New York Workers Compensation Trends

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1 New York Workers Compensation Trends June 2015 Oliver Wyman

2 QUALIFICATIONS, ASSUMPTIONS AND LIMITING CONDITIONS This report is for the exclusive use of the Oliver Wyman client named herein. This report is not intended for general circulation or publication, nor is it to be reproduced, quoted or distributed for any purpose without the prior written permission of Oliver Wyman. There are no third party beneficiaries with respect to this report, and Oliver Wyman does not accept any liability to any third party. Information furnished by others, upon which all or portions of this report are based, is believed to be reliable but has not been independently verified, unless otherwise expressly indicated. Public information and industry and statistical data are from sources we deem to be reliable; however, we make no representation as to the accuracy or completeness of such information. The findings contained in this report may contain predictions based on current data and historical trends. Any such predictions are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties. Oliver Wyman accepts no responsibility for actual results or future events. The opinions expressed in this report are valid only for the purpose stated herein and as of the date of this report. No obligation is assumed to revise this report to reflect changes, events or conditions, which occur subsequent to the date hereof. All decisions in connection with the implementation or use of advice or recommendations contained in this report are the sole responsibility of the client. This report does not represent investment advice nor does it provide an opinion regarding the fairness of any transaction to any and all parties.

3 How have New York cost levels changed since 2007? Pre Legislation Developments Since 2007 Permanent partial disability claim costs were accelerating Second Injury Fund costs were accelerating Maximum benefit constant at $400 per week since early 1990s Duration caps imposed for permanent partial disability claims Second injury fund was closed Maximum benefit was increased to 2/3 of state average weekly wage $ as of July 1, 2014 Expected to decrease costs by approximately 20% Rather than decreasing, workers compensation costs in NY increased and are currently greater than pre-2007 levels Additional legislation closed reopened claim fund in 2014 NY currently has 2 nd highest average workers compensation costs in US Average cost of benefits and legal expense per $100 payroll 15 most costly states Average cost per $100 payroll CA NY NJ CT DE MT AK NH IL VT OK MN LA RI WI PA State Costs are Measured using the same distribution of employee classifications across all states Based on the most recently available information for the individual states

4 Impact on Permanent Partial Disability Claims New York Claim Frequency Per 100,000 workers Policy year Total lost time Permanent partial PP% , % % % % % % % % % % % Permanent Partial Average Claim Costs New York versus Countrywide Policy year New York Countrywide Countrywide Claim Frequency Per 100,000 workers Policy year Total lost time Permanent partial PP% , % , % , % , % , % , % % % % % % NY to Countrywide relativity 2001 $90,719 $71, $97,505 $68, $103,666 $70, $107,142 $67, $113,457 $69, $114,395 $71, $117,061 $75, $118,992 $76, $121,506 $76, $128,718 $76, $134,352 $77, NY lost time claims have been stable since 2007, while lost time claim frequency continued to decline countrywide NY permanent partial claim frequency increased since 2007, both in absolute value and as a percentage of lost time claims Countrywide permanent partial claim frequency decreased at same rate as total lost time claims and remained constant as a percentage of lost time claims Permanent partial claim costs increased marginally from 2001 to 2011 on a countrywide basis In New York, permanent partial claim costs increased materially from 2001 to 2006 After the 2007 legislation, rather than decreasing or stabilizing, permanent partial claim costs continued to increase

5 Impact on Lost Time Claim Severity Average Lost Time Claim Cost in New York Medical, indemnity, claim related expense, assessments $150,000 $140,000 $130,000 $120,000 $110,000 $100,000 $90,000 $80,000 $70,000 $60,000 $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 $ Policy year 2014 and 2015 assessments are 15-8 only All other years include 15-8 and 25-A Based on reported data from NYCIRB 2007 law change Indemnity Medical Claim related expense Assessments Forecast Lost time claim costs had been increasing since After the 2007 legislation, however, rather than decreasing, costs accelerated and increased at a faster rate. Claim costs have accelerated since 2007 for the following reasons: Permanent partial disability claim costs increased materially since 2007 Time spent on temporary total disability does not count towards the capped duration. As a result, attorneys are acting to delay the disability rating Time spent on temporary total disability increased from 4.8 years to 6.4 years after the legislation. This equates to an additional $50,000 in claim costs for an individual receiving $600 per week Permanent partial disability claims, as a percentage of total claims, increased materially since 2007 Relatively expensive permanent partial claims make up a larger portion of total claims than they did prior to 2007 Assessments to fund the second injury fund and the reopened claim fund increased materially since 2007 While closed to new claims, there is a significant annual cost of running these funds until all claims are closed. This is expected to take 40+ yrs, because many claims are lifetime permanent partial claims from pre-2007

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