Transform approach for operational risk modelling: VaR and TCE
|
|
|
- Barbra Cox
- 9 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 Trasrm apprach r peraial risk mdellig: VaR ad TCE Jiwk Jag Deparme Acuarial Sudies Divisi Ecmic ad Fiacial Sudies Macquarie Uiversiy, Sydey 2109, Ausralia [email protected] Geyua Fu PricewaerhuseCpers Ceer 202 Hubi Rad Shaghai , Peple s Republic Chia [email protected] Thisversi:April1,2007 Absrac T quaiy he aggregae lsses rm peraial risk, we emply acuarial risk mdel, i.e. we csider cmpud Cx mdel peraial risk deal wih schasic aure is requecy rae i realiy. A sh ise prcess is used r his purpse. A cmpud Piss mdel is als csidered as is cuerpar r he case ha peraial lss requecy rae is deermiisic. As he lss amus arisig due mismaageme peraial risks are exremes i pracice, we assume he lss sizes are Lggamma, Fréche ad rucaed Gumbel. We als use a expeial disribui r he case-exremelsses. Emplyiglss disribui apprach, we derive he aalyical/explici rms he Laplace rasrm he disribui aggregae peraial lsses. The Value a Risk (VaR) ad ail cdiial expecai (TCE, als kw as TailVaR) are used evaluae he peraial risk capial charge. Fas Furier rasrm is used apprximae VaR ad TCE umerically ad he igures he disribuis aggregae peraial lsses are prvided. Numerical cmpariss VaRs ad TCEs baied usig w cmpud prcesses are als made respecively. Keywrds: Operaial risk; al lss; he cmpud Piss/Cx prcess; sh ise prcess; lss disribui; VaR; ail cdiial expecai (TCE); Fas Furier rasrm. 1
2 1. Irduci A capial charge r peraial risk is required he iacial isiuis. The Basel Cmmiee r Bakig Supervisi (2006) deies peraial risk as llws: The risk lsses resulig rm iadequae r ailed ieral prcesses, peple ad sysems r rm exeral eves. A lis lss eve ypes (level 1) peraial risks is shw i Table 1.1 ha is adped rm Aex 9 Basel Cmmiee Bakig Supervisi (2006). Table 1.1 Eve-Type Caegry (Level 1) Ieral raud Exeral raud Emplyme Pracices ad Wrkplace Saey Clies, Prducs & Busiess Pracices Damage Physical Asses Busiess disrupi ad sysem ailures Execui, Delivery & Prcess Maageme Deiii Lsses due acs a ype ieded deraud, misapprpriae prpery r circumve regulais, he law r cmpay plicy, excludig diversiy/ discrimiai eves, which ivlves a leas e ieral pary Lsses due acs a ype ieded deraud, misapprpriae prpery r circumve law, by a hird pary Lsses arisig rm acs icsise wih emplyme, healh r saey laws r agreeme, rm payme persal ijury claims, r rm diversiy/discrimiai eves Lsses arisig rm a uieial r eglige ailure mee a pressial bligai speciic clies (icludig iduciary ad suiabiliy requiremes), r rm he aure r desig a prduc Lsses arisig rm lss r damage physical asses rm aural disaser r her eves Lsses arisig rm disrupi r sysyem ailures Lsses rm ailed rasaci prcessig r prcess maageme, rm relais wih rade cuerparies ad vedrs The cllapse Briai s Barigs Bak i February 1995 is perhaps he quiesseial ale peraial risk maageme ge wrg. A similar eve mre severe ailure came ligh i he las ew weeks a he Frech bak Sciee Geerale. Bh ailures were cmpleely uexpeced. Over he curse days, Barigs, Briai s ldes mercha bak, we rm appare sregh bakrupcy. I bh cases he ailure ad upheaval was caused by he acis a sigle rader. The esimaed lss r Barigs was 700milli while irs esimaes he Sciee Geerale lss are arud $US 7b. T quaiy he aggregae lsses rm peraial risk, i his paper we use a acuarial risk mdel (Cramér 1930; Bühlma 1970; Gerber 1979; Gradell 1976, 1991; Beard e al ad Asmusse 2000). Csiderig e lie busiess, le X i,i=1, 2,, be he lss amus rm ype k peraial risk, which are assumed be idepede ad ideically disribued wih disribui uci H (x) (x >0), he he al lss arisig rm ype k peraial risk up ime is deied by = XN 2 i=1 X i, (1.1)
3 where k =1, 2,,d ad N is he al umber lsses up ime. We assume ha he prcess N ad he sequece {X i } i=1,2, are idepede each her. The grad al lss is hece give by L = dx k=1. (1.2) Accrdig he Basel II Advaced Measureme Apprach (AMA) guidelies, he iacial isiuis may use he Value a Risk (VaR r he q-quaile) as a risk measure decide he capial amu required r ex years peraial risk, i.e. VaR 99.9% (L ). Hwever ³ bai he VaR 99.9% (L ), i requires derive he ji disribui he al lss radm vecr L (1),L (2),, L (d), which is a challegig ask. Accrdigly, he Basel II AMA guidelies prpse use dx VaR 99.9% ( ) (1.3) k=1 r a capial charge ad csider a diversiicai eec uder apprpriae crrelai assumpis, i.e. Ã dx! dx VaR 99.9% (L )=VaR 99.9% VaR 99.9% ( ). (1.4) k=1 k=1 This assumpis mus be made persuadable he lcal regulars. Numerus papers have lked a he mdellig peraial lsses arisig rm several surces ad heir depedece. The wrk by Nešlehvá e al. (2006) ad he paper by Chavez-Demuli e al. (2006) cai umerus mdels his eec. The hree issues hey address are: Issue 1: The peraial lss disribui is exremely heavy-ailed. Issue 2: The peraial lss arrival ime is irregular ad here exiss a edecy icrease ver ime. Issue 3: The prblem mdellig he depedece bewee varius peraial risk surces ha may lead a reduci he calculaed risk capial. Fr simpliciy, i his paper, we igre he crrelai assumpis, i.e. we assume ha,k= 1, 2,,d are idepede each her bu ideical. I rder calculae he each cmpe ), we eed calculae he disribui he al lss, i.e. P l. Hwever he calculai P l i geeral is diicul ad i ca be derived explicily. S i Seci 2 we derive he explici ad aalyical expressis he Laplace rasrms he disribuis (1.3), i.e. VaR 99.9% ( he al lss Seci 4. ad iver heir Fas Furier rasrms calculae VaR 99.9% ( We als calculae he ail cdiial expecai deied by E VaR 99.9% ( ) as a chere risk measure (Arzer e al. 1999) ad calculae ) umerically i (1.5) dx E VaR 99.9% ( ) k=1 (1.6) 3
