Interim results for the 26 weeks ended 29 June 2010. 26 August 2010



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Transcription:

Interim results for the 26 weeks ended 29 June 2010 26 August 2010 1

Agenda Overview Ralph Topping, Chief Executive Financial highlights Neil Cooper, Group Finance Director Progress and current trends Ralph Topping, Chief Executive Q&A 2

Successful first half Strong Sportsbook spearheads 43% operating profit growth at William Hill Online Machines and the World Cup lead the way for Retail Telephone operating structure now resolved Balance sheet restructuring completed Organisational evolution continues 3

A clear strategic focus No.1 UK Retail player International presence, top 3 in selected key markets Sportsbook-led with a full gaming proposition Extending our service to new platforms and devices Market-leading customer service, best-in breed mgt team 4

How we see our business: external drivers Fiscal and regulatory changes remain key driver Technological changes transforming consumer patterns Competitive dynamics Macro-economic environment 5

Two complementary but distinct divisions Market-leading customer service Sportsbook-led international expansion No.1 UK Retail player Product development Estate development Channel extension Increase share of wallet International presence Profit management Organisational improvement 6

The evolution of the organisation continues Strengthened main Board Key operational appointments Gareth Davis, Chairman Starts 1 September 2010 Led a highly successful FTSE 100 company, championed international expansion Kristof Fahy, Director of Brand and Marketing Appointed January 2010 External expertise from Yahoo!, Orange and Blackberry Neil Cooper, Group Finance Director Appointed May 2010 Strong City experience, extensive leisure / retail background Terry Pattinson, Trading Director Appointed May 2010 Extensive experience in Asian/ Australian betting markets 7

Agenda Overview Ralph Topping, Chief Executive Financial highlights Neil Cooper, Group Finance Director Progress and current trends Ralph Topping, Chief Executive Q&A 8

A strong performance in uncertain times 26 weeks to 29 Jun 10 30 Jun 09 % Turnover 8,642.4 7,744.7 +12% Net revenue 529.9 515.5 +3% EBITA 135.6 134.6 +1% Amortisation (1.8) (2.8) -36% Net finance costs (28.1) (28.7) -2% Tax (25.9) (26.4) -2% Non-controlling interest (12.9) (9.1) +42% Retained profit 66.9 67.6-1% Basic, adjusted EPS (p) 9.8 11.9-18% Exceptional items (post-tax) (2.4) (8.9) -73% Net debt for covenant purposes 530.4 636.7-17% Notes: 1. Numbers are presented on a pre-exceptional basis 2. EPS is based on 697.8 million shares for 2010 and 586.6 million shares for 2009 Interim dividend of 2.5p per share 9

Exceptional items Item m Cash items Telephone restructure (2.7) Machines VAT refund 5.6 Sub-total 2.9 Non-cash items Ineffective hedging fair-value adjustment (4.1) Telephone restructure (1.5) Sub-total (5.6) Pre-tax exceptional items (2.7) Tax 0.3 Post-tax (2.4) 10

Machine strength benefits Retail 26 weeks to 29 Jun 2010 30 Jun 2009 % m m OTC turnover 1,312.3 1,337.4-2% Machines turnover 6,067.2 5,584.7 +9% Total Retail turnover 7,379.5 6,922.1 +7% OTC gross win 227.7 243.9-7% OTC gross win margin 17.4% 18.2% -0.8 ppts Machines gross win 190.9 171.9 +11% Total gross win 418.6 415.8 +1% Net revenue 389.8 393.2-1% Cost of sales (64.4) (65.8) -2% Gross profit 325.4 327.4-1% Operating costs (222.8) (215.9) +3% Operating profit 102.6 111.5-8% Note: numbers are presented on a pre-exceptional basis 11

