Investment Analysis and Management, BMA 5302

Transcription

1 National University of Singapore NUS Business School Investment Analysis and Management BMA 5302 Spring 2013 Professor: Dr. Emir HRNJIĆ Office: MRB #07-80 Phone: Class Schedule: Wed, 12:00 3:00 pm / Wed, 6:00 9:00 pm Classroom: Office Hours: Tue, 5:00 6:00 Office hours are on Tue, 5:00 6:00 pm. If you want to meet me outside that time, I recommend that you make an appointment. I encourage students to contact me through . COURSE DESCRIPTION The course content consists of a mix of descriptive material, theoretical models, model application, and case studies. We shall cover fundamental analysis and security valuation on stocks, bonds, options and futures, as well as modern portfolio management. On completion, students should be conversant in investment management in preparation for careers in financial analysis and financial planning, investment banking, and corporate finance. Also, students should be ready for the Chartered Financial Analysts (CFA) examinations in quantitative analysis, equity securities analysis and portfolio management. COURSE STRUCTURE The course is designed to help students develop an understanding of equity, bonds, and derivatives. A tentative course schedule and assigned textbook readings and problems are attached. Additional supplemental problem sets will also be assigned during the semester. Several things are done that give students the opportunity to integrate material into the real world. Investment Gurus consists of interviews with successful stock gurus detailing how they have successfully applied investment theories and models to real world equity investing. COURSE PRE-REQUISITES Financial Management (BMA 5008) ATTENDANCE POLICY Class attendance is beneficial, but not mandatory. You are responsible for all material and announcements made in class. All students should display name sign during the class AND during the test. 1 NUS Business School

2 REQUIRED COURSE MATERIALS (1) Textbook: Investments, 8 th edition by Bodie, Kane, and Marcus (2) Case studies: The State of South Carolina (Harvard) MOFSL: IPO in India(Harvard) Dimensional Fund Advisors (Harvard) Warren Buffett, 2005 (Darden) Zeus Asset Management, Inc. (Darden) Behavioral Finance at JP Morgan (Harvard) Worldcom, Inc.: Corporate Bond Issuance (Darden) NEC Electronics (3) Calculator: A calculator that does two variable statistics is needed for homework and tests. If you do not have one, I recommend the Texas Instruments BAII plus business calculator (that s the one I use). It does everything you need to be able to do, is user friendly, and is relatively inexpensive. You are required to bring calculator every class. RECOMMENDED READING (1) Barron s (2) The Wall Street Journal: In particular, Section C. (3) Investment Gurus: by Peter Tanous, NYIF, 1997 COURSE EVALUATION The assessment policy for this course is specified in the following paragraphs. Please read it carefully. The final course grade will be computed based on the following weights: (1) Class Participation 10% (2) Test 1: 20% (3) Case Studies (presentation and discussions): 20% (4) Quizzes: 10% (5) Team project: 20% (6) Test 2: 20% 2 NUS Business School

3 TESTS Tests will be a combination of multiple choice questions, show-your-work problems, and essay questions. Tests will cover all assigned readings and problems as well as material covered and discussed in class. The multiple-choice questions will be conceptual. The show-your-work problems will be computation based and similar to assigned problems. The essay questions will ask you to explain a concept. Answers to these should be one or two paragraphs in length. The best way to prepare for the tests is to do the readings and the assignments and attend class. You are allowed to have a calculator and formula sheet (and nothing else) to all tests. You may bring in a 5 8 formula sheet (both sides) for the test or a 8 x11 formula sheet (one side only). You are allowed to write only formulas on a formula sheet (this should be self-explanatory). Each formula sheet will be submitted with your test when you turn it in. If you know that you have a conflict with an upcoming test such as a job interview, you must notify me several days in advance and provide supporting documentation or a make-up test will be denied. Students on athletic scholarships have to provide supporting material in the first week of the semester. Last minute requests for a make-up test will be denied except in the case of medical emergencies. In these cases, you must provide supporting documentation. TEAMS You will be assigned to a team of 4 6 students. If you are not assigned to a team, come and talk to me. Teams are responsible for the presentation and discussion of case studies and the class project. CASE STUDIES Each team will present one case study and discuss one. Questions / issues that need to be addressed will be given. One team will be assigned to present the case and one team will be assigned to challenge the presenters. Both teams are graded. Other teams are expected to participate in the discussion. At the end of the semester you will be asked to rank other teams presentations. Cases are very important and will be covered in tests. PRESENTING TEAM HAS TO SUBMIT THE PRESENTATION SLIDES (AND EXCEL SHEET IF NEEDED) TO IVLE WITHIN ONE WEEK AFTER THE PRESENTATION. NAME OF THE FILE HAS TO LOOK LIKE FOLLOWING: <SECTION#_TEAM#_CASE_TITLE>. PROJECT Project is team effort. The project is to be done in Excel. Many recruiters want to see that you have done financial modeling. Calculations must be done using Excel formulas. You will submit the report (hard copy) to me in the class and Excel file to IVLE. Guidelines will be posted on the class web page later in the course. Project is due on a specified date at the beginning of the class. Late submissions will be penalized at the rate of 10% for every 12 hours (with first 10% being deducted immediately after the deadline). 3 NUS Business School

