Exploration and Production in México Challenges and Opportunities
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1 AUGUST EXPLORACIÓN Y PRODUCCIÓN AAPG PROSPECT & PROPERTY EXPO Exploration and Production in México Challenges and Opportunities Alfredo E. Guzmán Exploration Strategies Coordinator Houston, Tx. August 28, 2001
2 Exploration and Production in México Challenges and Opportunities Background Challenges Opportunities Conclusions
3 Discovered Hydrocarbons in México (01/01/01) Oil (bbo) % % % Gas (tcf) % % % Original discovered volumes Cumulative production Remnant Reserves 3P Unrecoverable Volumes Source: E&P Planing
4 Reserves bboe (01/01/01) 2P Reserves to production ratio: 31 years 3P Reserves to production ratio: 38 years Gas Non associated Associated Crude oil * * Total, 3P Possible Probable Proven, 1P Source: E&P Planing * includes condensates and plant liquids
5 Crude oil production (mbod) 3,000 2,000 Offshore fields 1,000 0 Onshore fields Source: E&P Planing
6 Natural gas production (mmscfd) 5,000 4,000 3,000 Offshore fields 2,000 1,000 Onshore fields Source: E&P Planing
7 Sales Revenues (US$B) Operating highlights Source: E&P Planing
8 Pemex E & P Capital investment (US$B) Source: E&P Planing 21.9
9 Pemex E & P Income and Taxes (US$B) Operating income Taxes and duties Source: E&P Planing
10 Crude oil production costs (USD/B) A B C D E F G H Source: E&P Planing
11 Exploration and Production in México Challenges and Opportunities Background Challenges Opportunities Conclusions
12 Pemex E & P Challenges Fulfill the growing gas demand Reverse the decline in light oil production Maintain the heavy oil production
13 Gas Production (bcfd) 10,000 9,000 8,000 Demand 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 Investment Plans 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 Cantarell Base Grijalva Delta Burgos Source: E&P Planing
14 Pemex Natural gas demand, (bcfd) Commercial & household sector Industrial sector Electricity generation Source: E&P Planing
15 Light oil production vs export demand (MBOD) Production Demand Source: E&P Planing
16 Oil Production (mbod) 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 Investment plans Cantarell Base Source: E&P Planing
17 Exploration and Production in México Challenges and Opportunities Background Challenges Opportunities Conclusions
18 Where are the opportunities? Oil and gas basins of México Productive 1) Sabinas 2) Burgos 3) Tampico 4) Misantla 5) Veracruz 6) Southeastern a) Salina del Istmo b) Reforma-Comalcalco c) Macuspana d) Litoral de Tabasco e) Sonda de Campeche 3 8 Non Productive Thrust belt 7 Gas prone 4 5 a e d 6 b c 9 Mid - high Potential 7) Sierra Madre Oriental 8) Deep Gulf of México Low Potential 9) Sierra de Chiapas 10) California 11) Golfo de California 12) Chihuahua
19 Exploration opportunities Gas Light oil Heavy oil 2462 opportunities
20 Opportunities in gas Exploration of Sabinas - Tamaulipas Development of Burgos Exploration of offshore Burgos Exploration of the Sierra Madre Oriental foothills Exploration and development of Veracruz Macuspana Litoral de Tabasco
21 Sabinas basin Tamaulipas Platform Challenge: Rejuvenate production Noralta + 44,300 km² Vacas-1 Casa Roja Plataforma de Tamaulipas P. NEGRAS + EUA Candelilla Cuatro Minero-1 Garza cienegas-1 Merced Patricio-1 Loc. Marea-1 Lampazos Monclova Huerta 95,000 km² Dry gas, since 1974 Cum. prodn.: 374 bcf 15 fields, 1 active (Merced) Daily output: 3.7 mmcf Reserves: 84 bcf 26,600 km 2D seismic Remnant potential evaluation (2001) MONCLOVA Cuenca Sabinas 50,700 km² 38 opportunities OPPORTUNITIES GAS FIELD GAS- PRODUCING WELL 80 Km MONTERREY 4 M E N C HA C A-1 C R IS TO -C AP U LIN (PR O Y.) C H ICHARRA-1A O B AY O S 2 Qal 0 Ks Kts-K gw K lp -2 Kc-Km ch Jlc -4 Jo l Jo l -6 Cb
22 Burgos Basin 72,400 km 2 (including offshore) Contiguous to Río Grande embayment 194 fields, 84 active Cum. Prodn.: 6.5 tcf (since 1945) Reserves: 6.9 tcf 257 opportunities Gulf of Mexico KM km