Key Retail trading measures OTC gross win margin Although in the normal 17-18% range at 17.4%, OTC Retail gross win margin fell by 0.8 percentage points year-on-year Over-lapping strong football results in Q1 2009 Positive impact of World Cup more than outweighed by negative impact of Grand National and Ascot Underlying horseracing margin impacted through decline in average number of runners per race, overrounds. Machines performance 26 weeks to 29 Jun 10 30 Jun 09 % Gross win per machine per week Average number of LBOs 2,344 2,316 +1% Average number of machines 8,779 8,706 +1% Machines amounts wagered ( m) 6,067.2 5,584.7 +9% Gross win per machine per week 836 759 +10% Machine gross win margin 3.15% 3.08% +0.7 ppts 12

A strong World Cup benefited June across the Group 19.3m of gross win at 25% margin in H1 Top five earning matches show the benefit of draws and surprises Conversely, favourites winning easily cost us as bottom five earning matches show In five games, in-play outweighed pre-match in Online Estimated two-thirds of slippage was incremental Best and worst matches 19.3m gross win by channel in H1 1. England-Algeria (group) 64. Argentina-Mexico (last 16) 2. Netherlands-Spain (final) 63. Brazil-Chile (last 16) 3. Germany-Spain (semi-final) 62. Netherlands-Slovakia (last 16) 4. England-USA (group) 61. Germany-Uruguay (3 rd place) 5. Argentina-Germany (qtr final) 60. Uruguay-South Africa (group) Note: full analysis of tournament in appendices 13

How material are major events? Major events five-year GW% Impact of Cheltenham, Ascot and Aintree on OTC GW% 14

Rigorous control of Retail costs 26 weeks to 29 Jun 2010 30 Jun 2009 % m m Split of direct operating costs Staff costs (94.4) (94.6) 0% Property costs (45.3) (44.8) +1% Content costs (25.2) (23.9) +5% Depreciation (8.5) (9.1) -7% Other costs incl. recharges (49.4) (43.5) +14% Operating costs (222.8) (215.9) +3% 15

Telephone results and key metrics 26 weeks to 29 Jun 2010 30 Jun 2009 % m m Turnover ( m) 269.1 217.1 +24% Net revenue 12.5 18.6-33% Net revenue margin 4.6% 8.6% -4.0 ppts Cost of sales (3.2) (4.3) -26% Gross profit 9.3 14.3-35% Staff costs (3.1) (3.5) -11% Marketing costs (2.0) (2.1) -5% Other costs incl. recharges (6.5) (7.5) -13% Operating costs (11.6) (13.1) -11% Operating (loss)/profit (2.3) 1.2 Active players (1) 90,300 103,000-12% Notes: Numbers are presented on a pre-exceptional basis (1) Players who placed a bet during the period 16

Sportsbook leads the way in Online growth 26 weeks to 29 Jun 10 30 Jun 09 % m m Sportsbook 37.7 21.3 +77% Casino 65.9 61.1 +8% Poker 10.6 11.1-5% Bingo and skill 10.0 6.6 +52% Net revenue 124.2 100.1 +24% Cost of sales (9.8) (14.1) -30% Gross profit 114.4 86.0 +33% Operating costs (69.5) (54.6) +27% Operating profit 44.9 31.4 +43% Numbers are presented on a pre-exceptional basis and excludes 1.8m (2009: 2.8m) of amortisation relating to relating to trade names, affiliate relationships and non competition agreements 17

William Hill Online key metrics 26 weeks to 29 Jun 10 30 Jun 09 % Unique active players (1) 957,907 800,859 +20% Revenue per unique active player 129.6 124.9 +4% New accounts (2) 493,405 356,412 +38% Average cost per acquisition ( ) (3) 63.8 60.2 +6% Sportsbook turnover ( m) 548.2 343.9 +59% Sportsbook gross win margin 7.7% 6.8% +0.9 %pts - Pre-match gross win margin 9.2% 8.3% +0.9 %pts - In-play gross win margin 4.8% 2.3% +2.5 %pts 1. Placed a bet within the period 2. Deposited and placed a bet within the period 3. Including affiliates 18

Expansion and marketing investment grow cost base 26 weeks to 29 Jun 2010 30 Jun 2009 % m m Split of direct operating costs Split of direct operating costs Staff costs 12.8 10.1 +27% Marketing 31.5 21.7 +45% Bank charges 4.5 3.3 +36% Depr. and amort.* 3.4 3.1 +10% Other costs incl. recharges 17.3 16.4 +5% Operating costs 69.5 54.6 +27% * Excludes 1.8m (2009: 2.8m) of amortisation relating to relating to trade names, affiliate relationships and non competition agreements 19

