The Physician Workforce. 2012 Physician Survey Report. Dianne Reynolds-Cane, MD, Director. Virginia Department of Health Professions



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The Physician Workforce 2012 Physician Survey Report Dianne Reynolds-Cane, MD, Director Virginia Department of Health Professions Joint Commission on Health Care September 17, 2013 Updated 9/18/13 Healthcare Workforce Data Center A Program of the Virginia Department of Health Professions Survey regulated health professionals during renewal period http://www.dhp.virginia.gov/hwdc/default.htm Every March: Assisted Living Facility Administrators Dental Hygienists Dentists Nursing Home Administrators Every June: Clinical Psychologists Licensed Professional Counselors June, Odd Years Licensed Clinical Social Workers Every December Audiologists Pharmacists Pharmacy Technicians Speech-Language Pathologists December, Odd Years Physician Assistants December, Even Years Doctors of Osteopathy Medical Doctors Physical Therapists Physical Therapy Assistants Every August* Certified Nurse Aides Licensed Practical Nurses Nurse Practitioners** Registered Nurses Reports Available at: www.dhp.virginia.gov/hwdc Updates on our blog: www.vahwdc.tumblr.com 1

Physician Survey Update HWDC Standard Survey Template Streamlined Processes Comparable & Consistent set of Indicators Standard Output Reports Physician Survey Job Satisfaction Current Employment Status Including new background question (rural/urban/suburban) Turnover Work Setting match NAICS Codes Agenda 2012 Physician Survey Report Findings Related HWDC Survey Report Data Take Away 2

2012 Physician Survey Results Medical Education and Residencies Graduated from Virginia medical schools: 20% (23%) Completed residencies in Virginia: 27% (30%) Virginia Retains (unchanged): 35% of its Medical School Graduates 39% of its Residents Workforce Demographics Work full-time : 83% (85%) Work primarily in patient care: 86% Work in primary care specialties: 42% (39%) ( )2010 Survey Results 3

Snapshot of Virginia s Physician Workforce Council on Virginia s Future Regions 2012 Northern Eastern Hampton Roads Valley Central Southside West Central Southwest Virginia Physicians 4,867 178 3,345 901 4,054 476 1,962 569 17,168 Primary Care Percent Primary Care Primary Care Physicians per 100,000 residents 2,030 107 1,335 395 1,342 232 704 319 6,922 42% 60% 34% 44% 33% 49% 36% 56% 40% 74 75 79 81 83 61 96 76 85 Note: Regional estimates do not include physicians whose primary work location is outside of Virginia, or who worked in several localities/locum tenens or whose location could not be determined. Virginia totals do include these physicians. Southside Virginia has a high proportion of uninsured adults and a low number of physician FTEs per resident. 4

Supply Physician Mal-distribution HWDC periodic survey reports Metro areas, towns, rural areas NP and PA surveys for 2012 have been released Demand Geospatial Innovations VHHA Healthcare Workforce Strategic Planning Task Force HRSA National Model Diversity 5

DEMOGRAPHICS Gender and FTEs 6

Age and Retirement Median Age is 51. Nearly 20% of physicians expect to retire within the next 5 years. Projected Virginia Physician Shortages to 2030 Projected Change in the Patient Care Physician to Population Ratio, 2010 to 2030* *assumes Virginia competes favorably in attracting new physicians Physicians FTE Physicians 240 Physicians per 100,000 Residents 230 220 210 200 190 180 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Source: Virginia Healthcare Workforce Data Center Analysis. Forecasts performed by the Lewin Group 7

EDUCATION AND TRAINING Education and Training-Virginia Educated in Virginia High school: 20% Undergraduate: 19% Medical School: 20% Trained in Virginia 27% 8

Education and Training Education Virginia Border VA & NY & Regional International State Bordering PA High School 20% 12% 32% 15% 47% 20% Undergraduate 19% 16% 35% 14% 49% 17% Medical School 20% 18% 38% 13% 51% 21% Residency 27% 23% 50% 17% 67% NA The AAMC has committed to increasing the number of Medical School slots by 30% over 2002 numbers by 2017. 528 US Medical Students did not have a residency by the end of match week this year.* Regional: Virginia Washington DC New York Pennsylvania Maryland North Carolina *Rebecca Greenberg, AAMC Reporter, April 2013. Geriatrics-Virginia Physicians Physician Workforce ABMS-Certified Subspecialtists in Virginia: Family Medicine Internal Medicine Psychiatry Total: 221 Self-Designated Geriatric Specialists: 894 (2010) Virginia Geriatric Training Programs University of Virginia Virginia Commonwealth University Eastern Virginia Medical School Carilion Clinic. 9

Specialties Specialty Board- Certified Self-Designated Internal Medicine* 20% 14% Family Medicine* 9% 14% Pediatrics* 8% 9% Psych/Neurology 6% 6% Radiology 4% <5% Anesthesiology 4% 6% Emergency Medicine 4% 8% OBGYN* <4% 5% *Primary Care 42% PRACTICE CHARACTERISTICS 10

Open for Business Program Physicians accepting payment type Physicians accepting new patients (with insurance type) Medicare 67% 59% Medicaid 61% 53% Primary Work Role 11

Establishment Types Admitting Privileges 12

Reimbursement Methods Mid-Level Healthcare Practitioners Physician Assistants 1,891 in Workforce 1,775 FTEs Median Age: 37 Nurse Practitioners 6,056 in Workforce 6,435 FTEs Half became NPs after Y2000 13

Military Credentialing and Licensing House Bill 1535 (2011) Physicians and other officer-level professions can be licensed through endorsement from other states. Enlisted-level occupations require extensive, professional-level crosswalking and gap analyses in comparison with civilian health professional licensure. In response to Delegate Stolle s request and upon request to participate in the DoD multi-agency Task force on Military Credentialing, DHP has been contributing to this analysis since March 2012. 14

Take Home Demographics Slightly more than half of physicians under age 40 are women Women physicians practice by approximately11.5% fewer hours than their male peers Asian physicians comprise the largest ethnic minority at 17% Nearly 20% of physicians expect to retire in the next 5 years Education and Training Retention of medical school grads and residents is essentially unchanged from 2010 Take Home About half of Virginia s physicians are educated and trained in bordering or nearby states Workforce Mal-distribution The physician to population ratio is especially low in Southside and Southwest Virginia and in some urban areas Legislation such as HB346 and HB1501 enable efficiencies through patient care teams, collaborative care, and healthcare related IT to ease the burden of care carried by too few physicians. 15

Take Home Practice Related Primary care physician salaries are far below physician specialists salaries Most physicians who accept Medicaid and Medicare are accepting new patients. Top Priorities Enabling civilian licensing of veterans and spouses DHP continues to collaborate with legislators and stakeholders to provide data to help determine supply and demand of Virginia s healthcare workforce in Virginia Perimeter Center Office 9960 Mayland Drive Suite 300 Henrico, Virginia 23233 Thank You! 16