IDAHO 2011 For a strong economy, the skills gap must be closed.



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For a strong economy, the skills gap must be closed. 63% 34% 29% By 2020, jobs requiring a career certificate or college degree Skills gap Too few students make it through college. MEMBER Idaho adults who currently have an associate degree or higher Data: See the Sources and Methodology section on our website. Of students who enroll in a public college or university 00 2-Year Public College 4-Year Public College Enroll 32 9 46 3 Return as sophomores 5 3 30 5 Graduate on time (00% time) 4 0 8 Additional graduates 50% time 3 200% time 2 0 4 Total graduates 9 23 3 Graduate in 4 years 0 26 Graduate in 8 years Key to measuring time Associate Bachelor s 00% time 2 years 4 years 50% time 3 years 6 years 200% time 4 years 8 years Data: 2-year cohort started in fall 2004; 4-year cohort started in fall 2002 For too many students, the path through college ends with no degree and often lots of debt. Note: This report presents data only from public colleges and universities. College America n

We re making great progress in providing access to more students. Total public college enrollment: 56,72 Attending Pursuing Degrees & Certificates 37,73 4,494 8,999 4-year 2-year colleges 4,678 colleges Total State Population, 8-24 White 83% College Enrollment White 80% College Graduation White 84% Hispanic 2% % Other races 5% Hispanic 6% % Other races 2% Data: Fall 2009 enrollment from IPEDS; population data from Census ACS PUMS 06-08; degrees by race from 2007-0 state submissions Now we must have more success from all students. Hispanic 5% Other races 0% For states to compete, their students must earn more degrees and certificates. Overall Credentials Awarded Science, Technology, Engineering, Math (STEM) Credentials Awarded 4,574 4,94,034 990,774,89 955 694 67 33 38 226 2003 2008 2003 2008 2003 2008 2003 2008 2003 2008 2003 2008 Certificate Associate Bachelor s Certificate Associate Bachelor s And all credentials should provide clear pathways to success. Data: 2007 08 College America n 2

Graduation rates are very low, especially if you re poor, part time,, Hispanic, or older. Certificate-Seeking Students All White Hispanic 2005 2005 33.4% On-time ( year) Within /2 years Within 2 years Within year Within /2 years Within 2 years 7.4% 25 and Over 20 24 Directly from HS (age 7 9) Pell Grant Recipients (at entry) Remedial 25.% 26.0% DS* DS* 26.0% 26.3% 24.% 7.5% 4.0% 30.0% 3.4% DS* DS* 3.5% 30.% 29.5% 2.5% 8.0% 33.4% 34.7% 25.5% DS* 34.6% 30.8% 33.9% 27.8% 2.0% 6.2% DS* DS* DS* DS* DS* DS* DS* DS* 2.3% 0.9% DS* DS* DS* DS* DS* DS* DS* 7.4% 5.4% DS* DS* 20.5% DS* 6.9% DS* 3.3% In most states, very few students seeking certificates ever graduate. Associate Degree- Seeking Students All White Hispanic 2004 2004 23.0% On-time (2 years) Within 3 years Within 4 years Within 2 years Within 3 years Within 4 years 6.4% 25 and Over 20 24 Directly from HS (age 7 9) Pell Grant Recipients (at entry) Remedial 8.7% 9.4% DS* DS* 7.7% 5.9% 9.6% 3.5% 2.9% 7.5% 8.8% 9.9% DS* 5.4% 3.6% 8.8% 8.6% 6.9% 2.4% 23.0% 6.4% DS* 8.9% 8.2% 22.6%.8% 9.5% DS* NP* DS* DS* DS* DS* DS* DS* DS* 5.5% 6.% DS* DS* 4.7% DS* 6.3% 5.9% DS* 9.0% 0.0% DS* DS* 9.8% DS* 9.2% 8.4% 5.2% Associate degree graduation rates are abysmal across the country for Hispanic and students, they re tragic. Bachelor s Degree- Seeking Students All White Hispanic 2002 2002 On-time (4 years) Within 6 years Within 8 years Within 4 years Within 6 years Within 8 years 25 and Over 20 24 Directly from HS (age 7 9) Pell Grant Recipients (at entry) Remedial 8.5% 9.4% 6.3% DS* 20.8% 27.7% 6.% 4.0% 4.7% 44.3% 44.% 34.6% 33.3% 33.% 45.3% 40.% 34.% 8.7% 5.0% 52.% 40.9% 36.% 39.6% 52.0% 48.5% 43.4% 28.5% 4.5% 4.7% DS* DS* 4.8% 6.7% DS* 4.7% DS*.9% 2.4% DS* DS* 2.0% 2.9% 0.5% 4.0% 6.8% 6.7% 7.4% DS* DS* 6.4% 6.8% 6.8% 9.8%.9% 33.% 40.% 2.0% Almost no one over the age of 25 graduates; students fresh out of high school are most likely to succeed. Data: Certificate cohort started in 2005 06, associate cohort started in 2004 05, bachelor's cohort started in 2002 03 Given changing demographics, our country will not have enough skilled s to compete unless many more students from all backgrounds and walks of life graduate. NP* = The state did not provide data for this metric. DS* = Fewer than 0 students, so data were suppressed. College America n 3

