Second Quarter 2015 Earnings Presentation

Transcription

1 Second Quarter 2015 Earnings Presentation July 30, 2015

2 Forward Looking Statement This presentation includes forward-looking statements, which are statements that frequently use words such as "anticipate," "believe," "continue," "could," "estimate," "expect," "forecast," "intend," "may," "plan," "position," "projection," "should," "strategy," opportunity, "target," "will" and similar words. Although we believe that such forward-looking statements are reasonable based on currently available information, such statements involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions and are not guarantees of performance. Future actions, conditions or events and future results of operations may differ materially from those expressed in these forward-looking statements. Many of the factors that will determine these results are beyond the ability of Midcoast Energy Partners, L.P. (the Partnership ) to control or predict. The Partnership s forward looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties pertaining to operating performance, regulatory parameters, project approval and support, weather, economic conditions, interest rates and commodity prices, including but not limited to the following specific factors that could cause actual results to differ from those in the forward-looking statements: (1) changes in the demand for or the supply of, forecast data for, and price trends related to natural gas, natural gas liquids and crude oil and the response by natural gas and crude oil producers to changes in any of these factors; (2) the Partnership s ability to successfully complete and finance expansion projects; (3) the effects of competition, in particular, by other pipeline and gathering systems, as well as other processing and treating plants; (4) shut-downs or cutbacks at the Partnership s facilities or refineries, petrochemical plants, utilities or other businesses for which the Partnership transports products or to whom the Partnership sells products; (5) hazards and operating risks that may not be covered fully by insurance; (6) changes in or challenges to the Partnership s rates; (7) changes in laws or regulations to which the Partnership is subject, including compliance with environmental and operational safety regulations that may increase costs of system integrity testing and maintenance; and (8) cost overruns and delays on construction projects resulting from numerous factors. Forward-looking statements regarding drop-down opportunities are further qualified by the fact that Enbridge Energy Partners, L.P. is under no obligation to offer to sell us additional interests in Midcoast Operating, L.P., and we are under no obligation to buy any such additional interests. As a result, we do not know when or if any such additional interests will be purchased. Forward-looking statements regarding joint funding or investments in Partnership projects by Enbridge Energy Partners, L.P. ( EEP ) are further qualified by the fact that EEP has no obligation to participate in such projects, and there is no guarantee that it will do so. Except to the extent required by law, we assume no obligation to publically update or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. In addition to the risks listed above, other risks include those detailed from time to time in the Partnership s Securities and Exchange Commission, or SEC, reports, including, without limitation, in the Partnership s Annual Report on Form 10-K for December 31, 2014 and any subsequently filed Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for additional factors that may affect results. These filings are available to the public at the SEC's website ( In this presentation, unless the context otherwise requires, references to Midcoast, the Partnership, MEP, we, our, us, or like terms refer to Midcoast Energy Partners, L.P. We refer to Enbridge Energy Partners, L.P. as Enbridge Energy Partners, Sponsor, or EEP. References to Midcoast Operating or MOLP refer to Midcoast Operating, L.P. 2

3 Second Quarter Highlights Solid Financial Performance Three consecutive quarters of solid financial results with 1.18X coverage through 1H 2015 Announced fifth consecutive quarterly cash distribution increase Actions to Strengthen Underlying Business Execution on plan to reduce annual operating & administrative expenses by over $50 million on track Streamlining organization with divestiture of non-core assets Entered into an agreement with a leading third party to market natural gas and enhance access to markets Sponsor Actions Announced Enhance distribution growth through 2017 (~5% CAGR) Expect to receive next drop-down proposal in 2016 Executed actions enhance long-term investment proposition at MEP 3

4 NGL Production (bpd) Volume by System (mmbtu/d in thousands) Financial Results Financial Summary (1) Midcoast Operating, LP 2Q Q 2014 Adjusted EBITDA, inclusive of other cash items (3) $59.6 $60.7 Midcoast Energy Partners (MEP) 2Q Q 2014 Adjusted EBITDA (2) $24.5 $16.7 Distributable Cash Flow $19.4 $14.4 Coverage 1.19x 0.99x Debt / EBITDA 3.6x Volumes Anadarko East Texas North Texas 2,500 2, ,500 1,029 1,063 1,056 1, , Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 Operational Highlights Natural gas and NGL system volumes inline with expectations Executed cost reduction measures meaningfully benefit financial results Beckville processing plant in-service 100,000 90,000 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 (1) $ Millions, unless otherwise noted. Unaudited; adjusted results exclude the effect of: (a) non-cash, mark-to-market net gains and losses; (b) non-cash goodwill impairment; (c) non-cash asset impairment; among other adjustments. Refer to the Non-GAAP Reconciliation tables presented in the supplemental slides. (2) Adjusted EBITDA includes equity earnings from joint venture investment in Texas Express NGL system. (3) MOLP Adjusted EBITDA, inclusive of other cash items includes equity earnings and cash distributions in excess of equity earnings from joint venture investment in Texas Express NGL system and $25 million annual G&A abatement. 4