4 as capial amu required r ex years rm all ypes peraial risk. As examied i Mscadelli (2004) ha lsses arise rm he mismaageme peraial risk are heavy-ailed i pracice, i Seci 2 we emply Lggamma, Fréche ad rucaed Gumbel as lss size disribuis deal wih his issue. We als use a expeial disribui r he case -heavy-ail lsses. A discussi he echiques exreme value hery; see r isace, Embrechs e al. (1997). T ccer irregular arrival peraial lsses ad is edecy icrease ver ime, we use he Cx prcess wih sh ise iesiy λ r he lss arrival prcess N. A hmgeeus Piss prcess wih lss requecy λ is als examied as is cuerpar. I Seci 3, we prese he expressis r iiial prbabiliies he al lss ad he expressis r iiial value is desiies, which are required imprve he accuracy he disribuis he al lss iverig he Fas Furier rasrms. We cmpare simulaed umerical values VaRs ad TCEs baied usig cmpud Piss ad cmpud Cx mdel respecively i Seci 4. Seci 5 cais sme ccludig remarks. 2. The Laplace rasrm he disribui al lss I rder evaluae he risk measures VaR ad TCE, i is ecessary r us calculae he disribui al lss. Hwever i is diicul derive i explicily. Hece r ha purpse, we csider usig he Laplace rasrm as i ca be ivered calculae releva risk measures (1.3) ad (1.6) umerically Hmgeeus Piss prcess As we ca see i Table 1.1, raud, busiess disrupi, execui errr ad sysem ailure ec. are primary eves. I rder measure he ccurrece peraial lsses u hese primary eves, we eed a cuig prcess deal wih deermiisic r schasic aure heir arrival raes i pracice. Therere i is aural use pi prcesses csider series peraial lsses. The simples e is usig a hmgeeus Piss prcess ha has deermiisic requecy. Assumig ha he lss arrival prcess N llws a hmgeeus Piss prcess wih lss requecy λ ad ha 0 =0, he Laplace rasrm he he disribui al lss is give by h i E e νl(k) =exp λ 1 m(ν), (2.1) where ν 0 ad m(ν) = Z 0 e νx dh(x) <. (2.2) As i has bee kw ha lsses arise rm he peraial risk are exremes i pracice (Mscadelli, 2004), i his paper we csider hree heavy-ailed disribuis, i.e. a Lggamma, h(x) = ½ µ ¾ βα x α 1 µ x β 1 l +1 +1,x>0, σ 2 > 0, β>0 ad α>0, (2.3) σ 2 Γ (α) σ 2 σ 2 a Fréche, h(x) = ς µ ( x ς 1 µ ) x ς exp,x 0, σ 3 > 0 ad ς>0, (2.4) σ 3 σ 3 σ 3 ad a rucaed Gumbel, h(x) = exp {exp (ζ/η)} 1 exp {exp (ζ/η)} 1 η exp ½ x ζ µ exp η 4 x ζ η ¾,x 0, ζ>0 ad η>0. (2.5)
5 I he lss amus arisig due mismaageme peraial risk are exremes, we may csider usig a expeial r lss size disribui, i.e. h(x) = 1 µ exp 1 x, x 0, σ 1 > 0. (2.6) σ 1 σ 1 Usig (2.2)-(2.6), we ca easily bai he crrespdig expressis r he Laplace rasrm he disribui al lss,i.e. E e νl(k) =exp λ + λ Z ³ exp νσ 2 exp(β 1 z 1/α ) 1 z 1/α dz, (2.7) αγ (α) where z = where z = β l ³ x σ 2 +1 α, ς xσ3, E E e νl(k) e νl(k) where η = σ 4,c= e ζ/η, Γ(φ; ϕ) =exp λ + λ 0 Z 0 ³ exp νσ 3 z 1/ς z dz, (2.8) ½ ¾ exp {exp (ζ/η)} = exp λ + λ exp ( νζ) Γ(νη +1;e ζ/η ) exp {exp (ζ/η)} 1 ½ ¾ = exp λ + λc νσ 4 1 e c Γ(νσ 4 +1;c) E φr 0 ³ z φ 1 e z dz, z =exp e νl(k) =exp ½ λ x ζ η ad µ σ1 ν 1+σ 1 ν (2.9) ¾. (2.10) 2.2. Sh-ise Cx prcess T deal wih schasic aure peraial lss arrival i pracice, we csider a Cx prcess as a aleraive pi prcess. The Cx prcess prvides lexibiliy by leig he iesiy ly deped ime bu als allwig i be a scasic prcess. Therere he Cx prcess ca be viewed as a w sep radmisai prcedure. A prcess λ is used geerae aher prcess N by acig is iesiy. Tha is, N is a Piss prcess cdiial λ which isel is a schasic prcess. Lsses arisig rm he mismaageme peraial risks deped he iesiy primary eves. Oe he prcesses ha ca be used measure he impac primary eves is he sh ise prcess. Sme wrks isurace applicai usig sh ise prcess ad a Cx prcess wih sh ise iesiy ca be ud i Klüppelberg & Miksch (1995), Dassis & Jag (2003) ad Jag & Krvavych (2004). The sh ise prcess is paricularly useul i lss arrival prcess as i measures he requecy, magiude ad ime perid eeded deermie he eec primary eves. As ime passes, he sh ise prcess decreases as mre ad mre lsses are igured u. This decrease ciues uil aher eve ccurs which will resul i a psiive jump i he sh ise prcess. Therere he sh ise prcess ca be used as he parameer a Cx prcess measure he umber peraial lsses, i.e. we will use i as a iesiy uci geerae a Cx prcess. We will adp he sh ise prcess used by Cx & Isham (1980): XM λ = λ 0 e δ + Y i e δ( S i) 5 i=1
6 Figure 1: Graph illusraig sh ise prcess where: λ 0 is he iiial value λ ha is carried rm primary eves icurred previusly; {Y i } i=1,2, is a sequece idepede ad ideically disribued radm variables wih disribui uci G (y) (y > 0) ad E (Y ) < (i.e. magiude cribui primary eve i iesiy); {S i } i=1,2, is he sequece represeig he eve imes a Piss prcess wih csa iesiy ρ; δ is he rae expeial decay. Sme eves such as ieral raud, may ake much lger maerialise ha hers s he decay rae may be expeial. I is assumed be his rm r a maer cveiece, i.e. clsedrm expressis ial resuls are easily derived. We als make he addiial assumpi ha he Piss prcess M ad he sequeces {Y i } i=1,2, ad {X i } i=1,2, are idepede each her. Figure 1 illusraes sh ise prcess. Nw le us assume ha he lss arrival prcess N llws a Cx prcess wih is iesiy λ. Figure 2 illusraes a Cx prcess wih sh ise iesiy. Similar a hmgeeus Piss prcess r N, he Laplace rasrm he he disribui al lss is give by h i E e νl(k) λ 0 = E exp 1 m(ν) Λ λ 0, (2.11) where λ 0 is assumed be kw. The equai (2.11) suggess ha he prblem idig he Laplace rasrm disribui, is equivale he prblem idig he Laplace rasrm disribui Λ = R 0 λ s ds, he aggregaed prcess. Assumig ha jump size primary eve llws a expeial disribui, i.e. g (y) =b exp( by), y>0, b>0 ad λ is saiary, he explici expressi (2.11) is give by 6
7 Figure 2: Graph illusraig he Cx prcess wih sh ise iesiy 7
8 E e νl(k) = δb + 1 m(ν) 1 e δ δbe δ bρ δb+ 1 m(ν) ρ δ. (2.12) Fr deails he abve expressi, we reer he reader Dassis ad Jag (2003). We mi he crrespdig expressis r he Laplace rasrm he disribui al lss usig (2.3)-(2.6) as hey ca be easily baied. I {Y i } i=1,2,, which are he magiude cribui primary eve iesiy λ,arehigh, we eed csider heavy-ailed disribuis r jump size primary eve G (y). I causes higher umber peraial lss csequely ad eveually he iacial isiuis eed prepare higher peraial risk capial charge as he risk measures VaR ad TCE becme higher. This primary evejumpsizemeasureg (y) als ca be relaed wih lss size measure H (x) i here exiss depedece bewee hem, e.g. he higher he magiude cribui primary eve is, he higher lsses rm he peraial risk arise. Cmpared (2.1), he abve Laplace rasrm prvides he iacial isiuis wih mre lexibiliy i peraial risk mdellig as i cais schasic iesiy wih hree parameers δ, ρ ad G (y). 