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Tr ends Trends Malpractice Premiums In Massachusetts, A High-Risk State: 97 To If any state has a crisis, Massachusetts should, yet s were lower in than in 99 for nearly all physicians. by Marc A. Rodwin, Hak J. Chang, Melissa M. Ozaeta, and Richard J. Omar ABSTRACT: Massachusetts has the fourth-highest median malpractice settlement payments for all states. The American Medical Association (AMA) declares it a crisis state. As a test case, we analyzed its s from 97 to. In mean s were $7, for the coverage level and policy type most frequently purchased. Most physicians paid lower inflation-adjusted s in than in 99. Mean s increased in only three specialties comprising percent of physicians: obstetrics, neurology, and orthopedists spinal surgery. However, because of discounts and surcharges, in s within the three highest-risk specialties varied nearly threefold, and nearly onethird paid less than in 99. [Health Affairs 7, no. 3 (): 3 ;.377/hlthaff.7.3.3] The most discussed malpractice reform proposal would limit compensation for patients injured as a result of negligence. Its proponents claim that the law should require caps because malpractice s represent a large part of practice costs, increase steadily, are higher today than ever, and threaten the viability of medical practice. The cost of malpractice insurance is rarely studied carefully. The best studies conducted by the American Medical Association (AMA) from 97 to suggest that there is no crisis. Mean s nationally, regionally, and for high-risk specialties peaked around 96, declined until 996, and were still below 96 levels in, when AMA surveys ended. In constant dollars, mean s in for all physicians were $,6; for obstetrics/gynecology (OB/GYN), $,. Premiums were 7 percent of practice costs for all physicians and.7 percent for OB/GYN. Having the highest s didn t threaten OB/GYN viability. At $7,, its mean net practice income was nearly $, higher than mean income for all physicians. 3 The AMA studies, however, don t report s since ; also, national and regional averages could hide crises in states without liability caps. We studied s from 97 to in a state without caps to test whether it supports the prediction of crises in such states or reflects patterns in AMA national data. Study Data And Methods Study sample. Basedonavailableevi- Marc Rodwin (mrodwin@suffolk.edu) is a professor at the Suffolk University Law School in Boston, Massachusetts. Hak Chang is an associate at a law firm in Concord, Massachusetts. Melissa Ozaeta and Richard Omar are juris doctor candidates at the Suffolk University Law School. HEALTH AFFAIRS ~ Volume 7, Number 3 3 DOI.377/hlthaff.7.3.3 Project HOPE The People-to-People Health Foundation, Inc.

Health Tracking dence, if individual states have crises, Massachusetts should. Malpractice s reflect award size and frequency. National Practitioner Data Bank (NPDB) statistics from to suggest that Massachusetts s are high. Among fifty-one jurisdictions, its median settlement payment ($7,) ranked fourth, and its mean payment ($39,) ranked sixth. At.3 payments per, people, it ranked twenty-fourth but had less than one fewer payment per, than the ninth-ranked state. Only Washington, D.C., and Connecticut had both higher mean payment size and higher frequency. The AMA lists Massachusetts among twenty-one states with a malpractice crisis. Massachusetts has a soft $, settlement cap that allows broad exceptions. 6 The Massachusetts Medical Society says that this is woefully inadequate and has not stabilized the market. 