Presentation on Results for the 1st Quarter FY 2014. Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. August 5, 2014

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Transcription:

Presentation on Results for the 1st Quarter FY 2014 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. August 5, 2014

Table of Contents 1. FY 2014 1 st Quarter Financials (1) Overview (2) Segment Information (3) Streamlining (4) Topics 2. Reference Materials Copyright 2014 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 1

Crude Oil Price Trends <Monthly Dubai Crude Oil Price Trends and Assumptions for Performance Forecasts> (US$/Bbl.) FY 2014 1Q Average: US$106.1/Bbl. Assumption Announced on 5/2: US$105/Bbl. FY 2013 Actual FY 2013 1Q Average: US$100.8/Bbl. 5/2 Assumption FY 2014 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Copyright 2014 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 2

JPY/USD Exchange Rate (TTS) Trends <Monthly JPY/USD Exchange Rate Trends and Assumptions for Performance Forecasts> (JPY/USD) FY 2014 1Q Average: JPY103.2/USD Assumption Announced on 5/2: JPY 105/USD FY 2013 1Q Average: JPY 99.8/USD FY 2013 Actual 5/2 Assumption FY 2014 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Copyright 2014 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 3

Overview <1 st Quarter FY 2014 Financials> Operating income increased by 8.4 billion year-on-year, to 22.0 billion, as the increase in petroleum product margins and improved profits in the resources segment more than offset the decrease in petrochemical product margins and the decrease in the impact of inventory valuation The impact of inventory valuation decreased by 13.8 billion to - 2.6 billion Net income decreased by 13.4 billion year-on-year, to 9.2 billion, mainly due to insurance payments received during the previous fiscal year <Forecasts for FY 2014 Performance> No change from figures announced on May 2. Copyright 2014 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 4

1. FY 2014 1 st Quarter Financials

(1) Overview 1) Crude Oil / Exchange Rates Crude Oil (DB FOB) Crude Oil (Brent) Naphtha Price (Customs) Exchange Rate (TTS) 2) Consolidated Income Statement (Summary) (Units: $/Bbl., $/Ton, /$) 100.8 106.1 5.3 5.3% 112.6 108.2 (4.4) (3.9%) 931 955 24 2.6% 99.8 103.2 3.4 3.4% * Brent prices are averages based on the calendar year (January-March). Net Sales Operating Income (Inventory impact) (Excluding inventory impact) Non-operating Income/Loss Ordinary Income Extraordinary Gain/Loss Net Income FY2013 1Q FY2014 1Q Change FY2013 1Q FY2014 1Q Change (Units: billion, %) 1,106.2 1,186.3 80.2 7.2% 13.6 22.0 8.4 61.5% 11.2 (2.6) (13.8) - 2.4 24.6 22.2 924.2% 2.5 1.7 (0.8) (31.3%) 16.1 23.7 7.6 47.2% 20.6 (2.7) (23.3) - 22.6 9.2 (13.4) (59.4%) * Gross average method of inventory valuation * Inventory impact represents the impact of inventory valuation and the reduction in book value of inventory assets * Figures rounded to the nearest billion yen Copyright 2014 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 5

(2) Segment Information 1) Operating Income FY2013 1Q FY2014 1Q Change (Units: billions) Petroleum Products (Excluding inventory impact) Petrochemical Products (Excluding inventory impact) Resources Oil Exploration and Production Coal, etc. Other Adjustments Total (Excluding inventory impact) 4.1 7.1 3.0 73.2% (6.5) 10.3 16.8-9.9 6.5 (3.5) (35.2%) 9.3 5.8 (3.5) (37.3%) 1.5 9.4 7.8 506.1% 4.0 9.1 5.1 127.4% (2.4) 0.3 2.7 - (0.2) 0.4 0.6 - (1.8) (1.3) 0.4-13.6 22.0 8.4 61.5% 2.4 24.6 22.2 924.2% * Fiscal years for Oil Exploration and Production included in the Resources Business and the Australian coal operations end in December Copyright 2014 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 6

(2) Segment Information 2) Factors Causing Changes in Operating Income (YoY) (Units: billions) Petroleum Products 3.0 Increase in product margins, etc.: 17.5 Refinery fuel costs, streamlining: (0.7) Inventory impact: (13.8) Petrochemical Products (3.5) Decrease in product margins, etc.: (3.2) Mfg. fuel costs, streamlining: (0.3) Oil Exploration and Production 5.1 Volume, price-related: 4.8 Exploration costs, foreign exchange: 0.3 Coal, etc./other 3.7 Volume, price-related: (0.6) Foreign exchange: 2.3 Cost-related: 1.0 Other, adjustments: 1.0 Copyright 2014 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 7

