Enhancing Educational Attainment in Arizona Status Report on the 2002 Changing Directions Policy of the Arizona Board of Regents at Arizona State University February 2006
Chance for College in the U.S. For every 100 students beginning 9 th grade, 67 graduate four years later. Of those, 38 enroll in college within a year. Source: Closing the College Participation Gap: US Profile, Education Commission of the States, Oct 2003
Chance for College in Arizona For every 100 students beginning 9 th grade, 59 graduate four years later. Of those, 29 enroll in college within a year. Source: Closing the College Participation Gap: Arizona Profile, Education Commission of the States, April 2003
Chance for College in Arizona Chance for college in Arizona = 29.6% Chance for college in Arizona for low-income students = 15.6% Source: Closing the College Participation Gap: Arizona Profile, Education Commission of the States, April 2003
Knocking at the College Door, WICHE, Dec 2003-11% and higher decline 0% to -10% decline 1% to 10% increase 11% to 25% increase 26% to 50% increase Over 51% increase
75,000 70,000 65,000 60,000 55,000 50,000 45,000 40,000 35,000 30,000 1987-88 72,697 51,940 31,130 1989-90 Arizona Public High School Graduates 1991-92 1993-94 1995-96 1997-98 1999-00 2001-02 2003-04 2005-06 2007-08 2009-10 2011-12 2013-14 2015-16 2017-18 Source: WICHE, Knocking at the College Door, Projections of High School Graduates by State, Income, and Race/Ethnicity, 1998-2018
Arizona Low Income Families 56% 44% 44% of all children in Arizona lived in lowincome families 34% 66% of Latino children in Arizona live in lowincome families 66% Source: National Center for Children in Poverty (2005) - Available at: http://nccp.org/state_detail_demographic_az.html
Efforts to Influence the Pipeline 2006 Admissions Requirements Admit all qualified* Arizona high school graduates in top 50% 189% Increase in University Need-Based Gift Aid Since FY 03 ($25 million) $70M institutional need/merit gift aid (record level) ASU Advantage Financial aid covering direct cost of attendance for low income Arizona students ($12,000/student annually) * Applicants must also meet ABOR competency requirements.
Number of Enrolled First-time Freshmen from Arizona Families with Income below $18,850 300 *288 250 200 150 205 488% growth from 2002-2005 100 50 49 67 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 * Students in 2005 are enrolled in the ASU Advantage Program.
Growth in Pell Grant Recipients 15,000 12,000 9,000 9,283 10,34 4 11,95 7 12,34 8 33% increase in Pell Grant recipients from 2001-2004 6,000 3,000 0 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 Number of Pell Grant Recipients
2004 Average ASU Gift Aid for Middle Income Arizona Undergraduates $5,000 $4,000 N = 3,845 N = 1,671 N = 3,286 $420 0 $4300 $4200 $3,000 $2,000 $2200 $1400 $1,000 $0 $20K-$50K $50K-$80K Above $80K or undetermined Need-Based Aid Merit Aid Merit Aid (not receiving federal aid)
Arizona Undergraduate Students Receiving Institutional Aid 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 No. Students Receiving Aid % of Student Enrollment No. Students Receiving Aid % of Student Enrollment No. Students Receiving Aid % of Student Enrollment African American 367 25% 591 37% 621 37% American Indian 285 27% 511 43% 509 39% Asian American 511 25% 794 36% 841 38% Hispanic 1,459 27% 2,246 37% 2,367 38% White 6,150 22% 8,237 29% 8,724 30% Total 9,104 23% 12,826 31% 13,592 32% Average Award $2,233 $2,985 $3,458 Note: Total includes students who did not report their ethnicity