7 The Massachusetts malpractice insurance market today includes () a state-regulated mutual insurer, the Medical Professional Mutual Insurance Company, known as Pro- Mutual (the Insurer ), which supplied our data; () other state-regulated insurers; (3) the Controlled Risk Insurance Company (CRICO) for Harvard Medical School affiliated physicians; and () risk-retention groups and offshore insurers. In 97, commercial malpractice insurers exited Massachusetts, and the legislature created the Massachusetts Medical Malpractice Joint Underwriting Association (MMJUA). The legislature converted it to ProMutual in 99. Around the time of the formation of the MMJUA, Harvard-affiliated hospitals created CRICO for malpractice insurance. Since their creation, CRICO and the MMJUA/ProMutual have controlled approximately 9 percent of the physicians liability insurance market, each covering about half. AM Best reports that in, the Insurer covered 77 percent of regulated professional liability insurance, which includes other medical professionals and institutions. The Insurer estimates that it covers 9 percent of regulated physician liability insurance and percent of all physician liability insurance. Liability insurance policies. Insurers set rates based on the time period covered, dollar amount of protection, and risk of loss. Time period. Policies cover either periods when alleged negligence occurs, regardless of when claims are filed called occurrence policies or periods during which patients file negligence claims called claims-made policies. Physicians renewing a claims-made policy are covered from the first year they owned the policy. Premiums are higher for second-, third-, and fourth-year claims-made policies because they cover a longer time period. Insurers also sell mature claims-made policies that cover five or more years of past practice. Occurrence policies cost more than firstthrough fourth-year claims-made policies and less than mature claims-made policies. The costs of insurance through claims-made and occurrence policies generally converge over time because physicians who do not renew a claims-made policy need to purchase so-called tail insurance for claims filed later. Dollar amount of protection. Policies specify a maximum amount reimbursed both per claim and yearly. A typical policy covers up to $ million per claim, capped at $3 million yearly (knownas$/$3millioncoverage). Risk of loss. Insurers calculate each specialty s average risk of loss and assign it to a rate group. In, the Insurer had nineteen rate groups. Insurers can further refine individual physicians risk based on their claims history, length of time in practice, work setting, organizational affiliation, and other factors. Inflation adjustment. We express all data in constant dollars adjusted by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), rather than for medical inflation as some scholars do. 9 Medical inflation is twice CPI, so the increases we report are much greater than if we adjusted for medical inflation. Malpractice awards compensate for medical expenses (appropriately adjusted by medical inflation) and nonmedical expenses, lost income, and pain and suffering (best adjusted using CPI). The most accurate adjustment would combine the two, weighted 36 May/June

Tr ends toward the CPI. We used the CPI because our study is a test case to identify the highest s by choosing a state with top settlement payments. Thus, we preferred to overstate increases. Furthermore, policy debate focuses on how s affect practice costs, which AMA surveys indicate include mainly nonmedical items (nonphysician personnel, rent, utilities, and office expenses). AdjustingbyCPIfacilitatescomparing and other practice cost increases. Occurrence Policies: 97 Mean manual rates and mean s by tiers. We report mean rates for all physicians and mean s for practice specialties grouped into five tiers from 97 to, for $/$3 million and $/$6 million occurrence policies. This accounted for 3 percent of all policies in. In, Tier included 7 percent of physicians and had the lowest s. Tier had percent of physicians and the second lowest s. Tier 3 comprised percent of physicians: those who performed major general, abdominal, thoracic, plastic, gynecological, cardiac, or hand surgery and emergency medicine. Tier represented percent of physicians: those performing major vascular, cardiovascular, head and neck, traumatic, and orthopedic (except spinal) surgery. Tier included percent of physicians: obstetrics and OB/GYN, orthopedics performing spinal surgery, and major neurological surgery. Exhibit displays $/$3 million occurrence manual rates. Mean rates for all physicians grew only slightly over thirty years, with cycles of rises and falls. But rates for physicians in Tiers 3 were much higher than for most physicians, especially at their peaks. Tiers 3 and rates soared from 9 to 99, declined until 99 or, increased thereafter, but in were lower than in 99. Only Tier rates were much higher in than in 99. Exhibitdisplaysmeansforeach tier weighed by the number of physicians from each rate group within the tier. The Insurer lacked data on the number of physicians in each rate group before 99. Mean s for $/$3 million coverage for all physicians decreased from $7,97 in 99 to $7, in. From 99 to, Tier s rose just over$,;tier,justover$,;andtier and Tier 3 s declined by over $,37 EXHIBIT Mean Manual Premium Rates For $/$3 Million Occurrence Policies, For All Physicians And Physicians Divided Into Five Tiers, Adjusted By The Number Of Rate Groups In Each Tier, Selected Years 97 Thousands of dollars Tier 6 97 9 9 99 99 Tier Tier 3 Tier Average, all MDs Tier SOURCE: Medical Professional Insurance Company. NOTES: All data adjusted by Consumer Price Index (CPI) and expressed in constant dollars. Practice specialties divided into tiers charged similar rates. Tier : obstetrics/gynecology, neurological surgery, and orthopedists performing spinal surgery. Tier : major vascular, cardiovascular, head and neck, traumatic, and orthopedic (except spinal) surgery. Tier 3: major general, abdominal, thoracic, plastic, cardiac, and gynecological or hand surgery and emergency medicine without major surgery. Tier : anesthesiology, and major surgery for emergency medicine, ronco-esophagology, colon and rectal, endocrinology, gastroenterology, geriatrics, neoplastic, nephrology, laryngology, otology, otorhinolaryngology, rhinology, and urology. Tier : all other physicians (a total of sixty-five practice specialties). HEALTH AFFAIRS ~ Volume 7, Number 3 37

Health Tracking EXHIBIT Mean Manual Premiums For Five Physician Tiers Weighted By The Number Of Physicians In Each Rate Group For $/$3 Million And $/$6 Million Occurrence Policies, Selected Years 99 $/$3 million occurrence policies 99 dollar amount Percent a 99 dollar amount Percent a dollar amount Percent a dollar amount Percent a Tier Tier Tier 3 Tier Tier -tier mean No. of doctors $ 9,9 3,7,93, 66, 7 $ 7,9,9 7,39 37, 6,9 7 $ 7, 6,33,376 3,6 6,6 79 7 $,37,96 36,7,9 9, 7 7,97,63,9 9,3, 7,79 7,,67 $/$6 million occurrence policies Tier Tier Tier 3 Tier Tier -tier mean No. of doctors $3,6 3,7 6,6 7, 9,37 3 3 $,, 3,69,6 3,36 9 $,,6 3,96 6, 9,67 3 $,6 3,3,,3 7,,7 67 3,,67,67,9,7,3 SOURCE: Medical Professional Mutual Insurance Company. NOTES: All data adjusted by Consumer Price Index (CPI) and expressed in constant dollars. Practice specialties divided into tiers charged similar rates. For explanation of tiers, see Exhibit Notes. a Percent of physicians in each tier. and $7,6, respectively. Tier rates rose $, from 99 to. Trends are similar for $/$6 million coverage. However, Tier s decreased from 99 to. Distribution of physicians by manual rates. Exhibit 3 displays the distribution of physicians by manual rates at $, increments from 99 to. In, 9 percent of physicians with $/$3 million coverage had rates below $,; 7 percent, $, or less; and 9 percent, under $,. Four percent had rates over $,. Between 99 and, those with rates under $, increased from 7 percent to 7 percent. Within this group, physicians moved into higher levels. Those with high rates more than $6, decreased from percent to percent. Those with rates higher than $7, increased from percent to percent. Those in the middle range $, $6, decreased from percent to 7 percent. Within the group, physicians moved to the middle. In, 3 percent of physicians with $/$6 million coverage had rates under $,; 63 percent, under $,; and 9 percent, under $,. Only percent of physicians had rates higher than $,; only percent, higher than $6,. From 99 to, the highest rate group shrank, and the lowest rate group expanded. Discounts and surcharges. Starting in 99, the Insurer discounted s for some physicians. In it increased discount frequency and size, and it surcharged some physicians. In the Insurer discounted as follows: interns, residents, and fellows working in a facility insured by the Insurer: percent or percent; physicians in first- and second-year practice, percent and percent; physicians in academic settings or community service treating patients twenty-one hours a week or less, percent; emergency 3 May/June

