Long-Term Anticoagulant Therapy: Clinical Decision and Therapeutic Strategies. Kenneth A. Bauer, MD Harvard Medical School Boston, MA USA



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Long-Term Anticoagulant Therapy: Clinical Decision and Therapeutic Strategies Kenneth A. Bauer, MD Harvard Medical School Boston, MA USA

Risk Factors for VTE (Clinical) Transient/Provoked/Secondary Surgery Trauma (major trauma or lower-extremity injury) Acute medical illness Immobilization Estrogen-containing contraceptives or hormone replacement therapy Pregnancy/puerperium Prolonged air travel (operationally manage as idiopathic) Persistent Obesity Chronic Medical Illnesses Cancer and its therapy Inflammatory bowel disease Nephrotic syndrome Myeloproliferative neoplasms/pnh Paralysis 2 Idiopathic/Un provoked

Anticoagulant deficiencies Antithrombin 20-fold RR Protein S 10-fold Protein C 10-fold Prothrombin 3-fold Factor V Leiden 3-8 fold VTE Risk Factor Model Genes + + Prophylaxis Intrinsic Thrombosis Risk + Acquired Risk Factors Age Previous VTE Cancer Obesity Triggering Factors Estrogens Pregnancy Surgery Immobilization from Folsom A VTE Thrombosis Threshold

Risk of recurrent VTE after discontinung anticoagulation in a cohort of 1626 patients Prandoni P et al, Haematologica 2007 10% per year 3% per year Idiopathic Secondary

VTE rates after different durations of anticoagulation for unprovoked VTE Recurrence VTE per Year (%) 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 0 3 6 12 24 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Levine BTS DURAC 1 LAFIT Prandoni Pini Series1 WODIT 1 WODIT 2 DOTAVK Months of Anticoagulation

Cumulative recurrence (%) 3 Months vs 1 Year of Anticoagulation for Idiopathic DVT 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 Agnelli, NEJM 2001 3 months 0 6 12 18 24 30 36 Months 1 year

Duration of anticoagulant treatment Summary 3 months is equivalent to 6 months Extending anticoagulant treatment is highly effective (>90% relative risk reduction), but only as long as treatment is continued and is associated with more bleeds. Recurrence risk is highest during the two first years. Unprovoked DVT/PE is associated with a significantly higher risk of recurrence after discontinuation of anticoagulants.

Venous Thromboembolism in Cancer Common (~20% of all patients with VTE) Increased risk of recurrent VTE Can occur with an adequate INR ( warfarin failure ) Increased risk of bleeding during anticoagulant therapy Rx: Consider chronic low molecular weight heparin

CLOT in Cancer Trial Multicenter, randomized, open-label study Initial Rx 6 months Cancer patients with proximal DVT, PE or both R dalteparin dalteparin OAC dalteparin 200 IU/kg qd 150 IU/kg qd Lee A. New Eng J Med 2003

Recurrent VTE Probability of Recurrent VTE, % 25 20 15 10 5 0 risk reduction = 52% p-value = 0.0017 OAC dalteparin 0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 Days Post Randomization

Evaluation for occult malignancy in the patient presenting with unprovoked VTE Available data do not support an extensive search for occult malignancy; it is however important to pursue symptoms or signs which suggest an underlying malignancy and to ensure that ageappropriate screening tests have been performed.

Sites of Thrombosis ABNORMALITY ARTERIAL VENOUS Factor V Leiden - + Prothrombin 20210A - + AT Deficiency - + Protein C Deficiency - + Protein S Deficiency - + Lupus Anticoagulant + +

Lowering homocysteine levels with B-vitamins does not lower risk of recurrent thrombosis Arterial Thrombosis NORVIT Trial (N Eng J Med 2006) 3,479 patients with acute MI Trend toward increased risk with combined B vitamin treatment HOPE 2 Investigators (N Eng J Med 2006) 5,522 patients > age 55 with vascular disease or diabetes Venous Thrombosis HOPE 2 Investigators (Ann Int Med 2007) VITRO Study (Blood 2007) Patients ages 20-80 with unprovoked proximal DVT or PE Recurrences: 43/348 vitamins, 50/353 placebo No reason to measure homocysteine levels Never test for MTHFR polymorphisms (C677T, A1298C)

Antiphospholipid Antibody Syndrome (APS) Criteria Updated Sapporo Criteria for APS (2006): Clinical criteria: Venous or arterial thrombosis Recurrent fetal loss Laboratory criteria*: Anticardiolipin antibodies (IgG or IgM) (medium or high titer: >40 GPL/MPL or >99th percentile) β 2 -glycoprotein I antibodies (IgG or IgM) (>99th percentile) Lupus Anticoagulant *2 or more occasions, >12 wks apart. Miyakis S, et al. J Thromb Haemost. 2006;4:295-306. 14

