IRMC2012. Global Standards for Risk Measurement, Management and Regulation. International Risk Management Conference 2012 TRE.



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Salomon Center NYU NewYork Università degli Studi di Firenze Fondo Interbancario di Tutela di Depositi ROMA TRE International Management Conference 2012 Fifth Edition Global Standards for Measurement, Management and Regulation IRMC2012 International Management Conference Rome, June 18 th -19 th, 2012 Pontificia Università Lateranense Piazza S. Giovanni in Laterano - Roma Brought to you by: The and Society

IRMC 2012 - organizing Committees host InStItutIon: FONDO INTERBANCARIO DI TUTELA DEI DEPOSITI/Interbank Deposit Protection Fund Via Del Plebiscito, 102 - Roma Website: www.fitd.it/en ConfeRenCe ManaGeMent The, and Society Tel +39 0554374720 Fax +39 0554374109 Email: info@irmc.eu www.theriskcociety.org Skype: THERISKSOCIETY Pre-event Conference management Finanza Firenze Research Centre Email: info@finanzafirenze.org www.finanzafirenze.org Permanent Conference Co-Chairmen: Edward Altman, NYU Salomon Center, Stern School of Business Oliviero Roggi, University of Florence, NYU Stern School of Business Conference Co-organizer: Corporate Governance Unit of the International Corporation (WBG) - Maxine Garvey European Commission, Joint Research Center - Francesca Campolongo host Institution: Italian deposit Insurance fund, Rome fitd Roberto Moretti, Secretary General Riccardo De Lisa, University of Cagliari & FITD Research local university Partners: University of Roma Tor Vergata Alessandro Carretta University of Rome Tre Franco Fiordelisi University of Roma La Sapienza Giovanni Palomba Conference Consultants: Giorgio Bertinetti, University of Venice Maurizio Dallocchio, Bocconi University Maurizio Fanni, University of Trieste Herbert Rijken, VU University Amsterdam academic Coordination: Oliviero Roggi, University of Florence & NYU Stern School of Business (oroggi@stern.nyu.edu) InteRnatIonal RISK ManaGeMent ConfeRenCe 2012 Global Standards for Measurement, Management and Regulation After the fourth successful edition in Amsterdam, the permanent organizers (University of Florence, NYU Stern Salomon Center) together with this year s Host Institution (Italian Deposit Insurance Fund) and in collaboration with the Joint Research Centre of the European Commission, the Corporate Governance Unit of the International Corporation (World Bank Group), University of Rome - La Sapienza and University of Rome - Tor Vergata and Roma Tre, would like to invite you to the Fifth edition of the International Management Conference in Rome, Italy. The conference will bring together leading experts from Academia and Professionals for a two-day conference consisting of three keynote plenary sessions, three parallel sessions and ½-day professional workshop on Financial Stability and Sovereign Crisis. The conference will be held in Rome next June 18 th -19 th. This year the focus area is on Global Standards for Measurement, Management and Regulation. Scientific Committee (tbc) Viral Acharya (New York University - Stern) Edward Altman (New York University Stern) Annarita Bacinello (University of Trieste) Giorgio Bertinetti (University of Venice) Marco Bigelli (University of Bologna) Menachem Brenner (New York University Stern) Lorenzo Caprio (University Cattolica) Ada Carlesi (University of Pisa) Alessandro Carretta (University of Rome - Tor Vergata) Maurizio Dallocchio (Bocconi University) Riccardo De Lisa (University of Cagliari) Maurizio Fanni (University of Trieste) Gabriele Fiorentini (University of Florence) Franco Fiordelisi (University of Rome Tre) Marcello Galeotti (University of Florence) Paolo Giudici (University of Pavia) Elisa Luciano (University of Turin) Giovanni Palomba (University of Rome La Sapienza) Paolo Paruolo (University of Insubria) Loriana Pelizzon (University of Venice) Herbert Rijken (VU of Amsterdam) Andrea Resti (Bocconi University) Oliviero Roggi (University of Florence) Francesco Saita (Bocconi University) Win Schoutens (Catholic University of Leuven) Anthony Saunders (New York University - Stern) Marti Subrahmanyam (New York University - Stern) William Ziemba (University of British Columbia)

