Status); HON = Hon Circle Member (Platinum Status) 9 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

Eurowings is one of the three pillars of the Lufthansa Group Stand-alone business within the leading Aviation Group First choice in aviation Premium network carrier system Eurowings Group Aviation Services #1 in Europe #1 in home markets* #1 worldwide À-la-carte-concept Point-to-point traffic Pan-European and more * Germany, Austria, Switzerland and Belgium 10 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

1 Market environment and positioning of Eurowings 2 Commercial strategy 3 Organizational setup and financials 4 Growth opportunities through innovative Eurowings cooperation model 5 Summary and next steps 11 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

Eurowings serves more than 130 destinations High frequency domestic and European trunks plus attractive leisure routes Non-hub network 2011 Eurowings network 2016 LH+4U destinations ~110 LH+4U seats offered ~24m EW destinations ~135 EW seats offered ~26m Primary European leisure destinations served by Germanwings Primary domestic and European trunks served by Lufthansa 4U and LH networks not aligned High frequency on domestic and European trunks (LON, PAR, MIL, BCN) Touristic routes within central Europe (partly seasonal service) Leisure long-haul routes with a mix of city and beach destinations 12 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

Eurowings strategy designed to fully exploit strong home market Domestic route network and KPI benchmark Domestic network 2016 Daily cycles, flight time and RASK 2015 Easyjet Eurowings Vueling Wizz Air Comparable data for A320FAM aircraft 9.5 5.6 5.9 5.0 5.7 7.2 6.5 4.2 1.6 1.3 1.5 1.9 Daily cycles Avg. flight duration [flight hours] RASK [eurocents / ASK] High frequency domestic service (e.g. up to 10x daily CGN TXL) On average ~1,000 domestic flights per week Domestic services account for ~30% of total capacity More daily cycles than competition and shorter average sector length Structurally higher unit revenue than competitors plus additional premium Potential to increase productivity with broader European P2P network Source: Airbus; Annual Airline Reports 2015 13 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

Network continuously enhanced to optimize schedule and mix Growth focus on leisure routes Edinburgh United Kingdom EDI NQT Our new European routes Faro Portugal LPA FAO VLC ALC IBZ MAH Gran Canaria Spain BIA CAG PSA PUY FCO Brindisi Italy BDS KVA VAR BJV RHO AYT SZF Rhodos Greece Varna Bulgaria Antalya Turkey 14 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

Long-haul network serves leisure and selected city destinations Continuously growing long-haul network new Miami United States new Boston United States Bangkok Thailand MIA HAV BOS Phuket Thailand Havanna Cuba VRA CUN POP PUJ new Punta Cana Dominican Republic DXB HKT BKK Puerto Plata Dominican Republic Port Louis Mauritius new MRU Full charter destinations: Montego Bay, La Romana, Bridgetown, Salalah 15 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

Eurowings serves price as well as value oriented customers Appealing to business and leisure passenger Eurowings customer segments Price-sensitive leisure travelers seeking lowest fares possible Value-conscious business travelers and corporate customers Upmarket leisure travelers, willing to trade up for comfort LH Groups most loyal customers traveling on non-hub routes Reason for travelling ~75% Leisure/private ~25% Business Clusters within B2C segment [Customer share] 12% 28% 43% 12% 5% Minimalistic Trip duration < 10 days No frills / ancillaries One-time Trip duration < 7 days Ancillaries during flight booking Recurring Ø bookings per year > 2 Additional ancillary services Long-term Trip duration >10 days Booking early in advance Frequent Ø bookings per year >10 Additional ancillary services 16 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

A la carte product caters individual customer preferences Three pre-packaged products complemented by ancillary options Customer share* 55% 40% 5% *average in Q1 2016; incl. travel agencies 17 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

Product follows customer demand: up to 32 seat pitch on short-haul Biggest section of more legroom seats among competitors BEST seats (free middle seat) More legroom (rows 1-12) 32 [81cm] Ancillary Revenue per pax: ~11 EUR Standard Economy 29 [74cm] Max 180 seats Max 150 seats 18 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

