GRAPHS Annual Integrated Report

Transcription

1 GRAPHS Annual Integrated Report

2 PotashCorp AIR Graphs Page Why PotashCorp? Global Population (billions of people) 8 6 Global Potash Capacity (percent KCl capacity*) % PotashCorp Mosaic Uralkali Belaruskali F F F F Source: United Nations * Refers to nameplate capacity, which may exceed operational capability (estimated annual achievable production) Source: Fertecon, CRU, company reports, PotashCorp Global Crop Production (billion tonnes) Operational Capability Opportunity* (million tonnes KCl) F F F F Current Potential Source: FAO, USDA * Post-expansion; assumes fully staffed and ramped-up operations. Operational capability will be staffed and ramped up according to anticipated market demand and PotashCorp s supply requirements. Greenfield Development Costs* (years to develop) PotashCorp s Combined Nitrogen/Phosphate Gross Margin Profile* (percentage of net sales) Nitrogen US$.8-. billion/ MMT NH Minimum years Phosphate US$. billion/ MMT P O Minimum - years Potash CDN$.-6.8 billion/ MMT KCl Minimum 7 years * See Page 8 for cost assumptions. Source: AMEC, Fertecon, CRU, PotashCorp Fertilizer * Excludes the impact of natural gas hedges Feed/Industrial

3 PotashCorp AIR Graphs Page CEO Letter Cash Provided by Operating Activities Global Potash Shipments (million tonnes KCl) Shipments Forecast Shipment Range, 8, 6,, F 8F F Source: Fertecon, CRU, IFA, PotashCorp Company Overview Our Business Segments () K POTASH N NITROGEN P PHOSPHATE K N P Share of Global Capacity % % % Contribution to Gross Margin 8% % % % % % Sales Volumes by Product Category 9% 66% 6% Fertilizer Feed & Industrial Fertilizer Feed & Industrial Fertilizer Feed & Industrial % 6% 6% Sales Volumes by Region 7% 8% 7% North America Offshore North America Offshore North America Offshore

4 PotashCorp AIR Graphs Page Operating Environment Fertilizer Consumption Growth Rate Forecast (percentage annual long-term global growth rate) Global Natural Gas Costs E ($US/MMBtu).-.%.-.%.-.% 8 6 Potash Nitrogen Phosphate Russia US Trinidad Europe Spot Ukraine Source: CRU, Fertecon, IFA, PotashCorp Source: Fertecon, Bloomberg, PotashCorp Global Phosphate Production (percentage of global production) 8 6 Integrated Non-integrated Source: CRU, company reports, PotashCorp Competitive Advantages Nitrogen Profile PotashCorp focused on industrial markets Phosphate Profile PotashCorp significantly more diverse Global Ammonia Use* () PotashCorp Sales Volumes by Category () Global Phosphoric Acid Use* () PotashCorp Sales Volumes by Category () % % % % 77% 66% 9% 6% Fertilizer Feed & Industrial * Based on ammonia directed to each product category Source: Fertecon, PotashCorp Fertilizer Feed & Industrial * Based on phosphoric acid directed to each product category Source: CRU, IFA, PotashCorp

5 PotashCorp AIR Graphs Page Our North American Distribution Points North West Cornbelt 8 Northeast Southeast 6 How We Approach Governance Remuneration Board Ownership DSU Cash Stock held personally DSU Including Board nominees, except the CEO, at our upcoming annual general meeting in May 6. As at February, 6. Note: All Board members meet the minimum ownership requirements. CFR Actual Target Plan Payout (percentage of maximum) CFR vs Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) CFR WACC Vested Options by Plan Year ($ per share) Vested options Strike price average share price 8 6 6% 7% % 67% 7% 8 6 $ $8 $9 $ 8 6 See reconciliation of non-ifrs measure on Page 88. See reconciliation of non-ifrs measure on Page 88. (Vesting -) (Vesting -) Vesting -)

