European Strategy and Policy Analysis System (ESPAS) Pilot Study



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European Strategy and Policy Analysis System (ESPAS) Pilot Study Brazil and Latin America Conference Report 1 September 2011

1. ACTIVITY The ESPAS Regional Conference on Brazil and South America, titled The world in 2030: views from Brazil and Latin America, took place in São Paulo, on 1 September 2011. Organised in collaboration with the International Relations Institute of the University of São Paulo (IRI/USP), this conference gathered some of the most prominent Brazilian and Latin-American researchers, intellectuals and specialists. The conference programme was structured in three main panels: an opening panel, during which both the ESPAS project and the main findings of the Preliminary Report were presented, a first panel tackling issues of human security and development, and a second panel dealing with issues of megacities and their (present and future) governance. A final debate with the participants concluded this one-day conference. 2. THE CONFERENCE The world in 2030: views from Europe, Brazil and Latin America In this opening session chaired by Professor Maria Hermínia Tavares, director of the IRI/USP, Alvaro de Vasconcelos (director EUISS-ESPAS) presented the key goals of the ESPAS project, and some of the more relevant trends identified in the ESPAS Preliminary Findings Report, in particular the idea that future international system will be fundamentally multipolar in which regional (and middle-powers) like Brazil will have a much more prominent role. Discussions, led by Professors Felix Peña (UNTREF) and Renato Janine (USP), followed these same lines, addressing also the domestic and structural challenges to Brazil s potential development into a (real) middle power. Corruption, inequality and Brazil s lack of (effective) regional leadership were highlighted in particular among these challenges. Human development beyond GDP growth In this panel, several issues (directly or indirectly) related to human security and development were discussed. These included: climate change and resource scarcity, alternative approaches to development, social justice, inclusive growth, inequality and poverty reduction policies. Chaired by Professor Carlos Eduardo Lins da Silva (IEEI/UNESP), the panel initially focused on the deforestation and other environmental indicators in Brazil. One of the clearest results of the discussions was participants scepticism regarding Brazil s capacity to provide a real model on environmental protection and sustainable development in the following decades. Diffusion of Power: Cities and Cities Network in a multipolar world This second panel addressed issues of governance in major and so-called megacities. How urban environments manage social cohesion, urban violence and security was also addressed. Discussants focused mainly on São Paulo, Brazil s and Latin America s most prominent megacity, and in particular, the way the city has been developing different urbanisation plans in order to solve its key challenges (like Page 2

urban security, mobility, environmental impact of urban development). Among the other trends and topics discussed was the phenomenon of the internationalisation of cities in Brazil and Latin America. Cities in the region have indeed been searching for more and more partners at the international level to ensure cooperation in different areas and often with different purposes. These include and are not limited to: boosting tourism, increasing local trade, promoting local/regional development and improving local health systems. It was noted that this phenomenon has recently gained an institutional form with the creation of a Latin-American network of cities. Concluding debate After a brief wrap-up session, the concluding debate focused on, among other things, the inherent difficulties of any prospective exercise for Brazil and Latin-America given the level of uncertainty that still exists concerning different important variables of the country s (and the region s) economic growth, (human) development, etc. Page 3