Eurowings offers a state-of-the-art value product on long-haul High density configuration for competitive low-cost operation 30 [76 cm] 34 [86 cm] 45 [114 cm] 111 seats 104 seats 46 seats 28 seats 21 seats 310 seats SLF >90% Ancillary Revenue per pax: ~19 EUR 3 class high density configuration for competitive low-cost operations with leisure customer focus State-of-the-art cabin interior with wireless internet connectivity and HD Entertainment on every seat 19 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

Comprehensive, cost efficient distribution remains key success factor Sales channel mix Direct Sales Indirect Sales ticketless Ticketed EW.com Mobile Call Center Airport Sales Corporate portal Direct Connect Tour Operator Groups GDS light GDS Sales channel Revenue share * 39% 38%** 23% Channel 20 EUR / 20 EUR / - - - fee booking booking - - - 7.5 EUR / segment 15 EUR / segment Volume 81% low cost distribution 19% Variety of sales channels cover the needs of all customers Customer pays additional transaction costs * Actual Fare+ Fees, w/o VAT, ** incl. Miscellaneous 20 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

New ancillary services to be offered in the course of the year Developing new revenue streams Protect your price: Check your preferred flight with family & friends before booking the prize is safe! Eurowings Holidays: Online integration of packaged holidays with tour operator Tropo New Smart bundle differentiation: Re-allocated & optimized bundle products differentiated between markets Private seat: Need some private space? Book a free seat next to you Bid for BEST: Submit a bid for an upgrade from SMART to the premium BEST fare Best price guarantee on eurowings.com: Strengthening of direct sales 21 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

Internet connectivity on board of the entire Eurowings fleet Continuous product improvements Inflight entertainment on your own smartphone, tablet or laptop via WiFi on board of the entire short-haul fleet Selection of movies, music and games for all travelers On board internet connectivity (starting winter 2016/17) 22 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

Eurowings is successfully building a modern, innovative brand Quality image and a leading presence in social media #1 LCC on Facebook in Germany 9.1k 7.5 mio. people reached 1.6k 100k visits 450k people reached Most committed fans 1 141k people reached Most interactive airline 2 Eurowings clear #1 in Facebook likes compared to competitors. 3 1 In terms of engagement rate ((Likes + comments + shares) / total Likes) 2 Shortest response time among German competitors (AB, X3, DE) 3 Local Likes in Germany among LCC competitors (EW, FR, AB & EZY) 23 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

Brand recognition increased significantly supported by TV-spots Market research about brand recognition in Germany and Austria Brand recognition 1 & willingness to book 2 Advertisement recognition 1 Feb-15 Feb-16 Brand recognition Willingness to book Advertisement recognition 87% FR: 85% 82% 31% 81% 74% 68% 72% 26% 64% 44% 6% 2% Germany Austria Germany Austria Germany Austria Brand recognition of Eurowings brand has increased significantly in Germany and Austria Effect on willingness to book a flight in line with brand perception Conversion rate increased (7% 13%) Advertisement recognition boosted degree of brand awareness TV advertisement plays most important role (GER: 66%; AUT: 56%) Tom Selleck and cheap prices mentioned most frequently Source: Online survey via INNOFACT 1 supported recognition 2 booking of a short-haul flight 24 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

Eurowings stands for quality and value for money Eurowings brand values CARING Friendly Interested Concerned Warm-hearted CLEVER Surprising Charmingly humorous Inspiring Intelligent CONFIDENT Professional Attractive Charismatic Relevant CASUAL Open Uncomplicated Approachable Cool 25 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

1 Market environment and positioning of Eurowings 2 Commercial strategy 3 Organizational setup and financials 4 Growth opportunities through innovative Eurowings cooperation model 5 Summary and next steps 26 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

Lean organisational set-up provides for efficient overhead structure Bundling of commercial and administrative functions for multiple AOCs Eurowings Aviation GmbH Administration & commercial departments Bundled management structures Coordination of Eurowings Group AOCs Headquarters in Cologne 1 AOC 1 2 AOC 2 3 AOC 3 4 AOC 4 AOC Eurowings Germany Eurowings Europe Germanwings Sun Express Germany tbd. EW branding EW branding 4U branding EW branding tbd. EW flight no. EW flight no. 4U flight no. EW flight no. tbd. CR9 / A320 fleet A320 fleet A319/320 fleet A330-200 fleet Short-haul Short-haul Short-haul Long-haul TBD AOC: Air Operator Certificate 27 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