23 Burgos basin Challenge: Increase production beyond 1.4 bcfd mmcf/d 1,400 1, Pemex s rejuvenation program : Acquisition of 12,000 km 2 3D 360 exploratory and development wells New facilities 4.3 tcf of new reserves Year
24 PIAMONTE-1 BARRENDO-1 CHAPUL-101 REYNOSA OTE-1 CHAMAL-1 CHAMAL-101 PESCA 3 PAIXTLE1 Burgos basin contiguous areas Extensión Compression Canopy de Sal E MISION CANON E.U.A. 3 CUERVITO TOPO ZACATE CUITLAHUAC LOMITAS REYNOSA HUIZACHE TREVIÐO-CANO BRASIL ESCOBEDO 18 DE MARZO LAGUNA MADRE KILOMETROS Delta Del Bravo NEPTUNO-1A There are 95 opportunities identified, the challenge is to have enough resources to invest in the exploration and development. San José de las Rusias Lamprea 200 LA PESCA
25 Burgos basin contiguous areas Extensión E.U.A. 3 MISION CANON BARRENDO-1 2 LOMITAS KILOMETROS TREVIÐO-CANO REYNOSA 1 REYNOSA OTE-1 CUERVITO 0 BRASIL ZACATE CUITLA HUA C ESCO BE DO TOPO 18 DE MARZO CHAPUL-101 Delta Del Bravo PIAMONTE-1 NEPTUNO-1A LAGUNA MADRE HUIZACHE San José de las Rusias Lamprea CHAMAL-1 CHAMAL-101 PESCA 3 LA PESCA 200 PAIXTLE1 Contracción E Canopy de Sal
26 PIAMONTE-1 BARRENDO-1 CHAPUL-101 REYNOSA OTE-1 CHAMAL-1 CHAMAL-101 PESCA 3 PAIXTLE1 Burgos basin contiguous areas E Extensión Contracción Canopy de Sal MISION CANON E.U.A. 3 CUERVITO TOPO ZACATE CUITLAHUAC LOMITAS REYNOSA TREVIÐO-CANO BRASIL ESCOBEDO 18 DE MARZO KILOMETROS Prospect gas HUIZACHE Delta Del Bravo NEPTUNO-1A LAGUNA MADRE San José de las Rusias Lamprea 200 LA PESCA
27 Sierra Madre Oriental foothills Mesozoic folded thrustbelt Gas and light oil 1960 s undeveloped discoveries High risk - medium potential Only 2D seismic Cusiana analogy s44 Opportunities
28 Veracruz basin Jalapa Córdoba Lagarto P.Oro T. Higueras M.Pionche 3D Seismic GAS FIELD O OIL M.R.A. Cardel Mecayucan Miralejos Angostura 180Km² Perdíz R.Pacheco San Pablo 10 Cañonero Cópite Acagual Veracruz 277 Km² Playuela Km Km² Cocuite Golfo de México Coapa Mirador Gloria Nopaltepec Estanzuela 10 Km Lizamba Veinte 22,000 km 2 (including offshore) Novillero Tlacotalpan 280 Km² Buried Mesozoic folded thrustbelt heavy - medium oil / sour gas 12 fields, 88 mmbo & 739 bcf cum. Tertiary foredeep dry sweet gas 7 fields, 157 bcf cum. Rejuvenation program ( ) Macuile 3,280km 2 3D and 4,100 km 2D 53 exploratory and 254 development wells increase output to 400 mmpcfd (from 160 mmpcfd) Matapionche field 204 opportunities Cocuite field Mioceno-Plioceno Mioceno Inferior Paleoceno-Eoceno - Oligoceno
29 Playuela Cocuite area Jalapa lfo Go de Cardel Mé o xic Veracruz Lagarto P.Oro Miralejos T. Higueras Córdoba M.R.A. 180Km² Cópite 277 Km² M.Pionche Playuela Mecayucan 240 Km² Cocuite Angostura Tlacotalpan Estanzuela 3D Seismic GAS FIELD O OIL R.Pacheco San Pablo Coapa Mirador Gloria Nopaltepec Veinte 280 Km² Novillero
30 Offshore Macuspana province GAS GAS GAS 1500 m 1000 m GOLFO de MÉXICO 13,800 km 2 39 fields, 13 active Cum. Prodn.: 5.32 tcf Reserves: 1.79 tcf Daily output: 137 mmcf (720 mmcf, 1975) Rejuvenation ( ) 1,062 km2 3D 65 exploratory wells 107 development wells 700 mmcfd (onshore) 225 Opportunities Onshore 200 m N VERNET-601 Vernet CHUNEL- 1 Chilapilla J. COLOMO-1001 José Colomo MACUSPANA 1920 ms 100 Km. GUATEMALA
31 Litoral de Tabasco province KOPO m 1000 m 6.57 MMCFD dry sweet gas at 617 m depth GOLFO de MÉXICO KOPO Opportunities 200 m LITORAL DE TABASCO 7,400 km 2 4,500 km 2 3D 16 fields, 3 active Cum. Prodn.: 131 mmbo, 278 bcf Reserves: 1.9 bbo, 3.7 tcf Daily output: 80 mb, 171 mmcf Cd. del Carmen 100 Km. GUATEMALA
32 Opportunities in light oil Secondary and enhanced oil recovery Exploration of Offshore Tampico Development of Chicontepec Exploration of Salina del Istmo Exploration of the Tertiary in Reforma - Comalacalco Exploration and development of Litoral de Tabasco Deep GOM basin (light oil?)