4 CLASS SCHEDULE: Week Subject Description 1 1/14 1/18 Introduction Syllabus Risk / Return Portfolio Theory / CAPM 1. Risk / Return 2. Portfolio Theory 3. Efficient Frontier 4. CAPM Teams 2 1/21 1/25 Portfolio Theory / CAPM (cont.) Efficient Market Hypothesis 1. Definition 2. Forms of Market Efficiency 3 1/28 2/1 Efficient Market Hypothesis 3. Tests of Market Efficiency 4. Implications of Efficient Capital Markets 5. Fama-French 3 factor model / Carhart 4 factor model 4 2/4 2/8 Case Studies The State of South Carolina Motilal Oswal Financial Services: an IPO in India 5 2/11 2/15 Case Studies Dimensional Fund Advisors Warren Buffett, NUS Business School

5 6 2/18 2/22 Equity Portfolio Management Strategies and Evaluation of Portfolio Performance 1. Passive Strategies 2. Active Strategies 3. Asset Allocation Strategies 4. Composite Portfolio Performance Measures Recess week Sat, Feb 23 Sun, March 3 7 3/4 3/8 Test 1 8 3/11 3/15 Case Studies Zeus Asset Management Behavioral Finance at JP Morgan Project Assignment 9 3/18 3/22 Test 1 results Bond Fundamentals 1. Bond Features and Characteristics 2. Participating Issuers 10 3/25 3/29 Bond Valuation And Bond Volatility Measures 1. Bond Yields 2. Bond Valuations 3. What Determines Bond Price Volatility? 4. Duration measures 5. Determinants of convexity 5 NUS Business School

6 11 4/1 4/5 Case Studies Worldcom, Inc.: Corporate Bond Issuance NEC Electronics 12 4/8 4/12 Derivatives 1. Hedging with Forwards and Futures 2. Optimal Hedge Ratio 3. Basic Valuation Concepts 4. Payoff Diagrams of Options 5. Black-Scholes Valuation Model 13 4/15 4/19 Derivatives (cont.) Project due 14 4/22 4/26 Investment Companies Test 2 6 NUS Business School

7 NON-TEXTBOOK INVESTMENT BOOKS Frequently, students will be interested in non-textbook books on investing in equity securities. There is a huge range in the difficulty level and quality of these books. Following is a list of books that complement what you are learning in this course and are at an adequate difficulty level. They are organized by general topic area. GENERAL A Random Walk Down Wall Street by Burton G. Malkiel The Intelligent Investor by Benjamin Graham Security Analysis by Benjamin Graham and David L. Dodd Applied Equity Analysis by James English Beyond the Random Walk by Vijay Singal BEHAVIORAL FINANCE The New Finance: The Case Against Efficient Markets by Robert A. Haugen The Inefficient Stock Market: What Pays Off and Why by Robert A. Haugen Irrational Exuberance by Robert J. Shiller Beyond Greed and Fear: Understanding Behavioral Finance and the Psychology of Investing by Hersh Shefrin Inefficient Markets: An Introduction to Behavioral Finance by Andrei Schleifer Advances in Behavioral Finance by Richard H. Thaler Behavioral Corporate Finance by Hersh Shefrin Animal Spirits: How Human Psychology Drives the Economy, and Why It Matters for Global Capitalism by George A. Akerlof, Robert J. Shiller Predictably Irrational by Dan Ariely SPECIFIC EVENTS OR PEOPLE One Up on Wall Street by Peter Lynch with John Rothchild Beating the Street by Peter Lynch with John Rothchild The Warren Buffet Way by Robert G. Hagstrom, Jr. Buffetology by Mary Buffet and David Clark Winning on Wall Street by Martin Zweig Freakonomics by Stephen J. Dubner, Steven D. Levitt Accidental Investment Banker by Jonathan A. Knee 7 NUS Business School