(3) Streamlining * Cost reduction targets and progress vs. FY 2012 Petroleum Products Enhanced efficiency in facilities management Energy conservation/rationalization at refineries Rationalization of sales and logistics divisions etc. Petrochemical Products Enhanced efficiency in facilities management etc. (Reference) FY2013 Actual FY2014 Target FY2014 1Q Actual (Units: billions) FY2014 Forecast 0.5 1.0 0.6 1.0 0.5 1.0 0.6 1.0 Resources Enhanced efficiency at Australian coal mines Streamlining of oil exploration and production operations etc. Costs at Indirect Divisions Streamlining of administrative divisions Total Copyright 2014 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 4.0 7.0 4.8 7.0 3.0 4.0 3.2 4.0 8.0 13.0 9.2 13.0 8

(4) Topics May Successful Exploration Well in the Norwegian North Sea (F-West Structure) Successful Delineation Well in the Norwegian North Sea (Titan Structure) Sold off adamantane derivatives business Jul Successful Exploration Well in the Norwegian Barents Sea (Hansen Structure) Share acquisition of Indonesian coal company (Pt Mitrabara Adiperdana Tbk) Aug LPG Exports from Ferndale Washington LPG Terminal Copyright 2014 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 9

2. Reference Materials

Table of Contents 1. Financial Reporting (1) Net Sales by Segment (2) Extraordinary Gains/Losses (3) Consolidated Balance Sheet 2. Sensitivity 3. Sales and Production 4. Foreign Exchange 5. Market Conditions 6. Capacity Utilization at Refineries 7. Number of Service Stations Copyright 2014 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 10

1. Financial Reporting (1) FY 2014 1Q Net Sales by Segment FY2013 1Q FY2014 1Q Change (Units: billions) Petroleum Products Petrochemical Products Resources Oil Exploration and Production Coal, etc. Other/Adjustments Total 918.2 941.7 23.4 2.6% 149.0 181.4 32.4 21.8% 30.1 50.5 20.4 67.9% 13.6 26.3 12.7 93.6% 16.5 24.2 7.7 46.7% 8.9 12.8 3.9 43.7% 1,106.2 1,186.3 80.2 7.2% Copyright 2014 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 11

1. Financial Reporting (2) Extraordinary Gains/Losses Gain on Sale of Fixed Assets 0.1 0.1 (0.0) Insurance Payments Received 20.9 - (20.9) Gain on transfer of business - 0.8 0.8 Other 0.0 0.1 0.1 Total Extraordinary Gains Loss on Sale and Depletion of Fixed Assets Impairment Loss on Fixed Assets Other Total Extraordinary Losses Total Extraordinary Gains/Losses FY2013 1Q FY2014 1Q (Units: billions) Change 21.0 1.0 20.0 0.3 2.4 2.1-1.2 1.2 0.1 0.1 (0.1) 0.4 3.7 3.3 20.6 (2.7) (23.3) Copyright 2014 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 12

1. Financial Reporting (3) Consolidated Balance Sheet Cash and Deposits Receivables Inventory Other Current Assets Total Current Assets Tangible Fixed Assets (Land) (Other) Other Fixed Assets Total Fixed Assets Total Assets (Units: billions) 3/31/2014 6/30/2014 Change 3/31/2014 6/30/2014 Change 161.5 121.3 (40.2) Payables 438.6 401.6 (37.0) 418.9 386.9 (32.0) Short-term Borrowings 494.5 443.0 (51.4) 717.4 704.7 (12.7) Other Current Liabilities 369.0 358.7 (10.2) 124.7 117.6 (7.1) Total Current Liabilities 1,302.0 1,203.4 (98.7) Long-term Borrowings Other Fixed Liabilities 584.5 588.0 3.5 364.7 377.0 12.3 1,422.5 1,330.4 (92.1) Total Fixed Liabilities 949.2 965.0 15.8 1,087.6 1,101.1 13.5 Total Liabilities 2,251.3 2,168.4 (82.9) 591.5 590.9 (0.6) Shareholders Equity 539.5 542.4 2.9 Other Comprehensive 496.1 510.2 14.1 Income 162.9 162.2 (0.7) 485.0 484.5 (0.5) Minority Interests 41.4 43.0 1.6 Total Net Assets 1,572.6 1,585.5 12.9 743.8 747.5 3.8 Total Liabilities and 2,995.1 2,915.9 (79.1) Net Assets 2,995.1 2,915.9 (79.1) Total Interest-bearing Debt Equity Ratio 1,081.9 1,033.9 (48.0) 23.5% 24.2% 0.7% Copyright 2014 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 13