33 Enhanced oil recovery projects Arenque Ek - Balam Och Kax Artesa Bermúdez Complex Jujo-Tecominocán Jacinto Additional recovery: 3.8 billion barrels oil equivalent CAPEX: US$ 5.5 billion
34 Tampico - Misantla basin 50,000 km 2 (including offshore) TAMAULIPAS ARCH Provinces: Ébano-Pánuco, 1904 TAMAULIPAS- CONSTITUCIONES EBANO PANUCO TAMPICO ARENQUE 200 m Gulf of México (Cum. prodn. > 1,300 mmboe) Golden Lane, 1908 (Cum. prodn. > 3,900 mmboe) Chicontepec Paleocanyon Daily output: 77,350 bod (600,000 in 1921) Reserves: 1,571 mmboe (w/o Chicontepec) CHICONTEPEC SIERRA MADRE ORIENTAL OIL FIELD 100 Km. GOLDEN LANE ATOLL Poza Rica San Andrés Opportunities are in mature fields optimization and in exploration (mostly offshore)
35 Tampico - Misantla basin Espicula-1 Jurassic E W ARCO DE TAMAULIPAS Jsa TAMAULIPA SCONSTITUCI ON. ARENQUE TAMPICO AD M A L R TA ER N SI RIE O CHICONTEPEC 0m 20 EBANO PANUCO Golfo de México Lankahuasa-1 Miocene R E ATOLÓN FAJA DE ORO Poza Rica OIL FIELD 100 Km. San Andrés
36 Chicontepec Facies Proximal Distal Transport of Sediments Paleocene - early Eocene foredeep turbidites OOIP: 139,480.3 mmb OGIP: 49.5 mm mmpc Reserves: 13,762 mmbo 26.2 tcf Cum. production: 142 mmboe Light oil in northern sectors Pvb O. PALMA Kts E. GUAYABAL O. PALMA REAL INF. Opportunities are in a highly efficient development Kti Jp J.TAMAN Kts Pchi EOCENO INFERIOR K. MENDEZ Ksf K. AGUA NUEVA E. TANTOYUCA Echs Pchm Pchi Pvb K.ABRA
37 Salina del Istmo province Onshore 15,300 km 2 Salt 1500 m 1000 m Salt GOLFO de MÉXICO 52 fields, 26 active Cum. Prodn.: 1,613 mmbo, 1.94 tcf Reserves: 743 mmbo, 696 bcf Daily output: 33.3 mbo, 44 mmcf CAYO ARCAS CINTURÓN PLEGADO DE CATEMACO VOLCANICOS DE LOS TUXTLAS CUENCA SALINA DEL ISTMO SAL SOMERA CINTURÓN PLEGADO MARBELLA CUENCA DE PESCADORES CINTURÓN PLEGADO DE AGUA DULCE C O M A L C A L C O BASIN CINTURON PLEGADO REFORMA-AKAL Sierra de Chiapas M A C U S P A N A BASIN YUCATÁN PLATFORM Offshore 302 opportunities 50 km 3D Seismic
38 Comalcalco Chiapas Tabasco province 1500 m 1000 m 13,100 km 2 1,574km² 3D 75 fields, 57 active Cum. Prodn.: 6.6 bbo, 16 tcf Reserves: 4.9 bbo, 15 tcf Daily output: 549 mbo, GOLFO de MÉXICO 1.8 bcf 200 m 225 opportunities COMALCALCO CHIAPAS TABASCO 100 Km. GUATEMALA
39 Litoral de Tabasco province RELEVANT ASPECTS TRIDIMENSIONAL IMAGE OF AREA MISON KIXNAK, ETAIK CHUKUA 16 fields, 3 active Cum. Prodn.: 131 mmbo, 278 bcf Reserves: 1.9 bbo, 3.7 tcf Daily output: 80 mb, 171 mmcf 1500 m 1000 m GOLFO de MÉXICO 200 m LITORAL DE TABASCO In light oil the opportunities are in the development of 13 fields and the testing of at least 40 prospects Cd. del Carmen 100 Km. GUATEMALA
