TECO Energy Edison Electric Institute Financial Conference

Transcription

1 TECO Energy Edison Electric Institute Financial Conference Dallas, TX Nov. 13, 2014

2 Forward Looking Statements The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides a safe harbor for forward-looking statements. Certain information included in this presentation contains statements that are forward-looking, including statements relating to a disposition transaction and closing conditions. Such statements are based on the company s current expectations, and the company does not undertake any obligation to update or revise such statements, except as may be required by law. Such forward-looking information involves important risks and uncertainties that could significantly affect anticipated results in the future, accordingly, such results may differ from those expressed in any forward-looking statements made by TECO Energy. For more information regarding these risks and uncertainties, review the Risk Factors section of the TECO Energy Annual Report on Form 10-K for the period ended Dec. 31, 2013, and as updated in subsequent SEC filings. 2

3 Strong Third Quarter Results Non-GAAP results from continuing operations $73.9 million 11.3% Per share results include $0.02 of dilution from share issuance Florida utilities 14% Tampa Electric Rate case settlement ~ $15 million higher revenues, depreciation change, and elimination of storm damage accrual Higher energy sales Peoples Gas NMGC Strong customer growth 1.6% and favorable weather 3Q customer growth 1.9% Higher O&M and depreciation Small loss normal seasonal pattern 3

4 Strong Year-to-Date Results Non-GAAP results from continuing operations $184.7 million 17.5% Per share results include $0.01 of dilution from share issuance Florida utilities 20% Tampa Electric Rate case settlement ~ $43 million higher revenues, depreciation change, and elimination of storm damage accrual Higher energy sales Peoples Gas Strong customer growth 1.7% and favorable weather Customer growth 1.7% Higher O&M and depreciation Parent & other higher cost 4

5 Employment Indicators State and local unemployment rate continues to decline while work force continues to grow Sept Sept Peak Hillsborough County (1) 6.1% 6.8% 12.8% Florida 6.1% 6.9% 12.3% U.S. 5.9% 7.2% 10.1% New Mexico 6.6% 6.9% 8.0% Tampa metropolitan area delivered strong job additions, with more than 15,000 jobs added year-over-year Note: (1) Not seasonally adjusted. 5

6 State & Local Economies Continued strength in local housing market More than 4,700 new single family building permits issued 12- months ended August 2014 Existing home resales continue strong 4.0 months inventory September 2014 Oct. 28 Case-Shiller report Tampa market 5.5% increase YOY Slightly stronger than national average Statewide taxable sales up 7.0% year-over-year, 12-months ended June 2014 Hillsborough County taxable sales up 5.3% year-over-year, 12-months ended June

7 Compelling Strategic Rationale for NMGC Acquisition Enhances Scope and Opportunities for Growth Increased total customer base by ~50%, adding ~510,000 gas customers in a single state TECO Energy now serves a total of ~865,000 regulated gas customers and ~1.6MM total regulated customers in two states Provides platform to invest in a growing sunbelt location Opportunity to bring TECO Energy s growth oriented marketing skills to a new jurisdiction Commitment to Regulated Business Growth Grows regulated earnings 100% of TECO Energy s EBITDA from regulated businesses Earnings Accretive Expected to be earnings accretive full year 2015, sooner than previously expected Unanimous approval of acquisition by NMPRC Regulatory Outcomes New rates implemented February 2012 $22.4MM increase in rates, Implied 10.0% ROE, 52% equity ratio Purchased gas adjustment (PGA) clause 7

8 Closed Sept. 2, 2014 Implementing integration plans New Mexico Gas Co. 11 Integration teams of TECO and NMGC team members Expected to be accretive sooner than previously expected Synergies 99 positions to be eliminated in New Mexico over 3 years Total $20 million in savings split 50/50 through customer credits of $10 million over three years positions to be eliminated in Florida over 3 years Non-position synergies in Florida and New Mexico combining back office operations, common technology platforms, etc. 8

9 Sale of TECO Coal Expected to close by year-end Initial proceeds - $120 million Opportunity for an additional $50 million over five years Dependent upon certain benchmark prices Discontinued Operations 3Q14 ($61.9) million Asset impairment charge of $64.8 million Including a $3.1 million negative Kentucky tax valuation allowance Parent tax benefit $2.9 million Additional ~ $7 million 4Q liability related charge 9

10 Regulatory Certainty Tampa Electric 2013 rate case settlement Authorized ROE range 9.25% %, 54% equity in capital structure for regulatory purposes $180 million total base rate increase, including rates for Polk expansion $57.5 million Nov. 1, 2013, $7.5 million Nov. 1, 2014, $5.0 million Nov. 1, 2015 $110 million Jan. 1, 2017 or Polk in-service date if later Peoples Gas 2009 rate case decision Authorized ROE range 9.75% %, 54% equity in capital structure Higher percentage of fixed cost in rate structure NMGC 2012 rate case settlement and acquisition approval Implied ROE 10%, 52% equity in capital structure No rate increase prior to Jan. 1,

11 2015 Outlook Formal guidance to be provided on 4Q call in early February Tampa Electric earning above mid-point of its allowed ROE Customer growth ~1.6%, energy sales growth about 0.5% less Higher AFUDC $7.5 million base rate increase effective Nov.1, 2014, additional $5.0 million increase effective Nov. 1, 2015 Peoples Gas - earning above the mid-point of its allowed ROE Longer-term customer growth ~1.6% Economics of vehicle fleet conversion to natural gas still attractive with gasoline prices below $3.00 per gallon Benefit of synergies in Florida 11