Arizona Undergraduate Students Receiving Financial Aid 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 No. Students Receiving Aid % of Student Enrollment No. Students Receiving Aid % of Student Enrollment No. Students Receiving Aid % of Student Enrollment African American 952 65% 1,128 72% 1,187 72% American Indian 813 76% 965 81% 955 73% Asian American 1,075 54% 1,284 58% 1,341 60% Hispanic 3,223 60% 3,916 65% 4,160 66% White 13,249 48% 15,215 54% 15,878 55% Total 20,025 52% 23,332 57% 24,528 58% Average Award $6,686 $7,721 $7,794 Total includes students who did not report their ethnicity
Arizona Resident Undergraduate Tuition and Mandatory Fees 50 State Comparison of Senior Public Universities, 2005-06 Penn State U U Vermont U Michigan U New Hampshire U Massachusetts Rutgers U (NJ) U Illinois U Minnesota Ohio State U U Connecticut U Maryland U Missouri U Texas U Delaware U South Carolina U Rhode Island U Virginia Indiana U U Maine U California State U of New U Wisconsin U Kentucky U Oregon U Iowa U Washington U Nebraska U Kansas U Colorado U Tennessee U North Dakota U Arkansas U Oklahoma U Montana U Alabama U South Dakota U Georgia U North Carolina Louisiana State U ASU, UA, NAU U Mississippi U Utah West Virginia U U New Mexico U Idaho U Alaska U Hawaii U Wyoming U Nevada U Florida 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 11,000 12,000 Source: www.postsecondary.org
State Appropriation for Arizona State University per Full-Time Equivalent Student Adjusted by the Higher Education Price Index (2004-05 = 100) $ 11,000 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 Fiscal Year Source: Office of Institutional Analysis at Arizona State University and Commonfund Institute
Fifty State Comparison of Senior Public Universities: Tuition and Mandatory Fees (assumes full time resident tuition based on 30 credit hours annually plus mandatory fees) 2004-05 2005-06 (estimated) 1 PENNSYLVANIA State University, University Park 10,856 University of VERMONT 12,964 2 University of VERMONT 10,226 PENNSYLVANIA State University, University Park 11,480 3 University of NEW HAMPSHIRE, Durham 9,226 University of NEW HAMPSHIRE, Durham 9,778 4 University of MASSACHUSETTS, Amherst 9,008 University of MASSACHUSETTS, Amherst 9,278 5 Rutgers University, Newark - NEW JERSEY 8,209 Rutgers University, Newark - NEW JERSEY 9,221 6 University of MICHIGAN, Ann Arbor 8,202 University of MINNESOTA, Twin Cities 8,800 7 University of MINNESOTA, Twin Cities 8,029 University of MICHIGAN, Ann Arbor 8,723 8 University of ILLINOIS, Urbana-Champaign 7,966 University of ILLINOIS, Urbana-Champaign 8,670 9 OHIO State University, Columbus 7,542 OHIO State University, Columbus 8,235 10 University of MARYLAND, College Park 7,410 University of CONNECTICUT 7,912 11 University of MISSOURI, St. Louis 7,378 University of MARYLAND, College Park 7,820 12 University of CONNECTICUT 7,308 University of MISSOURI, St. Louis 7,811 13 University of DELAWARE 6,954 University of CALIFORNIA, Berkeley 7,434 14 University of VIRGINIA 6,790 University of VIRGINIA 7,370 15 INDIANA University, Bloomington 6,777 University of DELAWARE 7,318 16 University of RHODE ISLAND 6,752 University of SOUTH CAROLINA, Columbia 7,314 17 University of MAINE, Orono 6,426 University of RHODE ISLAND 7,284 18 University of SOUTH CAROLINA, Columbia 6,416 INDIANA University, Bloomington 7,112 19 University of CALIFORNIA, Berkeley 5,956 University of TEXAS, Austin 6,972 20 University of WISCONSIN, Madison 5,866 University of MAINE, Orono 6,910 21 University of TEXAS, Austin 5,735 University of COLORADO, Boulder 6,741 22 University of OREGON 5,670 University of WISCONSIN, Madison 6,220 23 University of IOWA 5,396 University of OREGON 6,051 24 State University of NEW YORK, Stony Brook 5,373 University of KENTUCKY, Lexington 5,812 25 University of NEBRASKA, Lincoln 5,341 University of NEBRASKA, Lincoln 5,620 Source: 2004-05 data from 10-29-04 Chronicle of Higher Education ; 2005-06 data from university websites or telephone contacts