Current results are still burdened but positive underlying performance Adj. EBIT Q1 2016 and trading assumptions 2016 Adj. EBIT development Q1 16 Trading assumptions FY 16 in m EUR Q1 2016 KPI FY16 assumptions Explanation Revenue 377 No. of Flights (Landings) c. +5% Short-haul growth of c. 4% and new long-haul operations Adj. EBIT -86 thereof one-off costs (project and irregularity costs on long-haul) c. 20 Capacity (ASK) +25-30% Short-haul growth of c. 8% and new long-haul operations Load Factor (SLF) slight increase Measures to reduce seasonality; successful long-haul operations First quarter was burdened by project costs and irregularities on long-haul operations Positive contribution of longhaul operations excl. irregs already in first quarter Pricing (Yield ex currency) Unit Revenue (RASK ex currency) Unit Costs (CASK ex fuel ex currency) c. -10% clearly negative clearly negative Structural decline from increased long-haul operations; increasing competition in home markets Refleeting CR9 to A320; long-haul growth; platform-shift 28 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

Eurowings with clear path to lower unit costs Main drivers are up-gauging, crew costs and long-haul capacity increase CASK development* CASK* in eurocents / ASK Overhead & Misc. Product ACMI 8.0 0.6 0.6 2.8 7.2-28% Competitive cost base, in particular on shorter average sector length 5.8 Change 2015 vs. 2020-40% -25% -30% Fees & Charges 4.0-25% 2015 Plan 2016 Plan 2020 * According to current planning; CASK excl. fuel/ets, currency and project costs; ACMI = Aircraft, Crew, Maintenance and Insurance 29 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

Action on manageable cost items to strengthen competitiveness Cost optimization focus and main levers New organizational set-up Fleet streamlining Bundling of planning and administrative functions and realization of scale effects by offering these services to several operating platforms Focused standardization of all business processes Upgauging of CR9 to Airbus A320 fleet Cost efficient operation of homogeneous A320 family fleet Competitive tariff structures Provider Management Cockpit costs per block hour -20% -23% Agreement on new catering contract Negotiation with airports and handling provider to further reduce costs LH 4U EW 30 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

Fleet growth and transfer of assets to most competitive platforms Development of fleet allocation until 2020* Eurowings long-haul Eurowings A320fam Eurowings CR900 Germanwings A320fam 2015 Plan 2016 Plan 2020 * According to current planning 31 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

More potential for profit improvement identified Cyclical business and productivity level offer opportunities for improvement Revenue and Adj. EBIT 2015 Seat load factor in m EUR Seat load factor in % Revenue Adjusted EBIT 1,909 90 85 80 75 70 65 2013 2014 2015 2016 Margin -16% 6% 14% -5% 2% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 338 516 31 599 82 456 38 Average block hours / aircraft / day 7.2 Average daily block hours 8.3 9.5 Levers for further improvement Network and flight plan optimization -22 Finalization of pilot training Q1-53 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY 4U A320 EW DE A320 EW EU A320 Competitive labour agreements Start-up Eurowings Europe Positive EBIT performance in 2015, however still burdened by seasonality Challenge of seasonality and productivity to be tackled with different levers, e.g. changes in network and labour agreements 32 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

EBIT improvement driven by CASK reduction and lower project costs Project costs and EBIT development Development of Adj. EBIT and project cost* in m EUR Project Costs Adj. EBIT 23 39 Further reduction of project costs in following years 2015 2016 2017 CASK reduction and lower project cost will lead to structural earnings improvement * According to current planning 33 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

1 Market environment and positioning of Eurowings 2 Commercial strategy 3 Organizational setup and financials 4 Growth opportunities through innovative Eurowings cooperation model 5 Summary and next steps 34 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