3. Tal lss disribui via he Fas Furier rasrm I rder calculae he risk measures (1.3) ad (1.6), we iver he Fas Furier rasrms rm he Laplace rasrms baied i Seci 2. Fr deails hw iver he Fas Furier rasrm, we reer yu Hes (1993), Duie e al. (2000), Caslema (1996), Gzalez ad Wds (2002) ad Gzalez e al. (2004). Bere we shw he calculais risk measures i Seci 4, we prese he expressis r iiial prbabiliies al lss ad he expressis r iiial value is desiies. These are required imprve he accuracy he disribuis he al lss iverig he Fas Furier rasrms. I we le ν i (2.1), we have he expressi r iiial prbabiliy al lss, i.e. P =0 = e λ. (3.1) Regardless lss size disribuis, we have he same iiial prbabiliy al lss whe he lss arrival prcess N llws a hmgeeus Piss prcess wih lss requecy λ. I we se h i lim ν exp λ 1 m(ν), ν we have he expressi r iiial value he desiy al lss, i.e. =0 = λe λ h (0), (3.2) where is he desiy uci al lss. Based (3.2), we ca easily bai he expressis r iiial prbabiliies al lss, i.e. r a expeial lss size, r a Lggamma lss size =0 = λe λ, (3.3) σ 1 =0 = 8 0, α > 1 λβe λ,α=1, α < 1 σ 2, (3.4)
9 r a Fréche lss size ad r a rucaed Gumbel lss size =0 =0, (3.5) =0 = λc (e c 1) e λ σ 4. (3.6) Similarly, i we le ν i (2.11), we have he expressi r iiial prbabiliy al lss, i.e. µ P =0 = δbe δ 1 e δ + δb ρ δ(1+δb), (3.7) Regardless lss size disribuis, we als have he same iiial prbabiliy al lss whe he lss arrival prcess N llws he Cx prcess wih sh ise iesiy λ. I we se lim ν ν δb + 1 m(ν) δbe δ 1 e δ bρ δb+ 1 m(ν) we have he expressi r iiial value he desiy al lss, i.e. ρ δ, =0 = h (0) ρ µ δbe δ ρ δ(1+δb) 1+δb 1 e δ + δb ½µ µ b 1 e δ + δb l 1+δb δbe δ + 1 e δ ¾ δ (1 e δ. (3.8) + δb) Based (3.8), we ca easily bai he expressis r iiial prbabiliies al lss, i.e. r a expeial lss size, =0 = µ ρ δbe δ σ 1 (1 + δb) 1 e δ + δb ½µ µ b 1 e δ + δb l 1+δb δbe δ ρ δ(1+δb) + 1 e δ ¾ δ (1 e δ, + δb) (3.9) r a Lggamma lss size =0 = r a Fréche lss size ad r a rucaed Gumbel lss size ρ ½ βρ δbe δ ³ δ(1+δb) b σ 2 (1+δb) 1 e δ +δb 1+δb 0, α > 1 ¾ l 1 e δ +δb + 1 e δ,α=1 δbe δ δ(1 e δ +δb), α < 1, (3.10) =0 =0, (3.11) 9
10 Figure 3: The disribui al lss wih respec Piss/Cx prcess wih Expeial lss size disribui =0 = µ cρ δbe δ σ 4 (e c 1) (1 + δb) 1 e δ + δb ½µ µ b 1 e δ + δb l 1+δb δbe δ + ρ δ(1+δb) 1 e δ ¾ δ (1 e δ. + δb) (3.12) Figure 3-6 are he disribuis al lss wih respec a Piss prcess ad a Cx prcess r N respecively, where lss size disribuis are Expeial, Lggamma, Fréche ad rucaed Gumbel. I shws ha he disribuis al lss wih respec a Cx prcess have heavier ail ha heir cuerpars wih respec a Piss prcess. I will becme appare by umerical values VaRs ad TCEs i Example Sice we derive he prbabiliy desiies r al lss umerically via he Fas Furier rasrm, all ³ values he prbabiliy desiies i Figure 3-6 are apprximaed values excep he irs pi, =0 ad P =0. These w values are calculaed usig he explici rmulae abve. The irs pi, =0 is usually disred aer he Fas Furier rasrm s we replace hese disred values wih he values baied rm he explici rmulae =0. 10
11 Figure 4: The disribui al lss wih respec Piss/Cx prcess wih Lggamma lss size disribui 11
12 Figure 5: The disribui al lss wih respec Piss/Cx prcess wih Fréche lss size disribui 12
13 Figure 6: The disribui al lss wih respec Piss/Cx prcess wih rucaed Gumbel lss size disribui 13
14 4. Calculaig risk measures Nw wih w risk measures, i.e. VaR q ( )=i l R : P ( >l) 1 q ad h i E TCE q ( )=E VaR q ( I VaR q ( ) ) = (4.2) (1 q) where I ( ) is he idicar uci, le us illusrae heir umerical values rm he iversi he Fas Furier rasrms. The parameer values used simulae N ad calculae he abve risk measures are λ =10,ρ=4,b=1,δ=0.4 ad =1. We use he abve parameer values ha prvide us wih he same meas al lss regardless he speciicai he lss arrival prcess N see he diereces he VaRs ad TCEs due he ails he lss size disribuis, i.e. E Piss I rder make he cmpuig easier, we als chse i.e. ad = E Cx. E Expeial (X) =E Lggamma (X) =E Fréche (X) =E rucaed Gumbel (X) = π, ½µ β α σ 1 = σ 2 1¾ β 1 µ = σ 3 Γ 1 1 ½ = σ 4 (l c) ς 1 1 e c σ 1 = π ad σ 2 = σ 3 = σ 4 =1. Frm (4.3), we have he relaiship r he parameers, i.e. Z c 0 (4.1) ¾ (l y) e y dy = π (4.3) µ β α = π +1, β > 1 ad α 1, β 1 µ Γ 1 1 ς = π, ς > 1, (l c) 1 1 e c Z c 0 (l y) e y dy = π. Usig Malab, he VaRs ad TCEs r each lss size disribui wih respec a Piss/a Cx prcess are shw i Table Example 4.1: Expeial The calculais he w risk measures as capial charges rm ype k peraial risk up ime whe lss size llws a expeial are shw i Table 4.1 ad 4.2, where Var(X) =π. 14
15 Table 4.1: Piss prcess q VaR q ( ) TCE q ( ) where E =10 π, Var =20π Table 4.2: Cx prcess q VaR q ( ) TCE q ( ) where E =10 π, Var =90.45 Table 4.1 ad 4.2 shw ha here is sigiica icrease i w risk measures respecively by chagig N rm a hmgeus Piss prcess a sh-ise Cx prcess as lss size measure H (x) is a expeial which is a heavy-ailed disribui. I als shws ha TCEs are slighly higher ha VaRs regardless he lss arrival prcess N. Example 4.2: Lggamma The calculais he w risk measures as capial charges rm ype k peraial risk up ime whe lss size llws a Lggamma are shw i Table 4.3 ad 4.4, where α =1,β= π+1 π ad Var(X) =. Table 4.3: Piss prcess Table 4.4: Cx prcess q VaR q ( ) TCE q ( ) where E =10 π, Var = q VaR q ( ) TCE q ( ) where E =10 π, Var = Table 4.3 ad 4.4 shw ha here is sigiica icrease i w risk measures respecively by chagig N rm a hmgeus Piss prcess a sh-ise Cx prcess as lss size measure H (x) is a Lggamma which is a heavy-ailed disribui. I als shws ha TCEs are much higher ha VaRs regardless he lss arrival prcess N. Example 4.3: Fréche The calculais he w risk measures as capial charges rm ype k peraial risk up ime whe lss size llws a Fréche are shw i Table 4.5 ad 4.6, where ς =2ad Var(X) =. Table 4.5: Piss prcess Table 4.6: Cx prcess q VaR q ( ) TCE q ( ) where E =10 π, Var = q VaR q ( ) TCE q ( ) where E =10 π, Var = Similar Lggamma case, we ca see i Table 4.5 ad 4.6 ha w risk measures icrease respecively by chagig N rm a hmgeus Piss prcess a sh-ise Cx prcess. I als shws ha TCEs are higher ha VaRs regardless he lss arrival prcess N. 15