6 PotashCorp AIR Graphs Page 6 Board Skills (number of directors) Fertilizer Industry Global Agriculture Agriculture Global/International Commerce Transportation Industry Agricultural/Industrial Technology Information Technology Finance Accounting Investment Banking Global Senior Executive Management Legal Mining Industry Chemical Industry General Business Management Public Policy Governance Compensation/Human Resources Safety/Environmental Aboriginal Security 6 8 Board Tenure (number of director nominees and years on Board) - years -9 years Tenure of Board nominees at our upcoming annual general meeting in May 6. - years Skills of Board nominees at our upcoming annual general meeting in May 6. Financial Outlook PotashCorp s Guidance 6 Guidance vs Actual Results 6 Guidance Potash sales volumes (included in potash gross margin below) Potash gross margin Nitrogen and phosphate gross margin Share of earnings of equity-accounted investees and dividend income Selling and administrative expenses Finance costs Annual effective tax rate Provincial mining and other taxes as a percentage of total potash gross margin Earnings per share $.8B to $.B $.9 to $. Actual Results 8.8 MMT 8. MMT to 9. MMT $.B $.B $.7B to $.9B $7M $M to $M $(9)M $()M to $()M $(9)M $()M to $()M 6% % to 7% % % to % $.

7 PotashCorp AIR Graphs Page 7 Earnings per Share ($) Annual actual, 6 guidance Annual upper guidance Actual: Q Q Gross Margin by Nutrients ($ billions) Annual actual, 6 guidance Actual: Q Annual upper guidance Q Potash. Nitrogen & Phosphate E. 6E 6E Strategic Priorities and Targets Portfolio & Return Optimization Maximize returns for our assets and explore other value creation opportunities Total Shareholder Return PotashCorp s Cash Flow Return CFR WACC PotashCorp Sector Average* DXAG Source: Bloomberg, PotashCorp Operational Excellence Improve our competitive position through reliability, productivity and flexibility PotashCorp s Potash Cost of Goods Sold ($ per tonne) Cash-related cost of goods sold* Depreciation and amortization PotashCorp s Ammonia Operating Rates 6 Target Target US Trinidad * Cash-related cost refers to total cost of goods sold less depreciation and amortization; as compared to levels (not adjusted for inflation or changes to depreciation and amortization). Target assumes successful ramp-up of expansions at lower-cost facilities and excludes the impacts of foreign exchange and royalties.

8 PotashCorp AIR Graphs Page 8 Customer & Market Development Encourage product demand and support customer growth Average Customer Survey Score vs Peers 8 6 PotashCorp Peer Average Stakeholder Communications & Engagement Earn stakeholder trust through strong communications and engagement Community Investment Average Community Survey Score (score out of ) People Development Attract, develop and retain engaged employees Senior Staff Positions Filled Internally 8 6

9 PotashCorp AIR Graphs Page 9 Good Governance Foster a culture of accountability, fairness and transparency PotashCorp s Corporate Governance Practice Score Score (out of ) Source: The Globe and Mail Safety, Health & Environmental Excellence Be relentless in pursuit of the safety of our people and the environment PotashCorp s Safety Performance (total site recordable injury rate). Safety Performance vs Peers (total site recordable injury rate). Lowest quartile Average PotashCorp Best-in-Class Peer Group* Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Emissions (CO equivalent tonnes per nitrogen product tonne). Reportable Environmental Incidents (number of incidents)......