Consolidation in Europe will happen Eurowings well prepared to actively benefit from consolidation USA Europe Market Share (ASK) AS WN CO Others 22% UA US 8% 18% 12% 17% NW AA DL >120 Airlines USA 20 years ago Others AA/US 11% 24% DL 20% 21% 24% WN UA ~50 Airlines Top European LCCs primarily focusing on organic growth Government shareholders only gradually selling shares Bilateral traffic rights (outside EU) at risk in case of cross national M&A in Europe Insolvency law makes M&A less attractive than in the US (Chapter 11) 20 years ago more than 120 airlines operated in the US Today around 50 airlines operate in the US Four major airlines control the market Eurowings cooperation model enhances ability to actively shape European consolidation WingsConnect enables alignment and cost efficiency without requiring majority shareholding 35 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

Various options for external growth A broad set of growth options are being pursued Growth options Partnership criteria Top pointto-point airline 1 Cost efficiency/ LCC DNA Growth from within Lufthansa Group Consolidation within LH Group Focus on point-to-point CASK Labour productivity Aircraft utilization Market positioning Attractive catchments (size and spend) Market leader in relevant segment Pan-European footprint # 1 in home markets* 2 Partnerships and M&A Leading, costefficient point-topoint airlines in Europe Small to medium size airlines in competitive market environments Customers Yield and ancillary revenue potential Value/ quality LCC product Accretive demand, different customer segments Reliability Operational stability Safety Quality as bedrock Feasibility Availability (legal, organizational) Investment/ price Ease of implementation Cultural fit (e.g. brand, growth ambition) * Home markets = Germany, Austria, Switzerland, Belgium 36 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

Standards Cash flow The Eurowings cooperation model Attractive partnering options are offered at different levels of integration Wet lease and WingsConnect partnerships Airline Management Company (AMC) (Eurowings Aviation) 3 WingsConnect Eurowings Shareholder 3 Steering and services Equity involvement in AMC Shapes industry Wet lease Subcontractor Fixed ACMI(O) rate per flight hour Quick ramp-up Test phase & intro into model 1 1 Strategic goals Brand & business model Bundling of resources Execution of growth ambitions Operations and product quality Local air traffic rights Flight ops & local services Eurowings airline partners 2 P&L based on service fee revenue WingsConnect AOC Partner Centralization of services in AMC Incentivized to drive cost efficiency AOC keeps revenue minus fees to AMC 2 37 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

Eurowings offers a consistent customer experience Eurowings provides a one-shop travel offer Plan & book Day of travel On board One website Marketing Communication Website eurwoings.com Booking process One service experience Check-In & bag check Information Services Flight status One product In-flight product Seat & services Crew: Eurowings uniform and training standards One consistent customer experience 38 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

A triple win for customers, airline partners and Eurowings itself Overview of benefits Eurowings Strengthening of Eurowings Enhanced, panbrand European network Extension of commercial Consistent know-servichow and product Eurowings brand Standardization of product concept IT standardization Provider of admin services Utilization of LH group scale Network effects expansion Synergies via scale Efficiency gains Increasing return on capital Impact on market adjustments Customer Airline partner Partner Airline Securing market shares against competition Network profitability Pan-European brand Synergy effects Return on investment Ensuring future sustainability 39 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

1 Market environment and positioning of Eurowings 2 Commercial strategy 3 Organizational setup and financials 4 Growth opportunities through innovative Eurowings cooperation model 5 Summary and next steps 40 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

Eurowings is on track to become a top European point-to-point airline Overview of major milestones 1 New Germanwings 2 Eurowings Group 3 opportunities Growth Align Point-to-Point network and transfer nonhub traffic from Lufthansa Offer a product that meets individual customer preferences on price and comfort Turn heavily loss making non hub traffic into a profitable business unit Set-up of lean organization with bundled management Ensure homogenous short- and long-haul fleet Strengthen Eurowings quality LCC brand and customer relationship Continuous control cost Launch new product choices and tap into new revenue streams Pursue organic growth and Lufthansa Group internal consolidation Use external consolidation opportunities with innovative cooperation model Build one of the top Point-to-Point airlines in Europe 41 Expert Session Eurowings I 10.06.2016

Lufthansa Investor Relations Contact Deutsche Lufthansa AG Investor Relations / FRA IR Lufthansa Aviation Center Airportring D-60546 Frankfurt Andreas Hagenbring, Head of IR Phone: +49 (0) 69 696 28000 Fax: +49 (0) 69 696 90990 E-mail: investor.relations@dlh.de Visit our webpage: lufthansa-group.com/investor-relations