16 Example 4.4: Trucaed Gumbel The calculais he w risk measures as capial charges rm ype k peraial risk up ime whe lss size llws a rucaed Gumbel are shw i Table 4.7 ad 4.8, where c = ad Var(X) = Table 4.7: Piss prcess q VaR q ( ) TCE q ( ) where E =10 π, Var =46.58 Table 4.8: Cx prcess q VaR q ( ) TCE q ( ) where E =10 π, Var =74.19 Table 4.7 ad 4.8 shw ha here is sigiica icrease i w risk measures respecively by chagig N rm a hmgeus Piss prcess a sh-ise Cx prcess. I als shws ha TCEs are slighly higher ha VaRs regardless he lss arrival prcess N. Ieresigly, he values w risk measures are lwer ha heir cuerpars calculaed usig expeial lss size disribui i Example 4.1 whe q 0.9. Whe q =0.5, he VaRs/TCEs are slighly higher/lwer ha heir cuerpars calculaed usig expeial lss size disribui i Example Cclusi We used a cmpud Cx prcess mdel al lsses arisig rm peraial risk accmmdae schasic aure heir requecy raes i pracice. The sh ise prcess was used as a iesiy a Cx prcess as he umber lsses arisig rm peraial risk depeds he requecy ad magiude primary eves ad ime perid eeded deermie he eec primary eves. We als examied a cmpud Piss prcess as i cuerpar. T deal wih a issue raised by Mscadelli (2004) ha he lsses arise rm he mismaageme peraial risk are heavy-ailed i pracice, we csidered Lggamma, Fréche ad rucaed Gumbel as lss size disribuis. We als used a expeial disribui r he case -heavy-ail lsses. As i is diicul calculae he disribuis al lss, we derived heir Laplace rasrms ad ivered heir Fas Furier rasrms umerically calculae releva risk measures, i.e. VaR ad TCE. We preseed he expressis r iiial prbabiliies he al lss ad he expressis r iiial value is desiies, which were used imprve he accuracy he disribuis he al lss iverig he Fas Furier rasrms We als cmpared simulaed umerical values VaRs ad TCEs baied usig cmpud Piss ad cmpud Cx mdel respecively. We examied ur diere lss size disribuis wih w cuig prcesses rea he issues aced by he praciiers i bak ad iacial isiuis. Risk measures csidered bai he peraial risk capial charge were VaRs ad TCEs. We hpe ha wha we preseed i his paper prvides he praciiers wih easible mdels measure peraial risk capial charge wih lexibiliy usig real daa available. There are several appraches mdel ierdepedece bewee peraial lss prcesses, e.g. liear crrelai r cpula-based -liear crrelai. Fr simpliciy, we assumed depedece bewee peraial risk ypes s we leave i as a urher research. Reereces 16
17 Arzer, P., Delbae, F., Eber, J. M. ad Heah, D. (1999) : Chere measures risk, Mahemaical Fiace, 9/3, Asmusse, S. (2000) : Rui Prbabiliies, Wrld Scieiic, Sigapre. Basel Cmmiee Bakig Supervisi (2006): Ieraial Cvergece Capial Measureme ad Capial Sadards: a Revised Framewrk, Cmprehesive Versi. Beard, R.E., Peikaie, T. ad Pese, E. (1984) : Risk Thery, 3rd Edii, Chapma & Hall, Ld. Bühlma, H. (1970) : Mahemaical Mehds i Risk Thery, Spriger-Verlag, Berli- Heidelberg. Caslema, K. R. (1996) : Digial Image Prcessig, Preice Hall, Eglewd Clis, NJ. Chavez-Demuli, V., Embrechs, P., Neslehva, J. (2006): Quaiaive mdels r peraial risk: exremes, depedece ad aggregai, Jural Bakig ad Fiace, 30(10), Cx, D. R. ad Isham, V. (1980) : Pi Prcesses, Chapma & Hall, Ld. Cramér, H. (1930) : O he mahemaical hery risk, Skad. Jubilee Vlume, Sckhlm. Dassis, A. ad Jag, J. (2003) : Pricig caasrphe reisurace & derivaives usig he Cx prcess wih sh ise iesiy, Fiace & Schasics, 7/1, Duie, D., J. Pa, ad K.Sigle. (2000) : Trasrm aalysis ad asse pricig r aie jump-diusis, Ecmerica, 68, Embrechs, P. Klüppelberg, C. ad Miksch, T. (1997): Mdellig Exremal Eves r Isurace ad Fiace Spriger-Verlag, Berli. Gerber, H. U. (1979) : A Irduci Mahemaical Risk Thery, S. S. Hueber Fudai r Isurace Educai, Philadelphia. Gzalez, R. C. ad Wds, R. E. (2002) : Digial Image Prcessig, 2d Edii, Preice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ. Gzalez, R. C., Wds, R. E. ad Eddis, S. L. (2004) : Digial Image Prcessig Usig MATLAB, Preice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ. Gradell, J. (1976) : Dubly Schasic Piss Prcesses, Spriger-Verlag, Berli. Gradell, J. (1991) : Aspecs Risk Thery, Spriger-Verlag, New Yrk. Hes, S. (1993): A clsed rm slui r pis wih schasic vlailiy wih applicais bd ad currecy pis, Review Fiacial Sudies, 6, Jag, J. ad Krvavych, Y. (2004); Arbirage-ree premium calculai r exreme lsses usig he sh ise prcess ad he Esscher rasrm, Isurace: Mahemaics & Ecmics, 35/1, Klüppelberg, C. ad Miksch, T. (1995) : Explsive Piss sh ise prcesses wih applicais risk reserves, Berulli, 1, Mscadelli, M. (2004): The mdellig peraial risk: experiece wih he aalysis he daa, clleced by he Basel Cmmiee, Baca d Ialia, Temi di discussi del Servizi Sudi, N. 517-July. Nešlehvá, J., Embrechs, P., Chavez-Demuli, V. (2006): Iiie mea mdels ad he LDA r peraial risk Jural Operaial Risk, 1(1),
Abstract. 1. Introduction. 1.1 Notation. 1.2 Parameters
1 Mdels, Predici, ad Esimai f Oubreaks f Ifecius Disease Peer J. Csa James P. Duyak Mjdeh Mhashemi {[email protected], [email protected], [email protected]} he MIRE Crprai 202 Burlig Rad Bedfrd, MA 01730 1420 Absrac
Problem Set 2 Solution
Due: April 8, 2004 Sprig 2004 ENEE 426: Cmmuicati Netwrks Dr. Naraya TA: Quag Trih Prblem Set 2 Sluti 1. (3.57) A early cde used i radi trasmissi ivlved usig cdewrds that csist biary bits ad ctai the same
Bullwhip Effect Measure When Supply Chain Demand is Forecasting
J. Basic. Appl. Sci. Res., (4)47-43, 01 01, TexRoad Publicaio ISSN 090-4304 Joural of Basic ad Applied Scieific Research www.exroad.com Bullwhip Effec Measure Whe Supply Chai emad is Forecasig Ayub Rahimzadeh
4. Levered and Unlevered Cost of Capital. Tax Shield. Capital Structure
4. Levered ad levered Cos Capial. ax hield. Capial rucure. Levered ad levered Cos Capial Levered compay ad CAP he cos equiy is equal o he reur expeced by sockholders. he cos equiy ca be compued usi he
CHAPTER 22 ASSET BASED FINANCING: LEASE, HIRE PURCHASE AND PROJECT FINANCING
CHAPTER 22 ASSET BASED FINANCING: LEASE, HIRE PURCHASE AND PROJECT FINANCING Q.1 Defie a lease. How does i differ from a hire purchase ad isalme sale? Wha are he cash flow cosequeces of a lease? Illusrae.
