Mitigating catastrophic risk in Australian agriculture

Transcription

1 Australia s Leader in MPCI Mitigating catastrophic risk in Australian agriculture Andrew Trotter, Latevo Outlook 2015 Conference Tuesday 3 rd March

2 Multi-Peril Crop Insurance is now working in Australia Latevo founded in 2013 to run commercial pilot in the Australian grains sector First MPCI policies written in 2014, across all farm sizes First claims paid in Jan

3 across all major wheat producing regions Latevo s Clients in 2014 Early Signups for

4 In drought-stricken 2014, Latevo paid claims to 8 clients PREMIUMS VERSUS CLAIM VALUE, 2014 Dollars $1,000,000 $900,000 $800,000 $700,000 $600,000 $500,000 $400,000 $300,000 $200,000 $100,000 $0 Net Premium Claim Value Latevo's Clients 2014 Without the [Latevo] policy, the failed year just gone would have resulted in us negotiating overdraft extensions [and] and then try and prioritise any capital made available for the year ahead, or in other words, cut corners. Alistair Mace, Nindigully, Queensland. 4

5 Think of MPCI as another farm input * Active ingredient: revenue-based MPCI 5

6 that protects against all natural perils Wet Excessive rain Flood Hail Cold Frost Snow Wind Cyclone/Hurricane Tornado Excessive Wind Biological Wildlife Insect or pest manifestation Plant disease. Dry Water stress Hot Temperature stress Fire Bushfire Accidental Fire Lightning 6

7 Latevo s assessment model redefines insurance enabling coverage in high risk environments COMPREHENSIVE ASSESSMENT FRAMEWORK FOR MULTI-PERIL CROP INSURANCE Farm Financials Production Plan Marketing Plan 7 7

8 RMPCI is cost-effective. It benefits from risk-pooling of yield and price CORRELATION MATRIX OF YIELD VERSUS PRICE Higher Grain Price Lower Drought Grain prices tend to be higher in a drought, while yield is lower Other Perils Frost Flood Hail Lower Yield Higher 8

9 Flexible coverage levels

10 keep premiums affordable INSURANCE PAYOUT VERSUS FARM REVENUE VOLATILITY Probability distribution of Revenue (yield * price) Insurance Payout Farmer s risk exposure covered by insurance Self insurance Maximum insurance payout Max sum insured (60-80% of revenue) Farm Revenue 10

11 Median unit cost ($ per hectare) Multi-Peril Crop Insurance cost is comparable to other input costs Exhibit: Units costs, by category COMPARISON OF LATEVO PREMIUMS AND CROP INPUTS, BY CATEGORY $ per hectare Seed 45 Fertiliser 40 Mechanical 35 Herbicide Insecticide 20 Fungicide 15 Services 10 MPCI Unit cost range ($ per hectare) 11 Source: Latevo data; Strategis Partners analysis

12 MPCI improves farm outcomes and wealth creation HOW MULTI-PERIL CROP INSURANCE DRIVES BETTER FARM OUTCOMES Purchase Multi-Peril Crop Insurance Greater certainty of income for the farmer More resilient and successful farmers Increased availability of bank financing Increased use of forward selling, with income supported Better crop care with cash to spend 12

13 It s time for a Public-Private Partnership on aginsurance Non- and underinsurance is a persistent problem in Australia * Farm revenue volatility has macro-economic implications Volatility reduces investment, innovation and export growth Current drought assistance programs are costly and often poorly targeted The Department of the Treasury s Submission to the Productivity Commission Inquiry: Natural Disaster Funding Arrangements 17 June

14 Portfolio of Policy Initiatives to benefit taxpayers & farmers $5000 drought preparedness grants for farm audits to "nudge" producers to take insurance cover 150% tax refund to farmers on ag-insurance premiums, just like the R&D incentive Concessional loans to growers taking "100 per cent no plant" crop insurance coverage policies 200% Stop Loss to expand the Re-insurance Capacity 14

15 Find out how you can benefit from Crop Insurance. Join our National Grower Workshops, March-April,

16 National Grower Workshops March-April,

17 Future Thank You 17