Kuehne + Nagel International AG Analyst Conference Call Q1 results 2015. April 14, 2015 (CET 14.00) Schindellegi, Switzerland



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Transcription:

Kuehne + Nagel International AG Analyst Conference Call Q1 results 2015 (CET 14.00) Schindellegi, Switzerland

Forward-looking statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements. Such statements are subject to risks and uncertainties as various factors, many of which are beyond the control of Kuehne + Nagel International AG, may cause actual development and results to differ materially from the expectations contained in the presentation. Reference is also made to our disclaimer on the last slide of this presentation. p. 2

Agenda Overview Q1 results 2015 Financial review Appendices p. 3

Overview Q1 results 2015 - Kuehne + Nagel Group Net turnover Gross Profit EBIT in CHF million in CHF million in CHF million + 5.9% + 5.1% + 7.4% 4'127 4'096 4'374 1'532 1'497 1'610 190 190 204 (0.8%) (2.3%) 0% 2015 2015 cc 2015 2015 cc 2015 2015 cc Net turnover growth of 5.9% in cc 1 Gross Profit increased by 5.1% in cc EBIT Profitability improved by 7.4% in cc 1 cc (constant currencies) p. 4

Development of volumes Seafreight [TEU] 000 Volume decrease of 0.7% yoy Airfreight [TON] 000 Volume increase of 6.7% yoy 996 991 317 896 911 923 937 906 896 890 285 281 78 295 297 277 279 81 79 297 304 285 77 838 390 356 364 366 327 350 355 343 364 356 77 75 75 72 69 73 Q1 vs. 2013 Q2 vs. 2013 Q3 vs. 2013 Q4 vs. 2013 Q1 2015 vs. Q1 vs. 2013 Q2 vs. 2013 Q3 vs. 2013 Q4 vs. 2013 Q1 2015 vs. 2015 GP/TEU in CHF GP/TEU in CHF 2013 GP/TEU in CHF 2015 GP/100kg in CHF GP/100kg in CHF 2013 GP/100kg in CHF p. 5

EBIT per business unit - Q1 2015/ Business Unit (in CHF million) Q1 Q1 2015 Q1 2015 cc 1 Seafreight 92 94 102 Airfreight 62 68 71 Overland 3 4 4 Contract Logistics 33 24 27 Kuehne + Nagel 190 190 204 Average exchange rates: Euro 1.2232 1.0859 1.2232 US Dollar 0.8904 0.9502 0.8904 British Pound 1.4756 1.4498 1.4756 1 cc (constant currencies) p. 6

Seafreight - Performance of business unit Income Statement in CHF million YTD Mar YTD Mar 2015 Variance 2015/ Growth Forex Turnover 2'154 2'244 4.2% 9.9% (5.7%) Gross Profit 319 324 1.6% 7.6% (6.0%) EBITDA 98 102 4.1% 12.3% (8.2%) EBIT 92 94 2.2% 10.9% (8.7%) EBIT in % of GP 28.8% 29.0% Highlights Q1 2015 Gross Profit increase of 7.6% (in cc 1 ) EBIT increase of 10.9% (in cc) Volume decrease of 0.7% GP/TEU of CHF 364, +2.2% yoy Conversion rate at 29.0% Volumes Asia-Europe Volumes Asia-North America 000 TEU, CHF in % 1 cc (constant currencies) p. 7

Airfreight - Performance of business unit Income Statement in CHF million YTD Mar YTD Mar 2015 Variance 2015/ Growth Forex Turnover 1'002 999 (0.3%) 5.1% (5.4%) Gross Profit 219 221 0.9% 5.5% (4.6%) EBITDA 68 72 5.9% 10.3% (4.4%) EBIT 62 68 9.7% 14.5% (4.8%) EBIT in % of GP 28.3% 30.8% Highlights Q1 2015 Strong development of profitability Volume growth of 6.7% EBIT increased by 14.5% in cc 1 Conversion rate of 30.8% 000 Tons, CHF in % 1 cc (constant currencies) p. 8