Tr ends EXHIBIT 3 Distribution Of Physicians By Dollar Amount Of Manual Premium Rates, Prior To Discounts And Surcharges, $/$3 Million And $/$6 Million Occurrence Policies, Selected Years 99 Dollar amount of manual rates $/$3 million occurrence policies 99 99 <$, $, $9,999 $, $9,999 $3, $39,999 $, $9,999 $, $9,999 $6, $69,999 $7,+ 6% 6 Number of physicians,63 9,3 7,79,67 <$, $, $9,999 $, $9,999 $3, $39,999 $, $9,999 $, $9,999 $6, $69,999 $7,+ 7% 6 $/$6 million occurrence policies 7% 6 9 3 7 6% 33..6.6.9 Number of physicians 67,67,9,3 7% 6 7 3 39% 6 SOURCE: Medical Professional Mutual Insurance Company. NOTE: All data adjusted by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and expressed in constant dollars. 3 9% 9 3% medicine physicians, up to percent; and physicians covered by the Federal Tort Claims Act, between and percent. The Insurer reduced s additionally up to percent for physicians deemed at low risk and surcharged physicians deemed at high risk up to percent. Physicians with no closed claims over $, received discounts of3 percent,basedondurationofclean claims. Group practices with a favorable claims history also received discounts. By,.7 percent of policies were discounted, and 6 percent were surcharged. Sixty-five percent of physicians received discounts of percent; 3.6 percent, discounts of percent. Four-and-a-half percent paid surcharges less than percent;. percent, surcharges over percent. Adjusting Tier s s for discounts and surcharges, physicians paying more than $7, fell from percent to.7 percent;. percent paid $6, 7,; and. percent paid $, $6,. In, 66.7 percent of all $/$3 million occurrence policies were discounted more than percent. Reducing rates by just over percent for Tier and by only percent for Tier results in lower s than in 99. Thus, s for most physicians in Tiers and were lower in than in 99. Mean rates for Tiers and 3 were lower in than in 99, even before adjusting for discounts and surcharges, but Tier had a higher mean in than in 99, even after adjusting for its average discount of $,. Exhibit and Supplemental Exhibit reveal variations. In, s for Tier physicians with $/ $3 million coverage varied widely. The OB/ GYN manual rate was $97,3, approximately $,7 more than its 99 level, but s ranged between $,6 and $,6. Few Tier physicians HEALTH AFFAIRS ~ Volume 7, Number 3 39

Health Tracking EXHIBIT Tier : Top Three Practice Specialty Manual Premium Rates, And Mean, Median, Low, And High Premiums Adjusted For Discounts And Surcharges For $/$3 Million And $/$6 Million Occurrence Policies, And Manual Mean discount surcharge adjusted Low Median discount surcharge adjusted High $/$3 million occurrence policies Ortho/spinal Neurology OB/GYN Tier mean $ 3,67 6, 69,36 6, $ 33, 6, 3,7,3 $, 3,9 3,6 $ 3, 3,7,9 $ 6,79,37 9,7 $/$3 million occurrence policies Ortho/spinal Neurology OB/GYN Tier mean 7, 9,7 97,3 6,67 6, 7,6,979,936 36,,3,6 7,66 7,6 77,79,96,,6 $/$6 million occurrence policies Ortho/spinal Neurology OB/GYN Tier mean 6, 7, 97,,99 6,6 76,73 7,67 3,76,77 6,6 7, 96,96 7,6 $/$6 million occurrence policies Ortho/spinal Neurology OB/GYN Tier mean 9,9,76,3,97,63,76,96 6,9 7,67,76,7,63,76,3 9,9,76 7,7 SOURCE: Medical Professional Mutual Insurance Company. NOTES: All data adjusted by Consumer Price Index (CPI) and expressed in constant dollars. Ortho/spinal is orthopedics performing spinal surgery. OB/GYN is obstetrics/gynecology, including obstetrics/major surgery. a Not applicable. purchased $/$6 million coverage in. Nearly all obstetrician/gynecologists with $/ $6 million coverage paid the manual rate; more paid surcharges than received discounts. Focus on obstetrics. Since 