Antiphospholipid Antibodies (APLA) LA APLA ACA I. Antibody test (ELISA) anti-cardiolipin (ACA) anti-β 2 -glycoprotein I II. Functional test lupus anticoagulant (LA) (inhibitor) ß2-GP I Miyakis S. J Thromb Haemost. 2006;4:295-306. 15

Antiphospholipid Antibody Syndrome (APLS) LA result from the presence of immunoglobulins which bind to phospholipids and plasma proteins (β2-glycoprotein 1, prothrombin) in vitro and prolong clotting times (critically dependent on the amount of phospholipid in assay). LA do not cause bleeding. 1st unprovoked thrombotic event in association with persistent LA high risk for recurrent thrombosis long-term anticoagulation indicated Two randomized trials have shown that an INR of 2-3 is adequate in patients with venous thrombosis and APLS.

Prevalence of Defects in Caucasian Patients with Venous Thrombosis Factor V Leiden 12-40% Prothrombin Gene Mutation 6-18% Deficiencies of AT, Protein C, Protein S 5-15% Antiphospholipid Antibody Syndrome ~5% Unknown 20-70% Several new variants have been found by candidate and genome-wide screens all common and weak (OR < 1.5) (Smith NL, JAMA 2007; Bezemer ID, JAMA 2008; Li Y, JTH 2009)

Hereditary Thrombophilia and Obstetric Complications Significantly increased risk for second and third trimester fetal loss (~3-fold ) No association with preeclampsia, IUGR? Role of LMWH to prevent recurrent fetal loss One positive trial in thrombophilic women Two recent negative trials in women with recurrent losses before 20 weeks (Kaandorp SP, N Eng J Med 2010; Clark P, Blood 2010)

The Hypercoagulable Workup Genetic test for Factor V Leiden mutation Genetic test for Prothrombin G20210A mutation Functional assay of Antithrombin Functional assay of Protein C Functional assay of Protein S Free Protein S Antigen Total Protein S Antigen Tests for Antiphospholipid Antibody Syndrome Lupus anticoagulant Cardiolipin/β2-glycoprotein I antibodies

Assay Measurements in Deficiencies of Antithrombin, Protein C, or Protein S TYPE ANTIGEN ACTIVITY I Low Low II Normal Low

Acquired Deficiencies in Antithrombin, Protein C, or Protein S ANTITHROMBIN PROTEIN C PROTEIN S Pregnancy Pregnancy Liver Disease Liver Disease Liver Disease DIC DIC DIC Nephrotic syndrome Major surgery Inflammation Acute thrombosis Acute thrombosis Acute thrombosis Treatment with: Heparin Warfarin Warfarin Estrogens Estrogens Caveats: 1. Don t draw these tests when patients present with VTE or are receiving anticoagulants. 2. Abnormal results drawn at presentation with VTE must be confirmed. Draw protein C and S after discontinuing warfarin for a minimum of 1 week.

Risk of Recurrent Venous Thrombosis in Patients with Inherited Thrombophilia Heterozygosity for Factor V Leiden (FVL) or Prothrombin G20210A do not substantially increase recurrence risk. Retrospective data indicate that risk is not even higher in homozygotes with FVL and heterozygotes with both FVL and PT G20210A (Lijfering WM, Circulation 2010). Antithrombin, Protein C, Protein S Deficiency High in selected kindreds with strong clinical penetrance (retrospective studies) Less data in unselected patients

What do the ACCP guidelines say about the presence of hereditary thrombophilia with respect to the duration of anticoagulation? Chest 2008; 133: 454S-545S The presence of hereditary thrombophilia has not been used as a major factor to guide duration of anticoagulation for VTE in these guidelines because evidence from prospective studies suggests that these factors are not major determinants of the risk of recurrence.

