SONAE JPM 2009 RETAIL CONFERENCE. June 2009



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Transcription:

SONAE JPM 2009 RETAIL CONFERENCE June 2009 1

INDEX Sonae Profile Business Portfolio Latest Corporate Developments 1Q09 Results 2

SONAE AT A GLANCE 2008 TURNOVER: 5.4 BILLION EUROS 2008 EBITDA: 617 MILLION EUROS 2008 INVESTED CAPITAL: 4.4 BILLION EUROS MARKET CAP: 1.5 BILLION EUROS (as of 28 may 2009) MARKET LEADER IN FOOD BASED AND VARIOUS SPECIALISED RETAIL FORMATS RETAIL REPRESENTING 62% OF SONAE GROSS ASSET VALUE 3

CORPORATE PROFILE A company with Board control of Sonae Sierra and Sonaecom SONAE 100% 100% 100% 50% 53% Food Based Specialised Real Estate Sonae Sierra Sonaecom Investment Manag. Hipers and supers Non-Food formats: sports, textiles and electronics. real estate assets Shopping centre developer, owner and manager Integrated telecom provider Businesses with M&A activity: Insurance, Travel and DIY 55% Sales 31% EBITDA 11% Inv. Capital 18% Sales 9% EBITDA 4% Inv. Capital 2% Sales 18% EBITDA 30% Inv. Capital 3% Sales 15% EBITDA 36% Inv. Capital 18% Sales 26% EBITDA 16% Inv. Capital 4% Sales 1% EBITDA 3% Inv. Capital 4

EMPLOYEES PROFILE Presence in 16 countries and employing around 37,000 people North America USA Mexico Asia China Malasya Europa Portugal Spain UK Germany Greece Italy Ireland Netherlands Romania Australia South America Brazil Africa Egypt 5

INDEX Sonae Profile Business Portfolio Latest Corporate Developments 1Q09 Results 6

FOOD BASED RETAIL FORMATS Modelo Continente: food retail leader in Portugal Hypermakets Continente Supermarkets Modelo Cofee-Shops Bom Bocado Beauty&Health Área Saúde 38 stores 278,000 m 2 (sales area) Average sales area >7,300m 2 116 stores 202,000 m 2 (sales area) Average sales area <2,000m 2 50 stores 3,000 m 2 (sales area) 88 stores 8,000 m 2 (sales area) Bookshop Book.it 4 stores 1,000 m 2 (sales area) 297 STORES 494,000 m 2 SALES AREA 2.9 B TURNOVER (2008) 187 M EBITDA (2008) 7

FOOD BASED RETAIL FORMATS Modelo Continente: format with key differentiating factors Modelo Continente UNIQUE POSITIONING: of price and variety LARGE ASSORTMENT: 70,000 SKU s (Continente); 40,000 (Modelo) PRIME LOCATIONS OF STORES: unique and difficult to replicate 1.7x 2.2x 2.4x 3.1x 3.4x STRONG BRANDS: with the highest levels of awareness LOYALTY CARD: strengthens the relationship with the customer HIGH PRODUCTIVITY LEVELS SIGNIFICANT PRIVATE LABEL WEIGTH: ~23% sales (FMCG) PERISHABLES: ~40% sales Market Leader 2nd Plyer 3rd Plyer 4th Plyer 5th Plyer 6th Plyer 8

FOOD BASED RETAIL FORMATS Non-food retail: Development of unique concepts Sports SportZone Home Apliances & Electronics Worten Apparel Modalfa Kids Apparel Zippy 67 stores 53,000 m 2 (sales area) 170 M turnover (2008) 125 stores 102,000 m 2 (sales area) 563 M turnover (2008) 87 stores 41,000 m 2 (sales area) 102 M turnover (2008) 29 stores 11,000 m 2 (sales area) 28 M turnover (2008) Others Loop: Casual Footwear Worten Mobile: Mobile telecom equipments Vobis: Computer appliances 7 FORMATS 393 STORES; 17 IN SPAIN 252,000 m 2 SALES AREA 928 M TURNOVER (2008) 52 M EBITDA (2008) 9