99, the highest rates were for OB/GYN. We supplemented OB/GYN occurrence data with claimsmade data (Exhibit and Supplemental Exhibit ). In, OB/GYN occurrence rates were $69,36, about $7 more than 99 rates. However, because of discounts and surcharges, percent paid less than in 99. Claims-made s reveal similar patterns: mean weighted s were lower than in 99. By, only 3 percent of obstetrician/gynecologists with occurrence policies paid the manual rate, $97,3; 9 percent paid less than the 99 rate. Between 3 percent and 76. percent of obstetrician/gynecologists purchasing first- through fourth-year claimsmade policies received discounts, yet most paid more than 99 rates. Premiums varied greatly; the highest were more than twice the lowest. Changes in policies purchased. In 97 the Massachusetts Board of Registration in Medicine required that physicians purchase at least $/$3 million coverage. 3 Hospitals can require greater coverage for physicians to receivepracticeprivileges.since99,manyphysicians increased coverage limits, and thus paid more. Physicians purchasing $/$3 mil- May/June

Tr ends EXHIBIT Obstetrics/Gynecology (OB/GYN) Manual Rates And Mean, Low, and High Premiums Adjusted For Discounts And Surcharges,, For $/$3 Million First-Year Through Mature Claims-Made (CM) And Occurrence Policies OB/GYN $/$3M policies Number manual rate Mean discount surcharge adjusted Low Median discount surcharge adjusted High 99 manual rate First-year CM Second-year CM Third-year CM Fourth-year CM Mature CM 3 3 $ 3,3, 7,7 9,6,6 $ 7,33 6,9 7,7 7,963,3 $, 36,7, 66,,3 $, 63, 66,9,,6 $ 7, 7,73,3 3,7 36, $ 6, 6,763 3,,33 6,39 Occurrence 97,3,979,6 77,79,6 69,6 SOURCE: Medical Professional Mutual Insurance Company. NOTE: All data adjusted by Consumer Price Index (CPI) and expressed in constant dollars. lion policies decreased from 7.3 percent to 67. percent; those purchasing $/$6 million policies jumped from. percent to 3.3 percent. Physicians purchasing $/$6 million occurrence policies soared from. percent to 6.6 percent. However, physicians also switched to less expensive policy types. Those purchasing mature claims-made policies the most costly category fell from. percent to.7 percent. Physicians purchasing occurrence policies the second most costly type increased from 7.6 percent to 3. percent. Physicians with first- through fourth-year claims-made policies increased from percent to 6 percent. Sample Versus Other Policies Policies offered by the Insurer. In,.6 percent of the Insurer s policies were for $/$3 million occurrence, and 6.6 percent were for $/$6 million occurrence (Supplemental Exhibit 3). Nearly 66 percent of the Insurer s occurrence policies were for $/$3 million coverage, and 3.3 percent were for $/$6 million; only.6 percent provided greater coverage. Premiums for the Insurer s nineteen rate groups vary for each policy type. Occurrence policies in cost $3,73 more than first-year claims-made coverage for rate group, and $6,7 more for rate group 9. Mature claims-made s were $37 more than for occurrence in rate group and rose to $7,763 more in rate group 9. Other Massachusetts insurers. Does the Insurer reject high-risk physicians or insure a smaller share of them than the state average? Massachusetts regulations prohibit insurers from refusing any applicant. However, insurers can cede risk and insurance s for any policyholder they do not wish to cover to a state-mandated reinsurance program. The program divides these costs among insurers based on their market share. ProMutual has 9 percent of the market and bears that shareofcost,whichsincethestartofthereinsuranceplanin99rangedbetweenand percent of sales. In 997, the Insurer analyzed Board of Registration of Medicine data and found that obstetrician/gynecologists were percent of Massachusetts physicians, the same as its own proportion. 6 However, between and, the Insurer s obstetrician/gynecologists declined from to for $/$3 million coverage and from to for $/$6 million coverage. Similarly, the Insurer s physicians in the top rate group for $/$3 million occurrence policies decreased from. percent in 99 to 3. percent in. In addition, Tier represented percent of the Insurer s physicians in 99butonlypercentin.Itappears that physicians switched to competitors for HEALTH AFFAIRS ~ Volume 7, Number 3