10 PotashCorp AIR Graphs Page Potash Overview and Strategy World Potash Capacity by Region* 9% % 6% % % % % % % % Potash Expansion Costs (Capital cost per tonne CDN$),,, Brownfield Greenfield (including infrastructure and reserve costs) Greenfield (excluding infrastructure and reserve costs), %.%,, PotashCorp Projects Mosaic Projects Agrium Project SK Greenfield* * Capacity totals based on year-end. countries total. percent. Source: CRU, Fertecon, company reports, PotashCorp * Based on MMT conventional greenfield mine constructed in Saskatchewan. PotashCorp project costs exclude infrastructure outside the plant gate. Source: AMEC, company reports, PotashCorp Operational Capability Opportunity* (million tonnes KCl) Incremental Operational Capability* From 6F (tonnes) Rocanville SK Mines New Brunswick +. MMT +.7 MMT +.8 MMT 6 Rocanville SK Mines New Brunswick Potential * Post-expansion; assumes fully staffed and ramped-up operations. Operational capability will be staffed and ramped up according to anticipated market demand and PotashCorp s supply requirements. Cost and time required to restart operational capability will vary by location. Refer to existing operational capability on Page 9. Potash Performance,,8,,8 8 (9),,,7 () (76) (), (),7, (), () 9 8, () 8,, 9 North America Offshore North America Offshore 9 Sales Volumes Net Sales Prices Cost of Goods Sold Sales Volumes Net Sales Prices Cost of Goods Sold

11 PotashCorp AIR Graphs Page Potash Gross Margin and Net Sales Prices ($ per tonne) Gross margin Net sales prices Potash Sales Volumes, Production and Inventory (million tonnes) Offshore sales North America sales Production Inventory 8 6 Q Q Q Q Q Q Annual Q Q Q Q Q Q Annual Nitrogen Overview and Strategy US Midwest Delivered Ammonia Cost ($ per tonne) Cash costs Freight to US Gulf Freight* to US Midwest 6 Global Trade in Ammonia and Urea Ammonia % Urea 7% US Midwest Producer US Gulf Producer Middle East Trinidad Russia Yuzhnyy Ukraine Port Plant Percent traded * Includes related handling costs Source: Fertecon, PotashCorp Source: Fertecon, PotashCorp PotashCorp s Ammonia Production Profile Trinidad US PotashCorp s Sales by Nitrogen Plant (million tonnes). Feed & Industrial Fertilizer. 6% %.... Trinidad Augusta Geismar Lima

12 PotashCorp AIR Graphs Page PotashCorp s Nitrogen Shipment Profile sales volumes Offshore North America Estimated Ammonia Expansion Costs ($ per tonne) Cost range, 8, Ammonia Solutions and Urea PotashCorp Competitor Nitrogen Safety Performance (total site recordable injury rate) Calculation based on projected costs per tonne of ammonia capacity and required infrastructure Based on publicly available information for approved US brownfield and greenfield ammonia projects Source: Company reports, PotashCorp Nitrogen Performance,,, , () (9) (6) (), (8), (66) () Ammonia Urea Solutions /NA/AN Hedge, Ammonia Urea Solutions /NA/AN Hedge, Sales Volumes Net Sales Prices Cost of Goods Sold Sales Volumes Net Sales Prices Cost of Goods Sold Nitrogen Gross Margin, Net Sales Prices and Natural Gas Costs ($ per tonne) ($ per MMBtu) Gross margin Net sales prices Average natural gas costs* 8 Nitrogen Sales Volumes (million tonnes) 8 Ammonia Urea Solutions, nitric acid, ammonium nitrate Q Q Q Q Q Q Annual Q Q Q Q Q Q Annual * In production, including hedge

13 PotashCorp AIR Graphs Page Phosphate Overview and Strategy Cash Cost of Phosphoric Acid Production ($ per tonne) Integrated Non-integrated World Phosphoric Acid Imports (million tonnes P O ) India, 8 6 E E Source: CRU, Fertilizer Week, PotashCorp Source: CRU, PotashCorp PotashCorp s Phosphate Rock Profile PotashCorp produced Third-party purchased PotashCorp s Phosphate Mine Reserve Life* (years) Aurora White Springs * Based on average annual production rate of approximately.6 million tonnes and. million tonnes of.66 percent P O concentrate over the three-year period ended December, for Aurora and White Springs, respectively PotashCorp s Phosphate Profile sales volumes North America India Latin America Phosphate Gross Margin by Product Category (percentage of net sales) Liquid Fertilizer Feed & Industrial Total Phosphate Phosphate Safety Performance (total site recordable injury rate)