RETAIL REAL ESTATE Expected to be an important source of capital RATIONALE MANAGE ASSETS MORE PROACTIVELY BUILD RETAIL REAL ESTATE COMPETENCIES PARTIAL RELEASE OF INVESTED CAPITAL 2008 INVESTED CAPITAL: 1.4 BILLION EUROS (book value) SALES AREA OWNED: 582,000 m 2 72% OF TOTAL RETAIL SALES AREA (food & non-food) 87% OF TOTAL FOOD SALES AREA 2008 TURNOVER: 109 MILLION EUROS (Rents) 10

SHOPPING CENTRES Leading shopping centre specialist with an integrated approach Development Investment Management Brazil Responsible for development of shopping centres; Role of overseeing the procurement and design process. Owns Sonae Sierra s assets - shopping centres; 51% control of Sierra investment property fund (Sept 2003); 42% control of Sierra Portugal fund (August 2008); Responsible for day to day management of shopping centres (property management); Operational management of Sierra s assets and others owned by third parties. Similar business structure in Brazil; Fully dedicated local management team and partnership with DDR (Developers Diversified Realty). Asset management services. INTEGRATED APPROACH: MANAGEMENT AS COMPLEMENT TO DEVELOP AND HOLD JOINT-VENTURE: SONAE (50%) & GROSVENOR (50%) PIPELINE: 14 PROJECTS UNDER DEVELOPMENT Loop 5.Germany (2009) Leiria Shopping, Portugal (2010) 11

SHOPPING CENTRES International business owning 51 shopping centres Portugal (20) Spain (12) Germany (2) Romania (1) Greece (2) Italy (4) Brazil (10) 12

TELECOMMUNICATIONS Leading integrated alternative Telco Mobile Wireline Media SSI Mobile communications in Portugal: traditional voice; data; range of mobile solutions; wholesale services; Innovative convergent fixed-mobile products (Home; Kanguru). Triple play services (Voice, Internet & IPTV) to residential, SME and corporate client bases; Voice, data capacity and connectivity services to telco operators worldwide. Reference newspaper in Portugal; #3 in paid circulation; #3 in advertising. Information system and Technology products provider; Wedo: world leader in Revenue Assurance software integration market IT/IS Consultancy. PORTUGUESE TELECOM MARKET: #3 WITH 13% MARKET SHARE MOBILE: #3 WITH 20% MARKET SHARE (~3 MILLION CUSTOMERS) BROADBAND: #3 WITH 13% MARKET SHARE VOICE: #3 WITH 19% MARKET SHARE 13

INDEX Sonae Profile Business Portfolio Latest Corporate Developments 1Q09 Results 14

STRATEGY UPDATE Corporate strategic guidelines were disclosed GO INTERNATIONAL Top strategic objective; Target growth geographies and mature markets; Use concepts believed to be distinctive and with a clear edge over competitors. DIVERSIFY INVESTMENT STYLE Adopt the most appropriate investment style on each business; Accept non-controlling stakes (minority stakes) when Sonae would benefit from the contribution of partners to create value. LEVERAGE EXCEPTIONAL ASSET BASE IN PORTUGAL Continue to explore new business oportunities that leverage Sonae s exceptional asset base in Portugal; New ventures should have potential to become a large business in the medium term and with a clear path to internationalization. 15

STRATEGY UPDATE Corporate strategic guidelines were disclosed REORGANIZE RETAIL INTO 3 SEPARATE BUSINESSES 2 core businesses: Food based retail and Specialised retail; 1 related business: real estate; New structure took into account different internationalization expansion opportunities of each core unit. INTEGRATE RETAIL&HOLDING CORPORATE CENTRES Release resources necessary for new corporate developments without increasing headcount; More focus on retail and retail related businesses. INCORPORATE A NEW INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT AREA Create a support unit within the newly integrated corporate centre; Unit with M&A expertise and focused on the retail sector. 16

INDEX Sonae Profile Business Portfolio Latest Corporate Developments 1Q09 Results 17