Interest 26 weeks to 29 Jun 2010 30 Jun 2009 Interest receivable 0.1 1.0 Bank loan interest (7.0) (18.6) Effective interest rate hedges (6.4) (8.9) Bond interest (10.7) - Amortisation of finance fees (3.0) (0.7) Net interest on pension scheme net liability (1.1) (1.5) Total net interest (28.1) (28.7) 20

Balance sheet restructuring completed Net debt reduced to 530.4m as a result of continued good cash flow Full-year capex guidance of 60-65m maintained Debt facilities now show spread of maturities 300m corporate bond due November 2016 538.5m bank facility maturing March 2012 Strong credit metrics: Net debt:ebitda of 1.9x vs maximum covenant of 3.5x EBITDA:net cash interest of 4.8x vs minimum covenant of 3.0x BB+/Ba1 stable outlook credit ratings from S&P/Moody s Headroom of c 310m from undrawn borrowing facility and unrestricted cash 21

Other finance matters Pension deficit increased 13.3m from year end to 56.5m: Assets fell by 5.2m driven by equities valuations Liabilities rose by 8.1m as the discount rate fell Flattening of forward interest rate yield curve generates loss on legacy hedging position: 4.1m exceptional interest cost on ineffective hedges 7.4m adverse hedge reserve movement on effective hedges Interim dividend of 2.5p per share payable on 7 December 2010 22

Agenda Overview Ralph Topping, Chief Executive Financial highlights Neil Cooper, Group Finance Director Progress and current trends Ralph Topping, Chief Executive Q&A 23

Strong turnover and profit growth delivered in Online Sportsbook broadening and deepening of markets Continuous improvement in gaming Increased marketing investment International development 24

Market-leading Sportsbook Strong in-play offering Gross win margin improvement Expanded football product Improved mobile service 16 additional languages launched Gross win margin improvement 25

High-quality gaming Launch of new branded games platform using OpenBet in April New Vegas strategy implemented New instant-play Casino launched with Playtech in May 52% increase in Bingo net revenue: new language sites, customer recruitment through TV advertising Improved performance in poker, particularly against peers 26

Increased marketing investment Increasing use of TV in competitive UK marketplace First-ever TV advertising campaign for Sportsbook TV advertising campaign with industry-leading 66 Free No Deposit Required bonus Bingo Thrill TV advertising throughout H1 27

International development Withdrawal from France Closed to France-based addresses in June 7% of Online net revenue in H1, 5m EBIT impact in 2010 vs expectations Regulatory framework not commercially viable for William Hill Online Plan to apply for a licence but not a commercial priorityrity 21 localised sites now offered through williamhill.com Strong growth in territories with localised Sportsbookss Awarded Italian licence Preparing for site launch ahead of licensing of online casino 28

Online: how do we continue to grow? Sportsbook-led international expansion Channel extension In-play Expansion of football Addition of further sports Horseracing for all UK races Text betting Increase share of wallet Organisational improvement Integrated mobile Casino Financial fixed odds betting More TV advertising 29

Online: how do we continue to grow? Sportsbook-led international expansion Channel extension Increase share of wallet Impact of regulation Focus on regulated markets with commercial opportunity Focus on small number of markets UK remains short-term priority Net revenues by regulatory risk Organisational improvement 30

Online: how do we continue to grow? Sportsbook-led international expansion Channel extension Increase share of wallet Organisational improvement Jim Mullen appointed as Chief Operating Officer, William Hill Online News International: digital strategy and product development, including brand extension businesses s under The Sun and The Times brands Arc Worldwide: digital communications and marketing services arm of Leo Burnett t advertising agency Recruiting an Executive Director of Customer Contact for CRM and Customer Service 31

Retail: tangible benefits from our strategy Market-leading Growing market share: customer service up to 70 new licences in Product development Estate development Profit management Market-leading machines offering Strong cost control expect ect 3% underlying growth plus impact of new licences Strong competitive position on for economic upturn 32