12 2015 Outlook NMGC goal to earn allowed return Modest customer growth Savings from synergies net of rate credits Parent & other Interest expense related to NMGI $50 million at 2.71% and $150 million at 3.64% Included in accretion calculation $191 million maturity 6.75% Repay / refinance at lower rates $6 million interest previously allocated to TECO Coal 12

13 Longer-term Outlook Tampa Electric ~7% rate base CAGR through 2017 Base capital spending + Polk 2 5 conversion (in-construction) $110 million base rate increase effective Jan.1, 2017 or on in-service date which ever is later, approved in 2013 rate case settlement Peoples Gas ~6% annual rate base growth through 2017 $100 million annual capital expenditures 1/3 customer growth, 1/3 CNG and other conversions, 1/3 maintenance Includes ~ $10 MM for cast iron and bare steel pipe replacement rider NMGC ~4% annual rate base growth preliminary ~$60 million annual capital expenditures Update in early 2015 in TECO Energy s 2014 Annual Report on Form 10-K 13

14 Long-Term Earnings Growth Tampa Electric strong rate base growth through 2017 CAGR ~ 7% Translate rate base growth to earnings growth Regulatory agreements provide regulatory stability Challenge utilities to continue to earn above mid-point of allowed ROEs Longer-term utility investment opportunities Customer relationship management (CRM) software upgrade AMI High efficiency lighting conversions Combustion by-product sales optimization 14

15 TECO s Attractive Dividend Current dividend yield of 4.5% (1) 100% of earnings from regulated businesses Attractive regulated growth profile to support and grow dividend over time Strong cash coverage of the dividend due to tax NOL carry forward through 2018 Note: (1) Based on current annualized dividend of $0.88 and share price of $19.62 as of Nov. 4,

16 Appendix LIFE RUNS ON ENERGY

17 GAAP Non-GAAP Reconciliation Net Income reconciliation 3-months ended 9-months ended ($ millions) GAAP net income $ 11.1 $ 62.8 $ $ Discontinued operations (61.9) (1.5) (59.4) 2.4 Net income from continuing operations Add costs associated with acquisition of NMGC Total charges and (gains) Non-GAAP results $ 73.9 $ 66.4 $ $

18 GAAP Non-GAAP Reconciliation Net Income reconciliation 3-months ended 9-months ended (Earnings per share) GAAP net income $ 0.04 $ 0.29 $ 0.54 $ 0.72 Discontinued operations (0.28) (0.01) (0.27) 0.01 Net income from continuing operations Add costs associated with acquisition of NMGC Total charges and (gains) Non-GAAP results $ 0.32 $ 0.31 $ 0.84 $

19 Unemployment Trends September 2014 U.S. 5.9% Florida 6.1% Hillsborough 6.1% New Mexico 6.6% Source: Florida Agency for Workforce Innovation and BLS 19

20 Tampa Single Family Building Permits 4,700 single family building permits issued 12-months ended August

21 Tampa Area Annual Single Family Building Permits 21

22 Tampa Area Existing Home Resales Source: Greater Tampa Association of Realtors 22

23 Hillsborough County Taxable Sales $2,200,000,000 $2,000,000,000 $1,800,000,000 $1,600,000,000 $1,400,000,000 $1,200,000,000 $1,000,000,000 Jun 14 Jan 12 Feb 12 Mar 12 Apr 12 May 12 Jun 12 Jul 12 Aug 12 Sep 12 Oct 12 Nov 12 Dec 12 Jan 13 Feb 13 Mar 13 Apr 13 May 13 Jun 13 Jul 13 Aug 13 Sep 13 Oct 13 Nov 13 Dec 13 Jan 14 Feb 14 Mar 14 Apr 14 May 14 23

24 New Mexico Gas Co. Largest natural gas LDC in New Mexico, serving 23 of New Mexico s 33 counties ~10,030 miles of mains and service lines and ~1,600 miles of transmission pipelines ~92% residential customers Serves the Albuquerque Santa Fe metro region High-quality, well-run system Opportunity to bring PGS marketing success to NMGC Integration activities underway, 11 TECO & NMGC integration teams Synergies expected at NMGC and Florida operations 24

25 NMGC Seasonal Earnings Pattern Net Income Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 25

26 Albuquerque Area Existing Home Resales Source: Greater Albuquerque Association of Realtors 26

27 Elements of NMGC Settlement NMGC acquisition settlement agreement supportive of long-term relationship Rates frozen until at least Jan. 1, 2018 Immediate $2 million rate credit to customers in the first 12 months, followed by $4 million annual rate credit until the next base rate case Will not seek to recover transaction costs or acquisition premium through rates Minimum average annual capital investment of $30 million No more than 99 positions eliminated in New Mexico in the first three years Maintain customer facing positions, offices and facilities to safely and reliably serve customers NMGC utility headquarters to remain in New Mexico Engage in economic development TECO committed to owning NMGC for at least 10 years 27

28 TECO Energy Companies TECO Energy, Inc. (1) Market Cap. of $4.6Bn (2) Total Long-Term Debt of $3.4Bn Tampa Electric Fully regulated electric utility in attractive Tampa area service territory Serves more than 700,000 customers ~$4.7Bn in rate base Peoples Gas Largest gas utility in Florida Serves more than 350,000 customers ~$670MM in rate base New Mexico Gas Largest LDC in New Mexico Serves more than 510,000 customers ~$517 MM rate base Notes: (1) All values as of 9/30/14 unless otherwise noted. (2) Based on share price of $19.62 as of Nov. 4,

29 TECO Energy