5 Capital Expenditures Forecast & Available Liquidity Midcoast Operating, L.P. ($ millions) 2015e Beckville Gas Processing Plant 60 Eaglebine Developments 135 Compression Capital 25 Well Connect Expansion Capital 35 Expansion Capital 40 Maintenance Capital 45 Total Midcoast Operating Capital (1) $340 Less: Joint funding from EEP (2) $165 Total MEP Capital Expenditure Forecast $175 $ millions $600.0 $400.0 Available Liquidity $467.5 MM $27.5 $540.3 MM $5.3 Sufficient liquidity to fund balance of year capital requirements Eaglebine Expansion $200.0 $440.0 $535.0 $0.0 6/30/2015 3/31/2015 Available Credit Cash (1) Represents capital expenditure forecast at Midcoast Operating level. Capex to be proportionally shared between EEP and MEP based on ownership interest in Midcoast Operating. (2) Joint funding forecast is based upon 12 months of current EEP ownership at 48.4% of Midcoast Operating. 5

6 Adjusted O&A Expenses (Net of G&A Abatement) Executing on Strategic Priorities to Strengthen Underlying Business Sustainable cost reductions and asset optimization actions on track Executing on plan to reduce annual operating & administrative expenses by over $50 million Cost structure being aligned with current activity levels $100 $80 $60 $40 $20 $0 Operating & Admin Expense Trend* Q Q Q Q Q Q * O&A expenses calculated net of annual $25 million G&A abatement. Streamlining business with divestiture of non-core assets Tinsley crude oil terminal and pipeline Louisiana propylene pipeline Entered into an agreement with an industry-leading natural gas marketer Asset management and marketing arrangement with Sequent Energy Management Sequent is a wholly-owned subsidiary of AGL Resources, a strong investment-grade Fortune 500 Company Sequent s logistical expertise and access to market enhance MEP s current capabilities in marketing production volumes Hedging program enhances cash flow certainty Hedges secure 2015 and 2016 commoditybased cash flows Average hedge prices well above current market levels 6

7 Sponsor Actions Underpin Visible Growth Sponsor (EEP) actions to enhance Partnership s ability to deliver distribution growth through December 31, 2017 ~5% distribution CAGR at MEP through 2017 EEP to potentially adjust its quarterly distribution from Midcoast Operating if necessary to enable MEP to maintain a 1.0x distribution coverage Contemplates a $0.005 per unit quarterly distribution increase Timing of next drop-down announced MEP expects to receive next drop-down proposal from EEP in 2016 with attractive terms EEP to continue to co-invest alongside MEP Jointly fund capital expenditures at Midcoast Operating Supports balance sheet and leverage Management and sponsor actions position MEP to respond as fundamentals strengthen 7

8 Natural Gas business ownership Drop-down Program Drives Growth 100% 48.4% 51.6% July 1, e 2019e Drop-down program is strategic to both EEP and MEP Next drop-down proposal expected in 2016 Expected drop-down size ~$200 - $300 million EEP would consider receipt of MEP equity for some or all of the consideration for the next drop-down to MEP. Drop-down pace expected through 2019 Sponsor aligned and incentivized to ensure MEP success 8

9 Key Takeaways Solid financial performance and healthy coverage through 1H x YTD Coverage Fifth consecutive quarterly distribution increase (+8.5% vs 2Q14) Actions underway to strengthen underlying midstream business O&A cost reductions and asset optimization actions on track Hedging program largely secures 2015 and 2016 commodity-based gross margin Streamlining business with non-core asset divestitures Sponsor actions enhance growth outlook Annual distribution growth of ~5% with coverage of 1.0X through 2017 Expect next drop-down proposal in 2016 with attractive terms to enhance accretion MEP positioned to grow as business fundamentals improve 9

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