What s really happening in Retail? Overall transactions increasing, slippage trend solid, pence per slip Machines Continuous innovation Capitalise on latest technology and software Effective promotions Well-established field-based management Staff training, in-shop promotions SSTs being trialled Year-on-year slips (m) and PPS ( ) 200 164 164 10 150 9 100 8.15 8.02 8 7 50 6 0 5 H1 2009 H1 2010 Slips Pence per slip Four-year trend in slips (millions) 200 172 172 164 164 Cost base 31-month pay freeze ends October 2010 Pictures costs increasing 8-9m cost of VAT increase Rigorous focus on costs 150 100 50 0 H1 2007 H1 2008 H1 2009 H1 2010 33

Telephone Announcement reflects a response to competition from offshore operators and exchanges Changes take effect from Q4 2010 Existing Telephone betting business to close William Hill Online to establish Telephone business William Hill Online establishing Gibraltar customer service centre and outsourcing UK call centre to Vertex 7m implementation cost in 2010, including capex 4-7m annual cost saving from 2011 34

Trading leadership Revised approach under Terry Pattinson s leadership Core bookmaking skills remain important Market-leading in football pre-match and in-play markets Pricing domination of major events Racing Post Pricewise (Aug 09-May 10) Company Best price William Hill 2,159 Bet365 1,433 Coral 1,235 Ladbrokes 1,167 BetFred 1,038 Tote 929 Blue Square 876 Victor Chandler 761 Paddy Power 701 Boylesports 617 Stan James 567 35

Regulatory and industry leadership Led by David Steele and Andrew Lyman with support from Open Road political agency Leading industry positions Vice Chair of the Association of British Bookmakers (David Steele) Vice Chair of the Bookmakers Committee (Thomas Murphy) Executive Committee of Remote Gambling Association on (Steven Reid) Industry update Gambling Commission Prevalence Study ongoing, results expected Feb 2011 50 th Levy negotiations underway HBLB consultation on betting exchanges DCMS UK dual-licensing consultation closed 36

Current trading Group net revenue up 26% Retail turnover up 13% and net revenue up 20% Benefit of World Cup Continuing good gaming performance OTC margin in line with normal trading range vs weak comparator Online net revenue up 37% Sportsbook performance benefitting from World Cup, offsetting flat gaming with Casino decline from France withdrawal Board s expectations for 2010 remain unchanged 37

Outlook Overview Management actions delivering growth Highly competitive product offering in shops and online VAT increase in 2011 Retail Cautious on UK consumer in 2011 Strong machines performance Online Market-leading product developmentsents UK focus for near-term Focused international development over the long-term 38

Summary Strong position in William Hill Online, spearheaded by market-leading Sportsbook Highly competitive machines offering driving growth in Retail Telephone operating structure now resolved Strong, diversified Balance Sheet gives flexibilitylity Organisational evolution continues 39

APPENDICES 40

World Cup H1 2010 Total Retail OTC turnover 31.5m 48.6m Telephone turnover 10.6m 15.8m Online Sportsbook turnover 35.1m 51.0m Total turnover 77.2m 115.4m Retail OTC gross win 10.5m 18.1m Telephone gross win 2.6m 3.9m Online Sportsbook gross win 6.2m 10.2m Total gross win 19.3m 32.2m Retail OTC margin 33% 37% Telephone margin 25% 25% Online Sportsbook margin 18% 20% Total margin 25% 28% 41

Summary of performance by division Net revenue Operating profit 26 weeks to 29 Jun 2010 30 Jun 2009 Change 29 Jun 2010 30 Jun 2009 Change m m % m m % Retail 389.8 393.2-1% 102.6 111.5-8% Online 124.2 100.1 +24% 44.9 31.4 +43% Telephone 12.5 18.6-33% (2.3) 1.2-291% Other 3.4 3.6-6% - 0.2 JVs - (2.1) Associates 1.4 1.6-13% Corporate (11.0) (9.2) +20% EBITA 135.6 134.6 +1% Amortisation (1.8) (2.8) -35% Total 529.9 515.5 +3% 133.8 131.8 +2% 42