40 Deep Gulf of México basin 530,200 km 2 ( > 200 m) 34,000 km 2D 1,362 km 2 3D Provinces: 1 Río Bravo Delta 2 Allochthonous Salt Belt MEXICO EUA 2 3 Perdido Folded Belt 4 Extension Belt Mexican Cordillera 6 Deep Gulf saline 7 7 Campeche Scarp 8 Veracruz Canyon 9 Abyssal Plain Enormous potential - High risk Technology dependency Mid to long term 8 Major capex requirements 192 opportunities
41 Deep Gulf of México basin MEXICO EUA Km TWT SEC 1 Km.
42 Opportunities in heavy oil Optimization of onshore Tampico Development - optimization of Ku - Maalob - Zaap Exploration of the Sihil play
43 Tampico - Misantla basin TAMAULIPAS ARCH Provinces: Ébano-Pánuco, 1904 TAMAULIPAS- CONSTITUCIONES EBANO PANUCO TAMPICO ARENQUE 200 m Gulf of México (Cum. prodn. > 1,300 mmboe) Golden Lane, 1908 (Cum. prodn. > 3,900 mmboe) Chicontepec Paleocanyon Daily output: 77,350 bod (600,000 in 1921) Reserves: 1,571 mmboe (w/o Chicontepec) CHICONTEPEC GOLDEN LANE ATOLL SIERRA MADRE ORIENTAL TUXPAN OIL FIELD 100 Km. Poza Rica San Andrés FACIES Poza Rica CARBONATE BANK REEF TALUS
44 Sonda de Campeche province CANTARELL-418D 15,500 km 2, 3D seismic 100 % 24 fields, 18 active MIOCENO Cum. Prodn.: 12.9 bbo, 7.9 tcf, OLIGOCENO EOCENO PALEOCENO CRETACICO C. A/A 1500 m Reserves: 19.9 bbo, 11.4 tcf Daily output: mmbo, 799 mmcf J.S.TITHO. RECIENTE- PLEISTOCENO J.S.KIMMER. J.S.OXFORD. J.S.OXFORD. J.S.TITHO. J.S.KIMMER. CRETACICO 1000 m GOLFO de MÉXICO SONDA DE CAMPECHE CANTARELL 200 m 184 Opportunities 100 Km. GUATEMALA
45 Sonda de Campeche province CANTARELL-418D MIOCENO C. A/A 1500 m OLIGOCENO EOCENO PALEOCENO CRETACICO J.S.TITHO. RECIENTE- PLEISTOCENO J.S.KIMMER. J.S.OXFORD. J.S.OXFORD. J.S.TITHO. J.S.KIMMER. CRETACICO 1000 m GOLFO de MÉXICO SONDA DE CAMPECHE CANTARELL 200 m T E R C I A R I O 184 Opportunities C R E T A C I C O J U R A S I C O CRETACICO AUTOCTONO 100 Km. GUATEMALA JURASICO AUTOCTONO
46 Exploration and Production in México Challenges and Opportunities Background Challenges Opportunities Conclusions
47 CONCLUSIONS EXPLORACIÓN Y PRODUCCIÓN Low levels of investment in E&P in México in recent years have resulted in: deficiency in gas critical situation for light oil declining scenario for heavy oil Pemex has built a large portfolio of upstream opportunities, nevertheless it lacks mostly capital to generate value from them. In order to benefit from these opportunities Pemex has been incurring in onerous debt, so now it is considering: opening to operators to participate, within the present legal framework, in all phases of the E&P value chain. Some of these projects will require financing from the participants. This scheme will begin with gas projects. The Ministry of Energy will soon be negotiating with Congress an initiative to allow full private participation in the E&P of non associated gas. Pemex will not be privatized.
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