Overland - Performance of business unit Income Statement in CHF million YTD Mar YTD Mar 2015 Variance 2015/ Growth Forex Net Turnover 692 587 (15.2%) (5.8%) (9.4%) Gross Profit 225 200 (11.1%) (1.8%) (9.3%) EBITDA 12 12 0.0% 16.7% (16.7%) EBIT 3 4 33.3% 40.5% (7.2%) EBITDA / Net Turnover Margin 1.7% 2.0% EBIT / Net Turnover Margin 0.4% 0.7% EBIT / GP Margin 1.3% 2.0% 15 10 5 (1.3) 4 0.6 (0.6) 1 3 0.1 0.4 1.8 13 2 0.3 1.8 12 4 0.7 EBIT EBIT/Net turnover margin Highlights Q1 2015 Net Turnover decreased by 5.8% (in cc 1 )... Gross Profit decreased by 1.8% (in cc)......due to divestment of project business in and reduced rates based on lower diesel prices (5) (4) Significant improvement of profitability (10) (9) EBIT increased In MCHF, in % Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 1 cc (constant currencies) p. 9

Contract Logistics - Performance of business unit Income Statement in CHF million YTD Mar YTD Mar 2015 Variance 2015/ Growth Forex Net Turnover 1'026 1'015 (1.1%) 6.9% (8.0%) Gross Profit 769 752 (2.2%) 6.0% (8.2%) EBITDA 57 47 (17.5%) (8.7%) (8.8%) EBIT 33 24 (27.3%) (18.2%) (9.1%) EBITDA / Net Turnover Margin 5.6% 4.6% EBIT / Net Turnover Margin 3.2% 2.4% 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 In MCHF, in % 29 35 35 43 33 37 37 2.8 3.3 3.3 3.9 3.2 3.4 3.3 3.9 2.4 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 Q2 Q3 46 Q4 24 Q1 2015 EBIT EBIT/Net turnover margin Highlights Q1 2015 Increase of Net Turnover by 6.9% (in cc 1 ) Increase of Gross Profit by 6.0% (in cc) Decrease of EBITDA by 8.7% (in cc)... Decrease of EBIT by 18.2% (in cc)...due to volume reduction from large customers, price pressure in Western Europe and the built-up of resources for further organic growth 1 cc (constant currencies) p. 10

Agenda Overview Q1 Results 2015 Financial review Appendices p. 11

Income statement CHF million Q1 YTD Dec 2015 Q1 Variance Variance in % Q1 2015/ Q1 2015/ Growth Forex Net Turnover 4'127 17'501 4'096 (31) (0.8%) 5.9% (6.7%) Gross Profit 1'532 6'288 1'497 (35) (2.3%) 5.1% (7.4%) Gross Profit margin 37.1% 35.9% 36.5% EBITDA 235 1'005 233 (2) (0.9%) 6.8% (7.7%) EBITDA margin 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% EBIT 190 819 190 0 0.0% 7.4% (7.4%) EBIT margin 4.6% 4.7% 4.6% EBT 192 824 196 4 2.1% 9.4% (7.3%) EBT margin 4.7% 4.7% 4.8% Earnings for the period 150 644 153 3 2.0% 9.3% (7.3%) Gross Profit growth in cc 1 + 5.1% EBITDA growth in cc + 6.8% Earnings for the period growth in cc + 9.3%, showing high operating leverage Negative foreign currency translation impact of 7.3% on the earnings for the period Income Statement (average rates) Q1 Q1 2015 Variance % Euro 1.2232 1.0859 (11.2%) US Dollar 0.8904 0.9502 6.7% (7.3%) 1 cc (constant currencies) British Pound 1.4756 1.4498 (1.8%) Impact on earnings for the year in % p. 12

Financial overview Q1 Financial targets 2015 CHF million 2015 Net Turnover 4'127 4'096 Gross Profit 1'532 1'497 EBITDA 235 233 EBIT 190 190 EBIT margin to Net Turnover 4.6% 4.6% Net earnings for the period 147 152 EPS (basic) in CHF 1.23 1.27 Total Assets 6'522 6'317 Equity 2'657 2'414 Equity % of Total Assets 40.7% 38.2% Cash and cash equivalents, net 1'225 1'238 Operational Cash Flow 243 236 Capex 44 44 Profitability CAPEX Working Capital Cash Tax Group EBIT margin to Net Turnover of 5% 2015: CHF 228 million (: CHF 196 million) Target to maintain working capital intensity at 3.5 to 4.0% Safeguarding a high cash position Effective tax rate around 21 to 22% p. 13