Net revenue summary 26 weeks to 29 Jun 2010 30 Jun 2009 % m m Retail OTC 227.7 243.9-7% Machines 162.1 149.3 +9% Retail total 389.8 393.2-1% Online Sportsbook 37.7 21.3 +77% Gaming casino 65.9 61.1 +8% Gaming poker 10.6 11.1-5% Gaming bingo, skill 10.0 6.6 +52% Gaming total 86.5 78.8 +10% Online total 124.2 100.1 +24% Telephone 12.5 18.6-33% Other 3.4 3.6-6% Total net revenue 529.9 515.5 +3% For net revenue, machines are shown net of VAT, Sportsbook and gaming are shown net of fair-value adjustments for free bets, promotions and bonuses 43

Group operating expenses by division 26 weeks ended 29 Jun 2010 30 Jun 2009 % m m Retail (222.8) (215.9) +3% Online (1) (69.4) (54.6) +27% Telephone (11.6) (13.1) -11% Other (3.0) (2.9) 0% Central (11.0) (9.2) +20% Group operating expenses (317.9) (295.7) +8% (1) Excluding amortisation relating to trade names, affiliate relationships and non-competition agreements 44

Group operating expenses by cost category 26 weeks ended 29 Jun 2010 30 Jun 2009 % m m Staff costs (138.4) (138.8) 0% Property costs (49.5) (49.8) -1% Depreciation (18.0) (18.5) -3% Pictures and data (25.4) (24.1) +5% Marketing (39.9) (28.3) +41% Finance charges (7.9) (6.8) +16% Communications (4.3) (3.8) +13% Other (34.5) (25.6) +35% Group operating expenses (317.9) (295.7) +8% 45

Cash flow 26 weeks to 29 Jun 10 30 Jun 09 m m EBITDA (1) 156.3 155.8 Working capital / other 28.3 (6.6) Capital expenditure (12.7) (20.3) Cash from operations 171.9 128.9 Cash taxes (24.4) (20.9) Net interest (32.4) (39.1) Non-controlling dividends (12.7) (10.7) Free cashflow 102.4 58.2 Acquisitions and JVs - (2.1) Exceptional items 5.6 - Dividends (35.5) - SAYE redemptions 0.2 0.1 Capital principal repaid (375.1) (395.0) Cash received on issue of shares - 355.8 Capital principal drawn down 359.0 - Debt facility issue costs - (12.4) Net cashflow 56.6 4.6 Net debt for covenant purposes 530.4 636.7 Net debt:ebitda (covenant basis) 1.9 2.1 46 (1) Before share remuneration charge of 2.7m

Interest rate hedging profile: future estimates* H2 2010 H1 2011 H2 2011 H1 2012 H2 2012 Cash outflow all hedges( m) 13.3 9.9 6.9 4.8 4.2 P&L effective hedges (pre-tax) 6.1 3.3 3.1 3.1 2.7 * Please note: all estimates are based on a specific interest rate forward curve assumption. Actual results will almost certainly vary from these projections. 47

Reconciliation of net debt to net debt for covenant purposes 29 Jun 2010 30 Jun 2009 m m 29 Dec 2009 m Bank loans 359.0 675.0 375.0 Corporate bonds 300.0-300.0 Finance leases 0.4 0.7 0.5 Cash (176.4) (81.1) (119.8) Net debt 483.0 594.6 555.7 Obligations under bank guarantees 0.7 5.8 6.2 Restricted cash client balances 42.6 31.8 35.0 Restricted cash non-controlling interest share of cash balances 4.1 4.5 5.7 Net debt for covenant purposes 530.4 636.7 602.6 48

Capital expenditure 26 weeks to 29 Jun 10 30 Jun 09 m m Retail development 5.2 7.5 William Hill Online 5.4 7.4 Investment in joint venture - 2.1 Other (including IT) 2.1 5.4 Total capital expenditure 12.7 22.4 2010 capex expected to be c. 60-65m, including refurbishments 49