TURNOVER GROWTH %LY Resilient performance through all segments; +5% +16% +13% -5% +1% -11% +5% In milion EUROS 688 225 30 38 241 43 30 1,264-30 Food growing steadily and in line with expectations; significant 1%LfL, in view of negative calendar effect and trading down phenomenon; Specialized with double digit growth figures positively impacted by the aggressive organic growth; despite negative 9% LfL, reflecting lower consumption of discretionary categories and the exceptionally high 7% LfL in 1Q08; Turnover of Shopping Centres influenced by the dilution of the Sierra Portugal Fund (42% vs 100%); Food Based Specialized Real Estate Shopping Centres (50%) Telecom s Investment Management Petrol Stations E&A* YTD Telecoms turnover up 1%, with sustained growth in mobile subscribers, a clear sign of the success of the strong investment effort made in the last 12 months (brand and network). 18

EBITDA GROWTH in million EUROS 22 Food Based 0 Specialized 27 Real Estate %LY +95% - -20% -7% +33% - +11% 22 Shopping Centres (50%) EBITDA MARGIN 45 3 118 Telecom s -1 Investment Management E&A* YTD +3.1% -0.2% +89.9% +58.5% +18.8% -3.0% +9.3% EBITDA reached double digit growth figures, notwithstanding last year s real estate extraordinary gain and the unfavorable calendar effect; If excluding capital gain with the sale of a Brazilian site in 1Q08, EBITDA increased by ~22%; Food improved profitability vs LY (+1,4p.p); Specialized retail conditioned by the investment for growth efforts in Spain (including conversion of the acquired consumer electronics stores portfolio to the Worten concept and branding); Shopping Centres penalized by the dilution of SPF and higher provisions for rents; Telecom s considerably improving EBITDA through a significant lowering of costs (namely M&S). 19

EBIT GROWTH %LY +205% -352% -27% -7% +287% - - -9% in million EUROS 6 22 40-2 -3 Sonae s EBIT margin impacted by the investment for growth efforts namely regarding Specialized and Telecoms; EBIT decreased by 9% compared to LY mainly due to a considerable increase in depreciations and amortizations, reflecting: 5-8 20 Sonae s ambitious investment plan during 2008, which involved the expansion of the retail store network; and extension of the mobile and wireline network in Telecommunications; Food Based Specialized Real Estate Shopping Centers (50%) EBITDA MARGIN Telecom s Investment Management E&A* YTD +1% -3% +69% +58% -6% +3%... both driving up depreciation and amortization charges but not yet fully contributing to Sonae s operational profitability. 20

DIRECT NET INCOME in million EUROS 8 Higher amortizations & depreciations in And Telecom s businesses Due to the investment effort Carried out during the last 12 months (-900M ) Sonae s share of direct net income decreased to 1 million euros; If we exclude last year s non recorrent gain, net income was higher than that posted in 1Q08. 1 1Q08 Change in EBITDA Depr.& prov.& imp. Net financial Activity Share in results Investment income Taxes Minorities 1Q09 21

SHOPPING CENTRES INDIRECT INCOME LAST YEAR (M ) 0-2 1-2 in million EUROS In 1Q09, Sonae Sierra began reflecting the impact of quarterly independent valuations of its entire portfolio of assets under management, previously only carried out every six months; Shopping Centres indirect income continued to penalize Sonae s net results by a negative 36M ; 13 18-36 Investment properties decreased in value as a result of the additional increase in yields across Europe (exception of Greece and Germany) with an impact on Sierra accounts of 131M (65M at Sonae level); -67 VCIDP Taxes Minorities YTD The trend of value created on investment properties was the main responsible for the reduction of total net income (group share) to negative 36M. 22

CAPITAL EMPLOYED % OF TOTAL 36% 59% 2% 14% -11% 100% in million EUROS 697 2,978 121 5,084-554 1,843 Sonae invested capital increased in 1Q09 vs. YE08, explained mainly by the seasonal and one off increase in working capital of the businesses; Investment properties in the quarter were affected by the general yield increase in Europe and resulting decrease in the value of the European shopping centres in the portfolio; Compared to 1Q08, invested capital increase was mainly explained by a combination of the following: Investment Properties Technical Investment Financial Investment Goodwill Working Capital Invested Capital Reduction in investment properties due to yields increase and the sale of 58% of the Sierra Portugal Fund (now registered as financial investment); YE (M ) -45 +20 +11-1 +377 +363 Net technical Investment considerably above last year due to the investment for growth efforts in the and Telecom businesses. 23