Financial review - Balance sheet CHF million 31 December 31 March 2015 31 December 31 March 2015 Assets Property, plant and equipment 1'175 1'051 Goodwill 695 626 Liabilities and equity Equity attributable to the equity holders of the parent company 2'448 2'409 Other intangibles 49 36 Non-controlling interests 5 5 Others 256 235 Total equity 2'453 2'414 Non-current assets 2'175 1'948 Non-current liabilities 671 603 Trade payables 1'485 1'316 Trade receivables 2'600 2'459 Accrued trade expenses / deferred income 1'032 979 Cash and cash equivalents 1'170 1'253 Bank and other interest-bearing liabilities 13 23 Others 658 657 Others 949 982 Current assets 4'428 4'369 Current liabilities 3'479 3'300 Total assets 6'603 6'317 Total liabilities and equity 6'603 6'317 p. 14

Financial review - Cash flow Q1 CHF million 2015 Variance Operational cash flow 243 236 (7) Changes in working capital (131) (38) 93 Income taxes paid (65) (47) 18 Cash flow from operating activities 47 151 104 Cash flow from investing activities (35) (35) - Cash flow from financing activities (21) (13) 8 Exchange difference on cash and cash equivalents (8) (28) (20) Increase/(decrease) in cash and cash equivalents (17) 75 92 Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the period, net 1'242 1'163 (79) Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period, net 1'225 1'238 13 p. 15

Financial review - Working capital development CHF million March December March 2015 Better/(Worse) March 15 vs. December 14 Trade receivables & Work in progress 2'879 2'993 2'799 194 Trade payables & Accrued trade expenses (2'061) (2'351) (2'134) (217) Net working capital 818 642 665 (23) KPI's: Working capital intensity 4.1% 3.0% 3.3% (0.3%) DSO 46.7 44.4 45.8 (1.4) DPO 53.4 54.9 55.7 0.8 6.7 10.5 9.9 (0.6) p. 16

Outlook 2015 - Development main exchange rates vs. CHF Translation impact Income Statement (average rates) Estimate 2015 Estimate based on Note 52 of the Consolidated Financial Statements 2015 Variance % Impact on earnings for the period in CHF million Euro 1.0500 1.0859 (3.3%) (2) US Dollar 0.9000 0.9502 (5.3%) (3) British Pound 1.3600 1.4498 (6.2%) (0) p. 17

Outlook 2015 - Volume development Business Unit Market Q1 2015 - Actual Kuehne + Nagel Market 2015 - Estimate Kuehne + Nagel Seafreight [TEU] + 2 to 3 % -1% + 3 to 4 % market Airfreight [Ton] + 3 to 4 % + 7 % + 4 to 5 % 1.5 x market Overland [Net turnover] In cc 1 + 1 to 3 % -6 % + 2 to 3 % market Contract Logistics [Net turnover] In cc + 2 to 3 % + 7 % + 3 to 4 % 2x market 1 cc (constant currencies) p. 18

Appendices

Upcoming events May 5, 2015 Annual General Meeting May 12, 2015 Dividend payment for July 14, 2015 Half-year 2015 results October 13, 2015 Nine-months 2015 results p. 20

Quarter over quarter 2015/ 2015 2015 / Change in 2015 / Change in CHF million % mchf Q1 Q1 Q1 Q1 1. Seafreight A) Income Statement Turnover 2'244 2'154 +4.2 90 Net Turnover 1'639 1'572 +4.3 67 Gross Profit 324 319 +1.6 5 Opex (222) (221) (0.5) (1) EBITDA 102 98 +4.1 4 Depreciation and Amortisation (8) (6) (33.3) (2) EBIT 94 92 +2.2 2 B) KPI EBIT / GP conversion ratio 29.0% 28.8% Volume (TEU's '000) 890 896 (0.7) (6) GROSS PROFIT 364 356 +2.2 8 EXPENSES CHF per TEU (258) (253) (2.0) (5) EBIT 106 103 +2.9 3 2. Airfreight A) Income Statement Turnover 999 1'002 (0.3) (3) Net turnover 855 837 +2.2 18 Gross Profit 221 219 +0.9 2 Opex (149) (151) +1.3 2 EBITDA 72 68 +5.9 4 Depreciation and Amortisation (4) (6) +33.3 2 EBIT 68 62 +9.7 6 B) KPI EBIT / GP conversion ratio 30.8% 28.3% Volume (TON's '000) 304 285 +6.7 19 GROSS PROFIT 73 77 (5.2) (4) EXPENSES CHF per 100kg (50) (55) +9.1 5 EBIT 23 22 +4.5 1 p. 21