Who Should Be Tested? 1-4 General populatio n Any patient with VTE Any patient with spontaneous VTE Younger patient with VTE Younger patient with VTE + family history Nobody Liberal Conservative 24

Testing for Hereditary Defects in Patients with Thrombosis and No Family History PRO Improve understanding of pathogenesis of VTE Identify and counsel affected family members CON Infrequently identify patients in whom the identification of an abnormality should alter their management No evidence of direct particular benefit to family members (because of low absolute risk of an initial VTE) Potential for overaggressive management of propositus and asymptomatic affected relatives (if screening undertaken) Cost of testing/consultations Create undue anxiety (Negative insurance implications)

Who should be tested for hereditary thrombophilia? Yes VTE at age <50 with positive family history (1st degree relatives) Cerebral venous thrombosis Portal/mesenteric vein thrombosis (r/o MPD, PNH) Pregnancy loss (2nd and 3rd trimester) Reasonable VTE in association with OCPs/HRT or pregnancy No Patients > 50 with first spontaneous VTE VTE in patients with active cancer Elderly patients with postoperative VTE Retinal vein thrombosis Arterial thrombosis (save for paradoxical emboli) Asymptomatic patients with no personal or familial hx of VTE Women going on OCPs with no familial hx of VTE

Agenda Risk Factors and Pathophysiology Initial Rx and Prognosis of VTE Acquired and inherited thrombophilias Duration of anticoagulation/risk Stratification New Anticoagulants

ACCP Evidenced-Based Clinical Practice Guidelines (9 th Edition) Indication Proximal DVT/PE secondary to a transient risk factor Duration of Anticoagulation 3 months 1 st isolated, unprovoked distal DVT Idiopathic proximal DVT or PE 3-6 months 2 nd Unprovoked DVT or PE VTE in setting of active cancer: LMWH for at least 3 months Long-term 28

Duration of anticoagulant treatment What do the ACCP guidelines say? 2008 We recommend that patients with a first idiopathic VTE be evaluated for long-term treatment. If no contra-indication, we recommend long-term treatment (Grade 1A). Values and preferences: This recommendation attaches a relatively high value to prevention of recurrent VTE and a lower value to the burden of long-term anticoagulant therapy. 2012 In patients with a first VTE that is an unprovoked proximal DVT of the leg and who have a low or moderate bleeding risk, we suggest extended anticoagulant therapy over 3 months of therapy (Grade 2B).

Extension of anticoagulant treatment beyond 3 to 6 months For 1000 patient-years Death by PE recurrence 80 VTE recurrences Case-fatality rate 4-12% 3 to 10 deaths Death by major bleed 20 to 60 bleeds Case-fatality rate 10% 2 to 6 deaths Douketis JD et al. Ann Intern Med 2007;147:766-774 Linkins LA et al. Ann Intern Med 2003; 139:893-900

Extension of anticoagulant treatment beyond 3 to 6 months Recurrent VTE Risk (%/year) ~ 8 % Case Fatality Rate (4-12%) 0.3-1% Bleeding Risk (%/year) ~ 2-6% Case Fatality Rate (10%) 0.2-0.6% NO MORTALITY BENEFIT FROM LONG-TERM ANTICOAGULATION A recurrent VTE rate of <5% per year is considered acceptable (risk of anticoagulation > benefit). Douketis JD et al. Ann Intern Med 2007;147:766-774 Linkins LA et al. Ann Intern Med 2003; 139:893-900

Extending anticoagulant treatment beyond 3-6 months in patients with unprovoked VTE Recurrence risk Unprovoked, D-dimer Alternatives Low-intensity INR Novel oral anticoagulants Consider Patient preferences and values (includes lifestyle and occupation) Bleeding risk Patient characteristics Stability of anticoagulation

PREVENT VTE Dx 6.5 months* Standard Rx Placebo INR 1.5-2.0 VTE recurrence Major bleeding 7.2 0.4 2.6 0.9 Low-intensity warfarin is more effective than placebo! *Median duration before randomization; N=508 patients randomized; No. /100 person-yr. Ridker et al. N Engl J Med. April 10, 2003.

ELATE VTE Dx 3 3 months* Standard Rx INR 1.5-1.9 1.9 INR 2.0-3.0 2.0-2.3 2.3 years VTE recurrence Major bleeding 1.9 0.9 0.6 0.9 Normal-intensity warfarin is more effective than low-intensity warfarin! *N=738 patients randomized; No./100 person-yr. Kearon et al. N Engl J Med.. August 14, 2003.