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS-PLP PROGRAM
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS-PLP PROGRAM What is "PLP"? PLP is a isurace prgram that prvides Cmmercial Geeral Liability cverage fr all f Swiert's subctractrs f every tier while wrkig desigated Swiert's prjects.
Term Structure of Prices of Asian Options
Term Srucure of Prices of Asian Opions Jirô Akahori, Tsuomu Mikami, Kenji Yasuomi and Teruo Yokoa Dep. of Mahemaical Sciences, Risumeikan Universiy 1-1-1 Nojihigashi, Kusasu, Shiga 525-8577, Japan E-mail:
Ranking of mutually exclusive investment projects how cash flow differences can solve the ranking problem
Chrisia Kalhoefer (Egyp) Ivesme Maageme ad Fiacial Iovaios, Volume 7, Issue 2, 2 Rakig of muually exclusive ivesme projecs how cash flow differeces ca solve he rakig problem bsrac The discussio abou he
The Term Structure of Interest Rates
The Term Srucure of Ieres Raes Wha is i? The relaioship amog ieres raes over differe imehorizos, as viewed from oday, = 0. A cocep closely relaed o his: The Yield Curve Plos he effecive aual yield agais
FORECASTING MODEL FOR AUTOMOBILE SALES IN THAILAND
FORECASTING MODEL FOR AUTOMOBILE SALES IN THAILAND by Wachareepor Chaimogkol Naioal Isiue of Developme Admiisraio, Bagkok, Thailad Email: [email protected] ad Chuaip Tasahi Kig Mogku's Isiue of Techology
UNDERWRITING AND EXTRA RISKS IN LIFE INSURANCE Katarína Sakálová
The process of uderwriig UNDERWRITING AND EXTRA RISKS IN LIFE INSURANCE Kaaría Sakálová Uderwriig is he process by which a life isurace compay decides which people o accep for isurace ad o wha erms Life
Managing Learning and Turnover in Employee Staffing*
Maagig Learig ad Turover i Employee Saffig* Yog-Pi Zhou Uiversiy of Washigo Busiess School Coauhor: Noah Gas, Wharo School, UPe * Suppored by Wharo Fiacial Isiuios Ceer ad he Sloa Foudaio Call Ceer Operaios
The Design of a Flash-based Linux Swap System. Yeonseung Ryu Myongji University October, 2008
The Desig f a Flash-based Liux Swap System Yeseug Ryu Mygji Uiversity Octber, 2008 Ctets Overview f liux Swap System Hw des the swap system perates? What are the prblems f flash based swap system? New
The Derivative of a Constant is Zero
Sme Simple Algrihms fr Calculaing Derivaives The Derivaive f a Cnsan is Zer Suppse we are l ha x x where x is a cnsan an x represens he psiin f an bjec n a sraigh line pah, in her wrs, he isance ha he
Section 24 exemption application
Fr ffice use nly Auhrisain number: Secin 24 exempin applicain This frm is fr persns applying fr an exempin under secin 24 f he Plumbers, Gasfiers, and Drainlayers Ac 2006. This exempin auhrises a persn
Stochastic Optimal Control Problem for Life Insurance
Sochasic Opimal Conrol Problem for Life Insurance s. Basukh 1, D. Nyamsuren 2 1 Deparmen of Economics and Economerics, Insiue of Finance and Economics, Ulaanbaaar, Mongolia 2 School of Mahemaics, Mongolian
12. Spur Gear Design and selection. Standard proportions. Forces on spur gear teeth. Forces on spur gear teeth. Specifications for standard gear teeth
. Spur Gear Desig ad selecio Objecives Apply priciples leared i Chaper 11 o acual desig ad selecio of spur gear sysems. Calculae forces o eeh of spur gears, icludig impac forces associaed wih velociy ad
COLLECTIVE RISK MODEL IN NON-LIFE INSURANCE
Ecoomic Horizos, May - Augus 203, Volume 5, Number 2, 67-75 Faculy of Ecoomics, Uiversiy of Kragujevac UDC: 33 eissn 227-9232 www. ekfak.kg.ac.rs Review paper UDC: 005.334:368.025.6 ; 347.426.6 doi: 0.5937/ekohor30263D
Currents Physical Components (CPC) in Three-Phase Systems with Asymmetrical Voltage
Leszek S CZARNECKI, Prashaa BHAARAI Schl f Elecrical Egieerig ad Cmuer Scieces, Luisiaa Sae iversiy, Ba Ruge, SA di:115199/4821566 Curres Physical Cmes (CPC) i hree-phase Sysems wih Asymmerical Vlage Absrac
MOSFET Small Signal Model and Analysis
Just as we did with the BJT, we ca csider the MOSFET amplifier aalysis i tw parts: Fid the DC peratig pit The determie the amplifier utput parameters fr ery small iput sigals. + V 1 - MOSFET Small Sigal
University of California, Los Angeles Department of Statistics. Distributions related to the normal distribution
Uiversity of Califoria, Los Ageles Departmet of Statistics Statistics 100B Istructor: Nicolas Christou Three importat distributios: Distributios related to the ormal distributio Chi-square (χ ) distributio.
A Production-Delivery Inventory System under Continuous Price Decrease and Finite Planning Horizon
Prceedigs f the 008 Idustrial Egieerig esearch Cferece J. Fwler ad S. as, eds. A Prducti-elivery Ivetry System uder Ctiuus Price ecrease ad Fiite Plaig Hriz Jufag Yu epartmet f Egieerig aagemet, Ifrmati
Derivative Securities: Lecture 7 Further applications of Black-Scholes and Arbitrage Pricing Theory. Sources: J. Hull Avellaneda and Laurence
Deivaive ecuiies: Lecue 7 uhe applicaios o Black-choles ad Abiage Picig heoy ouces: J. Hull Avellaeda ad Lauece Black s omula omeimes is easie o hik i ems o owad pices. Recallig ha i Black-choles imilaly
Section 11.3: The Integral Test
Sectio.3: The Itegral Test Most of the series we have looked at have either diverged or have coverged ad we have bee able to fid what they coverge to. I geeral however, the problem is much more difficult
1/22/2007 EECS 723 intro 2/3
1/22/2007 EES 723 iro 2/3 eraily, all elecrical egieers kow of liear sysems heory. Bu, i is helpful o firs review hese coceps o make sure ha we all udersad wha his heory is, why i works, ad how i is useful.
Mechanical Vibrations Chapter 4
Mechaical Vibraios Chaper 4 Peer Aviabile Mechaical Egieerig Deparme Uiversiy of Massachuses Lowell 22.457 Mechaical Vibraios - Chaper 4 1 Dr. Peer Aviabile Modal Aalysis & Corols Laboraory Impulse Exciaio
Teaching Bond Valuation: A Differential Approach Demonstrating Duration and Convexity
JOURNAL OF EONOMIS AND FINANE EDUATION olume Number 2 Wier 2008 3 Teachig Bod aluaio: A Differeial Approach Demosraig Duraio ad ovexi TeWah Hah, David Lage ABSTRAT A radiioal bod pricig scheme used i iroducor
3. Cost of equity. Cost of Debt. WACC.
Corporae Fiace [09-0345] 3. Cos o equiy. Cos o Deb. WACC. Cash lows Forecass Cash lows or equiyholders ad debors Cash lows or equiyholders Ecoomic Value Value o capial (equiy ad deb) - radiioal approach
California Advance Health Care Directive
Califria Advace Health Care Directive This frm lets yu have a say abut hw yu wat t be treated if yu get very sick. This frm has 3 parts. It lets yu: Part 1: Chse a health care aget. A health care aget
Why we use compounding and discounting approaches
Comoudig, Discouig, ad ubiased Growh Raes Near Deb s school i Souher Colorado. A examle of slow growh. Coyrigh 000-04, Gary R. Evas. May be used for o-rofi isrucioal uroses oly wihou ermissio of he auhor.