Retention rates drop from year to year. Many get discouraged and drop out Students in 2-year colleges who return to campus Start Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Start Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 00% 00% 48.4% 25.4% 3.0% 20.6% Students in 4-year colleges who return to campus 00% 64.8% 5.4% 44.2% 00% 38.9% 28.5% 22.8% after falling off track early. Students who earn expected first-year credits (24 credits) Associate Bachelor s (2 credits) Associate Bachelor s 4.9% 53.5% 3.0% 46.3% Staying enrolled is particularly tough for part-time students, who must often balance jobs and school. Remediation. 62.0% Data: Associate cohort started in 2004 05, bachelor's cohort started in 2002 03; earned credits from fall 2006 2-Year Colleges of freshmen require of those and associated college-level courses in two years Graduate within 3 years (projected) Current approaches almost always guarantee failure. 4-Year Colleges 57.4% 9.9% 23.5% 65.2% of freshmen require of those 42.2% 6.9% 8.7% and associated college-level courses in two years Graduate within 6 years (projected) Data: Fall 2006 College America n 4

Precious time and money are lost when students don t graduate on schedule. Students are taking too much time Certificate Associate Bachelor s 3.3 years 4.9 years Should take year for full-time students 5 years 5.8 years Should take 2 years for full-time students 5.4 years 6.6 years Should take 4 years for full-time students and too many credits. Certificate Associate Bachelor s 58 credits 62 credits Should take 30 credits 02 credits 93 credits Should take 60 credits 44 credits 47 credits Should take 20 credits More students must graduate on time. Data: 2007 08 College America n 5

More time isn t giving us enough success. For certificate and associate degree students, graduation rates are very low even when more time. Certificate Associate 25.% 30.0% 2.3% 33.4% 7.4% 8.7% 7.5% 5.5% 2.4% 9.0% In year In.5 years In 2 years In 2 years In 3 years In 4 years On-time graduation rates for bachelor s degree students are shockingly low. And adding time beyond six years produces little additional success. Bachelor s 44.3% 5.0% 8.5%.9% 6.7% In 4 years In 6 years In 8 years Data: Certificate cohort started in 2005 06; associate cohort started in 2004 05; bachelor's cohort started in 2002 03 Even modest progress provides little comfort when overall graduation rates are so low. College America n 6

Graduation rates by campus Public two-year colleges (In 3 years) Public four-year colleges (In 6 years) Eastern Idaho Technical College 37% University of Idaho 56% North Idaho College 23% Idaho State University 34% College of Southern Idaho 8% Boise State University 27% Lewis-Clark State College 22% Data: Reported by institutions to NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). Graduation rates are for first-time, full-time students completing certificate or degree within 50 percent of normal program time. Source: U.S. Department of Education, IPEDS 2009 0 Graduation Rates College America n 7