14 PotashCorp AIR Graphs Page Phosphate Performance (7) (6) 6 9 (8) (6) (87) (7) () () 6 () Fertilizer Feed & Industrial Fertilizer Feed & Industrial Sales Volumes Net Sales Prices Cost of Goods Sold Sales Volumes Net Sales Prices Cost of Goods Sold Phosphate Gross Margin and Net Sales Prices ($ per tonne) Gross margin Net sales prices Phosphate Sales Volumes (million tonnes) Fertilizer Feed & Industrial 6 Q Q Q Q Q Q Annual Q Q Q Q Q Q Annual Expenses and Income Weighted Average Debt Obligations Outstanding and Effective Interest Rates ($ billions) Short-term debt Long-term debt* Short-term rate Long-term rate 8 6.%.9%.7%.%.%.% * Includes current portion

15 PotashCorp AIR Graphs Page Quarterly Results Segment Gross Margin Potash Nitrogen Phosphate 8 6 Q Q Q Q Financial Condition Review Changes in Balances December, to December, ($ billions) Assets, December, Cash and cash equivalents Receivables Property, plant and equipment Investments All other assets Assets, December, Liabilities and Equity, December, Short-term debt and current portion of long-term debt Long-term debt Deferred income tax liabilities Accumulated other comprehensive (loss) income All other liabilities and equity Liabilities and Equity, December, 6 9 8

16 PotashCorp AIR Graphs Page 6 Liquidity and Capital Resources 6 Forecast Capital Expenditures Opportunity capital $ Sustaining capital $6 Routine Environment Plant turnaround Health & Safety Mine development Includes capitalized interest and is based on a forecast exchange rate of.7 Canadian dollars per US dollar. To sustain operations at existing levels and for major repairs and maintenance, including plant turnarounds. Changes in Cash Flows vs ($ billions) Cash provided by operating activities Cash used in investing activities Cash used in financing activities.6 (.6).8 (.7) (.). (.6) (.8) (.87) (.8) - (.).6 (.) - (.) - Net income Receivables Inventories Additions to PP&E and other Long-term debt obligations Repurchase of common shares Changes in Cash Flows vs ($ billions) Cash provided by operating activities Cash used in investing activities Cash used in financing activities. (.) (.)..6 (.6) (.6) (.) (.87) (.66) (.8) - Net income Receivables Additions to PP&E and other Long-term debt obligations Repurchase of common shares

17 PotashCorp AIR Graphs Page 7 Cash Additions to Property, Plant and Equipment Potash Nitrogen Phosphate $.6B $.B $.B Working Capital As at December ($ billions) (ratio). Current assets Current liabilities Working capital Working capital ratio Capital Structure and Management As at December, Credit Facility Line of Credit $,98 $7 $7 $ $ $, $ $7 Amount outstanding and committed Amount available The authorized aggregate amount under the company s commercial paper programs in Canada and the US is $, million. The amounts available under the commercial paper programs are limited to the availability of backup funds under the credit facility. Included in the amount outstanding and committed is $7 of commercial paper. Letters of credit committed. We also have an uncommitted $ million letter of credit facility against which $ million was issued at December,. Year Data ($ billions) 8 6 EBITDA Adjusted EBITDA margin Net income Net income as a percentage of sales * 6* 7* 8* 9* See Page 9 for non-ifrs reconciliation. * Figures were prepared in accordance with previous Canadian GAAP. 8 6 ($ billions) - * 6* 7* 8* 9* See Page 9 for non-ifrs reconciliation. * Figures were prepared in accordance with previous Canadian GAAP. Cash provided by operating activities Free cash flow