THE FOREIGN EXCHANGE EXPOSURE OF CHINESE BANKS
Workig Paper 07/2008 Jue 2008 THE FOREIGN ECHANGE EPOSURE OF CHINESE BANKS Prepared by Eric Wog, Jim Wog ad Phyllis Leug 1 Research Deparme Absrac Usig he Capial Marke Approach ad equiy-price daa of 14
Capital Budgeting: a Tax Shields Mirage?
Theoreical ad Applied Ecoomics Volume XVIII (211), No. 3(556), pp. 31-4 Capial Budgeig: a Tax Shields Mirage? Vicor DRAGOTĂ Buchares Academy of Ecoomic Sudies [email protected] Lucia ŢÂŢU Buchares
APPLICATIONS OF GEOMETRIC
APPLICATIONS OF GEOMETRIC SEQUENCES AND SERIES TO FINANCIAL MATHS The mos powerful force i he world is compoud ieres (Alber Eisei) Page of 52 Fiacial Mahs Coes Loas ad ivesmes - erms ad examples... 3 Derivaio
Reaction Rates. Example. Chemical Kinetics. Chemical Kinetics Chapter 12. Example Concentration Data. Page 1
Page Chemical Kieics Chaper O decomposiio i a isec O decomposiio caalyzed by MO Chemical Kieics I is o eough o udersad he soichiomery ad hermodyamics of a reacio; we also mus udersad he facors ha gover
Studies in sport sciences have addressed a wide
REVIEW ARTICLE TRENDS i Spor Scieces 014; 1(1: 19-5. ISSN 99-9590 The eed o repor effec size esimaes revisied. A overview of some recommeded measures of effec size MACIEJ TOMCZAK 1, EWA TOMCZAK Rece years
DBIQ USD Investment Grade Corporate Bond Interest Rate Hedged Index
db Idex Developme Sepember 2014 DBIQ Idex Guide DBIQ USD Ivesme Grade Corporae Bod Ieres Rae Hedged Idex Summary The DBIQ USD Ivesme Grade Corporae Bod Ieres Rae Hedged Idex (he Idex ) is a rule based
University of Maryland Fraternity & Sorority Life Spring 2015 Academic Report
University of Maryland Fraternity & Sorority Life Academic Report Academic and Population Statistics Population: # of Students: # of New Members: Avg. Size: Avg. GPA: % of the Undergraduate Population
Circularity and the Undervaluation of Privatised Companies
CMPO Workig Paper Series No. 1/39 Circulariy ad he Udervaluaio of Privaised Compaies Paul Grou 1 ad a Zalewska 2 1 Leverhulme Cere for Marke ad Public Orgaisaio, Uiversiy of Brisol 2 Limburg Isiue of Fiacial
Fuzzy Task Assignment Model of Web Services Supplier
Advaed Siee ad Tehology eers Vol.78 (Mulrab 2014),.43-48 h://dx.doi.org/10.14257/asl.2014.78.08 Fuzzy Task Assige Model of Web Servies Sulier Su Jia 1,2,Peg Xiu-ya 1, *, Xu Yig 1,3, Wag Pei-lei 2, Ma Na-ji
Chapter 6: Variance, the law of large numbers and the Monte-Carlo method
Chapter 6: Variace, the law of large umbers ad the Mote-Carlo method Expected value, variace, ad Chebyshev iequality. If X is a radom variable recall that the expected value of X, E[X] is the average value
Journal Of Business & Economics Research September 2005 Volume 3, Number 9
Opion Pricing And Mone Carlo Simulaions George M. Jabbour, (Email: [email protected]), George Washingon Universiy Yi-Kang Liu, ([email protected]), George Washingon Universiy ABSTRACT The advanage of Mone Carlo
Time value of money Interest formulas Project evaluations Inflation and CPI Financial risk and financing
2YHUYLHZ )LQDQLDO$QDO\VLV 3ULHU Hioshi Sakamoo Humphey Isiue of ublic Affais Uivesiy of Miesoa Time value of moey Iees fomulas ojec evaluaios Iflaio ad CI iacial isk ad fiacig A5721 Moey - 1 A5721 Moey
A formulation for measuring the bullwhip effect with spreadsheets Una formulación para medir el efecto bullwhip con hojas de cálculo
irecció y rgaizació 48 (01) 9-33 9 www.revisadyo.com A formulaio for measurig he bullwhip effec wih spreadshees Ua formulació para medir el efeco bullwhip co hojas de cálculo Javier Parra-Pea 1, Josefa
ON THE RISK-NEUTRAL VALUATION OF LIFE INSURANCE CONTRACTS WITH NUMERICAL METHODS IN VIEW ABSTRACT KEYWORDS 1. INTRODUCTION
ON THE RISK-NEUTRAL VALUATION OF LIFE INSURANCE CONTRACTS WITH NUMERICAL METHODS IN VIEW BY DANIEL BAUER, DANIELA BERGMANN AND RÜDIGER KIESEL ABSTRACT I rece years, marke-cosise valuaio approaches have
Information Guide Booklet. Home Loans
Infrmatin Guide Bklet Hme Lans This Infrmatin Guide bklet prvides yu with general infrmatin nly. It will als help yu t better understand any recmmendatins we have made fr yu. Infrmatin Guide Hme Lans January
MTH6121 Introduction to Mathematical Finance Lesson 5
26 MTH6121 Inroducion o Mahemaical Finance Lesson 5 Conens 2.3 Brownian moion wih drif........................... 27 2.4 Geomeric Brownian moion........................... 28 2.5 Convergence of random
Analogue and Digital Signal Processing. First Term Third Year CS Engineering By Dr Mukhtiar Ali Unar
Analogue and Digial Signal Processing Firs Term Third Year CS Engineering By Dr Mukhiar Ali Unar Recommended Books Haykin S. and Van Veen B.; Signals and Sysems, John Wiley& Sons Inc. ISBN: 0-7-380-7 Ifeachor
Introduction to Statistical Analysis of Time Series Richard A. Davis Department of Statistics
Iroduio o Saisial Aalysis of Time Series Rihard A. Davis Deparme of Saisis Oulie Modelig obeives i ime series Geeral feaures of eologial/eviromeal ime series Compoes of a ime series Frequey domai aalysis-he
Case Study. Normal and t Distributions. Density Plot. Normal Distributions
Case Study Normal ad t Distributios Bret Halo ad Bret Larget Departmet of Statistics Uiversity of Wiscosi Madiso October 11 13, 2011 Case Study Body temperature varies withi idividuals over time (it ca
α α λ α = = λ λ α ψ = = α α α λ λ ψ α = + β = > θ θ β > β β θ θ θ β θ β γ θ β = γ θ > β > γ θ β γ = θ β = θ β = θ β = β θ = β β θ = = = β β θ = + α α α α α = = λ λ λ λ λ λ λ = λ λ α α α α λ ψ + α =
PROCEEDINGS OF THE YEREVAN STATE UNIVERSITY AN ALTERNATIVE MODEL FOR BONUS-MALUS SYSTEM
PROCEEDINGS OF THE YEREVAN STATE UNIVERSITY Physical ad Mathematical Scieces 2015, 1, p. 15 19 M a t h e m a t i c s AN ALTERNATIVE MODEL FOR BONUS-MALUS SYSTEM A. G. GULYAN Chair of Actuarial Mathematics
I. Basic Concepts (Ch. 1-4)
(Ch. 1-4) A. Real vs. Financial Asses (Ch 1.2) Real asses (buildings, machinery, ec.) appear on he asse side of he balance shee. Financial asses (bonds, socks) appear on boh sides of he balance shee. Creaing
http://www.ejournalofscience.org Monitoring of Network Traffic based on Queuing Theory
VOL., NO., November ISSN XXXX-XXXX ARN Joural of Sciece a Techology - ARN Jourals. All righs reserve. hp://www.ejouralofsciece.org Moiorig of Newor Traffic base o Queuig Theory S. Saha Ray,. Sahoo Naioal
Chapter 8: Regression with Lagged Explanatory Variables
Chaper 8: Regression wih Lagged Explanaory Variables Time series daa: Y for =1,..,T End goal: Regression model relaing a dependen variable o explanaory variables. Wih ime series new issues arise: 1. One
A Queuing Model of the N-design Multi-skill Call Center with Impatient Customers
Ieraioal Joural of u- ad e- ervice, ciece ad Techology Vol.8, o., pp.- hp://dx.doi.org/./ijuess..8.. A Queuig Model of he -desig Muli-skill Call Ceer wih Impaie Cusomers Chuya Li, ad Deua Yue Yasha Uiversiy,
Oblique incidence: Interface between dielectric media
lecrmagnec Felds Oblque ncdence: Inerface beween delecrc meda Cnsder a planar nerface beween w delecrc meda. A plane wave s ncden a an angle frm medum. The nerface plane defnes he bundary beween he meda.