The World in 2030: Views from Brazil and Latin America European Strategy and Analysis Pilot Study,ESPAS 2011 Programme 09:00 09:30 Coffee and Registration 09:30 11:00 Opening Session: The world in 2030: views from Europe, Brazil and Latin America 11:00-11:15 Coffee break Chair: Maria Hermínia Tavares, University of São Paulo (USP): Welcome and Opening remarks Introduction: Alvaro de Vasconcelos, Director EUISS-ESPAS: Presentation of ESPAS Preliminary Report (main findings) Commentators: Felix Peña, Fundación Standard Bank, Argentina Renato Janine, University of São Paulo (USP) 11:15 12:45 Panel 1 Human development beyond GDP growth, climate change and resource scarcity; alternative approaches to development; social justice; inclusive growth; inequality and poverty reduction policies. 12:45 14:00 Lunch Chair: Carlos Eduardo Lins da Silva, President, Institute for Economic and International Studies (IEEI/UNESP) Discussants: Eduardo Viola, Professor, Institute of International Relations, University of Brasília Marcelo Côrtes Neri, Chief-Economist, Center for Social Polices, Professor, EPGE Getulio Vargas Foundation, Fabio Feldman, Fabio Feldmann Consultores 14:00 15:30 Panel 2 Diffusion of power: cities and cities network in a multipolar world - governance, international relations, social cohesion, urban violence and security 15:30 15:45 Coffee Break Chair: Luis Peral, EUISS-ESPAS Researcher Discussants: Rodrigo Perpétuo, Secretário Municipal Adjunto, Secretaria Municipal Adjunta de Relações Internacionais, Secretaria Municipal de Desenvolvimento Leandro Piquet Carneiro, Institute of International Relations, University of São Paulo, (USP) Edson Aparecido, Secretary, Secretaria Estadual do Desenvolvimento Metropolitano Eduardo Marques, Center for Metropolitan Studies and University of São Paulo (USP) Page 4

15:45 16:30 Concluding Debate Chair : Alvaro de Vasconcelos, Director EUISS-ESPAS Discussants: Celso Lafer, President, Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP) Jacques Marcovich, University of São Paulo (USP) Page 5

ESPAS Conference The world in 2030: views from Brazil and Latin America Thursday 1 September 2011 Participants List 1. Edson Aparecido, Secretary, Secretaria Estadual do Desenvolvimento Metropolitano 2. Marcelo Gerald Colafemina, Psychologist, Grupo Rosa Vermelha 3. Marcelo Côrtes Neri, Chief-Economist, Center for Social Policies, Professor, EPGE Getulio Vargas Foundation (FGV) 4. Fabio Feldmann, Fabio Feldmann Consultores 5. Any Freitas, Research Assistant, EUISS-ESPAS 6. Stela Goldenstein, Special Advisor, Secretaria de Estado do Desenvolvimento Metropolitano 7. Giovanni Grevi, Researcher ESPAS 8. Renato Janine, University of São Paulo (USP) 9. Celso Lafer, President, Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP) 10. Carlos Eduardo Lins da Silva, President, Institute for Economic and International Studies (IEEI/UNESP) 11. Jacques Marcovich, University of São Paulo (USP) 12. Eduardo Marques, Center for Metropolitan Studies and University of São Paulo, Brazil 13. Helena Monteiro, Advisor for International Relations, Secretaria Estadual do Desenvolvimiento Metropolitano 14. Patricia Nakayama, Researcher, University of São Paulo (USP) 15. Rovena Negreiros, Planning Director, Empresa Paulista de Planejamento Metropolitano EMPLASA 16. Felix Peña, Fundación Standard Bank, Buenos Aires, Argentina 17. Luis Peral, Researcher EUISS/ESPAS 18. Antonio Carlos Pereira, Editor, SA Oestado de Sao Paulo 19. Rodrigo Perpétuo, Secretário Municipal Adjunto, Secretaria Municipal Adjunta de Relações Internacionais, Secretaria Municipal de Desenvolvimento Page 6

20. Alberto Pfeifer, Executive Director, The Business Council of Latin America. 21. Leandro Piquet Carneiro, Institute of International Relations, University of São Paulo (IRI/USP) 22. Giorgio Romanno, Professor, Universidade Federal do ABC (UFABC) 23. Ricardo Sennes, Coordenador / Sócio-diretor, Grupo de Análises Internacionais IRI University of São Paulo (USP) / Prospectiva Consultoria Internacional 24. Maria Herminia Tavares, Director, Institute of International Relations, University of São Paulo (IRI/USP) 25. Roberto Teixeira da Costa, Board Member, Sul America S/A 26. Vera Thorstensen, Professor, Getulio Vargas Foundation (FGV) 27. Alvaro de Vasconcelos, Director EUISS/ESPAS 28. Eduardo José Viola, Professor, Institute of International Relations, University of Brasília Page 7