Recurrent VTE (% per patient-year) PLACEBO LOW INTENSITY (INR 1.5-2) STANDARD INTENSITY (INR 2-3) PREVENT 7.2 2.6 - ELATE - 1.9 0.6

Major Bleeds (% per patient-year) PLACEBO LOW INTENSITY (INR 1.5-2) STANDARD INTENSITY (INR 2-3) PREVENT 0.4 0.9 - ELATE - 0.96 0.93

Prevention of Recurrent VTE in Long- Term Treatment of DVT Rivaroxaban vs Placebo EINSTEIN-Extension 1197 patients with acute DVT treated for 6-12 mon with standard Rx or rivaroxaban and then randomized to rivaroxaban 20 mg QD vs placebo (double blind) and treated for 6-12 months; Superiority Study Rivaroxaban, 20 mg QD x 6-12 months (mean duration 190 d) Dx of VTE and treatment for 6 12 months (routine Rx or rivaroxaban) Random, double-blind assignment Primary Efficacy: Recurrent, symptomatic VTE Primary Safety: Major bleeding Placebo x 6-12 months (mean duration 190 d) EINSTEIN Investigators. N Eng J Med 2010

Prevention of Recurrent VTE in Long- Term Treatment of DVT Rivaroxaban vs Placebo EINSTEIN-Extension % 10 8 6 HR 0.18; P<0.0001 7.1% Rivaroxaban Placebo 5.4% 4 2 1.3% 0.7% P=0.106 0% 1.2% 0 Symp Rec DVT, fatal/non-fatal PE Major Bleed Maj Bleed / CRNMB 1197 patients with DVT treated for 6-12 months randomized to rivaroxaban, 20 mg QD vs placebo (double blind); mean duration of Rx 190 days EINSTEIN Investigators. N Eng J Med 2010

49 th ASH Annual Meeting Atlanta, Georgia

Recurrent VTE in patients with a first unprovoked VTE according to whether D-dimer levels were higher or lower after stopping treatment Study (D-dimer assay) D-dimer Level (ng/ml) Recurrent VTE rate (/100 pt-yr) Hazard Ratio (95% CI) Palareti 2003 500 4.8 2.43 (Vidas) > 500 11.4 (1.18-4.61) Eichinger 2003 < 250 2.4 0.4 (Asserachrom) 250 5.0 (0.2-0.8) Shrivastava 2006 < 500 2.9 3.2 (Liatest) 500 10.9 (1.3-8.0) Palareti 2006 Negative 4.4 2.49 (Simplify) Positive 10.9 (1.35-4.59)

Duration of anticoagulant treatment Additional determinants of the risk of recurrence Other elements that increase the risk of recurrence after stopping anticoagulant treatment include: Persistently elevated D-dimer levels off anticoagulants Male gender Residual thrombus on ultrasound (difficult to standardize)

D-Dimer As A Predictor of Recurrence Following a First Unprovoked VTE _ No Warfarin Rx VTE TREAT STOP D-Dimer (6 months) (1 month) + No Warfarin Rx Resume Warfarin Rx Palareti G, et al. NEJM 2006

D-dimer for VTE: Risk Stratification 1-4 Palareti 2006 4 Negative 4.4% per year HR 2.49 (Simplify) (<500 ng/ml) (95% CI, 1.35-4.59) Positive 10.9% per year (>500 ng/ml) D-Dimer < 500 ng/ml 5 Sex Age < 65 Age > 65 Female 0.4% per year 6.6% per year Male 5.1% per year 8.1% per year 1. Palareti G, et al. Circulation. 2003;108:313-318; 2. Eichinger S, et al. JAMA. 2003;290:1071-1074; 3. Shrivastava S, et al. J Thromb Haemostasis. 2006;4:1208-1214; 4. Palareti G, et al. N Engl J Med. 2006;355:1780-1789. 5. Cosmi B, et al. J Thromb Haemost. 2010;epub.

Caveats about Using D-dimer for VTE Risk Stratification 1) Must use a quantitative D-dimer assay which has been studied (there is no D- dimer standard) 2) Separation between high and low risk groups using D-dimer alone < 2.5 fold 3) Only useful in patients with a 1st unprovoked VTE (OCP-related events included) 4) Most useful in women < age 65 Kearon C (PI): D-dimer Optimal Duration Study (DODS) Rodger M (PI): REVERSE (REcurrent VEnous Thromboembolism Risk Stratification Evaluation) II: Men continue and women with 2 of Hyperpigmentation, Erythema, Redness, D-Dimer > 250, Obesity (BMI > 30), Older age (>65) ( HERDOO2 ) Goal: Confirm low risk populations not requiring long-term anticoagulation

Other Considerations in Deciding on Long- Term Oral Anticoagulation Site of thrombosis PE more likely to recur as PE, DVT as DVT Severity of Thrombosis Massive PE Ilio-femoral DVT Severe post-phlebitic syndrome Age of patient Prefer not to commit young patients to lifelong anticoagulation after a 1st event unless clearly very high risk for recurrence IVC filters (75% of retrievable filters never retrieved) risk of recurrent DVT especially if VTE unprovoked