Quarter over quarter 2015/ 2015 2015 / Change in 2015 / Change in CHF million % mchf Q1 Q1 Q1 Q1 3. Overland A) Income Statement Turnover 644 754 (14.6) (110) Net Turnover 587 692 (15.2) (105) Gross Profit 200 225 (11.1) (25) Opex (188) (213) +11.7 25 EBITDA 12 12 +0.0 0 Depreciation and Amortisation (8) (9) +11.1 1 EBIT 4 3 +33.3 1 B) KPI EBITDA / Net turnover 2.0% 1.7% EBIT / Net turnover 0.7% 0.4% 4. Contract Logistics A) Income Statement Turnover 1'101 1'119 (1.6) (18) Net turnover 1'015 1'026 (1.1) (11) Gross Profit 752 769 (2.2) (17) Opex (705) (712) +1.0 7 EBITDA 47 57 (17.5) (10) Depreciation and Amortisation (23) (24) +4.2 1 EBIT 24 33 (27.3) (9) B) KPI EBITDA / Net turnover 4.6% 5.6% EBIT / Net turnover 2.4% 3.2% p. 22

Quarter over quarter 2015/ 2015 2015 / Change in 2015 / Change in CHF million % mchf Q1 Q1 Q1 Q1 5. Kuehne + Nagel Group A) Income Statement Turnover 4'988 5'029 (0.8) (41) Customs duties and taxes (892) (902) +1.1 10 Net Turnover 4'096 4'127 (0.8) (31) Net expenses for services from third parties (2'599) (2'595) (0.2) (4) Gross Profit 1'497 1'532 (2.3) (35) Opex (1'264) (1'297) +2.5 33 EBITDA 233 235 (0.9) (2) Depreciation and Amortisation (43) (45) +4.4 2 EBIT 190 190 +0.0 0 Result from finance and associates 6 2 +200.0 4 EBT 196 192 +2.1 4 Income tax (43) (42) (2.4) (1) Earnings for the period 153 150 +2.0 3 Non-controlling interests (1) (3) +66.7 2 Net Earnings 152 147 +3.4 5 B) KPI GP / Net turnover 36.5% 37.1% EBITDA / Net turnover 5.7% 5.7% EBIT / Net turnover 4.6% 4.6% Earnings for the period / Net turnover 3.7% 3.6% p. 23

Contact Markus Blanka-Graff Andrea Kobi CFO Investor Relations markus.blanka@kuehne-nagel.com andrea.kobi@kuehne-nagel.com Tel: +41 (0)44 7869 644 Tel: +41 (0)44 7869 561 Disclaimer Investing in the shares of Kuehne + Nagel International AG involves risks. Prospective investors are strongly requested to consult their investment advisors and tax advisors prior to investing in shares of Kuehne + Nagel International AG. This document contains forward-looking statements which involve risks and uncertainties. These statements may be identified by such words as may, plans, expects, believes and similar expressions, or by their context. These statements are made on the basis of current knowledge and assumptions. Various factors could cause actual future results, performance or events to differ materially from those described in these statements. No obligation is assumed to update any forward-looking statements. Potential risks and uncertainties include such factors as general economic conditions, foreign exchange fluctuations, competitive product and pricing pressures and regulatory developments. The information contained in this document has not been independently verified and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or opinions contained herein. The information in this presentation is subject to change without notice, it may be incomplete or condensed, and it may not contain all material information concerning the Kuehne + Nagel Group. None of Kuehne + Nagel International AG or their respective affiliates shall have any liability whatsoever for any loss whatsoever arising from any use of this document, or otherwise arising in connection with this document. This presentation is not an offer of securities for sale in the United States. The offer and sale of Kuehne + Nagel International AG securities has not been, and will not be registered under the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended. Kuehne + Nagel International AG securities may not be offered or sold to anyone in the United States absent such registration, except pursuant to an appropriate exemption from registration. There will be no public offering of Kuehne + Nagel International AG securities in the United States. p. 24