REVISTA INVESTIGACION OPERACIONAL VOL. 31, No.2, 159-170, 2010
REVISTA INVESTIGACION OPERACIONAL VOL. 3, No., 59-70, 00 AN ALGORITHM TO OBTAIN AN OPTIMAL STRATEGY FOR THE MARKOV DECISION PROCESSES, WITH PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION FOR THE PLANNING HORIZON. Gouliois E.
To discuss Chapter 13 bankruptcy questions with our bankruptcy attorney, please call us or fill out a Free Evaluation form on our website.
Intrductin This Ebk fcuses n Chapter 13 bankruptcy, hw it wrks, and hw it helps yu eliminate debt and keep yur assets (such as yur hme). We hpe yu find this infrmatin t be helpful. T discuss Chapter 13
Equities: Positions and Portfolio Returns
Foundaions of Finance: Equiies: osiions and orfolio Reurns rof. Alex Shapiro Lecure oes 4b Equiies: osiions and orfolio Reurns I. Readings and Suggesed racice roblems II. Sock Transacions Involving Credi
An Approach for Measurement of the Fair Value of Insurance Contracts by Sam Gutterman, David Rogers, Larry Rubin, David Scheinerman
A Approach for Measureme of he Fair Value of Isurace Coracs by Sam Guerma, David Rogers, Larry Rubi, David Scheierma Absrac The paper explores developmes hrough 2006 i he applicaio of marke-cosise coceps
Time Consisency in Porfolio Managemen
1 Time Consisency in Porfolio Managemen Traian A Pirvu Deparmen of Mahemaics and Saisics McMaser Universiy Torono, June 2010 The alk is based on join work wih Ivar Ekeland Time Consisency in Porfolio Managemen
Data Protection and Privacy- Technologies in Focus. Rashmi Chandrashekar, Accenture
Daa Proeio ad Privay- Tehologies i Fous Rashmi Chadrashekar, Aeure Sesiive Creai Daa Lifeyle o Busiess sesiive daa proeio is o a sigle eve. Adequae proeio o mus be provided appropriaely hroughou Mai he
DYNAMIC MODELS FOR VALUATION OF WRONGFUL DEATH PAYMENTS
DYNAMIC MODELS FOR VALUATION OF WRONGFUL DEATH PAYMENTS Hong Mao, Shanghai Second Polyechnic Universiy Krzyszof M. Osaszewski, Illinois Sae Universiy Youyu Zhang, Fudan Universiy ABSTRACT Liigaion, exper
A Heavy Traffic Approach to Modeling Large Life Insurance Portfolios
A Heavy Traffic Approach o Modelig Large Life Isurace Porfolios Jose Blache ad Hery Lam Absrac We explore a ew framework o approximae life isurace risk processes i he sceario of pleiful policyholders,
Research Article Dynamic Pricing of a Web Service in an Advance Selling Environment
Hidawi Publishig Corporaio Mahemaical Problems i Egieerig Volume 215, Aricle ID 783149, 21 pages hp://dx.doi.org/1.1155/215/783149 Research Aricle Dyamic Pricig of a Web Service i a Advace Sellig Evirome
Phi Kappa Sigma International Fraternity Insurance Billing Methodology
Phi Kappa Sigma Internatinal Fraternity Insurance Billing Methdlgy The Phi Kappa Sigma Internatinal Fraternity Executive Bard implres each chapter t thrughly review the attached methdlgy and plan nw t
City of Gold Coast. Debt Management. Public Statement
City f Gld Cast Debt Management Public Statement Octber 2015 This statement explains the City f Gld Cast s debt management apprach and psitin. It includes the fllwing: Overall Financial Psitin Prfit and
Diode Circuits or Uncontrolled Rectifier
EE 45- Elecric Drives Chaper Dr. Ali M. Elaaly Dide Circuis r Ucrlled ecifier. rduci Because f heir abiliy cduc curre i e direci, dides are used i recifier circuis. The defiii f recificai prcess is he
14 Protecting Private Information in Online Social Networks
4 roecig rivae Iormaio i Olie Social eworks Jiamig He ad Wesley W. Chu Compuer Sciece Deparme Uiversiy o Calioria USA {jmhekwwc}@cs.ucla.edu Absrac. Because persoal iormaio ca be ierred rom associaios
Math C067 Sampling Distributions
Math C067 Samplig Distributios Sample Mea ad Sample Proportio Richard Beigel Some time betwee April 16, 2007 ad April 16, 2007 Examples of Samplig A pollster may try to estimate the proportio of voters
Principal components of stock market dynamics. Methodology and applications in brief (to be updated ) Andrei Bouzaev, bouzaev@ya.