Health Tracking lower s. Physicians in the Insurer s highest rate group most likely pay at least as much as physicians with similar risk insured by CRICO, risk-retention groups, or offshore companies. Physicians choose unregulated insurance to pay less, or they bear insurance risk and administrative cost without benefit. Two regulated insurers Medical Protective and Connecticut Medical Insurance Company developed niche markets by selling insurance to specialties that they believe are overcharged. In, Medical Protective set lower rates than the Insurer: percent or $, less for orthopedists; and percent or $,6 less for obstetrician/gynecologists. 7 Yet we don t know what physicians actually paid, because discounts and surcharges are not disclosed. Also, these insurers might select physicians with below-average risk. Rate changes, 7. In 6 the Insurer raised rates percent. In 7 no rates increased, and rates decreased for five high-risk specialties; OB/GYN manual rates decreased percent. Discussion Explaining perceptions of a crisis. Massachusetts s are probably higher than in all but the four or six states with higher median or mean settlement payments. Yet for most Massachusetts physicians, malpractice s are low and declined from 99 to. What accounts for the perception that s are higher than ever nationally and constitute a crisis? Most observers do not adjust increases for inflation; focus on the highest-risk specialties, which are atypical; ignore discounts from manual rates; overlook previous declines, which offset recent increases; and base conclusions on unreliable data. Most physicians are also unaware that s have cyclical rises and falls but change much less over the long term. Premium cycles are partly due to the long time lag between when physicians purchase policies and insurers incur loss. This increases uncertainty and complicates accurate pricing of insurance risk. Market competition induces insurers to reduce s to increase their market share, until they revise upward predictions of future liabilities and reserve needs. Then, insurers increase s sharply to make up for liabilities incurred several years hence based on more optimistic estimates. A changing investment climate promotes cycles. As interest rates rise, so does insurer income from reserves. When interest rates decline, insurer investment income falls. 9 Market cycles result.inhardmarkets,insurersselectrisks,increase reserves, and raise s. During soft markets, insurers assume more risk, decrease reserves, and lower s. Many observers assume that short-term increases are caused by the rising size and frequency of settlement payments. It is true that s reflect liability costs over the long term, but underwriting cycles explain short-term changes. Studies show that s rose in Texas in the 9s and early s because insurers changed long-term loss predictions and the investment climate soured, not because claims or awards increasedinsizeorfrequency. Effect of medical underwriting and competition. Medical underwriting explains the divergence among practice specialties as well as the wide variation within Tier. The Insurer used seven rate groups in 97, eight in 9, fifteen in 99, andnineteenin.after99,theinsurer extended underwriting within practice specialties through discounts and surcharges based on individual risk factors. It reduced s for lower-risk physicians and increased them for those with higher risks. Physicians within Tier s specialties paid identical s in 99; by, their s varied threefold. In, 9 percent of obstetrician/gynecologists paid less than 99 rates; percent paid $,7 $, more, and percent paid $, or more than 99 rates. Refining risk rating contributed greatly to the increased costs for high-risk obstetrician/gynecologists. Health insurers that sell individual policies May/June