CAPITAL EXPENDITURE % OF TOTAL 27% 18% 15% 14% 18% 6% 3% 100% in million EUROS 34 Food Based 23 Specialized 20 Real Estate 18 Shopping Centres (50%) % OF TURNOVER 23 Telecom s 129 5% 10% 66% 48% 10% 100% 8 4 Investment Management E&A* YTD Sonae continued to invest steadily across its businesses, in spite of the increase in minimum internal hurdle rates of all projects; Food based CAPEX was allocated mainly to store refurbishment and to the continued development of the logistics infrastructure; Specialised CAPEX was mainly directed towards the expansion plan in progress, the conversion of the acquired consumer electronics stores in Spain to the Worten concept, and preparation work for future openings; Shopping Centres CAPEX reflected progress in the development of the disclosed projects in the pipeline (namely Manauara, Loop5 and Leiria); Telecommunications CAPEX comprised mainly investment in the Mobile division. 24

SOURCES OF FINANCING EQUITY NET DEBT 1,443 3,561 in million EUROS 5,0841,047 396 3,642 81 3,561 145 392 3,313 Sonae sources of financing at end 1Q09 reflect the following breakdown: Equity: 28% Financing debt: 70% Other: 2% (namely associated with dividends to be paid by Sonae) Investment Capital Equity Minorities Total net debt Net Financial shareholder net debt loans Liquidity Short term Long term gross debt gross debt 100% 28% 2% 70% 25

NET DEBT PER SEGMENT % OF TOTAL 43% 25% 13% 0% 19% 100% in million EUROS Sonae s net debt has evolved in line with expectations in all businesses, maintaining levels considered clearly adequate for each activity; 902 446 7 671 3,561 Overall, Sonae s debt facilities have long average maturities with no major debt repayments in the short term and no financial covenants, with the exception of shopping centres; 1,534 (format & Real Estate) YE (M ) Shopping Centres (50%) Telecom s Investment Management Holding Total Net Debt +328 +26 +45 +1 +19 +422 formats & Real Estate net debt increased by 328 million euros, reflecting investment in organic growth, store refurbishment and the funding of the seasonal increase in working capital in the quarter; Sonae s debt weighted average maturity stood at approximately 5.5 years; Sonae s liquidity risk was maintained at a low level, with the sum of cash and unused credit facilities standing at 695 million euros. 26

LEVERAGE RATIOS Sonae Sierra and Holding Loan to Value 42.6% 41.9% 42.8% 46.7% 48.6% 21.7% 23.2% and Telecom Net Debt / EBITDA (last 12 months) 22.5% 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 4.3x 2.1x 4.5x 4.1x 2.3x 2.4x 3.5x 2.5x 4.4x 2.6x Sierra Holding SC formats & Real Estate Net Debt to EBITDA (last 12 months) was slightly higher when compared to 1Q08 at 4.4x, with the increased net debt being partially off-set by the higher EBITDA level in the preceding 12 month period; Shopping Centres maintained a loan to value ratio below the industry average at a conservative 49%; loans at Sierra are non-recourse project finance; Telecommunications reached an acceptable level of leverage of 2.6x, excluding the proceeds from the securitization transaction; Holding loan measured against Sonae s gross asset value based on market multiples reached 22.5%, a level considered comfortable. 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 27

DIVIDENDS MAINTENANCE OF LAST YEAR S DIVIDEND POLICY DIVIDEND PER SHARE: 3 CENTS DIVIDEND YIELD: 6.9% CONSIDERING 2008.12.31 SHARE PRICE 28

INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO VALUATION ANALYSTS CONSENSUS TARGET PRICE 80% ABOVE SHARE PRICE MARKET MULTIPLES BASED VALUATION 127% ABOVE SHARE PRICE 90% OF AVAILABLE RESEARCH ANALYSTS WITH A BUY RECOMMENDATION ON THE STOCK 29

INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO VALUATION Share Price vs Consensus Share Price vs Market Multiples Euros 0.92 1.16 0.51 +80% 0.51 +127% Share Price Consensus Share Price Market Multiples 30

31 SONAE JPM 2009 RETAIL CONFERENCE