Principal componens of sock marke dynamics Mehodology and applicaions in brief o be updaed Andrei Bouzaev, [email protected] Why principal componens are needed Objecives undersand he evidence of more han one
Economics Honors Exam 2008 Solutions Question 5
Economics Honors Exam 2008 Soluions Quesion 5 (a) (2 poins) Oupu can be decomposed as Y = C + I + G. And we can solve for i by subsiuing in equaions given in he quesion, Y = C + I + G = c 0 + c Y D + I
Determining the sample size
Determiig the sample size Oe of the most commo questios ay statisticia gets asked is How large a sample size do I eed? Researchers are ofte surprised to fid out that the aswer depeds o a umber of factors
ACCOUNTING TURNOVER RATIOS AND CASH CONVERSION CYCLE
Problems ad Persecives of Maageme, 24 Absrac ACCOUNTING TURNOVER RATIOS AND CASH CONVERSION CYCLE Pedro Orí-Ágel, Diego Prior Fiacial saemes, ad esecially accouig raios, are usually used o evaluae acual
The Real Business Cycle paradigm. The RBC model emphasizes supply (technology) disturbances as the main source of
Prof. Harris Dellas Advanced Macroeconomics Winer 2001/01 The Real Business Cycle paradigm The RBC model emphasizes supply (echnology) disurbances as he main source of macroeconomic flucuaions in a world
Gravesham Borough Council
Classificatin: Part 1 Public Key Decisin: Please specify - N Gravesham Brugh Cuncil Reprt t: Perfrmance and Administratin Cmmittee Date: 12 Nvember 2015 Reprting fficer: Subject: Crprate Perfrmance Manager
The Norwegian Shareholder Tax Reconsidered
The Norwegia Shareholder Tax Recosidered Absrac I a aricle i Ieraioal Tax ad Public Fiace, Peer Birch Sørese (5) gives a i-deph accou of he ew Norwegia Shareholder Tax, which allows he shareholders a deducio
Application of DEA to improve performance of multi-member supply chain with imprecise information flow
Applicai f DEA iprve perfrace f uli-eber suppl chai wih iprecise ifrai flw Vahi abbasi* Depare f Iusrial Egieerig Uiversi f Siece a Culure [email protected] NiaYaa Sheas Depare f Iusrial Egieerig Uiversi
Local Mobility Anchoring for Seamless Handover in Coordinated Small Cells
Lcal Mbility Achrig fr Seamless Hadver i Crdiated Small Cells Ravikumar Balakrisha ad Ia F Akyildiz Bradbad Wireless Netwrkig Labratry Schl f Electrical ad Cmputer Egieerig, Gergia Istitute f Techlgy,
Measuring macroeconomic volatility Applications to export revenue data, 1970-2005
FONDATION POUR LES ETUDES ET RERS LE DEVELOPPEMENT INTERNATIONAL Measuring macroeconomic volailiy Applicaions o expor revenue daa, 1970-005 by Joël Cariolle Policy brief no. 47 March 01 The FERDI is a
Modelling Time Series of Counts
Modellig ime Series of Cous Richard A. Davis Colorado Sae Uiversiy William Dusmuir Uiversiy of New Souh Wales Yig Wag Colorado Sae Uiversiy /3/00 Modellig ime Series of Cous wo ypes of Models for Poisso
How to put together a Workforce Development Fund (WDF) claim 2015/16
Index Page 2 Hw t put tgether a Wrkfrce Develpment Fund (WDF) claim 2015/16 Intrductin What eligibility criteria d my establishment/s need t meet? Natinal Minimum Data Set fr Scial Care (NMDS-SC) and WDF
Distributed Containment Control with Multiple Dynamic Leaders for Double-Integrator Dynamics Using Only Position Measurements
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON AUTOMATIC CONTROL, VOL. 57, NO. 6, JUNE 22 553 Disribued Coaime Corol wih Muliple Dyamic Leaders for Double-Iegraor Dyamics Usig Oly Posiio Measuremes Jiazhe Li, Wei Re, Member, IEEE,
A Strategy for Trading the S&P 500 Futures Market
62 JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND FINANCE Volume 25 Number 1 Sprig 2001 A Sraegy for Tradig he S&P 500 Fuures Marke Edward Olszewski * Absrac A sysem for radig he S&P 500 fuures marke is proposed. The sysem
Double Entry System of Accounting
CHAPTER 2 Double Enry Sysem of Accouning Sysem of Accouning \ The following are he main sysem of accouning for recording he business ransacions: (a) Cash Sysem of Accouning. (b) Mercanile or Accrual Sysem
COMPUTATION OF CENTILES AND Z-SCORES FOR HEIGHT-FOR-AGE, WEIGHT-FOR-AGE AND BMI-FOR-AGE
COMPUTATION OF CENTILES AND Z-SCORES FOR HEIGHT-FOR-AGE, WEIGHT-FOR-AGE AND BMI-FOR-AGE The mehod used o consruc he 2007 WHO references relied on GAMLSS wih he Box-Cox power exponenial disribuion (Rigby
Combining Adaptive Filtering and IF Flows to Detect DDoS Attacks within a Router
KSII RANSAIONS ON INERNE AN INFORMAION SYSEMS VOL. 4, NO. 3, Jue 2 428 opyrigh c 2 KSII ombiig Adapive Filerig ad IF Flows o eec os Aacks wihi a Rouer Ruoyu Ya,2, Qighua Zheg ad Haifei Li 3 eparme of ompuer
Chapter 7 Methods of Finding Estimators
Chapter 7 for BST 695: Special Topics i Statistical Theory. Kui Zhag, 011 Chapter 7 Methods of Fidig Estimators Sectio 7.1 Itroductio Defiitio 7.1.1 A poit estimator is ay fuctio W( X) W( X1, X,, X ) of
Underwater Landslide Shape, Motion, Deformation, and Tsunami Generation
Prceedigs f The Thireeh (2003) Ieraial Offshre ad Plar Egieerig Cferece Hll, Hawaii, USA, May 25 30, 2003 Cpyrigh 2003 by The Ieraial Sciey f Offshre ad Plar Egieers ISBN 1 880653-60 5 (Se); ISSN 1098
ON THE PRICING OF EQUITY-LINKED LIFE INSURANCE CONTRACTS IN GAUSSIAN FINANCIAL ENVIRONMENT
Teor Imov r.amaem.sais. Theor. Probabiliy and Mah. Sais. Vip. 7, 24 No. 7, 25, Pages 15 111 S 94-9(5)634-4 Aricle elecronically published on Augus 12, 25 ON THE PRICING OF EQUITY-LINKED LIFE INSURANCE
Course Syllabus PADM 6510 - Management of Health Care Agencies College of Public Service and Urban Affairs Tennessee State University
Curse Syllabus PADM 6510 - Management f Health Care Agencies Cllege f Public Service and Urban Affairs Tennessee State University Chester A. Rbinsn, D.P.A. Spring, 2008 Office (615) 963-7242 Tuesdays,
2.5 Life tables, force of mortality and standard life insurance products
Soluions 5 BS4a Acuarial Science Oford MT 212 33 2.5 Life ables, force of moraliy and sandard life insurance producs 1. (i) n m q represens he probabiliy of deah of a life currenly aged beween ages + n
= r t dt + σ S,t db S t (19.1) with interest rates given by a mean reverting Ornstein-Uhlenbeck or Vasicek process,
Chaper 19 The Black-Scholes-Vasicek Model The Black-Scholes-Vasicek model is given by a sandard ime-dependen Black-Scholes model for he sock price process S, wih ime-dependen bu deerminisic volailiy σ
ASCII CODES WITH GREEK CHARACTERS
ASCII CODES WITH GREEK CHARACTERS Dec Hex Char Description 0 0 NUL (Null) 1 1 SOH (Start of Header) 2 2 STX (Start of Text) 3 3 ETX (End of Text) 4 4 EOT (End of Transmission) 5 5 ENQ (Enquiry) 6 6 ACK
Chapter 04.00E Physical Problem for Electrical Engineering Simultaneous Linear Equations
hpter 04.00E Phyicl Prblem fr Electricl Egieerig Simulteu Lie Equti Prblem Sttemet Three-phe ytem e the rm fr mt idutril pplicti. pwer i the frm f vltge d curret it delivered frm the pwer cmpy uig three-phe
The Interest Rate Risk of Mortgage Loan Portfolio of Banks
The Ineres Rae Risk of Morgage Loan Porfolio of Banks A Case Sudy of he Hong Kong Marke Jim Wong Hong Kong Moneary Auhoriy Paper presened a he Exper Forum on Advanced Techniques on Sress Tesing: Applicaions
Tail Distortion Risk and Its Asymptotic Analysis
Tail Disorion Risk and Is Asympoic Analysis Li Zhu Haijun Li May 2 Revision: March 22 Absrac A disorion risk measure used in finance and insurance is defined as he expeced value of poenial loss under a