Tr ends also use risk rating, charge steep s to high-risk individuals, or deny them coverage. However, most people obtain health insurance through employers, which spreads the risk across all employees and makes insurance affordable for high-risk individuals. An equivalent mechanism for malpractice insurance is known as enterprise liability. It shifts legal and financial responsibility from individual physicians to organizations such as hospitals. Policy implications. If individual states have crises, Massachusetts should. However, it does not. Rather, its s reflect national and regional averages reported by the AMA surveys from 97. Instead of rising continually, s rose and fell cyclically. Most s were moderate in and lower than their 99 peak for nearly all physicians. For the most frequently purchased type of policy and level of coverage, mean s in were $7,. Only within the three highest-risk practice specialties (which included percent of physicians in 99andpercentin)weremeans higher in than in 99. Even within these specialties, nearly one-third of physicians paid less than in 99. Obstetrician/gynecologists paid the highest mean s in : $,979. Most likely, the Insurer s OB/GYN s are higher than the statewide mean. The Insurer lost market share since 997 as obstetrician/gynecologists switched to competitors with lower rates. Our study suggests that other states with high settlement payments and no caps are unlikely to have a crisis unless special factors explain why Massachusetts does not. Differences in insurers underwriting practices, risk assessment, and state regulation could lower Massachusetts s. However, these are likely to produce only marginal or short-term savings. The Insurer, a mutual insurance company, might charge lower s than commercial insurers in other states. This, too, might produce only small differences. Moreover, the opposite occurred in Massachusetts: commercial insurers charged lower rates than the Insurer to highrisk physicians. Nevertheless, in three Massachusetts practice specialties paid s greater than.3 times the mean for all physicians. Their s are outside the norm because ofthesizeoftheirsettlementpayments.ob/ GYN s, for example, are driven by compensation for infants with disabilities requiring lifelong medical or custodial care. Physicians in these specialties who want to advocate for their patients should help change medical practice to reduce injuries and also seek a better means to compensate those injured, not cap damage awards for all patients. Can practice changes reduce adverse events? Anesthesiology suggests that it can. Once a high-risk specialty, it reversed course in the 9s. American Society of Anesthesiology practice guidelines changed the standard of care. Monitors that continuously check oxygen levels became standard, and fatalities fell between ten- and twentyfold in a decade. By cutting adverse events, physicians also greatly decreased malpractice lawsuits and s. If injuries aren t due to negligence, alternative means of compensating injured patients make sense. One option which would also provide financial relief for high-risk specialties is for Congress to create a no-fault compensation system for certain patient injuries, such as infants born with permanent disabilities. There is precedent for such an approach. Virginia and Florida have selective no-fault insurance for certain birth-related injuries. 3 The AMA and others proposed selective no-fault compensation systems for obstetrics-related injuries or cerebral palsy. Similarly, Congress created a no-fault vaccine injury compensation system. Social Security, which insures certain permanent disabilities, could be expanded to cover birth-related disabilities. The Medicare statute could be amended to cover medical, nursing home, and home health care costs for all citizens with certain iatrogenic injuries. Another option is to shift liability from physicians to hospitals for all adverse events that occur in hospitals so-called enterprise liability. That would ensure patient compensa- HEALTH AFFAIRS ~ Volume 7, Number 3 3