Fifty State Comparison of Senior Public Universities: Tuition and Mandatory Fees (assumes full time resident tuition based on 30 credit hours annually plus mandatory fees) 26 University of WASHINGTON, Seattle 5,286 University of IOWA 5,612 27 University of ARKANSAS 5,179 University of WASHINGTON, Seattle 5,610 28 University of KENTUCKY, Lexington 5,165 State University of NEW YORK, Stony Brook 5,530 29 University of NORTH DAKOTA, Grand Forks 4,828 University of ARKANSAS 5,495 30 University of TENNESSEE, Knoxville 4,749 University of KANSAS 5,413 31 University of KANSAS 4,737 University of TENNESSEE, Knoxville 5,291 32 University of ALABAMA 4,630 University of NORTH DAKOTA, Grand Forks 5,282 33 University of SOUTH DAKOTA 4,452 University of ALABAMA 5,064 34 University of NORTH CAROLINA, Chapel Hill 4,450 University of MONTANA 4,910 35 University of MONTANA 4,377 University of SOUTH DAKOTA 4,829 36 University of COLORADO, Boulder 4,350 University of GEORGIA, Athens 4,628 37 LOUISIANA State University 4,316 University of NORTH CAROLINA, Chapel Hill 4,606 38 University of GEORGIA, Athens 4,272 University of OKLAHOMA 4,515 39 University of OKLAHOMA 4,140 LOUISIANA State University 4,510 40 University of MISSISSIPPI 4,110 ARIZONA STATE University 4,408 41 ARIZONA STATE University 4,064 University of MISSISSIPPI 4,320 42 University of UTAH 4,000 University of UTAH 4,298 43 WEST VIRGINIA University, Morgantown 3,838 WEST VIRGINIA University, Morgantown 4,164 44 University of NEW MEXICO 3,738 University of NEW MEXICO 4,108 45 University of IDAHO 3,632 University of IDAHO 3,968 46 University of HAWAII, Manoa 3,581 University of WYOMING 3,749 47 University of ALASKA, Anchorage 3,378 University of ALASKA, Anchorage 3,734 48 University of WYOMING 3,243 University of HAWAII, Manoa 3,696 49 University of FLORIDA 2,955 University of NEVADA, Reno 3,270 50 University of NEVADA, Reno 2,850 University of FLORIDA 3,180 Source: 2004-05 data from 10-29-04 Chronicle of Higher Education ; 2005-06 data from university websites or telephone contacts
Arizona State University General Fund Support per FTE Student and Resident Undergraduate Tuition $10,000 in Current and Constant Dollars ASU General Fund per FTE Student - Current $ ASU General Fund per FTE Student - Constant $ $9,000 ASU Resident Undergraduate Tuition - Current $ ASU Resident Undergraduate Tuition - Constant $ $8,000 8,347 8,148 7,942 $7,000 $6,000 6,721 6,640 6,900 6,750 6,517 7,158 6,567 6,130 6,142 6, 2 3 2 5,935 $5,000 $4,000 3,703 4, 0 6 4 3,595 $3,000 $2,000 2,426 2,506 2,159 2,569 2,261 2,571 2,655 2,488 2,346 2,718 2,585 $1,000 1,374 600 $0 Academic Year Source:
Resident Undergraduate Tuition and Mandatory Fees Comparison (based on 7-15-05 w eb/telephone research) $10,000 ASU with one-year lag 34th Rank Senior Public Universities ASU with no lag Public PAC10 Peers $8,103 $8,000 $6,000 $4,000 $4,064 $4,064 $4,450 $5,421 $5,703 $6,028 $4,408 $4,408 $4,910 $5,734 $6,196 $6,729 $4,862 $5,104 $5,388 $6,292 $6,799 $7,384 $5,363 $5,910 $5,913 $6,905 $7,461 $5,915 $2,000 34th Rank, PAC10, Public PAC10, Peer 2004-05 and Senior Public Universities 2005-06 assume an annual 2006-07 five-year average 9.74% 2007-08 tuition increase for 2006-07 2008-09 through 2008-09. ASU requires an annual 15.8% increase in 2006-07 and 2007-08 to reach 34th place by Fall 2007, or a 10.3% annual increase in the same years if ASU lags a year (i.e., if 34th place tuition is $5,388 in Fall 2006, then ASU would reach that tuition level in Fall 2008).