2. Sensitivity (1) Impact of a US$1/bbl. Increase in Crude Oil Prices on FY Earnings Petroleum Increase in refinery fuel costs, etc. ( 0.4 billion) Products Inventory impact 3.4 billion 3.0 billion Oil Exploration & Production 0.7 billion (2) Impact of a 1 JPY/USD Appreciation on FY Earnings Petroleum Decrease in refinery fuel costs, etc. 0.4 billion Products Inventory impact ( 3.5 billion) ( 3.1 billion) Oil Exploration & Production - * In addition to the above, the resources and other businesses are impacted by fluctuations in exchange rates with other currencies (NOK, AUD, GBP, etc.) Copyright 2014 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 14

3.Sales and Production (1)-1.Sales Volume (Domestic Fuel Oil Sales Volume: Non-consolidated) (Units:Thousand KL,% ) FY 2013 1Q FY 2014 1Q Change Gasoline 2,032 1,977 (55) (2.7%) (Premium-Unleaded) 246 224 (23) (9.1%) (Regular-Unleaded) 1,786 1,753 (33) (1.8%) Naphtha 36 77 41 +113.7% Jet Fuel 392 420 28 +7.2% Kerosene 417 382 (35) (8.3%) Diesel Oil 1,386 1,548 162 +11.7% Heavy Fuel Oil A 608 684 76 +12.6% Heavy Fuel Oil C 744 571 (173) (23.3%) Toal Domestic Sales Volume 5,615 5,659 44 +0.8% Exported Volume 1,037 808 (229) (22.1%) (General Exports) 187 213 27 +14.3% Total Sales Volume 6,652 6,467 (185) (2.8%) Copyright 2014 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 15

3.Sales and Production (1)-2.Sales Volume (Petrochemical Products: Non-consolidated) (Units:Thousand tons, %) FY 2013 1Q FY 2014 1Q Change Petrochemical Products-Total 754 815 61 +8.1% (Basic Chemicals) 739 803 64 +8.7% (Performance Chemicals) 15 12 (3) (20.5%) (1)-3.Sales Volume (Lubricants) (Units:Thousand KL,% ) FY 2013 1Q FY 2014 1Q Change Lubricants 252 247 (5) (2.0%) *Includes sales of overseas licenses Copyright 2014 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 16

3.Sales and Production (1)-4.Oil Exploration & Production Production Volume (including Gas) (1)-5. Coal Production Volume (Units:Thousand BOED) FY 2013 1Q FY 2014 1Q Change Norway 24.3 27.4 3.1 12.8% United Kingdom 2.6 2.6 (0.1) (3.2%) Vietnam 0.5 0.3 (0.2) (33.7%) Total('000BOED) 27.4 30.3 2.9 10.4% Total('000BOE) 2,469 2,727 258 10.4% *Figures based on interest owned by Idemitsu's resource development subsidiaries (Units:Thousand tons) FY 2013 1Q FY 2014 1Q Change Ensham(85%) 733 980 247 33.6% Muswellbrook 366 301 (65) (17.8%) Boggabri 837 1,201 364 43.5% Tarawonga(30%) 171 112 (59) (34.4%) Total Production Volume 2,107 2,594 487 23.1% *Figures based on interst owned by Idemitsu Group *Fiscal years for Oil Exploration and Production and Australian coal operations end in December Copyright 2014 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 17

4.Foreign Exchange (1)USD Copyright 2014 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 18

4.Foreign Exchange (2)Norwegian Krone Copyright 2014 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 19

4.Foreign Exchange (3)Norwegian Krone Copyright 2014 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 20

4.Foreign Exchange (4)Australian Dollar Copyright 2014 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 21

4.Foreign Exchange (5)Australian Dollar Copyright 2014 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 22

5.Market Conditions (1)Crude Oil Prices (Dubai and Brent) Copyright 2014 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 23

5.Market Conditions (2)Gasoline, Crude Oil CIF (Prices and Spreads) Copyright 2014 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 24

5.Market Conditions (3)Diesel Oil Crude Oil CIF (Prices and Spreads) Copyright 2014 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 25

5.Market Conditions (4)Paraxylene, Naptha (Prices and Spreads) Copyright 2014 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 26

5.Market Conditions (5)Styrene Monomer, Naptha (Prices and Spreads) Copyright 2014 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 27

6.Capacity Utilization at Refineries Copyright 2014 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 28

7.Number of Service Stations Copyright 2014 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 29

Precaution statement about forecasts Any information about forecasts for the Company s operating results, management strategy and management policy contained in this documents other than historical facts is prepared, according to judgments made by the top management of the Company based on information available as of the publication of the document. Actual business environments contain potential risk factors and uncertainties including economic situations, crude oil prices, trends in petroleum products, market conditions, currency exchange rates and interest rates. Consequently, actual operating results of the Company may substantially differ from forecasts due to changes in the important factors mentioned above. Copyright 2014 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 30