Health Tracking tion and reduce the burden on all hospitalbased physicians. If institutions rather than physicians shouldered the burden for compensating injured patients, these expenses would be factored into their overhead costs and reflected in charges paid by insurers. The authors thank Stephen Langlois, Dwight Golan, Tom Baker, and an anonymous reviewer for their assistance. NOTES. Themainsourceoninformationisthe Medical Liability Monitor Reporter (MLMR), which tracks company rate sheets. Premiums paid, however, are adjusted from rate sheets based on risk factors and discounted to make sales. Furthermore, the MLMR averages do not account for differences in types of policies or the dollar level of coverage purchased, which affect price.. See S.G. Vahovich, ed., Profile of Medical Practice (Chicago: American Medical Association, 973); and J.D. Wassenaar and S.L. Thran, eds., Physician Socioeconomic Statistics (Chicago: AMA, 3). 3. M.A.Rodwin,H.J.Chang,andJ.Clausen, Malpractice Premiums and Physicians Income: Perceptions of a Crisis Conflict with Empirical Evidence, Health Affairs, no. 3 (6): 7 7.. Calculations based on NPDB data adjusted by state population from U.S. census data for.. AMA, America s Medical Liability Crisis: A National View (Chicago: AMA, January 7). 6. Massachusetts General Laws, Ch. 3, sec. 6H (). 7. Massachusetts Medical Society, Background: Massachusetts Medical Liability Crisis (Waltham: MMS, June ).. A.M. Best Company, Best s Market Share Reports, Massachusetts Professional Liability Insurance (CD-ROM) (Oldwick, N.J.: A.M. Best Company, ). 9. B. Black et al., Stability, Not Crisis: Medical Malpractice Claim Outcomes in Texas, 9, Journal of Empirical Legal Studies, no. (): 7 9.. M.L. Gonzalez and P. Zhang, eds., Physician Marketplace Statistics 97 99 (Chicago: AMA, 999).. Supplemental Exhibit (online) displays the distribution of physicians receiving various discounts. See http://content.healthaffairs.org/cgi/ content/full/7/3/3/dc.. Supplemental Exhibit (online) displays this information for. Ibid. 3. 3 Code of Massachusetts Regulations, sec..7 (6), Mandatory Professional Malpractice Liability Insurance,February97,p.3.. Supplemental Exhibit 3 (online, as in Note ) displays the distribution of all policies by type and dollar coverage from 99 to.. Supplemental Exhibit lists s for the insurer s nineteen rate groups for $/3 million coverage and the percentage of physicians purchasing such policies by each rate group from 99 to. Online as in Note. 6. R. Moore, Memorandum: Comparison of Pro- Mutual Policy Counts to BRM Licensed Physician Counts (Boston: ProMutual, 3 July 997). 7. Massachusetts insurance rate filings, for Pro- Mutual and Medical Protective.. T. Baker, Medical Malpractice and the Insurance Underwriting Cycle, DePaul University Law Review, no. (): 393 3. 9. K. Karl, T. Holzheu, and M. Raturi, Capital Markets and Insurance Cycles, Journal of Risk Finance, no. (3): 6.. See B. Black et al., Stability, Not Crisis: Medical Malpractice Outcomes in Texas, 9, Journal of Empirical Legal Studies, no. (): 7 9.. E.A. Brunner, The National Association of Insurance Commissioners Closed Claims Study, in Analysis of Anesthetic Mishaps, ed.c.p.ellisonjr.and J.B. Cooper (New York: Little Brown, 9), 7 3.. T.A. Brennan, Methods for Setting Priorities for Guidelines Development: Medical Malpractice, Appendix C, in Setting Priorities for Clinical Practice Guidelines, ed.m.j.field(washington:national Academies Press, 99), 3. 3. J.A Henderson, The Virginia Birth-Related Injury Compensation Act: Limited No-Fault Statutes as Solutions to the Medical Malpractice Crisis, in Medical Professional Liability and Delivery of Obstetrical Care: An Interdisciplinary Review, ed. V.P. Rostow and R.J. Bulger (Washington: National Academies Press, 99), 9.. C.G. Phillips and E.H. Etsty, A Fault-Based Administrative Alternative to Resolving Medical Malpractice Claims: The AMA-Specialty Society Medical Liability Project s Proposal and Its Relevance to the Crisis in Obstetrics, in Medical Professional Liability, vol., ed. Rostow and Bulger, 36 6.. W.K. Mariner, The National Vaccine Injury Compensation Program, Health Affairs, no. (99): 6. May/June