MONDAY June 18 th 2012 Conference Schedule Details: Time Event Location TUESDAY June 19 th 2012 Conference Schedule Details: Time Event Location 08.00-09.00 Conference Registration 09.00-09.15 Welcome 09.15-10.45 Opening and plenary session (1) Edward Altman Predicting Default and Recovery Rates Zvi Bodie Integrated Wealth and Management: First Principles. Q&A 15 min 10.45-11.15 Coffee Break 11.15-13.00 Parallel session (A) 13.00-14.15 Lunch 14.15-16.15 Parallel session (B) 16.15-16.30 Coffee Break 16.30-18.30 Plenary session (2) Robert Engle The Dynamic Conditional Beta Model for Systematic Clas Wihlborg Implicit Guarantees, Governance and Bank -Taking through the Crisis 18.30-20.00 Free Time 20.00 Gala Dinner Associazione Nazionale Banche Popolari Piazza Venezia, 11 00187 Rome, Italy 08.45 PROFESSIONAL WORKSHOP P. Savona, FITD Chairman, Opening 10.20-10.35 Coffee Break 09:00 Edward Altman Current Conditions & Outlook for Global Sovereign and Corporate Credit Markets 09:40 Robert Engle How Does Systemic Look Today Moderator: O. Roggi, UNIFI & NYU 10.35-11.50 I Roundtable: Sovereign risk and financial stability 11.50-13.00 II Roundtable: Financial stability and regulation 13.00-14.00 Lunch 14.00-16.00 Plenary session (3) Marti Subrahmanyam Does the Tail Wag the Dog? The Effect of Credit Default Swaps on Credit Andrea Sironi The impact of government ownership on bank risk 16.00-16.15 Coffee Break 16.15-18.30 Parallel sessions (C) 18.30-18.45 Conclusion

PRofeSSIonal WoRKShoP Sovereign risk, financial stability and regulation Keynote Speaker: edward altman and Robert engle The Workshop will explore new and exciting measures for assessing systemic risk for major financial institutions on a global basis. Estimates can be made for the amount of capital that would be necessary for banking institutions to raise given a global liquidity and solvency crisis. We will also examine the current situation for sovereign and corporate credit markets yields and CDS spreads as well as default amounts and rates. A relatively new and revolutionary bottom-up approach for estimating sovereign default risk will be updated and expanded to include a more comprehensive analysis of financial institution and non-financial firms in the private sectors of relevant economies in Europe and the U.S.A. A new bank risk model will be discussed which can be used to both assess individual bank insolvency risk and also the entire banking sector for specific countries. 08:45 - P. Savona, fitd Chairman, opening Tuesday, June 19 th, 2012, 08:45-13:00 PRoGRaM WoRKShoP ConfeRenCe VenueS Pontifical lateran university 00120 Vatican City - Rome Hotel Saint John**** Best Western Hotel President**** Hotel Milton**** Hotel Domus Sessoriana*** 09:00 - Ed Altman, NYU Current Conditions & Outlook for Global Sovereign and Corporate Credit Markets 09:40 - R. Engle, NYU, How Does Systemic Look Today Moderator: O. Roggi, UNIFI & NYU 10:20-10:35 Coffee Break 10:35-11:50 I Roundtable: Sovereign risk and financial stability Opening speech: G. Bernardino, Chairman; EIOPA European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority Invited speakers: - Bank of Italy, TBA - D. Focarelli, Chief Economist, ANIA - Ass. Italiana Imprese Assicuratrici, ESRB - European Systemic Board - M. Esentato, Managing Director, Classis Capital - M. Pierdicchi, Managing Director, Standard and Poor, Italy - S. Schich, Principal Economist, OECD Moderator: F. Campolongo, Joint Research Centre, European Commission 11.50-13.00 II Roundtable: financial stability and regulation Opening speech: S. Micossi, General Director; Assonime - Associazione fra le Società italiane per Azioni Invited Speakers: - D. Alfonsi, Head of, Banca Intesa SanPaolo - F. Carns, Director of Officer of International Affairs, FIDC Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation - TBA, FBCC - Italian Co-operative Banks Deposit Protection Fund - M. Marchesi, Financial Stability Unit, European Commission - G. Niolu, KPMG Moderator: R. De Lisa, Unica & FITD accommodation hotel domus Sessoriana*** Piazza Santa Croce in Gerusalemme, 10 info@domussessoriana.it Tel. +39 06 706151 Best Western hotel President**** Via Emanuele Filiberto, 155 rhr@rhr.it, president.rm@bestwestern.it Tel. +39 06 770121 hotel Saint John**** Via Matteo Boiardo, 30 reservations.hotelsaintjohn@eurostarshotels.com Tel. +39 0697997045 hotel Milton**** Via Emanuele Filiberto, 155 info@miltonroma.com Tel. +39 06 452 3161

MaIn SPonSoR SuPPoRtInG SPonSoRS SPonSoRS Associazione fra le società italiane per azioni auspices ConfeRenCe ManaGeMent & ContaCt InfoRMatIon Fondo Interbancario di Tutela di Depositi host InStItutIon: FONDO INTERBANCARIO DI TUTELA DEI DEPOSITI INTERBANK DEPOSIT PROTECTION FUND Via Del Plebiscito, 102 - Roma Website: www.fitd.it/en ConfeRenCe ManaGeMent THE RISK, BANKING AND FINANCE SOCIETY Tel +39 0554374720 Fax +39 0554374109 Email: info@irmc.eu www.theriskcociety.org Skype: THERISKSOCIETY The and Society PRe-eVent ConfeRenCe ManaGeMent FINANZA FIRENZE RESEARCH CENTRE Email: info@finanzafirenze.org The and Society www.finanzafirenze.org