18 PotashCorp AIR Graphs Page 8 Consolidated Financial Statements Net Income per Share Unaudited ($ per share) Net income per share basic Net income per share diluted Dividends declared per share.. Net Income and Cash Provided by Operating Activities Unaudited ($ billions) Net income Cash provided by operating activities Gross Margin by Segment Unaudited ($ billions) Potash Nitrogen Phosphate.... Cash Flow Unaudited ($ billions) Year ended December As at December Total Assets As at December Unaudited Cash provided by operating activities Cash used in investing activities Cash used in financing activities Cash and cash equivalents Property, plant and equipment Investments Current assets All other non-current assets - - Total Liabilities and Shareholders Equity As at December Unaudited Retained earnings Long-term debt Deferred income tax liabilities Share capital Current liabilities All other non-current liabilities All other shareholders equity Total Debt and Total Debt to Capital As at December Unaudited ($ billions) Total debt Total debt to capital

19 PotashCorp AIR Graphs Page 9 Note Segment Information Sales and Gross Margin by Segment Unaudited ($ billions) Sales Gross margin Sales to Customers Unaudited..6.7 Potash Nitrogen Phosphate United States Canpotex Latin America Canada India All others.8.9. Year Note 8 Income Taxes Income Tax Expense Unaudited 8 Current income tax Deferred income tax Actual effective tax rate including discrete items 6 Note 9 Net Income per Share Net Income per Share Unaudited ($ per share). Basic Diluted....

20 PotashCorp AIR Graphs Page Note Inventories Finished Product Inventories by Segment As at December Unaudited $67 $ Potash Nitrogen Phosphate Note Property, Plant and Equipment Carrying Amounts of Property, Plant and Equipment As at December Unaudited Reconciliation of Changes in Property, Plant and Equipment Carrying Amount As at December Unaudited ($ billions) Machinery and equipment Buildings and improvements Assets under construction Mine development costs Land and improvements.. (.7) <..7. (.7) >(.). Additions Depreciation Additions Depreciation Note Investments Significant Investments Market Value and Purchase Cost As at December Unaudited ($ billions) Market value Purchase cost Equity-accounted investments Available-for-sale investments SQM APC ICL Sinofert Year

21 PotashCorp AIR Graphs Page Note Long-Term Debt Senior Notes Outstanding at December, Unaudited 8 Amount Interest rate Maturity Year Note Pension and Post-Retirement Benefits Fair Value of Plan Assets by Category As at December Unaudited Equity securities Debt securities International balanced fund Cash, cash equivalents and other Annual Pension and Post-Retirement Benefit Plan Contributions Unaudited Defined benefit pension plans Defined benefit other post-retirement plans Defined contribution plans Defined Benefit Pension Plans Funded Status and Contribution Levels Unaudited Year ended December As at December Contributions Funded status

22 PotashCorp AIR Graphs Page Note Share Capital Share Capital Consideration Unaudited As at December Year ended December,7,, Total share capital Issued under option plans Issued for dividend reinvestment plan Repurchased Dividends and Earnings per Share Unaudited ($) Dividends paid per share Earnings per share 7. Q Q Q Q Q Q Note Share-Based Compensation Stock Options Granted Unaudited ($ per share) Aggregate grant-date fair value Weighted average exercise price 6 Total Shares and Stock Options Outstanding As at December Unaudited (millions), 8 Number of common shares Stock options 6 Note Financial Instruments & Related Risk Management Aging of Trade Receivables As at December Unaudited Current Past due

23 PotashCorp AIR Graphs Page Note 6 Capital Management Net Debt and Net Debt to Adjusted Capital As at December Unaudited ($ billions) Net debt Net debt to adjusted capital Note 9 Guarantees Guarantees As at December Unaudited 6 Future (undiscounted) payments under significant guarantees provided to third parties Subsidiary bank borrowings Trust fund (CDN$) Letters of credit

24 PotashCorp AIR Graphs Page Shareholder Information Yearly POT Stock Price Since Inception* NYSE Composite (dollars) High Close Low * Data are adjusted for a two-for-one stock split in August, a three-for-one stock split in May 7 and a three-for-one stock split in February. Source: FactSet Monthly POT Stock Price NYSE Composite (dollars) High Close Low

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