95,000 90,000 85,000 80,000 75,000 70,000 65,000 60,000 55,000 50,000 45,000 40,000 35,000 30,000 Projected Increases in ASU Enrollment 61,033 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 Institutional Analysis
10,000 West Campus Enrollment Fall 1998 - Fall 2005 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 4880 4943 5325 5804 6630 7105 7348 7734 58% growth from 1998-2005 3,000 2,000 1,000 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
10,000 Polytechnic Campus Enrollment Fall 1998 - Fall 2005 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 4865 3551 3983 3126 1466 2403 1095 1939 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 344% growth from 1998-2005
55,000 54,000 53,000 52,000 51,000 50,000 49,000 48,000 47,000 46,000 45,000 44,000 43,000 42,000 41,000 40,000 43732 Tempe Campus Enrollment Fall 1998 - Fall 2005 44215 44126 45693 47359 48901 49171 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 51612 18% growth from 1998-2005
8,500 8,000 7,500 7,000 6,500 6,000 5,500 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 Trends in New Undergraduate Enrollment Fall 1995 - Fall 2005 4263 4191 4256 4245 5257 5181 4999 4628 5968 4743 6117 4668 6586 4895 6820 7647 5531 5506 7719 5374 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 5395 8467 102% increase in freshmen since 1995 27% increase in transfers since 1995 Freshmen Transfer
Fall 2005 ASU Freshman Class Largest class in ASU s history 8467; a 9.7% increase from the Fall 2004 class, a 28% increase since 2001 and a 100% increase since 1995. Thirty percent of the resident freshman class are students of color (140% increase since 1995). Sixteen percent are students from the top 5% of their high school graduating class (a 102% increase since 2001); 28% from the top 10% totaling over 1732. 155 National Merit scholars, 48 from Arizona; 10 Flinn scholars the most ever enrolled. National Merit scholars have increased 38% since 2001.
Fall 2005 Freshman Profile Total Number Mean SAT Combined Score Mean ACT Composite Score Mean High School GPA National Merit Scholars % Minority (Total) % Minority of AZ Residents % Female 8467 1103 23.1 3.31 155 26.1% 30.4% 53.0%
1000 900 800 Arizona Minority Freshman Enrollment Fall 1995-2005 923 Ten-Year Growth 700 600 500 400 300 377 541 344 African American American Indian Asian American Hispanic 172.4% 128.1% 121.9% 144.8% 200 100 0 76 82 155 113 101 240 207 187 Fall 1995 Fall 2000 Fall 2005
7000 Minority Undergraduate Enrollment Fall 1995 - Fall 2005 6000 6464 Ten-Year Growth 5000 4000 3000 2000 3341 4317 2516 African American American Indian Asian American Hispanic 98.8% 89.4% 81.0% 93.5% 1000 0 952 671 1390 1837 1893 1235 803 1271 Fall 1995 Fall 2000 Fall 2005
15,000 Minority Enrollment at ASU 12,687 13,822 10,000 7,970 9,215 9,594 10,589 73% increase since 1995 5,000 0 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 Undergraduate Graduate
Freshman to Sophomore Persistence ASU First-Time, Full-Time Freshmen 1994 2004 80% 78% 76% 74% 72% 70% 68% 66% 64% 68% 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 79%
Five-Year Institutional Graduation Rates at Public and Private Four-Year Institutions 1983-2005 60% 55% 50% 45% Private Public ASU 40% 35% 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 Source: ACT Institutional Data File
Degrees Awarded at ASU 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 9,106 9,556 10,445 10,612 11,803 12,821 41% increase since 1995 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 1994 95 1996 97 1998 99 2000 01 2002 03 2004 05 Undergraduate Graduate
Six-Year Graduation Rates ASU s First-Time, Full-Time Freshmen 1988-1998 60% 50% 40% Year admitted 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 Source: Institutional Analysis
Summary Unprecedented growth in the next 15 years Building capacity to respond Central focus: Excellence at every level Regional/National/World Class Hallmark: The Highest Quality, Most Accessible Public University